Winning Sports Picks

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -134

The Texas Rangers have been the best team in baseball this season by the numbers and it's clearly no fluke as they have gone 14-3 in their last 17 games overall to improve to 40-20 this season.  They rank 1st in run differential (+155) this season while ranking 1st in scoring (6.54 runs per game) and 4th in runs allowed (3.91 runs per game).

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the most disappointing team in baseball.  They are 1-7 in their last eight games overall with their lone win coming by a single run over the lowly Royals.  They are now just 25-37 on the season and dealing with a ton of injuries in their outfield.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 12 games overall.

The Rangers have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Jon Gray, who is 6-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty, who is 3-4 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in 12 starts this season.

The Cardinals are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. AL West opponents.  The Rangers are 36-16 in their last 52 games overall.  Texas is 23-8 in its last 31 home games.  Texas is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.  Bet the Rangers Wednesday.

15* Mets/Braves NL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves have scored at least 5 runs in three consecutive games and are starting to heat up at the plate.  The New York Mets have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall and are starting to rake as well.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left in Atlanta tonight, making for ripe scoring conditions.

Max Scherzer has been at his worst on the road this season at 3-2 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.281 WHIP in six starts away from home, allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 29 2/3 innings.  Charlie Morton has been at his worst at home, going 2-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in five starts while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 1/3 innings.

Scherzer has allowed 8 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Braves for a 6.00 ERA.  Morton has allowed 7 earned runs and 19 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mets for a 6.51 ERA.

The OVER is 29-13 in Morton's last 42 starts.  The OVER is 20-5 in Morton's last 25 night starts.  The OVER is 21-7-1 in Mets last 29 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 13-3 in Braves last 16 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 18-7-1 in Braves last 26 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Reds OVER 11

The Los Angeles Dodgers are raking right now scoring 6 or more runs in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Cincinnati Reds have quietly scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 15 games overall and just called up their top prospect.  These teams combined for 17 runs yesterday, and it should be more of the same today with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

Noah Syndergaard is the weak link in the Dodgers' rotation.  He is 1-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.395 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in five road starts.  He'll be opposed by Brandon Williamson, who is 0-0 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.333 WHIP as a starter this season, and 0-0 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has a bottom end starter for the Reds who will get rocked tonight.

The Dodgers are 12-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more this season.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings.  The OVER is 21-8-1 in Dodgers last 30 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -160

The New York Mets have scored 4 runs or fewer in six consecutive games.  It won't get any easier for them against the Atlanta Braves today, who have a massive advantage on the mound, which is why I'm willing to lay this big of a number with them.

Bryce Elder is 3-0 with a 1.92 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 11 starts this season while allowing only 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 65 2/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 1/3 innings.  Carrasco is 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta.

The Mets are 5-13 in their last 18 road games.  The Braves are 6-1 in the last seven meetings, including 4-0 in the last four meetings in Atlanta.  The Braves are 58-27 in their last 85 home games.  Bet the Braves Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -135

The Texas Rangers have been the best team in baseball this season by the numbers and it's clearly no fluke as they have gone 13-3 in their last 16 games overall to improve to 39-20 this season.  They rank 1st in run differential (+153) this season while ranking 1st in scoring (6.55 runs per game) and 4th in runs allowed (3.91 runs per game).

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the most disappointing team in baseball.  They are 1-6 in their last seven games overall with their lone win coming by a single run over the lowly Royals.  They are now just 25-36 on the season and dealing with a ton of injuries in their outfield.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

The Rangers have the advantage on the mound tonight as well with Dane Dunning, who is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in five starts this season.  Lefty Matthew Liberatore is no more than a spot starter for the Cardinals, going 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.300 WHIP in two starts this season.  The Rangers are hitting .291 and scoring 7.2 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. AL West opponents.  The Rangers are 35-16 in their last 51 games overall.  Texas is 22-8 in its last 30 home games.  Texas is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.  Bet the Rangers Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound over the Cincinnati Reds tonight that should lead them to winning this game by multiple runs to cover the Run Line.  The Dodgers are scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season while the Reds are only scoring 4.0 runs per game vs. right-handed starters, so they have the advantage at the plate as well.

Tony Gonsolin is 3-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in seven starts this season for the Dodgers.  he'll be opposed by Luke Weaver, who is 1-2 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.351 WHIP in eight starts this season already allowing 11 homers in 43 2/3 innings.

Gonsolin is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in two career starts against the Reds.  Weaver has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-3 (0-5 money line) with a 7.06 ERA and 1.708 WHIP in five career starts against them while allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are 19-3 in their last 22 games after losing 3 of their last 4 games coming in and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Dodgers are 28-5 in Gonsolin's last 33 starts as a favorite of -150 or more and winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Reds are 6-17 in home games vs. right-handed starters this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Astros/Blue Jays AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Astros have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall, including 11 runs yesterday in a win over the Blue Jays.  Toronto ranks 11th in scoring at 4.72 runs per game this season.

Hunter Brown is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Twins.  Kevin Gausman had his worst start of the season against the Astros earlier this season.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to fall to 2-4 with a 5.77 ERA in six career starts against Houston.

The OVER is 14-4 in Gausman's last 18 starts with a total of 7 to 7.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Yankees OVER 8

The New York Yankees have scored at least 4 runs in 25 of their last 32 games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have finally gotten healthy at the plate and are starting to rake, scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 15 games overall.  This is a very low total for these two offenses going up against these two starting pitchers tonight.

Lucas Giolito has been at his worst on the road for the White Sox, going 1-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.642 WHIP in six starts away from home.  Clarke Schmidt has been the biggest weak link in this New York rotation, going 2-5 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Giolito is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in four career starts against the Yankees.

Chicago is 14-4 OVER vs. good power teams averaging 1.25 or more homers per game this season.  The OVER is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Texas Rangers are the best offensive team in baseball scoring 6.6 runs per game this season.  They are scoring 7.1 runs per game at home.  They just scored 28 runs in two wins over the Mariners over the weekend and will stay hot at the plate tonight.

They take on Adam Wainwright, who has a 6.15 ERA and 1.7-8 WHIP in five starts this season.  Martin Perez goes for the Rangers and has a 4.43 ERA in spite of a 1.541 WHIP in 11 starts and is the weak link in this Texas rotation.  The Cardinals are scoring 5.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The OVER is 45-24 in Wainwright's last 69 starts as a road underdog.  The OVER is 18-7-2 in Rangers last 27 home games.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Rangers last 11 interleague home games.  The OVER is 8-0-1 in Rangers last nine interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-113)

The Philadelphia Phillies come in hot at the plate after scoring 22 runs in three games with the Washington Nationals over the weekend.  They should stay hot at the plate today against the Detroit Tigers and their worst starter in Joey Wentz.

Wentz is 1-5 with a 7.28 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-3 with an 8.47 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in four road starts.  The Tigers have been held to a total of 6 runs in their last four games, so don't expect Wentz to get much run support, either.

Ace Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies tonight.  He is 4-4 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in four home starts.  He has been unfortunate to have that high of an ERA with that low of a WHIP and is undervalued as a result.

Nola is 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in three career starts against Detroit, and his teams are 3-0 in those three starts with two wins by multiple runs.  The Tigers are 14-44 in their last 58 games after scoring 2 runs or less in consecutive games.  Philadelphia is 25-9 in its last 34 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Monday.

15* Rays/Red Sox AL East Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 9 ticket between the Rays and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 50's with 17 MPH winds blowing in from left.  Winds blowing in kept scoring down the last two games between these teams with 6 and 8 combined runs.  It will be more of the same inside Fenway Park today.

Ace Shane McClanahan is the front-runner to win AL Cy Young thus far.  He is 8-1 with a 2.07 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  McClanahan owns the Red Sox, going 5-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Brayan Bello has been solid for the Red Sox this season at 3-3 with a 3.89 ERA in eight starts.  Bello has a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 4 earned runs in 16 innings.

The UNDER is 6-1 in Rays last seven road games.  The UNDER is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 games overall.  This total is too high given the forecast with heavy winds blowing in from left.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Heat/Nuggets Game 2 No-Brainer on Miami +9.5

The Miami Heat shot 40.6% as a team and attempted only two free throws in Game 1.  Yet they still only lost by 11 points and had a chance to cover the 9-point spread late.  It's safe to say they have a ton of room for improvement.

Jimmy Butler was passive in Game 1 and getting his guys wide open looks all game that they would normally make.  Max Strus and Caleb Martin were particularly bad combining to shoot 1-of-17 for the game.  Butler will be more aggressive in getting to the rim in Game 2, and the shots will start falling.

The Heat have been a resilient team all season and I expect them to bounce back with a big effort in Game 2.  Miami is 27-15 ATS in its last 42 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  The Heat are 30-17 ATS in their last 47 games when revenging a road loss.  Miami is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games overall.  Bet the Heat in Game 2 Sunday.

20* Yankees/Dodgers ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 9

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  Plus, light winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  These teams just went OVER the total in their first two games this series with 12 and 9 combined runs.  It will be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 16 of their last 25 games overall.  The OVER is 18-7 in those 25 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 16 games overall.  The OVER is 13-3 in those 16 games.

