Winning Sports Picks

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -114 

The St. Louis Cardinals are surging right now trying to make the playoffs.  They have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall and now are in position to not only win a wild card spot, but to also chase down the Cubs and Brewers in the NL Central.  They are just 1.5 games behind the Brewers, and they host Milwaukee in this three-game series starting with Game 1 Friday. 

I like the Cardinals’ chances to win Game 1 tonight with Jack Flaherty on the mound.  He is 6-6 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.074 WHIP in 19 starts this season with 127 K’s in 103 1/3 innings.  He has won each of his last two starts while allowing just 2 earned runs in 13 innings with 16 K’s.  Flaherty is 0-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two starts against the Brewers this season, giving up just 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 12 innings with a whopping 22 K’s. 

Freddy Peralta got off to a fast start for the Brewers this season, but teams are certainly catching on to him now.  Peralta is 1-2 with a 7.94 ERA in his last five starts.  He has allowed a whopping 20 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings during this stretch.  Look for the Cardinals to jump on him early and often in this one. 

St. Louis is 13-3 following a one-run loss this season.  The Brewers are 1-8 in their last nine vs. NL Central opponents.  The Cardinals are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss.  Bet the Cardinals Friday. 

15* NFLX Friday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Chiefs ML -125 

No Analysis for Preseason.

20* Jets/Redskins ESPN No-Brianer on New York +1 

No analysis for preseason. 

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +115 

The Pittsburgh Pirates should not be home underdogs to the Chicago Cubs tonight.  This is their time to make a stand at 61-60 on the season and fighting to stay alive for the playoffs.  Look for them to take this series with the Cubs very seriously, starting with Game 1 tonight. 

Jone Lester has been rocked of late and seems to have lost it.  He is 0-2 with an 11.19 ERA and 2.268 WHIP in his last three starts, which have come against the Pirates, Padres & Nationals.  He has given up 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings during this stretch.  Lester has allowed at least 4 earned runs in 5 of his last 7 starts against the Pirates. 

Ivan Nova is 7-6 with a 4.41 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 3.55 ERA in 10 home starts.  Nova is 4-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in five career starts against the Cubs.  He has won both of his starts against the Cubs this season while allowing just 4 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings as +175 and +140 road underdogs. 

The Pirates are 7-1 in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Pittsburgh is 5-0 in Nova’s last five starts during Game 1 of a series.  The Pirates are 5-1 in Nova’s last six starts.  Pittsburgh is 4-1 in Nova’s last five starts against Chicago.  Bet the Pirates Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -107

The Cardinals will be seeking their eighth straight win tonight against the Washington Nationals.  Their offense has come to life by scoring at least 6 runs in six straight games.  And now we’re getting them at basically even money again tonight, which is a great value. 

Austin Gomber will make his home debut tonight for the Cardinals.  He has pitched well in his three road starts, going 1-0 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.239 WHIP.  He fired 5 shutout innings in a 7-0 victory in Kansas City last time out on August 10th. 

Jeremy Hellickson is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  Hellickson is 5-2 with a 3.54 ERA in 17 starts this season.  But he is only averaging 4.9 innings per start, which means the Cardinals are likely to get into Washington’s suspect bullpen once again.  The Nationals have so many injuries at the back end of their ‘pen that they cannot be trusted to close out games. 

St. Louis is 11-1 in home games off two or more consecutive overs this season.  The Nationals are 0-4 in Hellickson’s last four starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Washington is 8-20 in its last 28 road games.  The Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Bet the Cardinals Wednesday. 

20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Tigers -126 

The Detroit Tigers have won three of their last four coming in and continue to play for pride.  The Chicago White Sox have gone just 1-6 in their last seven games and lost five of those by two runs or more.  I think the Tigers get the job done tonight at a very generous price considering their big advantage on the mound. 

Blaine Hardy has held his own this season, going 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 12 starts.  He is also 3-1 with a 3.82 ERA in seven home starts.  Hardy has shut down the White Sox twice this season already, going 2-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.811 WHIP while allowing just 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 12 1/3 innings. 

Lucas Giolito has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 7-9 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.496 WHIP in 23 starts with a whopping 71 walks and only 84 K's in 125 2/3 innings.  Giolito has been rocked in his two starts against the Tigers in 2018, going 0-1 with an 8.18 ERA while allowing 10 earned runs in 11 innings. 

The White Sox are 39-84 in their last 123 road games.  Chicago is 15-38 in its last 53 games vs. a left-handed starters.  The Tigers are 5-1 in their last six home games.  Detroit is 52-21 in its last 73 home meetings with Chicago, and 10-1 in its last 11 meetings with the White Sox overall.  Bet the Tigers Tuesday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -131

The St. Louis Cardinals (63-55) are on an absolute tear right now.  They have won five straight series and have the best record (12-4) in the National League since July 27th.  They have scored at least 7 runs in four consecutive games and now sit just 2.5 games back in the wild card, and 5.5 games back of the Cubs for first place in the NL Central.  They cannot afford to let off the gas. 

The Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Miles Mikolas.  He is 12-3 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 11 home starts.  This will be his first career start against the Nationals, who had to play on Sunday Night Baseball last night against the Cubs and won’t be fresh. 

Tom Milone is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  He has made just three starts this season, going 1-1 with a 5.50 ERA.  His first two were decent against the Mets and Marlins, but he was rocked for 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings of a 3-8 loss to the Braves last time out.  Look for the Cardinals to stay hot at the plate and touch up Milone as well. 

The Nationals are 6-16 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Washington is 0-5 in its last five Monday games.  The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last five games overall.  St. Louis is 6-1 in Mikolas’ last seven starts.  The Nationals are 8-23 in their last 31 meetings in St. Louis.  Bet the Cardinals Monday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -125 

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be highly motivated for a victory here Sunday.  They have lost the first two games of this series to the lowly Cincinnati Reds and will be looking to avoid the sweep with a win in Game 3.  Considering they are tied for first place in the NL West, every game is important here on out. 

Zack Godley has really turned his season around. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 11 starts coming in.  He has struck out at least 6 batters in six consecutive starts.  He is 3-0 with a 2.68 ERA in his last six starts coming in. 

Luis Castillo has been overrated for most of the season.  He has gone 6-9 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.330 WHIP in 23 starts this year.  In his last two starts against the Diamondbacks, Castillo is 0-2 with a 6.55 ERA, allowing 8 earned runs in 11 innings. 

The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Godley’s last five starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Arizona is 7-1 in Godley’s last eight starts when working on 5 days’ rest.  The Reds are 1-6 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Diamondbacks Sunday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -139 

After losing via shutout to the Cincinnati Reds yesterday, the Arizona Diamondbacks should come back highly motivated for a victory here Saturday.  They should win in blowout fashion thanks to their advantage on the mound. 

Robbie Ray has been a machine on the road over the past couple seasons.  That has been the case again in 2018 as Ray is 2-1 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in seven road starts this year.  He is also 1-2 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in three career starts against Cincinnati. 

Matt Harvey is now 5-7 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  He has been lit up in his last three starts, going 0-2 with a 10.66 ERA and 1.815 WHIP while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 12 2/3 innings. 

Ray is 10-1 (+9.6 units) against the money line in road games vs. a team with a slugging percentage of .400 or worse over the last two seasons.  The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss.  Arizona is 10-2 in Ray’s last 12 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Diamondbacks Saturday. 

15* Falcons/Jets NFLX No-Brainer on Atlanta +4 

No Analysis for Preseason. 

25* NL GAME OF THE YEAR on Arizona Diamondbacks -119 

The Arizona Diamondbacks are tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers for first place in the NL West heading into Friday’s action.  Wins are of utmost importance to them, while the Reds (50-65) are simply playing out the string at this point, going 2-7 in their last nine games overall. 

Clay Buchholz has been one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues over the past couple months.  He is finally healthy this season and it’s showing.  Buchholz is 5-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in six road starts. 

Anthony DeSclafini is 5-3 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.308 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He is 2-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.473 WHIP in seven home starts as well.  DeSclafini is no match for Buchholz in this one tonight folks. 

The Diamondbacks are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  Arizona is 4-0 in Buchholz’s last four starts.  The Reds are 0-6 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Diamondbacks Friday. 

15* Colts/Seahawks NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle -1 

No analysis for preseason. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-110) 

The New York Yankees should have no problem winning by two runs or more tonight.  They have a big advantage on the mound and are motivated fighting for a wild card spot in the American League. 

J.A. Happ has been excellent in his first few starts in a Yankee uniform.  Happ is 1-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.954 WHIP in his last three starts.  Happ has owned the Rangers, going 5-2 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in seven career starts against them. 

Ariel Jurado will be making just his fourth start of the season tonight.  He is 2-1 with a 4.02 ERA through his first three starts.  However, this will be his toughest test yet at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. 

Happy is 26-7 after giving up one or fewer earned runs last outing over the past three seasons.  His teams are winning by 1.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Yankees are 57-19 in their last 76 home games.  New York is 6-1 in its last seven vs. a team with a losing record.  Texas is 7-19 in its last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -111 

The St. Louis Cardinals are showing great value at basically even money against the lowly Miami Marlins tonight.  The Cardinals are trying to stay alive for a playoff spot and have gone 8-4 in their last 12 games overall. 

John Gant was coming off two straight great starts against the Cubs in limiting them to 2 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings.  But he was rocked for 6 runs in 4 innings against the Pirates last time out, and I think he’s being undervalued now because of it.  Look for him to bounce back against the light-hitting Marlins today. 

There’s no question Trevor Richards has pitched well of late for the Marlins, but he’s being overvalued because of it.  He’s still just 3-6 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in 16 starts this season. 

St. Louis is a perfect 9-0 after scoring 3 runs or less in three straight games this season, and 13-2 when scoring 4 runs or less in three straight games.  The Marlins are 1-7 in their last eight games overall.  Bet the Cardinals Wednesday.

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -105 

Getting the Mariners at basically even money against the Rangers is a gift from oddsmakers tonight.  The Mariners are right in the thick of wild card and AL West races, while the Rangers are 49-65 and playing for pride only. 

Bartolo Colon certainly doesn’t deserve this kind of respect from oddsmakers.  Colon is 5-10 with a 5.32 ERA in 20 starts this season, 2-4 with a 6.10 ERA in nine home starts, and 0-3 with an 8.64 ERA and 1.740 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Felix Hernandez is the better starter in this matchup.  He gave up just two earned runs in his last start against the Blue Jays.  He has posted a 4.07 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 56 career starts against Texas. 

The Mariners are 23-7 in their last 30 vs. a team with a losing record.  Seattle is 37-18 in Hernandez’s last 55 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Rangers are 19-46 in their last 65 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Texas is 0-5 in Colon’s last five starts.  The Mariners are 6-1 in their last seven meetings in Texas.  Seattle is 10-4 in Hernandez’s last 14 starts vs. Texas.  Bet the Mariners Tuesday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Colorado Rockies -138 

The Colorado Rockies have lost four of their last five and come into this game highly motivated for a victory.  They return home after a tough seven-game road trip and should take care the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 1 tonight. 

