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Today's Guaranteed Free Service Plays & Game Selections

Rob Vinciletti

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Vanderbilt
Play on: UNDER 42.5 -107
Game Analysis


The free college football SEC Totals play is on the Under in the South Carolina at Vanderbilt game. at 8:00 eastern on ESPN, This game fits a powerful system that pertains to opening week games in this totals range with both tams playing off consecutive losses to close out last season. The Gamecocks are returning just 4 starters on offense but should be improved on defense. Vandy has gone under in 13 of 17 on Turf and 12 of 16 in conference games. In the series these two have stayed under in 9 of the last 13. With this being an early conference affair look for a hard fought lower scoring type game. On Thursday a tremendous card is up with 2 College Football plays, one a 24-1 totals system, the other a 5* Blowout. The MLB Perfect system total of the week and the NFLX Preseason Game of the Year. Dont miss out. We ranked #1 overall in combined football the last 2 seasons. Jump on now and cash out for Thursday. For the College Football free pick. Play South Carolina and Vanderbilt to play under the total. RV

Pick Released on Aug 31 at 10:30 pm

Ben Burns

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 10:00 PM in 22h
NFLX | Seahawks vs Raiders
Play on: Raiders -1½ -115 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Many find Wk 4 of the preseason to be a crapshoot. However, Ben Burns has long enjoyed success in the final week of the exhibition season. Now 5-1 his L6 NFLX releases, Burns is stepping out w/ four big Wk 4 plays.

On an 80% CFB rampage, Ben is also firing with a pair of monsters on Thursday's college card. Get serious this season and get on board!

Playing at home, Seattle beat Oakland 31-21 in the final week of last preseason, the 10th straight year that they closed out their exhibition seasons against each other. On Thursday, hosting the Hawks for just the fourth time in the last 11 preseason meetings, I expect the Raiders to return the favor.

When the teams met here in Week 4 of the 2014 preseason, Oakland won by double-digits. That game set up similarily to this one as Seattle came in at 2-1 while Oakland was 1-2 and off a Week 3 loss. After losing their only other home game, a 27-14 loss vs Tennessee last week, I expect the Raiders to be a little more motivated to win this one than their guests. 

Condition: Consider Oakland at -3 or better. No play if line were to climb above a field goal. 

Pick Released on Aug 31 at 08:39 am

Tony George

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 7:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Southern Miss vs Kentucky
Play on: Southern Miss +7 -130 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Saturday College Underdog Radar Watch

 

 

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

 

 

Southern Miss @ Kentucky  *Saturday 7:30 EST

The CFB kicked off last week with a game that landed right on the Las Vegas Line, Cal winning by 20 over Hawaii. There are games Thursday through Monday this week, so buckle the chinstraps and let’s talk some action.  This weekend I have a match-up I feel the oddsmakers in Las Vegas have not given enough credit to the underdog, and that team is Southern Miss.  With 14 starters back, this is a team that again will contend for a conference championship, as they lost last year to a good Western Kentucky team in the title game in a shootout.  Yes, it is SEC versus a mid-major conference, but this is not Wildcat Basketball, it is Wildcat Football and Mark Stoops is on the hot seat at Kentucky.

Southern Miss is a solid veteran team, and QB Nick Mullens (38 TD passes in 2015) is a flat out stud with 14 starters back from a conference division winning team.  His offensive coordinator ironically is Shane Dawson, who Mark Stoops at Kentucky fired last year, and no doubt has some motivation to beat Stoops and knows the Kentucky team inside and out, and that is an advantage!  Jay Hopsen, former So. Miss Defensive Coordinator takes over the reins at head coach at Southern Miss, and word is the transition has been seamless and Southern Miss is a well-conditioned team with experience, a rock solid RB in Ito Smith who gained over 1100 yards last year, and averaged 6.6 yards per carry.

The setup here is a veteran team with massive offensive potential on the ground and through the air catching big points, and that is always worth a long look.  Add in the fact their QB Mullens is better than Kentucky’s Drew Barker, and the fact this is a young Kentucky team that will start on the OL and DL, 7 Freshman or Sophomores, and you have a perfect storm brewing Lexington this Saturday and the Golden Eagles will no doubt provide a very stiff challenge for Kentucky, even on the road.

I will not come out and say Southern Miss can upset the Kentucky Wildcats, but catching almost a TD on the Las Vegas Line is more than sufficient reason to grab the points and the underdog in this game.  A Southern Miss win would not surprise me one bit.

FREE Selection on Southern Miss +6.5

 

Check out Tony’s award winning action and also check out Tony with his 2 Hour Sunday NFL Show on SB Nation Radio – kicking off this weekend at 9-11 AM EST, for the best in Sports Information with the Las Vegas Twist!

Bases on an 11-3 tear and NFL Week 1 upcoming -  #5 Win% NFL Capper on the Sportscapping system in 2015!  NEED I SAY MORE? 