Domingo German has a 3.98 ERA in 10 starts this season and a 5.02 ERA in five road starts.  Bobby Miller has good numbers for the Dodgers, but it has come in just two starts.  This is a big step up in class for Miller, and I expect he and German to both get rocked.

The OVER is 13-3-1 in Dodgers last 17 interleague games.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Dodgers last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Cubs/Padres NL ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -102

The San Diego Padres will be without Bogaerts, Cruz and Odor today.  The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the Padres and should be favored on the road here in Game 3.  They will also be motivated to bounce back after getting shut out yesterday by Yu Darvish and company.

The Cubs should have much more success at the plate today against lefty Ryan Weathers, who is 1-3 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in his last three.  Chicago is hitting .298 and scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  They are 15-6 in their last 21 games against southpaws.

Marcus Stroman is quietly having a dominant season.  He is 5-4 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 0.565 WHIP in his last three.  Stroman owns the Padres, going 3-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.19 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He has never lost to them.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Mets -129

The New York Mets will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays.  With their big advantage on the mound today, I like their chances of taking Game 3.

Kodai Senga has been virtually untouchable at home this season.  He is 3-1 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in five home starts, allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 30 innings.

Yusei Kikuchi has been one of the worst starters in baseball for several years running now.  He has a 4.47 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including a 5.23 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in six road starts.  Kikuchi has already allowed 15 homers in 56 1/3 innings this season.

The Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.  Plays against road underdogs (Toronto) - after scoring 3 runs or less in consecutive games against an opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less in consecutive games are 32-5 (86.5%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Mets Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -105

The Cincinnati Reds have quietly been an offensive juggernaut of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 12 games overall.  They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Brewers by a combined 3 runs.

The Reds have a big advantage on the mound today and should be bigger home favorites as a result.  Ben Lively is 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in three starts, allowing just 4 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings with 22 K's.  Those three starts came against the Yankees, Red Sox and Cardinals to give them even more validity.

Adrian Houser is 1-1 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in five starts this season for the Brewers, including 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in three road starts.  Houser is 4-4 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Reds as well.

The Brewers are 2-9 in their last 11 games following two consecutive wins by 2 runs or fewer.  Milwaukee is 1-7 in its last eight games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  The Brewers are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.  Bet the Reds Sunday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves have lost three of their last four coming in and will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  With their massive advantage on the mound, they should win this game by two runs or more with ease.

Spencer Strider is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 11 starts this season with a whopping 106 K's in 63 2/3 innings.  He is virtually untouchable when he is on his game.

Ryne Nelson is a weak link in this Arizona rotation.  He is 2-2 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in six home starts.

The Braves are 22-6 in their last 28 games after losing four or five of their last six games coming in and winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Atlanta is 70-27 in it last 97 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +153

The San Diego Padres have been grossly overvalued this season.  They are 26-31 on the season and you'd be down -14.6 units backing them every game.  They are once again overvalued as massive favorites over the Chicago Cubs tonight.

Drew Smyly has been one of the most underrated starters this season for the Cubs.  He is 5-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Smyly is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three career starts against the Padres, who are hitting .230 and scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Yu Darvish is getting too much respect tonight for a guy that is really struggling coming into this game.  Darvish is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings.  That's really poor when you consider two of those starts came against the Royals and Nationals.

The Cubs are 21-12 (+12.6 Units) in Smyly's last 33 road starts.  The Padres are 2-8 (-10.5 Units) in home games vs. left-handed starters this season.  Smyly's teams are 12-1 (+12.0 Units) in his last 13 road starts vs. a NL team with a .390 or worse slugging percentage.  Bet the Cubs Saturday.

20* Yankees/Dodgers FOX No-Brainer on OVER 9

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  Plus, 10 MPH winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  These teams just combined for 12 runs yesterday and it will be more of the same today.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 15 of their last 24 games overall.  The OVER is 17-7 in those 24 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  The OVER is 12-3 in those 15 games.

Gerrit Cole has faltered of late allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles and Padres.  Michael Grove has struggled all season, going 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts allowing 15 earned runs in 16 innings.  Cole is 3-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in seven career starts against the Dodgers.

The OVER is 12-3-1 in Dodgers last 16 interleague games.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Dodgers last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Yankees/Dodgers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  That's why I'm willing to take the OVER 8.5 despite both Clayton Kershaw and Luis Severino posting solid numbers thus far this season.  Plus, 10 MPH winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 15 of their last 23 games overall.  The OVER is 16-7 in those 23 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 14 games overall.  The OVER is 11-3 in those 14 games.

Kershaw is 0-2 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings.  Luis Severino will be making his his 3rd start of the season so it's hard to put too much stock into his small sample size of quality numbers.

The OVER is 11-2 in Kershaw's last 13 starts vs. good power teams averaging at least 1.25 homers per game.  The OVER is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -115

The Atlanta Braves have the rest advantage tonight.  They had yesterday off while the Arizona Diamondbacks just completed a four-game series with the Colorado Rockies on Thursday.  I also believe the Braves have the advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Charlie Morton is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.07 ERA in five road starts while allowing only one homer in 29 1/3 innings.  Morton is 5-1 with a 4.01 ERA in 12 career starts against Arizona.

Merrill Kelly is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA in six home starts this season while allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 36 innings.  Kelly has never beaten the Braves, going 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career stars against them, and his teams are 0-3 in those three starts.

The Braves are 36-15 in their last 51 games following an off day.  Atlanta is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings in Arizona.  Bet the Braves Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on Texas Rangers +105

The Texas Rangers are 35-20 this season while ranking 1st in all of baseball in run differential (+131).  The Seattle Mariners are 29-27 with a +24 run differential.  Fans are excited about this team and filling the park at home, and the Rangers should not be home underdogs to the Mariners tonight.

Jon Gray is 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 27 innings.  Gray faced the Mariners earlier this season and allowed one earned run in 7 innings of a 2-1 victory.

Luis Castillo has been great at home for the Mariners, but he is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  The Mariners are 0-3 in his three road starts.

The Mariners are 3-12 (-16.2 Units) in Castillo's 15 road starts as a favorite over the last two seasons.  Seattle is 1-7 in its last eight games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  The Rangers are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mariners/Rangers OVER 8

A big reason for Texas' success this season is that they rank 1st in baseball in average (.272) and scoring (6.4 runs per game).  They are capable of covering this total on their own, and their total of 8 is very low for a game involving the Rangers.

Luis Castillo has been great at home for the Mariners, but he is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  Jon Gray has been at his worst at home with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in four home starts, allowing 5 homers in 22 innings.

The OVER is 11-1 in Gray's last 12 Friday starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 home games after losing two of their last three games coming in.  The OVER is 13-3-2 in Rangers last 18 home games.  They are scoring 6.8 runs per game and allowing 4.4 runs per game at home this season, averaging 11.2 combined runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Nuggets Game 1 No-Brainer on Miami +9

Rust will be a factor for the Denver Nuggets in Game 1 tonight.  They have been off since May 22nd and have been getting patted on the back after sweeping the Lakers.  I expect them to be flat and out of sync in Game 1 despite it being the NBA Finals.  That's going to make it very difficult for them to win by double-digits, which is what it's going to take for them to beat us here.

The Miami Heat have beaten the Bucks, Knicks and Celtics to get here yet they continue to get disrespected.  I love that Jimmy Butler didn't even acknowledge winning the Eastern Conference Finals and MVP trophies, telling his teammates there are bigger fish to fry.  His leadership is a big reason the Heat have been able to get this far, and it's a key reason they will give the Nuggets more of a fight than most are anticipating, including in Game 1.

I also like the fact that the Heat got two days off after that Game 7 win over Boston to rest and recover, which is a big deal.  They get two games off in between games a lot this series as well, so they'll be able to recover.  I think they will be the sharper team tonight as well after having just played on May 29th.

Plays on road underdogs (Miami) - revenging a home loss against an opponent that is off a road win by 3 points or less are 32-11 (74.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Miami is 27-14 ATS in its last 41 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  Bet the Heat in Game 1 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +124

The Cleveland Guardians are finally starting to hit.  They have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall, including 20 runs in winning two of three against the Orioles last series.  I think they have the advantage on the mound tonight over the Twins and the wrong team is favored here.

The Twins have been held to 3 runs or fewer in six of their last 10 games overall, including 2 runs or fewer five times.  They won't have much success off Tanner Bibee, who is 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in six starts this season allowing just 11 earned runs and 2 homers in 34 1/3 innings with 34 K's.

Pablo Lopez has been at his worst at home this season with a 5.46 ERA in five home starts, allowing 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 29 2/3 innings.  He is also 1-1 with a 6.06 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 1/3 innings.

The Guardians are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings, including 5-1 in the last six meetings in Minnesota.  The Twins are 0-6 in their last six games following a win.  Bet the Guardians Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Red Sox OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds are quietly hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall with the OVER going 7-2 in those nine games.  They take on one of the best offenses in baseball in this series in the Red Sox, who are hitting .298 and scoring 6.0 runs per game at home this season.

The weather will help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.  I also think both of these starting pitchers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers.

