Today's Guaranteed Free Service Plays & Game Selections
|Marc Lawrence||MLB||Braves +125||Show|
Play - Atlanta Braves w/Teheran (Game 979).
Edges - Teheran: 0.71 ERA and 1.07 WHIP away as opposed to 8.40 ERA and 1.80 WHIP at home this season… Angels: Nolasco 1-3 last four team starts versus the Braves… With Teheran 4-1 his last five away team starts during May, we recommend a 1* play on Atlanta. Thank you and good luck as always.
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|Tony Karpinski||MLB||White Sox +175||Show|
The WhiteSox have been good at home and I love them as a juicy dog on Memorial Day Monday. Quintana is another pitcher who is coming off of his worst outing of the year in his last start. Jose Quintana who retired the first 10 batters he faced vs Arizona last week, went just 4 1/3 innings, allowing eight runs and eight hits, both season highs.
|R&R Totals||MLB||Indians under 9 -115||Show|
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 5-29-17
UNDER 9 Oakland/Cleveland
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|Red Dog Sports||Soccer||Frosinone -120||Show|
Carpi at Frosinone
These two are playing a home and home. Game one ended 0-0 and now they play at Frosinone. The home team is #3 in the table at 21-10-11 (+15 goals) and 4-1-1 in their last 6 home matches. They beat Carpi 1-0 at home earlier. Carpi is #7 at 16-12-14 (+1).
I have seen Frosinone -103 to -120 so look for the best line. I hope to see them win 1-0 on Monday.
|TJ Pemberton||NHL||Penguins -165||Show|
Free Pick: Play on the Penguins
Lay it and play it with the Penguins in game one of this series. Pittsburgh is familiar with being in this type of game and being at home gives them the edge. The Predators are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings while the Penguins are 5-0 in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest. The Predators have a good shot of winning a few games this series but game one goes to the Pens.
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|Matt Fargo||MLB||White Sox +166||Show|
Boston had its six-game winning streak snapped against Seattle on Sunday as it was shutout 5-0 and now heads out on a 10-game roadtrip starting Monday afternoon in Chicago. The Red Sox are 17-10 at home but just 10-12 on the road yet are heavy favorites today because of the starting pitching matchup. Chicago took three of four against the Tigers over the weekend to improve to 11-9 at home and those 20 home games are the fewest of any team in baseball so the White Sox have had a challenging schedule. David Price is set to make his season debut after going through elbow issues. He was roughed up by the Buffalo Bison in his first AAA start, allowing three runs off five hits over two innings of work. He was expected to throw between 85 and 90 pitches, but was pulled after just 65. His second start was not much better as he allowed six runs (three earned) on seven hits in 3.2 innings and while he was able to toss 89 pitches, clearly they were not quality ones. The question remains if he is ready or not and at this price, going against him is the prudent play. Chicago counters with David Holmberg who is making his first start of the season after a successful stint in the bullpen. He did struggle in his short time with Arizona and Cincinnati but that was a while back and he has a better feel now. Last year he made 32 starts between AA and AAA, going 10-9 with a 3.72 ERA. Play (966) Chicago White Sox
Matt is on a +$15,050 profitable run on the bases after a third straight PERFECT 2-0 Underdog SWEEP, part of a PERFECT 9-0 overall RAMPAGE! He returns Monday to keep it going as he has isolated another pair of Underdogs with huge value so do not miss it as we shoot for another PERFECT 2-0 Underdog SWEEP! The winning continues with this pack! Guaranteed to profit!
|John Ryan||MLB||Reds +183||Show|
5* graded play on Cincinnati (977) as they take on Toronto in Inter-league MLB action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Cincinnati will win this game.