Ace Kyle Freeland is having a tremendous season for the Rockies.  He is 9-7 with a 3.20 ERA in 22 starts this season.  What he has done at home has been nothing short of remarkable. 

Freeland is 6-2 with a 2.45 ERA in nine starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field.  He’ll be opposed by Joe Musgrove, who is 4-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.284 WHIP in 11 starts for the Pirates this season. 

The Pirates are 6-22 in their last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Pittsburgh is 18-44 in its last 62 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Rockies are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Colorado is 16-5 in its last 21 home games.  The Rockies are 4-0 in Freeland’s last four home starts.  Bet the Rockies Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -127 

The Atlanta Braves have won five of their last six coming in.  They are showing excellent value as small road favorites over the hapless New York Mets, who are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall. 

Julio Teheran has done his best work on the road over the past few seasons.  He has also owned the Mets, going 9-6 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in 22 career starts against them. 

Corey Oswalt is 1-2 with a 5.56 ERA in five starts for the Mets this season.  He is only averaging 4.5 innings per start, so the Braves should be able to get into the Mets’ bullpen early in this one. 

Teheran has allowed just 2 earned runs over 21 innings in his last three starts against the Mets this season.  The Braves are 20-7 in Teheran’s last 27 Sunday starts.  The Mets are 20-42 in their last 62 games overall.  New York is 35-77 in its last 112 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Mets are 9-25 in their last 34 games following a win.  Bet the Braves Sunday. 

20* Astros/Dodgers Interleague No-Brainer on Los Angeles -115 

The Los Angeles Dodgers lost Game 1 of this series to the Houston Astros.  This is a World Series rematch, so the Dodgers obviously will be highly motivated for revenge in Game 2 tonight.  I think they get a win thanks to their big advantage on the mound. 

Kenta Maeda is 6-6 with a 3.52 ERA in 18 starts this season with 116 K’s in 97 innings.  He has been at his best at home, where he’s 3-5 with a 3.22 ERA in 10 starts.  Maeda has the luxury of facing a banged-up Astros’ lineup that is missing Jose Altuve and Carlos Correa, while George Springer is nursing a shoulder injury but may play. 

Lance McCullers has really been victimized of late.  He is 0-3 with a 9.22 ERA and 1.903 WHIP in his last three starts, giving up 14 earned runs and 26 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.  McCullers has always had big home/road splits, and that has been the case again this season.  He has posted a 4.67 ERA in 11 road starts in 2018. 

McCullers is 0-6 (-8.7 units) when playing against a good team (winning 54% to 62%) over the last two seasons.  McCullers is 1-9 (-9.1 units) with a money line of +125 to -125 over the last two years.  Los Angeles is 8-1 in its last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Dodgers Saturday. 

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Seattle Mariners -165 

The Mariners have been in the playoffs for 2.5 months.  But after losing three straight, they now trail the A’s by a half-game for the AL’s final wild-card berth.  It’s safe to say they’ll be highly motivated for a victory tonight at home against the Toronto Blue Jays to try and turn things around. 

Marco Gonzales is just the man to get the job done.  He has been the most consistent starter for the Mariners this season.  He is 12-5 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 21 starts, including 3-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last three.  Gonzales is also 5-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.163 WHIP in 10 home starts this year. 

Toronto is stuck in no-man’s land at 49-59 on the season.  They are out of contention and will be doing nothing but playing spoiler the rest of the way.  Ryan Borucki has only made six starts this season.  He has been roughed up on the road, going 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.933 WHIP in three starts away from home. 

Gonzales is 9-0 (+9.2 units) against the money line after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last two outings this season.  The Blue Jays are 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win.  Toronto is 7-25 in its last 32 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Mariners are 6-0 in Gonzales’ last six home starts.  Seattle is 21-5 in its last 26 vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Mariners Friday. 

15* Bears/Ravens HOF Game No-Braner on Baltimore -2.5 

No analysis for preseason. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-130) 

The Washington Nationals are looking to make a serious push in August to chase down the NL East leaders. They have won five of their last seven and have scored a combined 30 runs in winning their last two games.  Now they get to host the lowly Cincinnati Reds for a four-game series and will be looking to take advantage. 

Ace Max Scherzer gets the ball for Game 1 tonight.  Scherzer is 14-5 with a 2.30 ERA and 0.901 WHIP in 22 starts this season with 200 K’s in 148 2/3 innings.  Scherzer owns the Reds, going 3-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in five career starts against them. 

Tyler Mahle is 7-8 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.519 WHIP in 21 starts for the Reds this season.  He has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 14.00 ERA and 2.889 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs, 5 homers and 26 base runners in 9 innings pitched. 

The Nationals are 50-20 in Scherzer’s last 70 starts, 18-6 in his last 24 home starts, and 9-1 in his last 10 starts during Game 1 of a series.  Washington is 6-1 in its last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Nationals are 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -156 

After losing the first two games of this series to the Brewers and three straight overall, the Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game highly motivated for a victory tonight.  That’s why I’ll lay the price with them as big home favorites Wednesday. 

It also helps that Rich Hill has been lights out in his last two starts, including one against Milwaukee.  Hill has gone 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in his last two starts, giving up just one earned run in 13 innings while striking out 17 batters.  Hill improved to 3-1 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in seven career starts against the Brewers in which his teams have gone 6-1. 

Chase Anderson is having a fine season for the Brewers at 7-7 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in 21 starts. However, Anderson has never been able to figure out the Dodgers.  He is 1-4 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 10 career starts against Los Angeles, and his teams have gone 3-7 in those outings. 

Plays on favorites of -150 or more (LA Dodgers) - starting a pitcher who gave up one or less earned runs in two straight outings, a cold hitting team batting .190 or worse in their last three games are 47-8 (85.5%, +33.5 units) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Dodgers Wednesday. 

25* Interleague TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Rangers/Diamondbacks OVER 9 

Oddsmakers have set the bar too low tonight in this contest between the Diamondbacks and Rangers.  The OVER is 9-3 in Rangers last 12 games overall, and they have combined with their opponents for 10 runs or more 10 times during this stretch. 

Bartolo Colon will get rocked tonight.  He is 5-9 with a 5.16 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.754 WHIP in his last three starts. 

Zack Godley hasn’t been much better, going 11-6 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  Walks have been Godley’s problem as he has 57 on the season, while home runs have been Colon’s problem as he has allowed 23 already. 

The Rangers have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven coming in.  The OVER is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last five games overall and they have combined for 9 or more runs four times while scoring at least 5 runs in all five games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -145 

Manny Machado finally gets to make his home debut for the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.  He’ll get a warm welcome here as the Dodgers get a home game for the first time since July 15th.  Look for them to take down the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. 

Kenta Maeda is having a great season.  He is 6-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 17 starts with 112 K’s in 92 2/3 innings.  He has posted a 2.76 ERA in nine home starts as well.  Maeda has owned the Brewers, going 2-1 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.985 WHIP In four career starts against them. 

Freddy Peralta was great through his first six starts this season.  But opponents are starting to catch on to him.  Peralta has gone 0-1 with a 9.31 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings to Washington and Miami. 

The Dodgers are 43-21 in their last 64 games overall.  Los Angeles is 6-0 in its last six home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Dodgers are 17-4 in their last 21 games following a loss.  Los Angeles is 13-6 in Maeda’s last 19 home starts.  Bet the Dodgers Monday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -115 

The Arizona Diamondbacks will sweep the San Diego Padres Sunday.  They have a big advantage on the mound in this one and are swinging a hot bat.  The Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in eight of their last nine games coming in. 

Clay Buchholz continues to lack the respect he deserves from oddsmakers today.  Buchholz is healthy for the first time, and it’s showing as he’s gone 3-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 0.802 WHIP in five road starts. 

Joey Lucchesi is a nice young starter for the Padres, but he’s no match for Buchholz.  He is 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.262 WHIP in nine home starts this year.  Lucchesi has lost both of his start against the Diamondbacks this season, going 0-2 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.258 WHIP. 

The Diamondbacks are 18-7 in their last 25 road games.  Arizona is 5-0 in its last five road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.  The Padres are 3-13 in their last 16 home games, and 8-27 in their last 35 games overall.  San Diego is 0-9 in its last nine during Game 3 of a series.  Bet the Diamondbacks Sunday. 

20* Cubs/Cards NL Central ANNIHILATOR on St. Louis -106 

The Cardinals have the advantage on the mound today over the Cubs and thus we are getting them at a good value at basically even money this afternoon.  Look for the Cards to take Game 2 of this series Saturday after winning Game 1 5-2 Friday. 

Miles Mikolas is 10-3 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in nine home starts.  Mikolas is also 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in two starts against the Cubs this season, giving up just 2 earned runs in 12 innings of work. 

Jose Quintana is having a solid season as well, but he hasn’t been nearly as effective at Mikolas.  Quintana is 9-6 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.376 WHIP in 19 starts this year.  He has given up 14 homers and 49 walks in 104 2/3 innings, while MIkolas has only allowed 8 homers and 22 walks in 124 1/3 innings. 

The Cubs are 2-8 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 6-2 in Mikolas’ last eight starts when working on 5 days’ rest.  The Cubs are 2-5 in their last seven meetings in St. Louis.  Bet the Cardinals Saturday.

20* Brewers/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco -118 

Getting ace Madison Bumgarner and the San Francisco Giants as this small of home favorites is a gift from oddsmakers tonight.  Look for the Giants to bounce back from a Game 1 loss to the Brewers behind Bumgarner Friday. 

Bumgarner is 3-3 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.230 WHIP in nine starts this season.  He has been dynamite at home, going 3-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in five starts.  The left-hander has also owned the Brewers, going 7-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in 10 career starts against them. 

Chase Anderson is having an average season at 6-7 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 20 starts for the Brewers this season.  Anderson certainly hasn’t enjoyed success against the Giants in the past, going 2-2 with a 5.68 ERA in five career starts against them. 

Anderson is 4-18 (-13.7 units) against the money line in road games after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in his last two outings in his career.  The Giants are 11-1 (+13.1 units) after having lost six or seven of their last eight games this season.  The Brewers are 1-6 in their last seven road games.  The Giants are 17-6 in the last 23 meetings, including 4-0 in Bumgarner’s last four starts against Milwaukee.  Bet the Giants Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A’s -130 

The Oakland A’s have delivered comeback victories for me each of the last two days.  They are as confident as they’ve been all season thanks to going 26-7 in their last 33 games overall.  That includes five straight victories, and they have now scored a combined 34 runs in winning each of the first three games of this series with Texas. 

The A’s should stay hot at the plate tonight against Texas’ Bartolo Colon.  The ageless wonder is starting to wear down.  He is 5-8 with a 4.99 ERA in 18 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 5.84 ERA in eight home starts.  He is also 0-3 with a 5.30 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

Trevor Cahill has performed very well for the A’s this season.  He is 1-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 10 starts.  Cahill has also owned the Rangers, going 10-4 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 18 career starts against them.  His teams are 14-4 in those games. 