Hunter Greene is 1-4 with a 4.18 ERA in 11 starts this season with 26 earned runs and 8 homers allowed in 56 innings.  Lefty Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.72 ERA in 10 starts for the Red Sox with 29 earned runs and 8 homers allowed in 55 1/3 innings.  Cincinnati is hitting .299 and scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The Reds have a 5.12 ERA as a bullpen on the road, while the Red Sox have a 4.42 ERA as a bullpen at home.

The OVER is 15-4 in Red Sox 19 home games vs. right-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 21-8 in Red Sox last 29 home games.  The OVER is 26-11 in Red Sox last 37 games following a loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 13 games overall.  They are capable of covering this total on their own like they did yesterday in a 9-3 victory over the Nationals.  But Washington has quietly scored 4.7 runs per game on the road this season and will contribute as well.

Two gas can starting pitchers go for both teams and light winds will be blowing out to center in Los Angeles today.  Patrick Corbin has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the past couple seasons, and he's 4-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Corbin 0-3 with a 15.82 ERA in his last three starts against the Dodgers, allowing 17 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings.

Noah Syndergaard has been a major disappointment for the Dodgers this season.  He is 1-4 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 10 starts while allowing 33 earned runs in 47 1/3 innings.  The Dodgers have a 4.54 ERA as a bullpen, while the Nationals have a 4.52 ERA as a bullpen and a 4.95 ERA on the road.

Washington is 9-0 OVER in its last nine games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or higher.  We're seeing 12.3 combined runs per game in this spot.  The OVER is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-140)

The Oakland A's are 12-45 this season and getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game.  It's no surprise that they haven't won three games in a row all season, thus they haven't swept anyone.  After pulling off the upset in each of the first two games in this series with Atlanta, they are going to get blown out in Game 3.

The Braves will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep.  I'll gladly back Atlanta's Jared Shuster, who is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 0.780 WHIP in his last three starts coming in despite facing the Rangers, Phillies and Mariners.

I'll gladly fade James Kaprielian, who is 0-5 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.780 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has already allowed 26 earned runs, 6 homers and 19 walks in 30 1/3 innings.  He is an absolutely gas can and arguably Oakland's worst starter, which is saying something.

Oakland is 1-22 in day games this season and losing by 4.5 runs per game.  Atlanta is 8-3 in its last 11 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Rays/Cubs Interleague No-Brainer on Tampa Bay -129

The Tampa Bay Rays haven't lost three consecutive games all season.  They are 5-0 in their five games following two consecutive losses this season, so they have yet to be swept.  They will be highly motivated to keep that streak alive and avoid the sweep today against the Chicago Cubs.

I'll gladly side with Zach Eflin, who is 7-1 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Rays.  The Cubs are hitting .236 and scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season.

I'll gladly fade southpaw Justin Steele, who has allowed 5 earned runs in two of his last three starts coming in.  The Rays are hitting .300 and scoring 6.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Rays are 14-3 in their last 17 games after scoring 2 runs or fewer in two consecutive games.  Tampa Bay is 20-7 in its last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Cubs are 0-5 in their last five Game 3's.  Chicago is 2-8 in its last 10 games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  Bet the Rays Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Braves/A's OVER 8.5

There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Braves and A's.  The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

They should tee off on JP Sears, who has already allowed 12 homers in 53 2/3 innings this season.  Bryce Elder has been good for the Braves, but the A's come into this game with confidence after scoring 7 runs on Atlanta yesterday.

Atlanta is 10-2 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season.  Oakland is 8-0 OVER vs. teams that average 3.5 or more extra base hits over the last two seasons.  Atlanta is 14-3 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 24-9-2 in Braves last 35 interleague games.  The OVER is 35-13-3 in Braves last 51 when their opponent scored 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-130)

There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing the Braves on the Run Line.  They should tee off on JP Sears, who has already allowed 12 homers in 53 2/3 innings this season.  Then they'll be up against an Oakland bullpen that is the worst in baseball with a 6.39 ERA.  The A's allow 7.0 runs per game on the season.

The Braves are scoring 5.6 runs per game on the road and 6.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The A's are only scoring 3.3 runs per game at home.  The Braves have a big advantage on the mound behind Bryce Elder, who is 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 10 starts this season.

The A's are 1-21 as underdogs of +200 or higher this season and losing by 4.8 runs per game in this spot.  The lone win was yesterday against the Braves, but Atlanta comes back focused and highly motivated for a victory in Game 2 and should win by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115)

The Tampa Bay Rays will bounce back from a 1-0 loss to the Cubs in Game 1 of this series with a blowout victory in Game 2 due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate.  The Rays rank 2nd in baseball with a .270 average and 2nd in baseball at 6.07 runs per game.  They rank 3rd in allowing just 3.91 runs per game and are 2nd in run differential (+119) this season.

Ace Shane McClanahan is 8-0 with a 1.97 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Kyle Hendricks, who is far past his prime and coming back from injury.  He gave up 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-1 loss to the Mets in his first and only start this season.  He'll get rocked by the Rays tonight as well.

The Rays are 27-4 as favorites of -150 or more this season and winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 14-1 in McClanahan's last 15 May starts and winning by 3.4 runs per game.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -122

The New York Mets have scored 32 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 8 runs per game.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Philadelphia Phillies and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Ranger Suarez is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in three starts for the Phillies this season, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 11 innings.  Suarez is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.652 WHIP in four career starts against the Mets.  The Phillies have a 5.79 ERA as a bullpen on the road.

Kodai Senga has done his best work at home this season for the Mets.  He is 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in four home starts, allowing only 4 earned runs and one homer in 23 innings.  The Mets are 5-0 in their last five home games.  New York is 6-1 in its last seven home meetings with Philadelphia.  Bet the Mets Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Orioles UNDER 9

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 23 of their last 26 games overall.  They are hitting .226 and scoring 3.5 runs per game this season.  The UNDER is 28-7-2 in Guardians last 37 games overall, including 8-0 in their last eight games. 

The Baltimore Orioles have gone cold at the plate scoring 3 runs or fewer in five consecutive games with the UNDER going 4-1 in those five games.  These are two of the best bullpens in baseball with the Guardians having a 3.09 ERA and the Orioles having a 3.11 ERA on the season.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing in from right at Camden Yards tonight that will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 9 ticket.

Cal Quantrill has been at his best on the road this season at 1-0 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in five stars.  Kyle Gibson has been at his best at home at 2-2 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts.  Gibson has been dominant in his last two starts despite facing the Yankees and Blue Jays, allowing one earned run in 14 innings.

Baltimore is 20-4 UNDER in its last 24 games after scoring 4 runs or fewer in four consecutive games.  The UNDER is 40-17-3 in Guardians last 60 games overall.  The UNDER is 10-3-2 in Orioles last 15 home gams.  The UNDER is 34-16-1 in the last 51 meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

25* NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Celtics UNDER 203.5

Death, taxes and Game 7 UNDERS.  They have been a cash cow in the NBA playoffs for decades.  It makes sense because with so much at stake, teams play tight and defensive intensity is at an all-time high.  That will be the case in this Game 7 between the Heat and Celtics.

We have seen the scoring really fall off a cliff in this series as it has gone on.  They went for 215 combined points in Game 4 which was a series low, 207 points in Game 5 which was a series low and then 207 points in Game 6 to tie the series low.  Expect Game 7 to stay UNDER 203.5 for a new series low here Monday night.

Boston is 9-0 UNDER in its last nine playoff games when facing elimination, which have all come over the past two seasons.  Bet the UNDER in Game 7 Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/A's OVER 8.5

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  The Braves rank 5th in scoring at 5.26 runs per game this season and are capable of covering this total on their own against a A's team that ranks dead last in allowing 7.24 runs per game.

Mike Soroka will be making his first start since 2020 and will be on a pitch count, so the A's should get to him as well.  Paul Blackburn makes his first start of the season for the A's and has a 7.50 ERA in the minors this season.  That's how desperate they are to try and find starting pitching.  The A's have a 6.50 ERA as a bullpen and the Braves have a 4.04 ERA.

Oakland is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games vs. teams that average 3.5 or more extra base hits per game.  Atlanta is 14-3 OVER in its last 17 games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game.  The OVER is 24-9-1 in Braves last 34 interleague games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Rays/Cubs Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 1st in average (.273) and 2nd in scoring (6.17 runs/game) this season.  The Cubs rank 12th in scoring (4.73 runs/game) this season.  This total of 8 is too low for these two offenses inside hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.

Both bullpens are taxed as the Rays just beat the Dodgers 11-10 on Sunday.  The Cubs went to their bullpen in the 5th inning against the Reds and lost 8-5.  The Rays have a 4.46 ERA as a bullpen and a 5.14 ERA on the road.  The Cubs have a 4.65 ERA as a bullpen.

Taj Bradley won't last long for the Rays as he has a 4.44 ERA on the season and averages 4.9 innings per start.  Marcus Stroman averages 5.8 innings per start.  He is 5-8 with a 5.04 ERA in 16 career starts against Tampa Bay.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rays over the past two seasons.

Tampa Bay is 10-1 OVER vs. good power teams averaging at least 1.25 homers per game this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in Rays last nine games following a win.  The OVER is 33-16-3 in Rays last 52 games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Cubs last seven interleague games.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Cubs last 12 games following a loss.  The OVER is 15-5-1 in Cubs last 21 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -150

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Cincinnati Reds despite being favored in both.  They deserve to be even bigger favorites in Game 3 today with their advantage on the mound.