Fundamental Matchups and Data Metrics
When the SIM shows, for example, that team A has a 62% probability of winning, it is also dependent on the current line. The goal is always to achieve optimal risk/reward opportunities. So, if Team A is lined at -175 favorite, a 62% projection does not have a solid risk/reward profile when compared a 62% probability aligned with a +140 DOG. In this game today, Cincinnati is today’s edition of that identified DOG. Playing all of these “+140 dogs” and hit say 62%, for example, our cash balances will have a great chance of increasing significantly.
We have a large set of systems that we have coined The BlackJack Systems drawing on the popular casino game. In the game of BlackJack players have essentially a 50% probability of winning or losing money. However, these BJ systems hit in excess of 50% and produce significant amounts of profits over extended periods of time and multiple seasons.
So, let’s construct an example where a system that has gone 60-60 averaging a +140 DOG play. If you played the same number of BJ hands as games wagered (125), you would have made $0 playing $100 per hand. However, if you had played this system, you would have made $8400 from the wins and lost $6000 from the losses, for a net profit of $2400 wagering $100 per hand. This is one of the near-countless reasons our team focuses on identifying the DOGS produced by the SIM and then reinforced by strong matchup fundamentals and other advanced analytics.
Advanced and Predictive Analytics Discussion Points
The following system has produced a 46-39 record hitting 54% winners and has made 42 units/unit wagered since 1997. The system has also averaged an impressive 176 Dog.Play on NL road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.450 to 1.550 on the season and is a good base running team averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season.
The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game.
Toronto starter Stroman is just 9-15 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
Methodology Discussion Points
If you are new to my service and wager methodologies, I utilize several methods of artificial intelligence ranging from back propagation to decision trees and weighted simulated projections. So, when these align, then I get the graded play. In this case, it clearly shows a solid reason to get on board the Reds.
|Mike Lundin||MLB||Pirates over 9 -110||Show|
#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
The over is 5-0-1 in the Pittsburgh Pirates' last six overall, and I think we'll see plenty of runs when they host the Arizona Diamondbacks for the opener of a three-game set Monday afternoon.
Trevor Williams (2-3, 5.93 ERA) takes the ball for the Pirates. He's set to make his fifth consecutive start after opening the season as a reliever. He's yet to go more than five innings and the Pirates' relievers must be exhausted after having combined for 13 2/3 innings in the last three games.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Randall Delgado (1-0, 3.82 ERA) who made his first start of the season when he held the White Sox to two runs on three hits with a homer through four innings on Wednesday. Over is 9-1 in Delgado's last 10 starts overall and Arizona is pretty much in the same spot as Pittsburgh with a taxed pen and a starter unlikely to go deep into the game.
Over is 8-2-2 in the Pirates' last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 6-2 in the last eight meetings with Arizona.
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|Jimmy Boyd||MLB||Dodgers -105||Show|
Free Pick on Dodgers -
Hard to pass up on this value with the red-hot Dodgers in Monday's series opener against the Cardinals. Los Angeles just finished off a 3-game sweep of the Cubs over the weekend an I look for them to carry over that momentum with Rich Hill on the mound. When healthy, Hill has been one of baseball's best starters the last couple of years. The problem is he hasn't been, as he's made only 4 starts so far in 2017. He did have a bad outing last time out at home against these same Cardinals, but I'm confident in his ability to bounce back. Control was the primary problem in that outing, as he walked 7 and only allowed 4 hits. The other big key here is that the Cardinals aren't the same offensive team against left-handed starters. In fact, they are only scoring 3.7 runs/game and hitting a mere .214 as a team against left-handed starters this season. Take Los Angeles!
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|Brandon Lee||MLB||Orioles -106||Show|
10* FREE MLB PICK (Orioles -106)
Baltimore is 15-7 at home this season and should be a bigger favorite than this with the edge they have on the mound here with Dylan Bundy facing off against Jordan Montgomery. Bundy has a sensational 2.92 ERA in 10 starts and is 3-1 with a 2.16 ERA in 5 home starts. He's started once at home against NY and allowed 2 hits over 5 2/3 shutout innings of work. Montgomery has some decent stuff, but just hasn't put it all together and comes in with a 4.30 ERA in 8 starts overall and a 4.58 ERA and 1.302 WHIP in 3 road starts. Baltimore has lost 7 straight, which is creating the value with this line. I fully expect them to deliver and bring home the victory. Give me the Orioles -106!