The Rangers are 1-7 in their last eight games overall.  Texas is 21-47 in its last 68 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Rangers are 0-8 in their last eight after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Texas is 13-33 in its last 46 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The A’s are 6-1 in Cahill’s last seven road starts at Texas.  Bet the A’s Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A’s -115 

The Oakland A’s are on a tear right now.  They are 25-7 in their last 32 games overall and are threatening the Mariners for the final wild card spot.  They feel invincible right now, especially after coming back from a 10-2 deficit to win yesterday in extra for their fourth straight victory.  They have now scored 28 runs in two games against the Rangers in this series. 

Edwin Jackson is back from the grave and pitching remarkably well for the A’s thus far.  He has gone 1-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in five starts this season.  While I don’t expect he’ll be able to keep up that pace, he’s certainly the better starter in this matchup tonight. 

Martin Perez is one of the worst starters in baseball and has been for the last several years.  He is 2-4 with an 8.05 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 10.05 ERA and 2.303 WHIP in three home starts.  He has no chance of slowing down this red-hot A’s lineup.  Perez is 8-7 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 17 career starts against Oakland. 

The A’s are 23-8 in their last 31 road games.  Oakland is 10-2 when playing against a bad team winning 38% to 46% of their games this season.  The Rangers are 1-7 in their last eight home games.  Texas is 1-5 in Perez’s last six starts.  Bet the A’s Wednesday. 

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A’s -101 

The Oakland A’s are on an absolute tear right now and flying under the radar.  They have gone 24-7 in their last 31 games overall and are now in position to make a run at a playoff spot.  They are only 2.5 games back in the wild card at 58-43 on the season. 

Frankie Montas has pitched well for the A’s this season, going 5-2 with a 3.35 ERA in eight starts.  Montas has been at his best on the road, going 3-0 with a 2.66 ERA in four starts away from home. 

Mike Minor is 6-6 with a 4.89 ERA in 18 starts this season for the Rangers.  He has struggled a lot of late, going 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three starts. 

The A’s are 5-0 in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing record.  Oakland is 38-16 in its last 54 vs. a team with a losing record.  The A’s are 4-0 in Montas’ last four road starts.  Oakland is 4-0 in Montas’ last four starts vs. a team with a. Losing record.  The Rangers are 21-45 in their last 66 vs. a team with a winning record.  Texas is 1-6 in its last seven home games.  The Rangers are 0-5 in Minor’s last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the A’s Tuesday. 

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -115 

The Atlanta Braves find themselves in a battle with the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the NL East.  I like their focus the rest of the way as long as this race is so close.  And I certainly like backing them as a small favorite over the lowly Marlins in Game 1 of this series Monday considering they have the advantage on the mound. 

Left-hander Sean Newcomb is having a fine season.  He has gone 8-5 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in 19 starts this year.  Newcomb has owned the Marlins, going 2-1 with a 2.74 ERA in four career starts against them. 

Jose Urena is 2-9 with a 4.39 ERA in 19 starts this season.  He is still in search of his first home win, going 0-7 with a 4.26 ERA in 12 starts in Miami.  Urena is 2-4 with a 5.05 ERA in nine career starts against the Braves as well. 

Urena is 2-13 (-14 units) against the money line in home games vs. division opponents over the last three seasons.  The Braves are 4-0 in Newcomb’s last four starts vs. NL East opponents.  The Marlins are 3-10 in Urena’s last 13 home starts.  Miami is 0-4 in Urena’s last four home starts vs. Atlanta.  Bet the Braves Monday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -118 

The Dodgers have put themselves in position to win the NL West with a great run over the last few months.  Now they’ve added Manny Machado and are really a scary team moving forward.  The Brewers are starting to feel the pressure of trying to win the NL Central, going 1-7 in their last eight games overall. 

The Dodgers should be bigger favorites today considering their advantage on the mound.  Alex Wood is 5-5 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.173 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Wood is also 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in one career start against Milwaukee. 

Brent Suter is 7-6 with a 4.52 ERA in 17 starts his season for the Brewers.  He has been at his worst at home, going 4-3 with a 5.15 ERA in nine home starts.  He is also 0-2 with a 5.62 ERA in his last three starts this season. 

The Dodgers are 38-18 in their last 56 games overall.  Los Angeles is 15-3 in its last 18 games following a loss.  The Dodgers are 29-14 in Wood’s last 43 starts, including 7-1 in his last eight starts vs. NL Central opponents.  Bet the Dodgers Sunday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-105) 

I backed the Mariners with success on the Run Line yesterday and I’m back on them again Saturday.  It’s a team I knew would be motivated coming out of the All-Star Break after entering the break with four straight losses.  I look for them to win by two runs or more once again today against the lowly Chicago White Sox (33-63). 

The Mariners have a big advantage on the mound with Felix Hernandez.  The right-hander is 4-4 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in 10 home starts this season.  Hernandez is 7-6 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in 20 career starts against Chicago. 

Dylan Covey has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-5 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 14.73 ERA and 2.545 WHIP in his last three.  He’s also 1-4 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.793 WHIP in six road starts, and 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in one career start against Seattle. 

Seattle is 21-6 as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.  The White Sox are 1-12 in Covey’s last 13 road starts.  Chicago is 14-44 in its last 58 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Marines are 7-0 in Hernandez’s last seven starts vs. AL Central opponents.  Seattle is 4-0 in Hernandez’s last four starts against the White Sox, and 6-1 in his last seven home starts against them.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Saturday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (+105) 

The Seattle Mariners come out of the All-Star Break highly motivated for a victory.  They lost four straight on the road heading into the break to let the Astros distance themselves from them a bit in the AL West race.  Now they get to host the lowly White Sox to get back on track in this series, and I expect them to win Game 1 by two runs or more. 

Wade LeBlanc has been great for the Mariners this season.  He is 5-1 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 14 starts, including a perfect 5-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.891 WHIP in eight home starts.  LeBlanc has posted a 3.86 ERA in one career starts against Chicago. 

James Shields is 4-9 with a 4.38 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 6.02 ERA in seven road starts.  Shields has been awful in his last three starts against the Mariners, going 0-3 with an 11.04 ERA while allowing 18 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. 

LeBlanc is 9-0 in home games vs. AL teams with an on base percentage of .330 or worse over the last three seasons.  His teams are winning by 2.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  LeBlanc is 10-0 at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last three seasons, and his teams are winning by 2.2 runs per game.  The Mariners are 8-0 in LeBlanc’s eight home starts this season and winning by 2.2 runs per game.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Friday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers have battled to get to within 0.5 games of the Arizona Diamondbacks for first place in the NL West.  Look for them to win their final game before the All-Star Break over the Angels thanks to a huge advantage on the mound. 

Clayton Kershaw looks healthy and his numbers are showing it.  He is now 3-4 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.647 WHIP in his last three starts.  Kershaw is 6-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Angels. 

Deck McGuire is no more than a fill-in starter for the Angels.  And his two starts this season have not gone well as he’s 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.580 WHIP while averaging just 3.2 innings per start.  The Dodgers will get into the Angels’ bullpen early in this one. 

Kershaw is 35-5 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or less base runners per game over the last three seasons.  The Dodgers are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Angels are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.  The Dodgers are 14-3 in their last 17 games following a loss.  Los Angeles is 9-1 in Kershaw’s last 10 interleague starts.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -139 

The St. Louis Cardinals were embarrassed 9-1 at home by the Reds last night.  They will come back highly motivated for a win in Game 2 this afternoon, and they should get it due to their advantage on the mound. 

Jack Flaherty is having an outstanding rookie season.  He has gone 3-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 13 starts this year with 82 K’s in 70 innings. 

Luis Castillo is 5-8 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.403 WHIP in 19 starts for the Reds, including 2-5 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.567 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Castillo has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-3 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

The Reds are 1-4 in Castillo’s last five road starts, and 1-6 in his last seven Saturday starts.  St. Louis is 4-1 in its last five games following a loss.  The Cardinals are 17-5 in the last 22 meetings, and 35-17 in the last 52 meetings in St. Louis.  Bet the Cardinals Saturday. 

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -148 

The St. Louis Cardinals need this series against the Reds before the All-Star Break.  They need to try and keep pace with the Brewers and Cubs in the NL Central and cannot afford a series loss here.  It starts with Game 1 of this series against the lowly Cincinnati Reds tonight. 

The Cardinals have the clear advantage on the mound, which is why I’m willing to lay this kind of juice.  Carlos Martinez is 6-4 with a 3.05 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.38 ERA in eight home starts.  Martinez is also 5-3 with a 3.78 ERA in 11 career starts against Cincinnati. 

Matt Harvey is 4-5 with a 4.37 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 5.21 ERA in nine road starts.  Have gave up 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings of a 6-7 loss to the Cardinals in his only start against them this season on June 8th. 

The Reds are 1-4 in Harvey’s last five road starts.  The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last four games following a loss.  St. Louis is 7-3 in Martinez’s last 10 home starts.  The Cardinals are 34-16 in Martinez’s last 50 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Reds are 4-17 in the last 21 meetings.  St. Louis is 8-3 in Martinez’s last 11 starts vs. Cincinnati.  Bet the Cardinals Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-111) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers should have no problem beating the San Diego Padres by two runs or more tonight.  The Dodgers have been playing well for weeks now and are just 0.5 games behind the Diamondbacks for first place in the NL West.  They’re looking to close strong before the All-Star Break. 

Los Angeles starter Ross Stripling has earned his way onto the All-Star team.  He is 7-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 86 K’s in 74 innings.  Stripling has been dominant in his two starts against San Diego, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA while pitching 10 2/3 innings with 15 K’s without allowing an earned run. 

Tyson Ross is really faltering of late.  He has gone 0-2 with a 19.29 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 innings.  Ross was awful in his last start against the Dodgers giving up 8 runs and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 15-0 loss. 

San Diego is 6-20 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.  It is losing by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Dodgers are 12-2 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Los Angeles is 8-2 in Stripling’s last 10 starts overall.  The Padres are 1-7 in Ross’ last eight starts against the Dodgers, including 0-4 in his last four home starts against them.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado Rockies -122 

The Colorado Rockies need to start piling up wins if they want to hang with the Diamondbacks and Dodgers in the NL West race.  They lost Game 1 of this series to the Diamondbacks, but I expect them to bounce back with a victory in Game 2 at home tonight. 

Shelby Miller has been one of the worst starters in baseball since joining the Diamondbacks.  He is off to a shaky start since returning from injury this season, going 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.786 WHIP in three starts.  Those three have come against the Padres, Giants and Marlins, three of the worst lineups in the National League. 

German Marquez hasn’t been great at 7-8 with a 5.01 ERA in 18 starts.  But he has pitched well of late, going 2-1 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is clearly the better starter in this matchup.   

Miller is 2-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.580 WHIP in nine career starts against Colorado.  He has allowed 16 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rockies.  The Diamondbacks are 2-10 in Miller’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Rockies Wednesday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+104) 

I had the Indians on the Run Line yesterday in one of the sickest beats I’ve taken all season.  They were up 4-0 going into the 9th and lost 7-4.  Now the Indians have lost four straight, and they are looking to avoid the sweep at the hands of in-state rival Cincinnati.  Look for them to be playing with an extra chip on their shoulder tonight. 