Ace Drew Smyly has been one of the most profitable starters in baseball.  He is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in five home starts.  Smyly is 5-1 with a 3.96 ERA in eight career starts against the Reds, and his teams are 7-1 in those eight starts.

Graham Ashcraft is 2-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.481 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.76 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Aschcraft has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-4 with an 11.88 ERA and 2.101 WHIP in four career starts against them allowing 22 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings.

The Cubs are 15-4 in Smyly's last 19 starts as a favorite of -150 or less.  Chicago is 10-2 in Smyly's 12 day game starts over the past two seasons.  The Reds are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

Light winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland today.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Jordan Montgomery is much better than he has shown thus far for the Cardinals and this will be one of his easiest tasks of the season facing this putrid Cleveland lineup.  Hunter Gaddis is coming off his best start of the season firing 6 shutout innings in a 3-0 home victory over the White Sox on May 22nd.  These are two of the best bullpens in baseball with the Guardians having a 3.20 ERA and the Cardinals a 3.56 ERA.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 22 of their last 24 games overall.  They are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs per game at home this season.  The UNDER is 26-7-2 in Guardians last 35 games overall. Cleveland is 17-1 UNDER after losing four or five of its last six games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Dodgers/Rays Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

This is a very low total for two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Rays rank 2nd in scoring at 6.08 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers rank 3rd at 5.54 runs per game.  These teams combined for 12 and 11 runs in their first two meetings in this series, and it should be more of the same today.

Gavin Stone is 0-0 with a 10.12 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in two starts this season for the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 innings.  He won't last long, and the Dodgers have a 4.55 ERA as a bullpen this season and a 5.71 ERA on the road.  The Rays will be making this mostly a bullpen game.  They have a 4.52 ERA as a bullpen this season and several injuries limiting their 'pen.

The OVER is 6-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.  The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rays last eight home games.  The OVER is 14-2 in Rays last 16 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 6 No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes, the more teams become familiar with one another and points get harder to come by.  Teams tend to play slower as well with fewer fast break opportunities.

Game 5 was the lowest scoring game of the series with 207 combined points despite both teams shooting very well from the floor.  The Celtics shot 50.6% while the Heat shot 51.3%.  Both teams aren't likely to shoot that well again, and this game is likely to stay UNDER 210.5 combined points as a result.

Boston is 8-0 UNDER in its last eight games when facing elimination in a playoff series.   Miami is 14-6 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less this season.  The UNDER is 15-4 in Celtics last 19 road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Bet the UNDER in Game 6 Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Tanner Bibee is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in five starts this season for the Guardians.  He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty, who has pitched very well of late with a 3.24 ERA in his last three starts and only 6 earned runs and one homer allowed in 16 2/3 innings.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 21 of their last 23 games overall.  They are hitting .218 and scoring 2.8 runs per game at home this season.  The UNDER is 25-7-2 in Guardians last 34 games overall. The UNDER is 12-1 in Guardians last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Red Sox/Diamondbacks Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 32-18-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 4th in scoring at 5.4 runs per game and 26th in allowing 5.16 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks are similar as they rank 6th in scoring at 5.15 runs per game and 23rd in allowing 4.95 runs per game.

There's not much to like about either of these starting pitchers tonight.  Garrett Whitlock is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  Zach Davies is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 39-18-2 in Diamondbacks last 59 interleague games.  The OVER is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.  Boston is 8-1 OVER after losing three of its last four games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Braves OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right in Atlanta tonight which will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  The Braves are elite offensively ranking 5th at 5.23 runs per game.  The Phillies have a ton of talent and are heating up at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in three consecutive games.

Zack Wheeler has been at his worst on the road for the Phillies, going 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in four starts away from home this season.  Charlie Morton has been at his worst at home for the Braves with a 4.30 ERA in four home starts, allowing 5 homers in 23 innings.  Morton just allowed 6 runs in 5 innings in his last start coming in.  Morton is 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in 18 career starts against the Phillies.

Once these two exit the bullpens are likely to get rocked.  The Braves have a 4.99 ERA at home while the Phillies have a 5.83 ERA on the road.  The OVER is 29-11 in Morton's last 40 starts.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.  The OVER is 13-3 in Braves last 16 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Dodgers/Rays Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Rays rank 2nd in the league in scoring at 6.10 runs per game, while the Dodgers rank 3rd in scoring at 5.53 runs per game.  These teams should easily combine to top this 7.5-run total today.

Clayton Kershaw is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  He is 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in six road starts this season allowing 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 33 1/3 innings.  Tyler Glasnow will be making his first start of the season back from injury for the Rays and will be on a pitch count.

When Glasnow exits early, the Rays will turn to their bullpen which has a 4.49 ERA on the season and is dealing with a ton of injuries.  When Kershaw exits, the Dodgers have a 4.59 ERA as a bullpen on the season and a 5.85 ERA on the road.

Tampa Bay is 10-1 OVER after a game where its bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.  The OVER is 16-5 in Dodgers last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 7-0 in Rays last seven home games.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rays last eight games following a win.  The OVER is 13-3 in Rays last 16 games overall.  The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.  The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Tampa Bay.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Houston Astros -1.5 (-150)

The Oakland A's are 10-42 this season scoring 3.5 runs per game and allowing 7.1 runs per game while consistently losing on the Run Line.  The Houston Astros are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall with seven wins by multiple runs and back to playing up to their potential.

The Astros have the rest advantage after having Thursday off while Oakland just got swept in four games by the Mariners in Seattle yesterday.  They have now los eight straight and are 2-16 in their last 18 games overall.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Hunter Brown, who is 4-1 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.263 WHIP in nine starts this season allowing only 3 homers in 50 2/3 innings.  James Kaprielian is 0-4 with a 7.81 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in five starts for the A's, allowing 22 earned runs and 6 homers in 25 1/3 innings.

Oakland is 0-18 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and losing by 5.2 runs per game in this spot.  Houston is 21-5 in its last 26 games following a loss by 4 runs or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday.

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Mets -1.5 (-130)

The New York Mets have a big advantage on the mound over the Colorado Rockies today that should lead them to winning this game by two runs or more with ease.  Plus, the wind will be blowing out at Coors Field which makes their chances of winning by margin even greater.

Max Scherzer looks back healthy allowing just on earned run and 8 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Scherzer held the Rockies to one run in 7 innings with 11 K's in his last start against them.

Connor Seabold is 1-1 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs, 5 homers and 31 base runners in 18 innings.  He is an absolute gas can allowing 9 runs in 8 innings in his last two starts against Texas and Cincinnati.

The Mets are 28-7 in their last 35 games when revenging a loss as a home favorite.  Scherzer's teams are 20-5 in his last 25 road starts vs. a NL team with a .325 OBP or worse and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Ace Shane Bieber goes for the Guardians.  He is 3-3 with a 3.08 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA in three home starts.  Mathew Liberatore makes his 2nd start of the season for the Cardinals.  He fired 5 shutout innings in a 3-0 victory over Milwaukee in his first start on May 17th.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 20 of their last 22 games overall.  They are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs per game at home.  The UNDER is 24-7-2 in Guardians last 33 games overall.

The UNDER is 18-4 in Bieber's last 22 night starts.  The UNDER is 11-1 in Guardians last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +128

The Texas Rangers are 31-18 this season and have the 2nd-best run differential (+112) in baseball behind only the Rays (+114).  The Orioles have a +45 run differential for comparison.  The Rangers have the rest advantage after having Thursday off while the Orioles just completed a 3-game series in New York yesterday to take the series from the Yankees.  That makes this a letdown spot for them.

The Rangers have a big advantage on the mound tonight and should not be underdogs.  Jon Gray is 4-1 with a 3.02 ERA in nine starts this season, 3-0 with a 2.20 ERA in five road starts, and 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts.  Grayson Rodriquez is 2-1 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in nine starts this season, already allowing 10 homers in 42 innings.  Rodriquez is 1-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 2.128 WHIP in four home starts as well.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* Dodgers/Rays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 2nd in scoring (6.04 runs per game) while the Los Angeles Dodgers rank 3rd (5.57 runs per game) in scoring.  This 9-run total is too low tonight folks, especially with these starting pitchers going.

Noah Syndergaard is 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.331 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in four road starts while allowing 16 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 innings.  The Dodgers have a 4.50 ERA as a bullpen overall and a 5.70 ERA on the road once Syndergaard exits.

Jalen Beeks is just an opener for the Rays and isn't likely to make it past the 2nd inning.  That means they are going to have to rely on their shaky bullpen, which has a 4.56 ERA on the season.  The Rays have a lot of injuries in their bullpen which is why they haven't been as good as years' past.

The OVER is 9-0 in Syndergaard's last nine starts vs. excellent power teams that average 1.5 or more homers per game.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Tampa Bay.  The OVER is 6-0 in Rays last six home games.  The OVER is 12-2 in Rays last 14 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Celtics Game 5 No-Brainer on UNDER 215.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes, the more familiar teams become with one another and the more difficult it is to score.  They also tend to slow down the pace the longer a series goes.