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|Scott Rickenbach||MLB||A's +222||Show|
16-8, +$8,210 MLB Run with Premium Picks and a long-term +$24,830 MLB Premium Picks Run! 2-0 SWEEP with MLB Top Plays yesterday and his Premium Pick earnings in all sports are +$56,500 in 2017 for the #1 RANKED SPOT on multiple networks! YTD #1 CAPPER Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach continues to DOMINATE week after week and month after month! Make sure you're on board Monday as he has his NHL Total of the Year going (9-1, 90% GOY Run!) and 3 MLB Picks RED HOT (including 2 TOPS) plus this Free Pick:
Oakland Athletics Money Line (+) @ Cleveland Indians @ 4:10 ET - Taking a shot with a big dog here. Sometimes pitchers learn their lessons the hard way and that was the case with the A's Daniel Mengden. He went 10-2 with a 1.46 ERA in the minors last season but got roughed up bad at the MLB level. Now this season Mengden is 2-1 with a 2.21 ERA in his 4 starts in the minors and has certainly earned this call-up. He's not going to let this 2nd opportunity in 2017 end up like 2016's rough season at the MLB level. The Indians are off of a big win yesterday but previously had lost 4 of their last 5 and averaged just 2.5 runs per game in those 4 games. Though Carlos Carrasco has great overall numbers for the Tribe, he has been roughed up in last two starts. The Cleveland right-hander has given up 9 earned runs in the 10 innings spanning his last two starts and walks have been an issue too. The A's are off of back to back losses but previously had won 6 of their last 9 and Oakland averaged scoring 6 runs per game in those 6 wins. This would be a big upset but I can absolutely see it happening given the above reasoning about these pitchers and the fact that the Indians have really been no hotter than the A's of late. By the way, the Tribe are an insane 0-5 (-$10,200) as a home fave of -175 to -250 this season! Upset time! Free Pick on OAKLAND as a BIG DOG on the money line Monday afternoon. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
|Chase Diamond||MLB||Pirates -105||Show|
This game features the 31-21 Arizona Diamondbacks at the 23-28 Pirates. Pirates took a tough loss last night and face a Arizona team that has lost 2 straight and is sending a spot starter to the mound in Randall Delgado. Trevor Willams pitched well last time out and needs a good start. Just 24% of the bets have come in on the home Pirates I love those odds for us as we will back the sharps and take the Pirates at home to get the win for a 15* play.****BE SURE TO CHECK OUT MY 20* MLB ML PLAY WHICH IS 40-24 63% SINCE 9/16/16*****
|Ray Monohan||MLB||Twins +108||Show|
|Bobby Conn||MLB||White Sox over 9½ -120||Show|
1* Free Play on Red Sox/White Sox over 9½ -120
|Mike Williams||MLB||Angels over 8 -110||Show|
1* on Braves vs Angels over 8 -110
|Jim Feist||MLB||Angels over 8 -105||Show|
|Doc's Sports||MLB||White Sox +161||Show|
Monday, May 29, 2017
U.S. Cellular Field
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: David Price vs. Jose Quintana
U.S. Cellular Field is the site of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Chicago White Sox on Monday, May 29, 2017. The probable starting pitchers are David Price for the Red Sox and Jose Quintana for the White Sox.
Boston opens at -175 while Chicago opens at +165. The Red Sox have a 23-23-2 over/under record and a 25-23-0 run line mark. The White Sox are 28-20-0 against the run line and have a 22-23-3 over/under record.