Carlos Carrasco has some of the best stuff in baseball.  He has gone 9-5 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  The Indians are 4-0 in Carrasco’s four career starts against the Reds, having never lost, and winning three of them by 2 runs or more. 

Tyler Mahle has been respectable for the Reds this season at 7-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.393 WHIP in 18 starts.  But he’ll be up against it here against a motivated Indians lineup that will continue to pour it on after letting off the gas yesterday after taking a quick 4-0 lead. 

The Reds are 2-8 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Indians are 40-12 in their last 52 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Cleveland is 5-0 in its last five after losing the first two games of a series.  The Indians are 15-3 off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  Cleveland is 9-1 in Carrasco’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Indians on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-165) 

The Boston Red Sox have such a big advantage on the mound tonight that it’s worth laying the juice with them on the Run Line.  They should have no problem winning by two runs or more.  The Red Sox are 8-0 in their last eight games overall with seven of those wins coming by 3 runs or more. 

Ace Chris Sale gets the ball Wednesday.  He is 9-4 with a 2.36 ERA and 0.893 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA and 0.650 WHIP in his last three starts.  Sale is 6-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in nine career starts against Texas.  Better yet, Sale is 3-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last three starts against the Rangers, allowing just 4 earned runs in 29 1/3 innings. 

The 45-year-old Bartolo Colon is overmatched here.  He is 5-6 with a 4.80 ERA in 16 starts this season.  Colon is 9-12 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in 32 career starts against Boston.  He allowed 4 homers in 7 innings in his last start against the Red Sox on May 4th of this season, a 1-5 loss. 

The Rangers are 20-41 in their last 61 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Red Sox are 51-18 in their last 69 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Boston is 10-1 in Sale’s last 11 starts during Game 3 of a series.  The Red Sox are 5-0 in their last five meetings with the Rangers.  Boston is 6-0 in its last six home meetings with Texas.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. 

25* Interleague GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-115) 

The Cleveland Indians will be highly motivated for a victory Tuesday after losing three straight games coming in, including their 6-0 shutout loss to the Reds yesterday.  But due to the massive advantage the Indians have on the mound tonight, they should have no problem getting revenge and beating the Reds by two runs or more to cover the Run Line. 

Trevor Bauer has been outstanding this season.  He has gone 8-6 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.088 WHIP in 18 starts, 4-1 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in eight home starts, and 2-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in his last three outings.  He has 156 K’s in 121 1/3 innings this season.  Bauer has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in his two career home starts against the Reds for a 2.08 ERA. 

Sal Romano has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season for the Reds.  He is 5-8 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in 18 starts, 1-4 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.585 WHIP in seven road starts, and 1-1 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in his last three outings. 

Cleveland is 15-2 off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  It is coming back to win by 3.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Reds are 16-43 in their last 59 interleague road games.  The Indians are 6-1 in Bauer’s last seven home starts.  Cleveland is 40-11 in its last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-150) 

The Los Angeles Dodgers should make easy work of the San Diego Padres tonight and win this game by two runs or more.  They are focused as they approach the All-Star Break to try and grab first place in the NL West, while the Padres are just going through the motions right now. 

The Dodgers have a massive advantage on the mound tonight behind Clayton Kershaw, who is 2-4 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Kershaw is 17-6 with a 1.94 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in 32 career starts against San Diego.  Kershaw has allowed one earned run or fewer in 11 of his last 12 starts against the Padres, which is absolutely remarkable. 

Luis Perdomo is 1-2 with a 6.86 ERA and 2.186 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-2 with a 15.43 ERA and 3.286 HWIP in two home starts.  Perdomo is also 1-4 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.692 WHIP in five career starts against the Dodgers.  He gave up 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 3 innings in his only start against the Dodgers this season back on April 18th. 

Kershaw is 34-5 against teams that strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last two seasons.  The Dodgers are winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  San Diego is 5-18 as a home dog of +100 or more this season, losing by 3.3 runs per game on average.  Los Angeles is 46-11 in Kershaw’s last 57 starts vs. NL West opponents, including 5-0 in his last five starts in San Diego.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) 

The Houston Astros have won six straight to improve to 61-31 on the season and get a little breathing room on the Seattle Mariners atop the AL West standings.  Look for them to win their seventh straight game tonight, and to do so by two runs or more. 

Gerrit Cole is having the best season of his career.  He has gone 9-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 18 starts this season with 158 K’s in 116 2/3 innings.  The Astros are 15-3 in those starts.  Cole is also 2-1 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in four career starts against Oakland.  The Astros are 3-0 in Cole’s three starts against the A’s this season alone, winning by 4, 3 and 8 runs. 

Frankie Montas is 4-2 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in seven starts for the A’s this season, but 0-1 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts, giving up 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 2/3 innings to the Tigers and Indians.  Montas’ worst start this season came against the Astros on June 14th when he allowed 7 runs and 15 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 3-7 loss. 

Cole is 20-3 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 3.2 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Monday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-101) 

The Boston Red Sox are 6-0 in their last six games overall to improve to 62-29 on the season.  They should have no problem beating the Rangers to two runs or more today.  They have scored a combined 46 runs in their last five games for an average of 9.2 runs per game. 

They should stay hot at the plate tonight against Texas’ Mike Minor.  The left-hander has been awful on the road this season, going 2-2 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in six starts away from home.  It won’t get any easier for Minor at Fenway Park tonight. 

Eduardo Rodriquez has been a huge asset to Boston’s rotation this season.  The left-hander has gone 10-3 with a 3.84 ERA and 1.259 WHIP in 17 starts with 100K’s in 93 2/3 innings.  He is 1-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 0.805 WHIP in two career starts against Texas. 

Rodriquez is 17-2 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons.  The Red Sox are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average in this spot.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Monday. 

15* Cards/Giants NL No-Brainer on San Francisco -119 

Rarely will you get the opportunity to back Madison Bumgarner as this small of a home favorite for the Giants.  We’ll take advantage Sunday and back the Giants to even this series with the Cardinals with a victory in Game 4 today. 

Bumgarner has shown no signs of rust since returning from a freak injury that sidelined him for a couple months to start the season.  The left-hander is 1-3 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in six starts this year, including 1-1 with a 0.86 ERA and 0.810 WHIP in three home starts. 

Jack Flaherty is having a solid season for the Cardinals.  However, he’s up against a Giants team that tagged him for 5 earned runs in 4 innings in his only career start against them last year.  And Flaherty has struggled in his last two starts coming in, giving up 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings in losses to Arizona and Cleveland. 

The Giants are 10-1 in their last 11 Sunday games.  San Francisco is 12-3 in its last 15 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Roll with the Giants Sunday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+103) 

The players’ only meeting has really made a big difference for the Nationals.  They are 3-0 since, and their offense has exploded by 35 combined runs in the three wins, including 18 yesterday.  They should beat the Marlins by two runs or more once again Sunday. 

Tanner Roark is 3-9 with a 4.44 ERA in 17 starts this season.  I expect him to have a great start here against the Marlins.  He has given up just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against Miami for a 2.08 ERA. 

Trevor Richards has been awful this season.  He is 2-5 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 11 starts, and 1-3 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.725 WHIP in six road starts.  He is in line to get rocked by this hot Nats’ lineup today. 

The Marlins are 20-42 in their last 62 road games.  Miami is 1-7 in its last eight Sunday games.  The Marlins are 3-14 in their last 17 during Game 4 of a series.  The Nationals are 5-1 in Roark’s last six home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Washington is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings, including 4-1 in Roark’s last five starts against Miami.  Take the Nationals Sunday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+110) 

The Cleveland Indians had won five straight while scoring at least 6 runs in four of those wins prior to a 3-6 upset loss to the Indians yesterday.  They’ll bounce back with a victory Sunday by two runs or more. 

Shane Bieber has had an excellent start to his rookie season.  He is 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA in five starts, 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA in two home starts, and 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

Brett Anderson is one of the worst starters in baseball.  It’s amazing he has even made the rotation for the A’s.  Anderson is 0-2 with a 7.63 ERA and 2.022 WHIP in four starts this season. 

Cleveland is 19-3 in home games vs. teams who average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Indians are 5-0 in Bieber’s last five starts.  Bet the Indians on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-155) 

The Houston Astros will have no problem winning by two runs or more Saturday against the Chicago White Sox.  They have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate in this one. 

Charlie Morton is 10-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  He is also 7-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 10 home starts, and 2-1 with a 0.92 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last three starts.  Morton is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in one career start against Chicago. 

James Shields id 3-8 with a 4.06 ERA in 18 starts for the White Sox this season, including 1-3 with a 5.02 ERA in six road starts.  Shields faced the Astros on April 20th this season, giving up 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 10-0 loss. 

Houston is 28-5 vs. teams who are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game this season.  It is winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Shields is 9-38 as a dog of +150 or more in his career.  His teams are losing by 2.7 runs per game on average.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Saturday. 

15* Cards/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco -115 

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost four straight coming in, including last night’s embarrassing 2-11 loss to the Cardinals.  Look for them to respond in a big way with a victory in Game 2 Friday. 

Dereck Rodriquez has been impressive this season for the Giants.  He is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA in six starts, 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA in three home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

John Gant is overmatched in this one.  He is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA in five starts this season, including 0-1 with a 5.07 ERA in his lone road start. 

The Giants are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  San Francisco is 4-0 in Rodriquez’s last four starts.  The Cardinals are 1-6 in Gant’s last seven starts.  Take the Giants Friday. 

15* Dodgers/Angels Interleague No-Brainer on Los Angeles Dodgers -120 

The Los Angeles Dodgers are now in a first place tie with the Arizona Diamondbacks atop the NL West.  They looked dead in the water about a month ago, but have ridden a big month of June and have a ton of momentum right now.  Look for them to dispose of the Angels in Game 1 of this series tonight. 

I like the fact that the Dodgers had yesterday off, while the Angels played in Seattle, so they are the fresher team.  The Dodgers also have the advantage on the mound with Kenta Maeda, who is 5-5 with a 3.40 ERA in 14 starts this season.  Made pitched 7 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory in his last start against the Angels last season. 

The Angels will go with Felix Pena, who is 1-0 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in three starts this season.  But he’s only averaging 4.8 innings per start and has faced an easy schedule of opposing teams in his limited action.  He will get rocked by the Dodgers tonight. 

The Dodgers have scored a combined 37 runs in winning each of their last four games.  The Angels are just 3-9 in their last 12 games overall.  The Angels are 3-12 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Dodgers are 5-1 in Maeda’s last six interleague starts.  The Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Dodgers are 11-1 in their last 12 during Game 1 of a series.  Roll with the Dodgers Friday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+100) 

The players’ only meeting on Wednesday clearly helped this team.  They could have given up down 9-0 yesterday to the Marlins, but fought back with 14 unanswered runs and a 14-12 victory.  I think this will be a great team to back in the immediate future, and I’ll continue to do so tonight. 