We saw the lowest combined points in Game 4 last time out as the Heat and Celtics combined for 215 points.  I look for them to combine for 215 or fewer in Game 5 as well with the Celtics facing elimination, they will be locked in defensively.  The Heat are always locked in defensively.

Miami is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 road games after scoring 100 points or fewer.  Boston is 8-0 UNDER when facing elimination in the playoffs over the last three seasons.  Bet the UNDER in Game 5 Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Braves OVER 9

The Atlanta Braves are one of the best offensive teams in baseball ranking 7th in scoring at 5.2 runs per game.  The Philadelphia Phillies have been much better offensively since getting Bryce Harper back from injury to go along with Trae Turner.  There's too much talent in this lineup for them to be held down for long.

Aaron Nola is 4-3 with a 4.31 ERA in 10 starts this season allowing 30 earned runs and 8 homers in 62 2/3 innings.  Dylan Dodd is 2-1 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in three starts this season allowing 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 15 1/3 innings.

Both teams have poor bullpens with the Braves having a 4.05 ERA on the season and a 5.00 ERA in home games.  The Phillies have a 4.05 ERA on the season and a 5.71 ERA in road games.

The OVER is 20-6 in Nola's last 26 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs.  The OVER is 16-6 in Braves last 22 home games.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Yankees OVER 9

The OVER is 4-0 in Orioles last four games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all four games.  They combined for 11 in Game 1 with the Yankees and 15 in Game 2 yesterday.  The OVER is 13-4 in Yankees last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 17 games.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 13 of those 17 games.

Two gas cans go tonight in Kyle Gibson of the Orioles and Clarke Schmidt of the Yankees.  Schmidt is 2-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in 10 starts this season, allowing 30 earned runs and 8 homers in 45 innings.  Gibson has been at his worst on the road with a 5.09 ERA in six starts away from home.

Gibson is 1-6 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Yankees.  Schmidt has only faced the Orioles once in his career, and it came earlier this season on April 7th when he allowed 4 runs and 8 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 7-6 defeat.

The OVER is 35-17 in the last 52 meetings in New York.  The OVER is 9-0 in Yankees last nine home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-135)

The Oakland A's have lost six consecutive games to fall to 10-40 on the season.  They rank dead last in run differential (-178) by a wide margin this season.  They score 3.6 runs per game and allow 7.2 runs per game on the season.  That's why I'm willing to back the Mariners on the Run Line tonight.

The Mariners also have a massive advantage on the mound behind top prospect Bryce Miller.  He is 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.513 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 25 1/3 innings without allowing a single homer.  One of those starts came against the A's when he allowed one run and two base runners in 6 innings with 10 K's on May 2nd.

Ken Waldichuk is 1-3 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.848 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 35 earned runs and a whopping 13 homers in 46 innings.  Waldichuk is 1-2 with an 8.39 ERA and 1.946 WHIP in five road starts, allowing 23 earned runs and 9 homers in 24 2/3 innings away from home.  He's backed by a bullpen that is the worst in baseball with a 6.53 ERA, while the Mariners have a 3.07 ERA as a bullpen.

Oakland is 0-16 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and losing by 5.6 runs per game.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -108

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Cubs tonight.  They have gone 2-7 in their last nine games overall and have played their nine of their last 10 games on the road.  Now they are back home  where they have been at their best this season.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the New York Mets, who have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall with all five wins coming by a single run.  They have played six of their last seven games at home and now hit the road.

The Cubs have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Marcus Stroman, who is 3-4 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.034 WHIP in five home starts.  He has only allowed 4 homers in 56 innings this season. Kodai Senga has been at his worst on the road for the Mets, going 2-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts away from home, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 20 innings.

The Mets are 3-10 in their last 13 road games.  The Cubs are 23-9 in the last 32 meetings.  Chicago is 42-20 in the last 62 meetings at Wrigley Field.  The Cubs are 6-0 in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 8

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field today in Cleveland that will help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket.  These are two solid starting pitchers going as well.

Michael Kopech is coming off his best start of the season for the White Sox pitching 8 shutout innings with 10 K's while allowing only one hit to the Royals.  Kopech has posted a 0.00 ERA and 0.500 WHIP in two career starts against Cleveland, firing 8 shutout innings while allowing only 4 base runners.

Cal Quantrill is 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in his last three starts.  Quantrill is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 19 of their last 21 games overall.  They are hitting .220 and scoring 2.9 runs per game at home.  The UNDER is 23-7-2 in Guardians last 32 games overall.  The White Sox are hitting .240 and scoring 4.1 runs per game on the season.  The UNDER is 6-0 in White Sox last six games overall.  The UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Cleveland.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Diamondbacks/Phillies NL Early ANNIHILATOR on Arizona -101

The Arizona Diamondbacks have quietly gone 9-2 in their last 11 games overall to improve to 29-20 on the season.  The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 2-7 in their last nine games overall to fall to 22-26 this season.  The Diamondbacks have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them being bigger favorites.

Ace Zac Gallen is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 72 K's in 61 innings and only 2 homers allowed.  Gallen is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in four career starts against the Phillies.

Ranger Suarez is 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA and 2.667 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 16 base runners in 6 innings.  Suarez is 1-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.889 WHIP in four career starts against the Diamondbacks.  Bet the Diamondbacks Wednesday.

15* Rangers/Pirates Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on Texas -112

Great value here with the Texas Rangers at basically even money against the Pittsburgh Pirates.  The Rangers are 1st in run differential (+111) this season and bettors are failing to realize how good this team is.  They score 6.4 runs per game and allow 4.1 runs per game this season.

Martin Perez is the better starter in this matchup.  Perez is 5-1 with a 4.01 ERA in nine starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Johan Oviedo, who is 3-3 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.542 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Pirates.

The Rangers are 13-4 in day games this season.  Texas is 10-2 in Perez's last 12 road starts in day games.  The Pirates are 5-15 in their last 20 games overall.  Pittsburgh is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.  The Pirates are 1-11 in their last 12 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Pittsburgh is 4-22 in its last 26 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Rangers Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Mariners OVER 8.5

The Oakland A's allow 7.2 runs per game overall this season including 7.8 runs per game on the road.  The Seattle Mariners are capable of covering this total on their own like they did last night in an 11-2 victory, but I expect the A's to contribute as well as they score 4.0 runs per game on the road this season.

The Mariners will crush Luis Medina, who is 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA in three starts this season while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 innings.  The A's should get after Marco Gonzalez, who is 3-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.591 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in his last three while allowing 13 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.

Oakland is 14-2 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.  The OVER is 5-2 in Mariners last seven games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 4 No-Brainer on Miami ML -120

The Boston Celtics quit in Game 3 and are lost right now.  Their season ends in a sweep at the hands of the Miami Heat, who have been the most impressive team in the playoffs knocking off the Bucks, Knicks and now the Celtics tonight.

Boston is 0-7 ATS when revenging two consecutive losses as a favorite this season.  Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 playoff games.  The Heat are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet the Heat in Game 4 Tuesday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs +100

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Cubs tonight.  They have gone 1-7 in their last eight games overall and have played their last nine games on the road.  Now they are back home  where they have been at their best this season.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on the New York Mets, who have gone 5-0 in their last five games overall with all five wins coming by a single run.  They have played their last six games at home and now hit the road.

The Cubs have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Drew Smyly, who is 4-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 0.934 WHIP in nine starts, including 1-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in four home starts.  Smyly has never lost to the Mets, going 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in four career starts against them.

The Mets are hitting .216 and scoring just 3.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  Kodai Senga has been at his worst on the road for the Mets, going 2-1 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts away from home, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 20 innings.

The Mets are 0-6 in their last six games when their opponent scored 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  New York is 3-9 in its last 12 road games.  The Cubs are 5-0 in their last five games following an off day.  Chicago is 5-0 in its last five home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Cubs are 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Chicago is 41-20 in its last 61 home meetings with the Mets.  Bet the Cubs Tuesday.

15* Dodgers/Braves NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Two of the best lineups in baseball square off tonight in Atlanta in what should be a slug fest in Game 2 of this series.  The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers are scoring 5.5 runs per game overall and 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters. They combined for 14 runs in Game 1.

This total is too low due to ace Spencer Strider starting for the Braves.  But Strider has come back down to reality of late, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bobby Miller makes his MLB debut for the Dodgers tonight and it won't go well for him.

The OVER is 5-1 in Dodgers last six games overall.  The OVER is 14-3 in Dodgers last 17 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 10-1 in Braves last 11 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 15-5 in Braves last 20 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Reds OVER 10

Two gas cans go tonight for the Cardinals and Reds, who have both been hot at the plate of late.  They will be playing inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark with temperatures in the in the 80's tonight and prime scoring conditions.

Adam Wainwright is working his way back from injury and is 1-0 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in three starts this season.  Wainwright is 0-5 with a 7.09 ERA in his last six starts against the Reds, allowing 26 earned runs and 5 homers in 33 innings.

Graham Aschcraft is 2-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-2 with a 13.13 ERA and 2.188 WHIP in his last three starts allowing 18 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 1/3 innings.  Aschcraft has posted a 7.71 ERA and 2.034 WHIP in two career starts against St. Louis, allowing 8 earned runs and 19 base runners in 9 1/3 innings.