Valuable Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 23-23-2 against the over/under
The Boston Red Sox are 25-23-0 against the run line
Important Chicago White Sox Betting Trends
The Chicago White Sox are 22-23-3 against the over/under
The Chicago White Sox are 28-20-0 against the run line
Key Boston Red Sox Injuries
05/25/17 P David Price Elbow 10-day DL (4/1) expected to be activated to start Monday vs Chicago White Sox
05/06/17 P Tyler Thornbur Shoulder 60-day DL (4/1)
05/04/17 SS Marco Hernandez Shoulder 10-day DL (5/3)
05/01/17 P Steven Wright Knee 60-day DL (4/30)
04/25/17 3B Pablo Sandoval Knee 10-day DL (4/24)
04/21/17 LF Brock Holt Vertigo 10-day DL (4/21)
04/03/17 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
04/03/17 P Roenis Elias Oblique 10-day DL (4/1)
Key Chicago White Sox Injuries
05/28/17 3B Tyler Saladino Back 10-day DL (5/27)
05/26/17 P Dylan Covey Oblique 10-day DL (5/26)
05/15/17 C Geovany Soto Elbow 60-day DL (5/08)
05/04/17 P Nate Jones Elbow 10-day DL (5/1)
04/25/17 P Zach Putnam Elbow 10-day DL (4/23)
04/23/17 CF Charlie Tilson Foot 60-day DL (3/30)
04/21/17 P James Shields Back 10-day DL (4/18)
04/06/17 P Jake Petricka Arm 10-day DL (4/5)
03/31/17 P Carlos Rodon Arm 60-day DL (3/30)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Red Sox have a 27-21 overall record this season. Starting pitcher David Price will be making his season debut for Boston. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.98 and they have given up 116 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the bullpen and they've struck out 152 hitters and walked 48 batters. As a team, Boston allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.79. The Red Sox pitchers collectively have given up 402 base hits and 181 earned runs. They have allowed 56 home runs this season, ranking them 19th in the league. Boston as a pitching staff has walked 125 batters and struck out 462. They have walked 2.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.51.
Our handicappers are experts on MLB betting. Check out our MLB betting tips today.
As a team Boston is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Red Sox hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .346, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.3 hits per game. Mitch Moreland is hitting .274 with an on-base percentage of .369. He has 46 hits this season in 168 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .458 and an OPS+ of 120. Mookie Betts is hitting .275 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .359. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 182 at bats. His OPS+ is 119 while his slugging percentage is at .467. The Red Sox have 446 hits, including 90 doubles and 41 home runs. Boston has walked 177 times so far this season and they have struck out 318 times as a unit. They have left 343 men on base and have a team OPS of .755. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 231 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Chicago has a 22-26 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.82, Jose Quintana has a 2-6 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 60 strikeouts over the 61.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 56 hits. He allows 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 2.50 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .191 against the White Sox bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 166 batters and walked 56 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.68. The White Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 367 base knocks and 173 earned runs this season. They have given up 57 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 167 hitters and struck out 373 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.27.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 14th in the league. The White Sox hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Avisail Garcia comes into this matchup batting .331 with an OBP of .374. He has 59 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 178 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .556 with an OPS+ of 156. Jose Abreu is hitting .298 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 56 hits in 188 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 141 and a slugging percentage of .527. The White Sox as a unit have 412 base hits, including 64 doubles and 54 homers. Chicago has walked 126 times this year and they have struck out on 385 occasions. They have had 305 men left on base and have an OPS of .714. They have scored 4.54 runs per game and totaled 218 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Red Sox/White Sox MLB game against the spread?
Doc's Sports Pick: Take the White Sox +165
|Info Plays||MLB||Red Sox -171||Show|
1* Free Play on Red Sox -171
|Jack Jones||MLB||Nationals -105||Show|
Jack's Free Pick Monday: Washington Nationals -105
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|John Martin||MLB||Blue Jays -1½ +105||Show|
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+105)
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