The Nationals have a big advantage on the mound behind Gio Gonzalez.  The left-hander is 6-5 with a 3.77 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.02 ERA in eight home starts.  Gonzalez owns the Marlins, going 10-3 with a 1.85 ERA and 1.046 WHIP in 16 career starts against them. 

Dan Straily is 3-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA in his last three.  Straily has never beaten the Nationals, going 0-1 with a 4.03 ERA in five career starts against them. 

Gonzalez is 41-15 in home games vs. poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR’s/game in his career.  His teams are winning by 1.8 runs per game on average.  Miami is 3-16 in its last 19 road games after scoring 8 runs or more.  It is losing by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Marlins are 1-6 in Straily’s last seven starts.  Washington is 43-16 in its last 59 home meetings with Miami, including 6-1 in Gonzalez’s last seven home starts against them.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Friday. 

20* NL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Nationals -1.5 (+110) 

The Washington Nationals just had a players’ only meeting yesterday after getting swept by the Red Sox to fall to 42-43 on the season.  They have now lost eight of their last nine games overall.  I expect them to respond in a big way in Game 1 of this series with the Miami Marlins Thursday. 

Jeremy Hellickson has been awesome for the Nationals this season.  He has gone 2-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 10 starts, including 0-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in three home starts.  Hellickson is also 4-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Marlins. 

Pablo Lopez will be making just the second start of his career for the Marlins.  He pitched well in his major league debut, giving up two runs in six innings against the Mets on Saturday.  But the Nationals are a different animal, and he will have his work cut out for him tonight. 

The Nationals are 5-2 in Hellickson’s last seven starts.  The Marlins are 5-22 in their last 27 Thursday games. Washington is 42-16 in its last 58 home meetings with Miami.  The Nationals are 19-7 in the last 26 meetings overall.  Bet the Nationals on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* AL West GAME OF THE WEEK on Houston Astros -155 

The Houston Astros should take care of business tonight against the Texas Rangers.  The Astros are now 31-14 on the road this season and scoring 5.7 runs per game away from home.  They are worth laying the heavier juice here today. 

Gerrit Cole is 9-2 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 17 starts this season with 151 K’s in 111 2/3 innings.  Cole is 4-0 against the money line in four career starts against Texas.  He has given up just 4 earned runs in 27 innings with 42 K’s for a 1.33 ERA. 

Mike Minor is 6-4 with a 4.64 ERA in 15 starts for Texas this season.  Minor has never beaten the Astros, going 0-2 with a 5.35 ERA in six career starts against them. 

Houston is 13-0 in road games vs. teams who are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game this season.  The Astros are 14-3 in Cole’s 17 starts this season.  The Rangers are 0-5 in their last five vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The Astros are 7-0 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Astros Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-119) 

After losing three straight to the Rays over the weekend, the Astros now have just a half-game lead on the Seattle Mariners in the AL West.  They’ll be highly motivated for a victory to get back on track in Game 1 of this series against the Texas Rangers Tuesday. 

Dallas Keuchel hasn’t been at his best this season, but he’s still been solid with a 4.22 ERA in 17 starts, a 3.54 ERA in nine road starts, and a 3.12 ERA in his last three.  Keuchel has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last eight starts against the Rangers. 

Austin Bibens-Dirkxx is 1-1 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in four starts this season.  But he has faced some suspect lineups in the Royals (twice), Padres and Mariners.  This is by far his stiffest test of the season tonight against an Astros team that is 30-14 on the road and scoring 5.7 runs per game away from home. 

Houston is 12-0 in road games vs. teams who are outscored by their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game this season.  It is winning these games by 5.2 runs per game on average.  The Astros are 18-3 on the road against division opponents this season, winning by 3.5 runs per game.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line. 

20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants -104 

The San Francisco Giants just swept the Arizona Diamondbacks on the road.  They are now making their move up the NL West standings, and they have a healthy, effective Madison Bumgarner back at the top of the rotation. 

Bumgarner gets the ball against the Rockies tonight.  He has gone 1-2 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in five starts this season.  He has been brilliant in his last two starts, pitching 15 shutout innings while allowing only 9 base runners and striking out 16 against the Rockies and Padres.  Bumgarner is 12-7 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.207 WHIP in 27 career starts against Colorado. 

Kyle Freeland has been the best starter for Colorado this season, going 7-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.220 WHIP in 16 starts.  But he’s really no match for Bumgarner in this one.  I just think with all the momentum the Giants have and their ace on the mound they are a steal at this price of nearly even money. 

The Giants are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.  San Francisco is 4-0 in its last four road games.  The Rockies are 3-10 in their last 13 vs. NL West opponents.  Colorado is 4-10 in its last 14 home games.  The Rockies are 1-5 in Freeland’s last six starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Giants are 6-2 in Bumgarner’s last eight starts vs. Colorado.  Bet the Giants Monday. 

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Indians -122 

The Cleveland Indians will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  They have lost each of the first two games of this series to the A’s and want to avoid a sweep with a Game 3 win this afternoon. 

The Indians have the clear advantage on the mound behind the underrated Mike Clevinger.  All he’s done is dominate the past two seasons for the Indians.  Clevinger is 6-3 with a 3.03 ERA in 16 starts this season, 3-2 with a 2.39 ERA in eight road starts, and 2-1 with a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts overall. 

Frankie Montas pitched well in his first few starts for the A’s.  However, reality has set in of late, and Months is 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 2.267 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and a whopping 34 base runners over 15 innings in this stretch. 

Cleveland is 53-17 after having lost four or five of its last six games over the past three seasons.  The Indians are 35-17 in their last 52 during Game 3 of a series.  Cleveland is 5-1 in Clevinger’s last six starts during Game 3 of a series.  Bet the Indians Sunday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-110) 

The Houston Astros will bounce back from a rare loss to the Tampa Bay Rays yesterday.  The Astros are 18-4 in their last 22 games overall, including a perfect 4-0 in their last four games following a loss during this stretch. 

Ace Justin Verlander gets the ball for the Astros today.  Verlander is 9-3 with a 1.82 ERA and 0.809 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 7-1 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in eight road starts.  The right-hander is also 8-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in 17 career starts against Tampa Bay. 

Ryne Stanek is being used as a starter despite the fact that he’s a reliever for the Rays.  I just don’t trust this strategy that Tampa Bay is employing.  The Astros can’t be held down for long, and after being limited offensively the past two days, look for them to bust out in a big way today. 

Houston is 30-12 on the road this season and scoring 5.9 runs per game.  The Astros are 17-3 on the road this season after two straight games allowing 3 or fewer runs.  Houston is 6-0 in its last six during Game 3 of a series.  The Astros are 15-3 in their last 18 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Rays are 1-4 in Stanek’s last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Saturday. 

20* Rockies/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5 

The Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers are both coming off big run totals last night.  The Rockies and Giants combined for 17 runs, while the Dodgers and Cubs combined for 16.  In fact, the OVER is 5-1 in Dodgers last six games as they have combined for 11 or more runs with their opponents five times. 

Tyler Anderson is 4-3 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in 16 starts this season for the Rockies.  Anderson certainly doesn’t enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 2-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.594 WHIP in eight career starts against them.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Los Angeles. 

Rich Hill has battled injury and poor performance once again this season.  He is 1-2 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.514 WHIP in eight starts, including 1-2 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.742 WHIP in four home starts.  Hill has never beaten the Rockies, going 0-3 with a 7.52 ERA and 1.721 WHIP in four career starts against them. 

Hill is a perfect 7-0 OVER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse this season.  Colorado is 7-0 OVER in road games after having lost four of their last five games this season.  The OVER is 5-0 in Anderson’s last five road starts.  The OVER is 5-0 in Anderson’s last five road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 4-0 in Hill’s last four home starts.  The OVER is 6-0 in Hill’s last six starts vs. NL West opponents.  These six trends combine for a perfect 36-0 system backing the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Phillies -122 

The Philadelphia Phillies should be much bigger favorites over the Washington Nationals today.  They have a big advantage on the mound in this one. 

Ace Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies.  He has gone 9-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including a perfect 6-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.910 WHIP in seven home starts.  Nola has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last three starts against Washington. 

Tanner Roark is 3-7 with a 4.09 ERA in 15 starts this season.  He has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.024 WHIP in his last three starts.  Roark is also 1-3 with a 7.62 ERA in his last five starts against Philadelphia, allowing 22 earned runs in 26 innings. 

The Nationals are 0-5 in their last five road games.  The Phillies are 7-0 in Nola’s seven home starts this season.  Washington is 3-8 in Roark’s last 11 road starts.  Bet the Phillies Thursday. 

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +110 

The Mets should not be favored over the Pirates today.  They are 1-7 in their last eight games overall with their lone win coming last night in extra innings.  I expect their celebration to be short-lived tonight. 

Pittsburgh has the clear advantage on the mound behind Ivan Nova, who is 4-5 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.229 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Nova has been lights out of late, going 2-0 with a 0.92 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in his last three starts, which have come against Arizona, Cincinnati and the Cubs.  Nova has never lost to the Mets, going 1-0 (3-0 money line) with a 3.11 ERA in three career starts against them. 

Zack Wheeler is just 2-6 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in 14 starts for the Mets this season.  He has yet to win at home, going 0-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in seven starts at Citi Field.  Wheeler is 0-0 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in one career start against Pittsburgh. 

The Mets are 0-7 in Wheeler’s last seven home starts.  New York is 1-9 in Wheeler’s last 10 starts overall.  The Mets are 15-36 in their last 51 games.  The Pirates are 6-0 in their last six Wednesday games.  Take the Pirates Wednesday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -109 

The Seattle Mariners need to be bigger favorites against the Baltimore Orioles today.  The Mariners are 49-31 on the season, while the Orioles are 23-55.  Not only that, the Mariners have a huge advantage on the mound tonight. 

Wade LeBlanc still hasn’t suffered a loss in 10 starts this season, going 3-0 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.158 WHIP.  LeBlanc has never lost to the Orioles, going 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in two career starts against them. 

Alex Cobb has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-9 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.628 WHIP in 13 starts.  Cobb is also 2-4 with a 6.81 ERA and 1.626 WHIP in seven career starts against the Mariners.  He has allowed 16 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Seattle. 

Cobb is 0-8 (-8.8 units) vs. an AL team with a batting average of .265 or worse this season.  Baltimore is 0-11 vs. AL West opponents this season.  The Mariners are 7-0 in LeBlanc’s last seven starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Orioles are 0-4 in Cobb’s last four home starts.  These four trends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing Seattle tonight.  Bet the the Mariners Wednesday. 

15* Reds/Braves NL Early ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta -138 

The Atlanta Braves will bounce back from an upset loss to the Cincinnati Reds yesterday.  The Braves have a big advantage on the mound in this one, and the Reds are now getting too much respect from the books after winning eight of their last nine coming in. 