St. Louis is 7-0 OVER vs. teams that average 0.9 or fewer homers per game this season.  The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 13-5 in Reds last 18 games following a win.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Blue Jays/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

Two of the best offensive teams in baseball square off tonight in Tampa Bay.  The Rays are scoring 6.0 runs per game overall and 5.8 runs per game at home.  The Blue Jays are scoring 4.5 runs per game overall and 4.8 runs per game at home, and their potential is much better than that.

Jose Berrios has been much better at home than on the road throughout his career.  That has been the case again this season as Berrios is 1-3 with a 6.67 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in five road starts this season.  Berrios is 2-4 with a 5.44 ERA in nine career starts against Tampa Bay.

Taj Bradley will not go deep into this game for the Rays as he averages just 5.1 innings per start.  Bradley has a 5.40 ERA in his two home starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings.

The OVER is 16-4 in Berrios' last 20 road starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Rays last 10 games after a game where their bullpen threw 6 or more innings.  The OVER is 9-0 in Berrios' last nine road starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.  The OVER is 8-1 in Blue Jays last nine road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 9-2 in Rays last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 8.5

There are expected to be light winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 8.5 ticket in Game 2 of this series Tuesday.

Logan T. Allen has pitched well for the Guardians this season with a 3.04 ERA in five starts, allowing 9 earned runs and only 2 homers in 26 2/3 innings with 29 K's.  Dylan Cease owns the Guardians, going 2-1 with a 1.50 ERA in his last four starts against them allowing just 4 earned runs in 24 innings.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 18 of their last 20 games overall.  The UNDER is 22-7-2 in Guardians last 31 games overall.  The White Sox are hitting .241 and scoring 4.1 runs per game on the season, including 3.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.  The UNDER is 5-0 in White Sox last five games overall.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Cleveland.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Oakland A's allow 7.2 runs per game overall this season including 7.7 runs per game on the road.  The Seattle Mariners are capable of covering this total on their own, but I expect the A's to contribute as well as they score 4.1 runs per game on the road this season.

The Mariners will crush Kyle Muller, who is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.952 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-2 with a 10.31 ERA and 2.182 WHIP in four road starts.  Muller has allowed 21 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 1/3 innings on the highway this season.

Luis Castillo is struggling coming into this one, going 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 innings.  Castillo is 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA in three career starts against Oakland, all of which came last season when he allowed 9 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in those three starts.

Oakland is 13-2 OVER as a road underdog of +175 to +250 this season.  The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last five games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Nuggets/Lakers Game 4 No-Brainer on Los Angeles -3

The Los Angeles Lakers won't go away quietly.  They are 11-2 in their last 13 home games dating back to the regular season.  They are also 7-1 at home in the postseason dating back to the play-in win over the Timberwolves.

Considering the Lakers were 5.5-point home favorites in Game 3 and are now only 3-point home favorites in Game 4, we are getting a discount on them here and the value is there to pull the trigger.  Game 3's home loss was their lone defeat at home in the postseason, and was the abberration.

The Nuggets shot 50% as a team in Game 3 and 17-of-41 (41.5%) from 3-point range and committed only five turnovers..  I have a hard time believing they are going to shoot that well again, or take care of the ball that well.  Look for them to relax a little after taking a commanding 3-0 lead knowing they got two more home games to finish off the Lakers if need be.

Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (LA Lakers) - revenging a same-season loss vs. opponent that's off an upset win by 10 points or more as a road underdog are 37-10 (78.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Denver is 9-18 ATS following three or more consecutive wins this season.  Los Angeles is a perfect 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following a loss by more than 10 points.  Bet the Lakers in Game 4 Monday.

15* Dodgers/Braves NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball square off tonight in Atlanta in what should be a slug fest in Game 1 of this series.  The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall and 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Braves should crush Gavin Stone, who allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 10-6 win over the Philadelphia Phillies in his lone start this season.  The Dodgers will get after Charlie Morton, who is 1-3 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in eight career starts against them. The Dodgers have a 4.70 ERA as a bullpen on the season and a 6.25 ERA on the road.  The Braves have a 4.75 ERA in their bullpen at home.  

The OVER is 19-4 in Morton's last 23 night starts.  The OVER is 13-3 in Dodgers last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 7-0 in Braves last seven games after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 14-5 in Braves last 19 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -124

The Texas Rangers are 29-17 this season with the second-best run differential (+108) in baseball trailing only the Tampa Bay Rays (+124).  It's time to recognize this team is legit, and they should be bigger favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight.

The Pirates are 4-14 in their last 18 games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 11 of those 14 games.  They won't get much off Dane Dunning, who is 2-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing just 3 earned runs in 17 innings without allowing a homer.

Luis Ortiz is 0-2 with a 5.62 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 5 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 innings with only 4 K's.  Those two starts came against the lowly Tigers and Rockies, so Ortiz takes a big step up in class here against a Texas lineup that is hitting .272 and scoring 6.5 runs per game this season.

The Pirates are 2-12 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Pittsburgh is 0-7 in its last seven interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Rangers Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Guardians UNDER 9

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 9 ticket despite two suspect starters going for the White Sox and Guardians in Game 1 of this series.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 17 of their last 19 games overall.  The UNDER is 21-7-2 in Guardians last 30 games overall.  The White Sox are hitting .243 and scoring 4.2 runs per game on the season.  The UNDER is 4-0 in White Sox last four games overall.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Cleveland.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 3 No-Brainer on Boston -3

The Boston Celtics have come up with clutch road wins in the playoffs when they have needed them over the past couple seasons.  They staved off elimination with a win in Game 6 at Milwaukee in the Eastern Conference Finals last year.  Last series, they staved off elimination with a 95-86 win at Philadelphia in Game 6 to force a Game 7.

This is essentially a must-win for the Celtics after losing the first two games of this series to the Heat at home.  I think we get their best effort here as a result, and it will be good enough to cover this 3-point spread.  They are still the better team in this series and that will show tonight.

Miami is 13-27 ATS following an ATS win this season.  Boston is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games following two consecutive upset losses as a favorite.  The Celtics are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.  Boston is 4-1 ATS In its last five trips to Miami.  Bet the Celtics in Game 3 Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game overall and 6.5 runs per game at home.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 4.5 runs per game overall and 4.9 runs per game against left-handed starters.  These teams just combined for 17 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same Sunday.

Connor Seabold has been terrible in the majors with a 7.48 ERA and 1.885 WHIP in 49 1/3 innings in his career.  He has a 5.14 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 28 innings this season.  Andrew Heaney is 2-3 with a 4.71 ERA in eight starts this season, including 2-2 with a 6.66 ERA at home allowing 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 24 1/3 innings in Arlington.

The OVER is 10-1 in Heaney's last 11 home starts as a favorite of -110 or higher.  The OVER is 20-4 in Heaney's last 24 starts in the first half of the season.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Rangers last six games overall.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Rangers last 11 interleague home games.  The OVER is 12-3-2 in Rangers last 17 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +103

The Seattle Mariners have a massive advantage on the mound today and should not be underdogs to the Atlanta Braves as a result.  We'll gladly take advantage and back George Kirby and the Mariners over Jared Shuster and Braves Sunday.

Kirby is 5-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.013 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in four road starts.  Kirby pitched 6 innings allowing only 3 base runners with zero earned runs in a 3-1 victory over Atlanta in his lone career start against them last season.

Schuster is 0-2 with a 7.24 ERA and 1.902 WHIP in three starts for the Braves this season.  He has already allowed 11 earned runs and 11 walks in 13 2/3 innings with only 8 K's.  Seattle is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.  Bet the Mariners Sunday.

25* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Lakers -3.5

Note: I locked this in at -3.5 as soon as the line came out.  I would still play it up to -5.5.

The Los Angeles Lakers won't go down without a fight and showed that in the first two games of this series.  They lost by 6 points in Game 1 despite the Nuggets shooting 54.9% as a team and 46.9% from 3.  They lost by 5 in Game 2 despite shooting just 8-of-30 (26.7%) from 3 themselves while the Nuggets made six more 3-pointers than them and Jamal Murray going off in the 4th quarter.

Now the Lakers are back home where they are 7-0 in the postseason dating back to the play-in win over the Timberwolves.  The Lakers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games dating back to the regular season.  They have a huge home-court advantage.  The Nuggets have been vulnerable on the road going 1-3 SU in their last four playoff road games.  They have a losing record (21-25) on the season away from home.

Denver is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 road games following two or more consecutive wins.  The Lakers are 5-0 ATS in their last five playoff games following a loss, covering the spread by 17.2 points per game.  Los Angeles is 8-1 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (60% to 70%) this season . The Lakers are 10-1 ATS in home games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.  Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last six home meetings with Denver.  The home team has won all six meetings between the Nuggets and Lakers this season all by 5 points or more.  Bet the Lakers in Game 3 Saturday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Marlins/Giants OVER 7.5

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park in San Francisco Saturday.  That's going to help aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket this afternoon.

Logan Webb is 3-5 with a 3.66 ERA in nine starts this season for the Giants and has already allowed 8 homers.  He has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Miami.

Braxton Garrett is 1-2 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Garrett is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his lone career start against San Francisco.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

Two potent lineups in the Orioles and Blue Jays face two gas can starting pitchers in Greyson Rodriquez and Alek Manoah today in Toronto.  The end result will be a slug fest that finishes with OVER 9 combined runs.

Rodriquez is 2-1 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 9 homers and 64 base runners in 37 innings.  He has been really poor in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 12 2/3 innings for an 11.37 ERA.

Manoah is 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 8 homers and 81 base runners in 45 innings.  He has been particularly bad at home, going 0-2 with an 8.50 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in four home starts.

The OVER is 33-16-7 in the last 56 meetings.  The OVER is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Toronto.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Marlins/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Marlins and Giants tonight.  There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park.  That will help these two below average offenses put some runs on the board in Game 1 of this series.

The Giants are heating up at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Marlins are also heating up, scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  If both teams get to 4 runs tonight, we cash this OVER ticket.

Sandy Alcantara gets way too much respect from oddsmakers.  He is 1-4 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three home starts.  Anthony Desclafini is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in four home starts for the Giants this season.  The Giants have a 5.65 ERA as a bullpen and the Marlins have a 4.32 ERA.

The OVER is 6-1 in Marlins last seven road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 5-1 in Giants last six games following an off day.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Celtics Game 2 No-Brainer on Boston -8.5

The Boston Celtics were flat in Game 1 after winning Game 7 against the Philadelphia 76ers last series.  I cashed the Heat +8.5 anticipating that would be the case.  But I expect the Celtics to fire back with a blowout victory in Game 2 at home.

The Heat shot 54.1% as a team and 16-of-31 (51.6%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  That's not going to happen again.  The Heat will be the team relaxing a little here after gaining home-court advantage and won't be playing with the same sense of urgency that they did in Game 1.

Boston is 19-9 ATS off an upset win as a home favorite this season.  The Heat are 12-27 ATS following an ATS win this season.  Teams down 0-1 in a series at home are now 23-1 SU & 22-2 ATS since 2019.  This has been a very profitable system and it makes 100% sense.  Bet the Celtics in Game 2 Friday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Astros OVER 9

The Oakland A's are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 27-17-1 OVER this season.  They allow 7.4 runs per game overall and 8.3 runs per game on the road.  They score 4.5 runs per game on the road.  With these two gas can starting pitchers going tonight, we should easily get up and OVER 9 combined runs.

Brandon Bielak is 0-1 with a 2.79 ERA despite a 2.068 WHIP in two starts.  He has already allowed 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings and is fortunate to not have allowed more earned runs, especially considering he only has 4 K's.  His luck runs out tonight. Bielak allowed 3 earned runs in 3 innings of a 14-2 loss at Oakland in his lone career start against them.

The Astros are capable of covering this total on their own.  They score 5.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  They get to face lefty Ken Waldichuk, who is 1-2 with a 7.02 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Waldichuk is 1-1 with a 9.16 ERA and 1.933 WHIP in four road starts, allowing 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 19 2/3 innings.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 2-11 loss to the Astros in his lone career start against them.

Oakland is 12-2 OVER vs. left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 6-0 in A's last six Friday games.  The OVER is 16-5 in A's last 21 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Astros last four games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Lakers/Nuggets Game 2 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +6.5

The Los Angeles Lakers trailed by 20-plus points against the Nuggets but still had a chance to tie Game 1 late a couple times.  They wound up losing by 6.  The adjustments they made in the 2nd half are something that can work to their advantage the rest of this series, including in Game 2.

The Lakers switched Rui Hachimura onto Nikola Jokic and he did a great job staying in front of him.  That allowed Anthony Davis to roam around and be a stopper inside.  The weak link of the Nuggets is Aaron Gordon from 3-point range, so the Lakers can let Davis guard Gordon so he can roam and make him try to beat them.

The fact that the Nuggets shot 54.9% from the field and 15-of-32 (46.9%) from 3-point range in Game 1 and still only won by 6 is a good sign for the Lakers moving forward.  They aren't likely to shoot that well again the rest of the series.

The Lakers are 22-12 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Denver is 8-17 ATS following three or more consecutive wins this season.  Los Angeles is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games following a loss.  Bet the Lakers Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left at Busch Stadium in St. Louis tonight.  These perfect scoring conditions will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Dodgers are on a roll right now scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  The Cardinals are also hot at the plate, scoring 4 runs or more in 11 of their last 14 games overall.  The Cardinals are scoring 5.5 runs per game at home while the Dodgers are scoring 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.

Adam Wainwright is past his prime and will get rocked tonight.  Wainwright will be making just his 2nd start of the season coming back from injury after allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-6 victory at Boston in his first start.  Julio Urias has been at his worst on the road with a 6.10 ERA in four starts away from home.

The OVER is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 10-3-1 in Cardinals last 14 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -145

The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now having gone 15-3 in their last 18 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 13 of those 18 games.  They should stay hot with a win in Game 1 of this series against the Cardinals due to their advantage on the mound.

Julio Urias is 5-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Dodgers.  That includes 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.712 WHIP in his last three starts despite facing the Padres twice and the Phillies.  This will be his first career start against the Cardinals, which gives him the element of surprise.

Adam Wainwright is past his prime and will get rocked tonight.  Wainwright will be making just his 2nd start of the season coming back from injury after allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-6 victory at Boston in his first start.  Wainwright allowed 4 runs and 9 base runners in 3 innings of a 4-1 loss to the Dodgers in his last start against them.

The Dodgers are 21-6 as favorites of -150 or less this season.  The Dodgers are 16-3 in Urias' last 19 starts as a favorite of -150 or less.  Los Angeles is 18-4 in Urias' last 22 starts as a road favorite of -150 or less.  The Dodgers are 40-11 in Urias' last 51 starts at night.  Los Angeles is 5-0 in the last five meetings.  Bet the Dodgers Thursday.

20* Heat/Celtics Game 1 No-Brainer on Miami +8.5

The Miami Heat have been counted out the entire playoffs, and they are being counted out again in this series.  Expect them to play with a chip on their shoulder in Game 1 of this series with the Celtics, who they beat in each of their final two regular season, including once on the road as 7-point dogs.

I expect the Celtics to take a breather after winning Game 7 against the 76ers last series.  They will come out flat in Game 1.  They were flat in practice and I don't expect them to turn it on for Game 1.  The Heat also have a nice rest advantage last playing on May 12th while the Celtics last played on May 14th.

Miami is 24-13 ATS in its last 37 games as a road dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  Boston is 0-9 ATS in home games when revenging a road loss this season.  The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Miami is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 trips to Boston.  Bet the Heat in Game 1 Wednesday.

15* Braves/Rangers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it in Game 3 of this series between the Braves and Rangers.  The Braves are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.7 runs per game on the road.  The Rangers are scoring 6.2 runs per game overall and 6.3 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for these two offenses.

Nathan Eovaldi has been unhittable for the Rangers in his last three starts, but that's not going to last as he takes a big step up in class here against the Braves.  Spencer Strider has been more vulnerable in his last three starts with a 3.78 ERA.  Eovaldi has a 4.26 ERA at home this season.

The OVER is 22-7-1 in Braves last 30 interleague games.  The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings.  The OVER is 8-1 in Rangers last nine interleague games.  The OVER is 5-0 in Rangers last five home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Rays/Mets Interleague ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 9 ticket between the Rays and Mets tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing in from left-center at Citi Field.  That is going to keep scoring suppressed.

Kodai Senga is 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in three home starts this season for the Mets, allowing just 3 earned runs and one homer in 17 innings.  Josh Fleming will be an opener for the Rays before turning it over to their bullpen, which has a 3.62 ERA on the season and is one of the best bullpens in baseball.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The OVER is 10-0 in Yankees last 10 games overall where they have scored 6 runs or more in nine of those 10 games.  Not surprisingly, this offensive surge has coincided with the healthy return of Aaron Judge to the lineup.  This total of 8 is very low for two offenses as potent as the Yankees and Blue Jays.

Gerrit Cole has come back down to earth of late with a 5.06 ERA and 1.562 WHIP n his last three starts allowing 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings in his last two.  Chris Bassitt is 5-2 with a 3.49 ERA in eight starts this season and has allowed 6 homers in 49 innings.

The OVER is 6-0 in Blue Jays last six games vs. AL East opponents.  The OVER is 10-3 in Blue Jays last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 11-4 in Blue Jays last 15 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/A's OVER 9

The Oakland A's are a dead nuts OVER team going 27-16-1 to the OVER this season.  They are scoring 3.9 runs per game and allowing 7.5 runs per game, combining for an average of 11.4 runs per game this season.  They have a terrible bullpen with a 6.63 ERA and face a Diamondbacks team with a 4.89 bullpen ERA on the road.  Light winds will be blowing out to center in Oakland today.

Two gas can starting pitchers square off today.  Tyne Nelson is 1-2 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in eight starts this season allowing 28 earned runs and 7 homers in 40 2/3 innings.  Luis Medina is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings.