Sean Newcomb has been an ace for the Braves this season.  He has gone 8-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in 15 starts.  Newcomb has never lost to the Reds, going 1-0 with a 3.27 ERA in two career starts against them, and the Braves went 2-0 in those games. 

Luis Castillo has been a big disappointment for the Reds this season.  He is 5-8 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.398 WHIP in 16 starts, including 2-5 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.511 WHIP in nine road starts.  Castillo is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in one career start against Atlanta. 

The Reds are 15-36 in their last 51 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Cincinnati is 1-4 in Castillo’s last five starts.  Atlanta is 11-3 in its last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Braves are 25-9 in their last 34 games following a loss.  Atlanta is 8-3 in Newcomb’s last 11 starts.  Bet the Braves Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -154 

The Reds are getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to their recent shocking 7-game winning streak, which included a 4-game sweep of the Cubs for the first time since 1983.  They were clearly going to have a letdown in this series with the Braves, and they lost Game 1 yesterday.  I look for the Braves to take Game 2 as well thanks to their huge advantage on the mound. 

Anibal Sanchez has stepped into the rotation and done a tremendous job thus far.  Sanchez is 3-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in three home starts.  Sanchez is also 2-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in four career starts against Cincinnati. 

Matt Harvey got traded to the Reds this season and hasn’t been on his game.  Harvey is 2-5 with a 5.20 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 0-4 with a 6.29 ERA in seven road starts.  Harvey is also 3-7 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.349 WHIP in 12 career starts against Atlanta.  He gave up 6 runs in 6 innings of a 4-12 loss at Atlanta in his only start against them this season. 

Cincinnati is 3-15 off a game where its bullpen blew a save over the last two seasons.  The Reds are 50-109 in their last 159 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Braves are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Atlanta is 5-1 in Sanchez’s last six starts.  Bet the Braves Tuesday. 

20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -147 

The Atlanta Braves will put a halt to the Reds’ surprising 7-game winning streak tonight.  The Reds are in a massive letdown spot here after sweeping the Cubs in a four-game series for the first time since 1983 over the weekend. 

Mike Foltynewicz will be excited to be back on the mound after a brief stint on the 10-day disabled list.  He is having a monster season, going 5-4 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.139 WHIP with 94 K’s in 79 innings.  Folty is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA in four career starts against Cincinnati. 

Tyler Mahle is having a decent season for the Reds.  He is 6-6 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.383 WHIP in 15 starts this year.  But he’s no match for Foltynewicz, who has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 13 of his 14 starts this season, including one or fewer in six of his last seven. 

Atlanta is 9-1 after having lost three of its last four games this season.  The Braves are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Braves Monday. 

20* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +105 

The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost four straight, including the first three games of this series to the Arizona Diamondbacks.  They will be highly motivated for a win Sunday to avoid the sweep and salvage the series with a victory in Game 4 this afternoon. 

Trevor Williams has been solid all season for the Pirates.  He is 6-4 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in 15 starts, including 4-2 with a 3.65 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in eight home starts.  Williams has fared very well in three career starts against Arizona, going 1-1 wth a 3.21 ERA and 1.214 WHIP. 

Clay Buchholz is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he’s done in limited action this season.  Most of his six starts have come against terrible lineups.  Buchholz is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in two career starts against Arizona.  He gave up 6 runs, 2 earned, and 9 base runners in 4 innings against the Pirates on June 12th this season. 

The Pirates are 8-2 in Williams’ last 10 starts when working on 5 days’ rest.  Buchholz is 5-15 (-12.3 units) against the money line in the first half of the season over the last two seasons.  Bet the Pirates Sunday. 

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -106 

The Atlanta Braves are showing great value as a small home favorite over the lowly Baltimore Orioles today.  Julio Teheran should be able to take down Dylan Bundy in this matchup. 

The Orioles are 13-42 in their last 55 road games.  Baltimore is 0-5 in Bundy’s last five starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record. 

The Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Atlanta is 24-8 in its last 32 games following a loss.  The Braves are 7-1 in Teheran’s last eight home starts.  Bet the Braves Saturday. 

20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants -132 

We are getting the San Francisco Giants at a nice value as small home favorites against the lowly San Diego Padres tonight.  They have the advantage on the mound in this one and should win with ease. 

Chris Stratton is 8-4 with a 4.22 ERA in 15 starts this season.  He has given up just 3 earned runs in 13 innings over last last two starts.  Stratton is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in two career starts against San Diego, firing 13 2/3 shutout innings. 

Clayton Richard is 6-6 with a 4.31 ERA in 15 starts for the Padres, including 4-3 with a 4.91 ERA in seven road starts.  Richard is 6-8 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 19 career starts against San Francisco.  In his last last five starts against the Giants, Richard is 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA, giving up 20 earned runs in 26 innings. 

Stratton is 7-0 (+8.4 units) against the money line vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game this season.  The Giants are 11-1 in Stratton’s last 12 home starts.  San Francisco is 10-2 in its last 12 home games.  The Padres are 0-5 in their last five games overall.  Bet the Giants Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -119

The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a victory here Thursday afternoon.  They have lost the first two games of this series to the Twins and certainly want to avoid getting swept today. 

Rick Porcello is having another fine season at 8-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 15 starts.  Porcello is 10-10 with a 3.90 ERA in 29 career starts against the Twins. 

Kyle Gibson has been much better on the road than he’s been at home this season.  Gibson has yet to win at home, going 0-3 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in seven starts.  He has given up 5 runs in two of his last three starts against the Red Sox. 

Boston is 14-4 as a road favorite of -100 to -150 this season.  The Red Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Boston is 41-16 in its last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Twins are 1-4 in Gibson’s last five home starts.  Bet the Red Sox Thursday. 

20* Mets/Rockies MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado -102 

The Colorado Rockies are showing great value at basically even money at home tonight against the New York Mets.  It’s rare that you get to back them at home at this price, especially against a team as poor as the 31-39 Mets. 

Chad Bettis is 5-1 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Bettis has been dominant in three career starts against the Mets, giving up just 5 earned runs in 18 innings for a 2.50 ERA. 

Seth Lugo is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for what he has done in limited starts this season.  He has only made three starts while compiling a 3.00 ERA.  But this is a different animal in Colorado at hitter-friendly Coors Field. 

The Mets are 2-10 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.  New York is 7-20 in its last 27 games overall.  The Mets are 1-5 in Lugo’s last six road starts.  The Rockies are 14-3 in Bettis’ last 17 starts vs. NL East opponents.  New York is 1-5 in the last six meetings.  Bet the Rockies Wednesday. 

15* Tigers/Reds MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Tigers +122 

The Detroit Tigers have been one of the most profitable teams in baseball because little was expected of them coming into the season.  But here they are at 36-38 and in the thick of the AL Central race.  I’ll gladly fade the Reds, who are just 27-45 on the season and should not be favored here. 

Michael Fulmer has been a steady performer in Detroit’s rotation over the past few seasons.  He is 3-5 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 14 starts this season, but 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA in his last two, allowing just 2 earned runs in 14 innings. 

The Tigers are 5-1 in their last six games overall.  Detroit is 10-0 in its last 10 Wednesday games.  The Reds are 12-29 in their last 41 home games.  Cincinnati is 22-49 in its last 71 interleague games.  Take the Tigers Wednesday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on Detroit Tigers +120 

The Detroit Tigers have been one of the most underrated teams in the big leagues this season.  They have gone 36-37 when they weren’t expected to do anything this year.  Ron Gardenhire is working his magic with this team just as he did with the Twins before. 

The Tigers certainly shouldn’t be underdogs to the Reds today when you consider their huge advantage on the mound.  Matt Boyd is 4-4 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in 13 starts for the Tigers this season. 

Sal Romano is no match for Boyd.  Romano is 3-7 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in 14 starts this year.  And the Reds are one of the worst teams in baseball at 26-45 overall and 11-23 at home. 

The Tigers are 5-0 in their last five games overall.  Detroit is 6-1 in its last seven games following an off day.  The Tigers are 4-0 in Boyd’s last four starts.  The Reds are 3-13 in Romano’s last 16 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Cincinnati is 21-49 in its last 70 interleague games. The Reds are 11-29 in their last 40 home games.  Bet the Tigers Tuesday. 

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Houston Astros are absolutely on fire right now.  They are 11-0 in their last 11 games overall while winning nine of those by two runs or more.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of the 11 games, and 7 or more eight times.  They’ll stay motivated to keep this winning streak alive tonight against the Rays. 

Gerrit Cole has been awesome this season.  He has gone 8-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in 14 starts with 130 K’s in 93 2/3 innings.  Houston pitching coaches have worked magic on this entire staff, and Cole has been perhaps the biggest beneficiary. 

The Rays continue to deploy relievers as starters in their experiment.  It’s not really working.  Ryan Stanek will get the ball tonight and he has posted a 6.77 ERA in his two road starts.  He’s only averaging 1.5 innings per start. 

The Rays are 1-9 in their last 10 road games.  Tampa Bay is 0-8 in its last eight road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rays are 2-11 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.  The Astros are 22-5 in their last 27 home gams vs. a team with a losing road record.  Houston is 12-2 in Cole’s last 14 starts.   

Cole is 11-0 in June road games in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  Cole is 17-2 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons, and his teams are also winning by 3.5 runs per game in this situation.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Monday. 

20* Cubs/Cardinals ESPN No-Brainer on St. Louis +116 

The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory tonight against the rival Chicago Cubs.  They have lost the first two games of this series to the Cubs and certainly want revenge to avoid the sweep in Game 3 tonight. 

Jack Flaherty has been impressive this season for the Cardinals.  He has gone 3-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.095 WHIP in eight starts with 48 K’s in 45 2/3 innings.  He will be facing the Cubs for the first time, and that element of surprise will be to his advantage. 

Jose Quintana isn’t having a great season for the Cubs.  He is 6-4 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.337 WHIP in 13 starts.  Quintana has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his last three starts against the Cardinals, all of which have come over the last two seasons. 

The Cubs are 3-10 (-11.1 units) off two straight road wins over a division opponents over the last two seasons.  St. Louis is 24-9 (+14.8 units) off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  The Cardinals are 35-16 in their last 51 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday. 

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh Pirates -109 

We are getting the Pittsburgh Pirates at a great value at nearly even money at home today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds.  The Reds are just 25-44 on the season and getting way too much respect from oddsmakers today. 

Ivan Nova is clearly the betting starter in this matchup.  He has been at his best at home, posting a 3.96 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in four starts this season.  Nova is 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA in his last three home starts against Cincinnati. 

Luis Castillo has been a big disappointment for the Reds this season.  He has gone 4-7 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.424 WHIP in 14 starts, including 2-4 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in eight road starts.  Castillo hasn’t been getting any better of late, going 0-3 with a 7.47 ERA in his last three starts. 

Nova is 48-23 (+19.5 units) as a favorite of -100 to -150 in his career.  The Reds are 22-55 after scoring 2 rinser less n their previous game.  The Pirates are 14-6 in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Pittsburgh is 7-0 in Nova’s last seven starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The Pirates are 6-1 in their last seven home meetings with the Reds.  Bet the Pirates Saturday. 