Arizona is 12-2 OVER in its last 14 Interleague road games.  The OVER is 38-17-2 in Diamondbacks last 57 interleague games overall.  The OVER is 12-5 in A's last 17 interleague games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Diamondbacks/A's OVER 9

The Oakland A's are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 26-16-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are allowing 7.5 runs per game with a terrible rotation and the worst bullpen (6.79 ERA) in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are capable of covering this total on their own.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to right in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight.  Kyle Muller is 1-3 with a 7.34 ERA and 1.947 WHIP in eight starts for the A's, allowing 31 earned runs, 6 homers and 21 walks in 38 innings.  Tommy Henry is 1-1 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.388 WHIP in four starts for the Diamondbacks, allowing 11 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.

The OVER is 37-17-2 in Diamondbacks last 56 interleague games.  The OVER is 11-2 in A's 13 games vs. left-handed starters this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Lakers/Nuggets Game 1 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +6

The Los Angeles Lakers have made a statement in Game 1 in each of their first two series this season.  They went on the road and beat Memphis 128-112 as a 5-point underdog.  They went on the road and beat Golden State 117-112 as a 4.5-point dog as well.

I think it will be more of the same here in Game 1 at Denver.  LeBron James knows the importance of winning Game 1 of a series.  The Lakers will be 'all in' to get the job done, and at the very least I think it will be good enough to cover this 6-point spread.

The Lakers have proven themselves more than the Nuggets have in these playoffs.  They were underdogs in both of their series against Memphis and Golden State, the defending champs.  They disposed of both in six games.  The Nuggets got to play the Timberwolves and a depleted Suns team with no depth and needed six games to get past them.

The Lakers have remained healthy all postseason which has been their key, and are healthy coming into this one.  The Nuggets are also healthy outside Jamal Murray, who is a non-covid related illness coming into Game 1 and is questionable.  Denver is 6-18 ATS following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more over the last three seasons.  Bet the Lakers in Game 1 Tuesday.

20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Guardians -116

The Chicago White Sox are one of the worst teams in baseball at 14-28 on the season with the second-worst run differential (-71) in all of baseball.  Yet they continue to get respect from oddsmakers.  The Guardians should be bigger favorites over them tonight given their massive advantage on the mound.

Ace Shane Bieber goes for the Guardians tonight.  Bieber is 3-1 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Bieber owns the White Sox, going 8-4 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.963 WHIP in 17 career starts against them.

Lancy Lynn has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season.  Lynn is 1-5 with a 7.51 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 37 earned runs and a whopping 11 homers in 44 1/3 innings.  Lynn is 0-3 with a 9.57 ERA and 1.876 WHIP in three home starts as well.

The Guardians are 21-6 in Bieber's last 27 road starts vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game.  Cleveland is 31-15 in its last 46 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Chicago is 9-20 in its last 29 home games.  Bet the Guardians Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Rangers OVER 9.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it in Game 2 of this series between the Braves and Rangers.  The Braves are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.8 runs per game on the road.  The Rangers are scoring 6.2 runs per game overall, 6.3 runs per game at home and 7.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.

The Rangers get to fade lefty Jared Shuster of the Braves tonight.  He is 0-1 with an 8.30 ERA and 2.422 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  Dane Dunning will be making his third start of the season, and I think his solid start has kept this total lower than it should be.  This is a step up in class for him here, but the Rangers should do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.

Atlanta is 9-1 OVER after a game where the bullpen gave up zero earned runs this season.  The OVER is 21-7-1 in Braves last 29 interleague games.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings.  The OVER is 7-1 in Rangers last eight interleague games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Rangers last four home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Cardinals OVER 8

The St. Louis Cardinals are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  The OVER is 10-2 in Cardinals last 12 games overall where they have scored 4 runs or more in 11 of their last 12 games, and 3 runs in the game they didn't.  They have hung 18, 9 and 8 runs in three of their last four games overall.  The Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last 11 games overall.

Jordan Montgomery has been a major disappointment for the Cardinals this season.  He is 2-5 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four home starts.  Montgomery allowed 6 runs, 4 earned, in 5 innings to the Brewers in his last home start against them.

Wade Miley is 3-2 with a 3.60 ERA in seven starts this season for the Brewers.  But Miley is coming off a start in which he allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings tot he Dodgers.  Miley also allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 13 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against the Cardinals.

The OVER is 15-5 in Miley's last 20 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 6-0 in Brewers last six games when their opponent allowed 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Cardinals last 12 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mariners/Red Sox OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 28-13-1 OVER in all games this season. They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.4 runs per game on the season, including scoring 5.6 runs per game and allowing 5.7 runs per game at home.

The Mariners are scoring 4.9 runs per game on the road this season and are heating up at the plate.  They haves scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 12 games overall and just hung 10 on the Red Sox yesterday.  The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park with temps approaching 80 degrees.

Nick Pivetta is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 34 2/3 innings.  Luis Castillo has struggled in his last two starts, allowing 7 earned runs in 12 innings.

The OVER is 24-13 in Pivetta's last 37 starts.  Boston is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more K's/start this season.  Boston is 10-1 OVER vs. a starting pitcher with good control, walking less than 1.75 batters/start this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Red Sox last eight home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The OVER is 9-0 in Yankees last nine games overall.  Their offensive surge has coincided with the return of Aaron Judge from injury.  The Yankees havee scored at least 6 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.

The OVER is 9-4 in Blue Jays last 13 games overall.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 13 games overall.  This is a very low total for two of the best and hottest offenses in baseball, even with ace Kevin Gausman on the mound for the Blue Jays.

Domingo German is 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA in eight starts this season allowing 7 homers in 45 innings.  German has posted a 5.79 ERA in three road starts this season.  He is 1-3 with a 5.49 ERA in his last four starts against the Blue Jays allowing 12 earned runs and a whopping 8 homers in 19 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-125)

The Oakland A's are the worst team in baseball going 9-33 this season while getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game.  They are scoring just 3.8 runs per game and allowing 7.5 runs per game with the worst run differential in baseball.  I'll gladly fade them on the Run Line with the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight.

The Diamondbacks have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Merrill Kelly, who is 3-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in three road starts.

Drew Rucinski is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.092 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  When Rucinski exits, the A's will turn is over to the worst bullpen (7.01 ERA) in baseball.

The A's are 29-67 in their last 96 home games.  Oakland is 13-39 in its last 52 games overall.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Monday.

20* Braves/Rangers Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it in Game 1 of this series between the Braves and Rangers.  The Braves are scoring 5.1 runs per game overall, 5.5 runs per game on the road and 5.7 runs per game against left-handed starters.  The Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game overall and 6.7 runs per game at home.

Cody Bradford put up a 5.01 ERA in 26 starts at Frisco in the minors last year and will get rocked in his MLB debut tonight.  Charlie Morton has been at his worst on the road this season with a 3.97 ERA and 1.589 WHIP in four starts away from home.

The OVER is 10-1 in Rangers' 11 games after allowing 3 runs or less in consecutive games this season.  The OVER is 27-11 in Morton's last 38 starts.  The OVER is 37-17-3 in Braves last 57 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Brewers/Cardinals NL Central No-Brainer on OVER 8

The St. Louis Cardinals are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.3 runs per game in their last seven games overall.

Freddy Peralta has huge home/road splits for the Brewers and has his entire career.  He is much better at home than he is on the road.  Peralta is 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.818 WHIP in two road starts this season allowing 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 11 innings.  Peralta is 1-4 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.513 WHIP in nine career starts against St. Louis as well.

Jack Flaherty has been a gas can this season as he just cannot get back to his former self due to injury.  Flaherty is 2-4 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.729 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in three home starts.

The OVER is 12-1 in Peralta's last 13 road starts after allowing one or fewer earned run in his last outing.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Cardinals last 11 home games.  The OVER is 7-0-1 in Cardinals last eight home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The OVER is 8-0 in Yankees last eight games overall.  They have been hitting the cover off the ball ever since getting Aaron Judge back in the lineup.  They have scored 6 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 13 games overall.

Alex Manoah is 1-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in eight starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 2.286 WHIP in three home starts.  It isn't official yet, but it appears as the Yankees will go with Jhony Brito, who is 2-3 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in eight starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Angels/Orioles OVER 7.5

The Los Angeles Angels are scoring 5.1 runs per game while the Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  This is a very low total for these two teams, especially with temps in the upper-70's and light winds blowing out to center in Baltimore tonight.

A big reason this total is so low is due to Shohei Ohtani going for the Angels.  But Ohtani has been vulnerable of late, going 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings.  Ohtani allowed 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings in his lone career start at Baltimore.

Greyson Rodriquez is in line to get rocked just as he has all season.  Rodriquez is 2-0 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs in 33 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Angels last nine Monday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/A's OVER 9

The Texas Rangers and Oakland A's are both dead nuts OVER teams. The OVER is 25-15-1 in Oakland games this season, while the OVER is 22-16-1 in Texas games this season.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Oakland this afternoon to help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

The Rangers are scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  The A's are allowing 7.4 runs per game this season.  Oakland has a 6.72 ERA in their bullpen, and the Texas bullpen has a 4.94 ERA on the road.  The Rangers are more than capable of covering this total on their own.

The Rangers should crush Drew Rucinski, who is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.092 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  Andrew Heaney has a 5.25 ERA in seven starts for the Rangers this season and has already allowed 8 homers in 36 innings.

The OVER is 13-3 in Heaney's last 16 starts as a favorite.  The OVER is 10-2 in A's 12 games against left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 8-1 in A's last nine games after scoring two runs or fewer in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.