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-130) 

The Houston Astros have won eight straight games coming into this one.  They are on fire at the plate, scoring 5 or more runs in seven of the eight wins.  They have won six of the eight games by two runs or more.  They should beat the Royals by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series Friday. 

The Royals are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall.  Now they’ll be sending Jake Junis to the mound, and while he has been decent this season, he has struggled of late.  Junis is 0-3 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is 0-0 with a 17.17 ERA in one career start against Houston, giving up 7 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings. 

Charlie Morton is having another great season for the Astros.  He has gone 7-1 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 96 K’s in 76 2/3 innings.  He is also 2-0 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.229 WHIP in five road starts. 

Houston is 18-3 in June road games over the last two seasons, winning by 2.6 runs per game.  The Astros are 8-0 in their last eight games.  The Astros are 6-0 in Morton’s last six starts during Game 1 of a series.  The Royals are 2-10 in their last 12 games following an off day.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

15* Rockies/Rangers No-Brainer on Colorado +100 

The Colorado Rockies come into this series with the Texas Rangers highly motivated for a victory.  They have lost six of their last seven overall.  The Rangers are 0-6 in their last six games and are falling further and further out of the playoff picture. 

That could be why they are giving Yohander Mendez his first major league start.  Mendez has posted a 0-1 record with a 7.31 ERA in 10 career major league appearances, all in relief.  He has allowed 13 earned runs in 16 innings pitched. 

Chad Bettis has been at his best on the road for the Rockies.  He has gone 4-1 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.038 WHIP in seven starts away from home this season. 

The Rockies are 21-7 in Bettis’ last 28 starts during Game 1 of a series.  Colorado is 4-1 in Bettis’ last five interleague starts.  The Rangers are 6-21 in their last 27 during Game 1 of a series.  Roll with the Rockies Friday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -125 

The Washington Nationals have a big advantage on the mound today over the Toronto Blue Jays in this interleague series.  They also have the hitting and bullpen advantage. 

Gio Gonzalez is 6-2 with a 2.58 ERA in 12 starts this season for the Nationals.  He has been at his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA in six starts away from home. 

Aaron Sanchez is 3-5 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in seven home starts. 

The Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Washington is 4-0 in Gonzalez’s last four starts.  The Blue Jays are 4-17 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter, including 0-6 in their last six home games vs. a left-hander.  Toronto is 1-9 in Sanchez’s last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Nationals Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Houston Astros are 7-0 in their last seven games overall.  They have been crushing it at the plate, scoring 5 runs or more in six of the seven wins while averaging 7.1 runs per game in the process.  They should beat the A’s by two runs or more again today. 

Justin Verlander is a Cy Young candidate this season.  He has gone 8-2 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.761 WHIP in 14 starts, including 6-1 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in seven road starts.  Verlander is also 14-6 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 22 career starts against Oakland. 

Frankie Montas is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  He has posted great numbers, but he has only had three starts this season, and two of those have come against the Kansas City Royals.  This will be by far his stiffest test yet against the red-hot Astros. 

Houston is 22-6 in road games after scoring 9 runs or more over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 17-3 in road games against division opponents this season.  They are winning by 3.4 runs per game.  Houston is 35-16 in the last 51 meetings, including 5-0 in the last five meetings in Oakland.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) 

The Houston Astros have reeled off six straight victories coming into this game with the Oakland A’s tonight. They have scored at least 5 runs in five of the six.  Look for them to win by two runs or more tonight, so we’ll back them on the Run Line instead of laying the heavy price on the money line. 

Gerrit Cole is right up there for the Cy Young award in the American League.  He has gone 7-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.844 WHIP in 13 starts with 124 K’s in 87 2/3 innings.  He is 5-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.851 WHIP in seven road starts.  Cole is also 1-1 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in three career starts against Oakland, two of which have come this season. 

Paul Blackburn will be making just his second start of the season for the A’s.  His first went well, but it was against the lowly Kansas City Royals, so he’ll be taking a big step up in class here.  Blackburn managed just 22 K’s in 58 2/3 innings last season for the A’s and clearly doesn’t have very good stuff at all. 

Cole is 10-0 in June road games in his career, and his teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Cole is 16-2 as a favorite of -150 or more over the last two seasons, and his teams are winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -110 

The San Francisco Giants will be looking for revenge following an upset Game 1 loss to the Miami Marlins yesterday.  Now we are getting the Giants at a much better value as only a -110 favorite here in Game 2. 

Chris Stratton has been at his best not her road this season, going 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in six starts.  He should be able to shut down the light-hitting Marlins, who are hitting just .233 and scoring 3.5 runs per game this season. 

I’ll gladly fade Trevor Richards, who is still in search of his first victory for the Marlins this season.  Richards is 0-3 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this year.  The Giants are 8-3 in their last 11 games and have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last eight, so they’ve really gotten going offensively. 

Stratton is 10-2 (+9.8 units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game this season.  Stratton is a perfect 11-0 (+13.2 units) against the money line with a total of 8 to 8.5 over the last two seasons.  Bet the Giants Tuesday. 

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Brewers UNDER 8.5 

Expect a pitcher’s duel tonight between the Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers.  Both starters have been great against the opposition in this series, and that should lead to another low-scoring affair. 

Jose Quintana is 4-2 with a 2.62 ERA in six road starts this season.  Quintana owns the Brewers, going 4-1 with a 0.63 ERA and 0.698 WHIP In six career starts against them.  He has given up just 3 earned runs in 43 innings over those six starts. 

Junior Guerra is having a nice comeback season, going 3-4 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.144 WHIP in 11 starts this year.  Guerra also owns the Cubs, going 1-1 with a 1.61 ERA and 1.209 WHIP in four career starts against them. 

Guerra is 9-1 UNDER off a loss over the last two seasons.  Quintana is 9-1 UNDER in road games against division opponents over the last two years.  The UNDER is 10-2-2 in Brewers last 14 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Guerra’s last 12 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-117) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more Sunday.  That’s why we’ll back them on the Run Line instead of laying -200 or more on the money line today. 

Dallas Keuchel has done his best work on the road this season with a 3.35 ERA in seven starts.  Keuchel is 9-9 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.153 WHIP in 24 career starts against Texas.  He has allowed one earned run or fewer in five of his last seven starts against the Rangers. 

Matt Moore has arguably been the worst starter in all of baseball over the past two seasons.  It’s amazing the Rangers keep starting him.  Moore is 1-5 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.981 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Two of those have come in blowout losses to Houston as he has allowed 7 earned runs in 7 innings for a 9.00 ERA. 

Houston is 47-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons.  It is winning in this spot by 2.5 runs per game on average.  The Astros are 10-1 in their last 11 meetings in Texas.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line. 

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -105 

The Philadelphia Phillies will be highly motivated for a victory here Sunday.  They have lost four straight overall and seven of their last eight, which is why we are getting them at such a discount.  They will avoid the sweep and beat the Brewers in Game 3 here. 

The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound that would normally warrant them being a big home favorite.  Zach Eflin is 2-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.277 WHIP in six starts this season. 

Brandon Woodruff has been awful this season.  He has gone 1-0 with an 8.48 ERA and 1.799 WHIP in three starts, including 1-0 with a 10.12 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in two road starts. 

The Phillies are 28-9 in their last 37 games after allowing 9 runs or more in two straight games.  Look for them to respond in a big way today.  Bet the Phillies Sunday. 

15* MLB Sunday Early ANNIHILATOR on St. Louis Cardinals -105 

It’s amazing how the oddsmakers keep making the Cardinals a small favorite over the Reds.  I’ve cashed them in each of the last two days, and I’ll back them again Sunday because the price is too good to pass up. 

As has been the case in each of the first two games in this series, the Cardinals have the advantage on the mound.  Carlos Marinez is 3-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Martinez is 5-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.220 WHIP in 10 career starts against Cincinnati. 

Anthony Desclafini will be making just his second start of the season after giving up four earned runs in 5 innings for a 7.20 ERA in his first start on June 5th.  He’ll be on a pitch count and won’t be going deep in this one, which will allow the Cardinals to get into the Reds’ awful bullpen early. 

The Cardinals are 17-2 in their last 19 meetings with the Reds, including 11-0 in their last 11 meetings in Cincinnati.  St. Louis is 8-2 in Martinez’s last 10 starts against the Reds.  The Reds are 2-20 vs. excellent defensive catchers who allow 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game this season.  Take the Cardinals Sunday. 

15* Yankees/Mets Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5 

I’m surprised to see a total so low in a game involving the Yankees and two below-average starting pitchers.  The Mets and Yankees should easily top this 8.5-run total today in a slug fest. 

Domingo German has been rocked this season.  He is 0-3 with a 6.33 ERA in five starts, including 0-2 with an 8.70 ERA in two road starts.  Even the Mets should be able to get after him tonight. 

Steven Matz is 2-4 with a 3.42 ERA in 11 starts, but just 1-3 with a 4.75 ERA in six home starts.  But the real alarming stats with Matz come in the head-to-head numbers.  He is 1-2 with a 7.63 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in three career starts against the Yankees. 

The OVER is 14-4 in Yankees last 18 during Game 2 of a series.  The OVER is 4-0 in Matz’s last four interleague starts.  The Yankees are 18-9 OVER vs. a team with a losing record this season.  Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-117) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem beating the Texas Rangers by two runs or more tonight.  They have been a great bet on the road over the past few seasons because you get a cheaper price with them when away from home. 

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Charlie Morton, who is 7-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Morton is also 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in five career starts against Texas. 

Mike Minor is 4-4 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 11 starts this season fr the Rangers.  Minor has never beaten the Astros, going 0-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts against them. 

Houston is 46-19 as a road favorite of -125 or more over the last two seasons, winning by 2.5 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Astros are 8-1 in Morton’s last nine starts when working on 5 days’ rest.  Houston is 9-1 in its last 10 meetings in Texas.  Take the Astros on the Run Line. 

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -101 

The St. Louis Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound today over the Cincinnati Reds.  Yet, we’re getting the better team and better starter at basically even money here today.  We’ll take advantage. 

Michael Wacha is having a nice comeback season at 7-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 12 starts, including 2-0 with a 0.84 ERA in his last three. Wacha owns the Reds, going 10-1 with a 2.41 ERA in 16 career starts against them. 

Luis Castillo is 4-6 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.448 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in two career starts against them.  He’s no match for Wacha in this one. 

Cincinnati is 2-19 vs. excellent defensive catchers that allow 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game this season.  The Cardinals are 9-2 in Wacha’s last 11 starts.  St. Louis is 16-2 in its last 18 meetings with the Reds, including a perfect 10-0 in its last 10 meetings in Cincinnati.  Bet the Cardinals Saturday. 

20* Warriors/Cavs Game 4 No-Brainer on Cleveland +4.5 

The Cleveland Cavaliers easily could be up 2-1 in this series.  They blew the game late in Game 1 and Game 3.  This is a repeat of last year when the Warriors jumped out 3-0, only for the Cavs to win Game 4 and avoid the sweep.  I think that will be the case again here. 

The Cavaliers still haven’t shot up to their potential in any of the three games, which makes it even more remarkable that they could easily be up 2-1 in this series.  They shot 44.4% in Game 1, 41.1% in Game 2 and 43.5% in Game 3.  I have to think they are primed for their best shooting performance of the season in Game 4. 

Conversely, the Warriors have shot lights out at 51.1% in Game 1, 57.3% in Game 2 and 51.9% in Game 3.  Look for the Cavaliers to make the proper adjustments to not allow so many easy layups and dunks that the Warriors have been getting.  Lebron James called out his team for having too many mental errors after Game 3, and they should respond accordingly. 

Golden State is 3-11 ATS off five or more consecutive wins this season.  Cleveland is 8-1 SU In its last nine home playoff games.  The Warriors are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a win.  Bet the Cavaliers in Game 4 Friday. 

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem winning by two runs or more tonight over the Texas Rangers.  They have a massive advantage on the mound tonight just as they do in most games, and that’s why backing them on the run line has been a great bet on the road this season. 

Justin Verlander has been unhittable since getting traded to the Astros last season.  He has gone 7-2 with a 1.24 ERA and 0.721 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 0.44 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in six road starts.  Verlander is 13-8 with a 2.93 ERA in 25 career starts against Texas, including 2-1 with a 1.38 ERA in his last four starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 26 innings while striking out 34 batters. 

Doug Fister is no match for Verlander.  The right-hander is 1-6 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.377 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 6.40 ERA and 1.698 WHIP in five home starts.  He has gone 2-2 with a 4.07 ERA in six career stats against Houston as well. 

Houston is 45-19 as a road favorite of -125 or higher over the last two seasons, winning by 2.5 runs per game on average.  The Astros are 17-6 in Verlander’s last 23 starts.  The Rangers are 1-5 in Fister’s last six starts.  Houston is 8-1 in its last nine meetings in Texas.  Roll with the Astros on the Run Line Friday. 

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -120 

The Cincinnati Reds are getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  They are just 22-41 on the season and 10-21 at home.  They should be bigger underdogs to the 33-27 St. Louis Cardinals in this one. 

Luke Weaver has held his own for the Cardinals, going 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Weaver has never lost to the Reds, going 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three career starts against them. 

Matt Harvey certainly isn’t happy that he was traded to Cincinnati.  But the Mets made a good move by getting rid of him as he will never be as dominant as he was when he came into the majors due to all the injuries.  Harvey is 1-4 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.346 WHIP in nine starts this season while averaging just 5.0 innings per start. 

St. Louis is 8-0 after scoring 4 runs or less in three straight games this season.  The Cardinals are 36-16 in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Reds are 24-51 in their last 75 games overall, including 10-27 in their last 37 home games.  Cincinnati is 1-7 in its last eight games following a win.  The Cardinals are 15-2 in the last 17 meetings, including a perfect 9-0 in the last nine meetings in Cincinnati.  Take the Cardinals Friday. 

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-105) 

The Houston Astros should have no problem winning by two runs or more against the Texas Rangers tonight.  They have lost three of their last four coming in, so they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. 

Gerrit Cole should lead them to victory.  He has gone 6-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 0.829 WHIP in six road starts.  Cole has never lost to the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in three career starts against them.  He has 34 K’s in 21 innings in those three starts. 

Cole Hamels has been decent this season at 3-5 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 12 starts.  However, he has been at his worst at home, going 1-4 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in six home starts.  And Hamels has already faced the Astros three times this season, so they have the beat on him. 

Cole is 9-0 (+9.7 units) in June road games in his career.  His teams are winning by 3.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Cole is 14-2 (+11.1 units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 2.4 runs per game on average.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Thursday. 

25* NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland Cavaliers +5 

The Cavaliers won’t go down without a fight.  Look for them to come out like gangbusters in Game 3, which always seems to happen with the home team when they were down 0-2 in a series.  Cleveland will get the win and cover in Game 3 Wednesday night. 

Cleveland showed well in Golden State.  The Cavaliers should have won Game 1 but the calls did not go their way as they lost in overtime.  They then kept it within 10 before getting blown out in the 4th quarter of Game 2.  But it will be a different story at home tonight. 

The Cavaliers are 8-1 at home in the playoffs.  They have won eight straight since losing Game 1 to Indiana to open the playoffs.  Their last four victories against the Celtics and Raptors have all come by 9 points or more.  They are just way more comfortable in front of their home fans, especially their role players.  They are 37-13 at home this season. 

Golden State is 4-13 ATS off two or more consecutive home wins this season.  The Warriors are 7-21-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a win by more than 10 points.  The Cavaliers are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Bet the Cavaliers in Game 3 Wednesday. 

15* MLB Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta Braves -126 

The Atlanta Braves busted out for 14 runs yesterday in an impressive win over the Padres.  They improved to 20-13 on the road this season, which is one of the best road records in baseball.  And they should win again Wednesday thanks to their advantage on the mound. 

Mike Foltynewicz has realized his potential this season.  He is 5-3 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 12 starts, including 3-2 with a 1.87 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in six road starts.  He is 3-1 with a 0.56 ERA in his last five starts, giving up just 2 earned runs in 32 innings with 37 K’s. 

Matt Strahm will be making just his second start of the season.  He lasted just two innings in his last start against the Dodgers on May 27th.  He has only made four starts in his 3-year career between Kansas City and San Diego and is used to being a reliever, so he won’t be going deep in this one. 

The Braves are 14-6 in their last 20 road games.  Atlanta is 14-3 in its last 17 during Game 3 of a series.  The Braves are 8-2 int heir last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  Atlanta is 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.  Take the Braves Wednesday. 

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+120) 

The St. Louis Cardinals (32-25) should have no problem beating the lowly Miami Marlins (20-39) by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.  They have a huge advantage on the mound, as well as advantages at the plate and in the bullpen. 

Jose Urena is still in search of his first win for the Marlins.  He is 0-7 with a 4.41 ERA in 12 starts this season, and the Marlins are 0-12 in those 12 starts.  Urena is also 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis. 

Carlos Martinez is 3-2 with a 1.62 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in five home starts.  Martinez is 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA in four career starts against the Marlins as well. 

Martinez is 34-11 vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse in his career.  Urena is 0-12 in all games this season and the Marlins are losing by 2.8 runs per game on average.  The Marlins are 0-8 in their last eight vs. a right-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 6-1 in Martinez’s last seven starts.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Oakland A’s -122 

The Oakland A’s have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Texas Rangers.  They should be bigger favorites as a result.  They also have the advantage at the plate and in the bullpen. 

Sean Manaea is having a very good season for the A’s, going 5-6 with a 3.60 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He has owned the Rangers of late, going 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA in his last three starts against them while allowing just 3 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings. 

Matt Moore has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the past few seasons.  He is 1-5 with an 8.02 ERA and 2.022 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Moore is also 1-2 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.515 WHIP in six career starts against Oakland. 

Moore is 13-32 (-18.4 units) against the money line in night games over the last three seasons.  The A’s are 6-1 in their last seven road games.  Oakland is 13-3 in its last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Rangers are 13-27 in their last 40 home games.  The A’s are 12-5 in the last 17 meetings.  Oakland is 6-2 in Manaea’s last eight starts vs. Texas.  Bet the A’s Tuesday. 

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians -1.5 (+103) 

The Cleveland Indians should have no problem winning by two runs or more in Game 1 of this series with the Milwaukee Brewers.  They will be sending their ace to the mound and will be highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight to the Twins over the weekend. 

Corey Kluber is having another Cy Young-caliber season.  He is 8-2 with a 2.02 ERA and 0.839 WHIP in 12 starts this year, including 5-0 with a 1.26 ERA and 0.791 WHIP in six home starts.  He is also 2-0 with a 0.93 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last three starts, which is impressive considering he has faced Houston twice. 

Junior Guerra isn’t as good as his 2.65 ERA and 1.123 WHIP would indicate this season.  One of his worst starts this year came against Cleveland on May 9th as he allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 2-6 loss to the Indians for a 7.20 ERA. 

Cleveland is a perfect 11-0 in home games off three or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.  It is coming back to win by 4.1 runs per game on average in this spot.  Roll with the Indians on the Run Line Tuesday. 

20* Braves/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on Atlanta +106 

The Atlanta Braves should not be underdogs to the San Diego Padres today.  They have the better lineup and starter going in this matchup tonight and will get a win in Game 1 of this series as a result. 

Julio Teheran has been better on the road than at home over the last few seasons.  That has been the case again this year as he is 3-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.029 WHIP in six road starts.  Teheran is also 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his last four starts against the Padres, giving up just 7 earned runs in 27 innings. 

Clayton Richard is 3-6 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.311 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Padres.  Amazingly, Richard has never beaten the Braves in six career starts, going 0-6 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.990 WHIP.  He falls to 0-7 tonight. 

The Braves are 13-5 in their last 18 road games.  Atlanta is 13-6 in Teheran’s last 19 road starts.  The Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 vs. a teams with a losing record.  The Padres are 5-21 in Richard’s last 26 starts vs. NL East opponents.  Atlanta is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.  Bet the Braves Monday. 

20* Cavs/Warriors Game 2 No-Brainer on Cleveland +11.5 

The Cleveland Cavaliers proved they could play with the Warriors in Game 1.  They forced overtime and would have won if not for several missed calls by the officials down the stretch.  Of course, a missed FT by George Hill and a bonehead play by JR Smith did not help. 

The Cavs will come back even more motivated and confident in Game 2 tonight.  And while the Cavs are now fully healthy with Kevin Love back, the Warriors are far from it. 

Andre Iguodala is doubtful for Game 2 and his absence for this team thus far is not getting factored into the line like it should be.  He is more important to the Warriors than he gets credit for.  Also, Klay Thompson suffered a knee injury in Game 1 that had him really hobbled after the game.  He is questionable to play in Game 2. 

The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. Western Conference opponents.  The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games following a win.  Golden State is 0-4 ATS in its last four when playing on two days’ rest.  Bet the Cavaliers in Game 2 Sunday. 

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Arizona Diamondbacks -122 

The Arizona Diamondbacks would love to cap off a 5-1 home stand against the Reds and Marlins with another victory Sunday.  They struggled the entire month of May and want to turn the page to June in the right way. 

Offensively, the Diamondbacks have come to life by scoring a combined 36 runs in their last five games.  They should be able to get after Dan Straily as well.  Straily is 2-1 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins this season. 

Matt Koch has held his own for the Diamondbacks.  He is 3-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.326 WHIP in eight starts.  And the Diamondbacks certainly have the bullpen advantage.  Arizona’s relievers have a 2.49 ERA this season, while Miami relievers have a 5.82 ERA. 

Miami is 3-16 vs. a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better this season.  The Marlins are 0-7 in their last seven vs. a right-handed starter.  The Diamondbacks are 25-10 in their last 35 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The Marlins are 1-6 in their last seven meetings in Arizona.  Take the Diamondbacks Sunday.