Pick Released on Aug 31 at 04:58 pm

Jack Jones

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Vanderbilt
Play on: Vanderbilt -4½ -105 at betonline
Game Analysis

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Vanderbilt -4.5

I know the Gamecocks have had the Commodores’ number in winning seven straight in this series, but I believe that streak comes to an end Thursday. The Commodores are simply in better shape than the Gamecocks heading into 2016, and that will show in Week 1 Thursday night.

This should be Derek Mason’s best team yet at Vanderbilt with 15 starters and 57 lettermen returning while only losing 16 letter winners. This is a team that was better than its 4-8 record would indicate last year as it took both Ole Miss and Florida to the wire on the road.

The key for the Commodores is their defense, which gave up just 21.0 points per game last year. Now the Commodores return seven starters on that side of the ball, including one of the best LB corps in the SEC. They have four of their top five tacklers back, led by Zach Cunningham (103 tackles, 16.5 for loss, 4.5 sacks last year).

For the first time in his three-year tenure at Vanderbilt, Mason knows who his starting quarterback will be. Sophomore Kyle Shurmur ran away with the job in practice and he is among eight returning starters on offense. The Commodores have one of the best running backs in the SEC in Ralph Webb, who rushed for 1,152 yards and five touchdowns last year. This offense can only be improved.

South Carolina is in full-on rebuilding mode under Will Muschamp. He steps into a very tough situation as the Gamecocks return just nine starters overall and lose 27 lettermen. This is actually the least-experienced team in the SEC.

The Gamecocks are coming off a 3-9 season and things aren’t going to get much better in 2016. They went 0-5 on the road last year and lost by an average of 15.4 points per game. The Commodores have been a tough out at home of late, going 20-14 at home over the past five seasons.

South Carolina is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 September games. Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last six September games. The Commodores are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 SEC games. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet Vanderbilt Thursday.

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Pick Released on Aug 31 at 01:58 pm

Red Dog Sports

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 3:00 PM in 15h
Soccer | Italy vs France
Play on: Draw +212 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

draw +212

Most places have the draw in the +190 to +200 range when France and Italy play a friendly on Thursday. The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score. I think it ends 1-1.

France 1

Italy 1

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Pick Released on Aug 31 at 01:57 pm

Jeff Allen

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 3:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Texas State vs Ohio
Play on: Ohio -21 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday, September 3rd is on the Ohio Bobcats

Ohio is loaded for Frank Solich who is now the the most successful active coach in the MAC. The Bobcats have not had a losing season since 2006 and are loaded this year and will compete for the conference championship. Texas State is off a disappointing year that forced Coach Fran into retirement and return just 10 starters. This figures to be a slow rebuild for the Bobcats and the schedule maker didn't do them any favors opening them vs. ground and pound Ohio on the road. Lay the points with a home team that generally takes care of business when it's supposed to.

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Pick Released on Aug 24 at 10:12 am

Jesse Schule

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 12:00 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Hawaii vs Michigan
Play on: Hawaii +41½ -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Hawaii #Warriors.

The public loves Michigan this year, and it's easy to see why. The Wolverines completely turned things around winning 10 games last season, after going just 5-7 in 2014. While Jim Harbaugh's first year as Michigan's head coach has come with plenty of fan fair, I believe this team is way overrated. It's important to keep in mind that all 10 of last year's wins came against teams that finished the season unranked. They lost at Utah, at home to Michigan State, and they were blown out at Ohio State.

The Wolverines will host the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors in their season opener, and they are asked to cover an enormous number here. Despite the fact that they played their fair share of cupcakes last season, they didn't win any games by as much as 40 points. Hawaii was brutal last year, losing 10 of 13 games. Many of those losses were blowouts, but even against the likes of Ohio State and Wisconsin, the margin of defeat was less than 40 points.

They lost 38-0 at Ohio State in Week 2, and it's worth noting that Michigan didn't fair much better losing 42-13 when they traveled to Columbus. Hawaii has plenty of talent returning from last season, and this team might just be more competitive than it was a year ago.

The Warriors will get a chance to work out the kinks a week earlier when they play California in Australia. The Wolverines will not have that luxury, with a new quarterback under center in their first game of the season. Even if everything goes smoothly for Michigan, and they somehow manage to build a big early lead, expect Harbaugh to pull the starters which would likely allow Hawaii to get a back door cover.

Take HAW.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Pick Released on Aug 19 at 09:22 am

Marc Lawrence

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 20h
NFLX | Packers vs Chiefs
Play on: Packers +3½ -106 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

Play - Green Bay Packers.

Edges - Packers: 6-1 SUATS Thursday preseason games. Chiefs: 0-9 ATS as preseason home favorites of 4 or less points; and 1-6 ATS favorites in Game Four of the preseason. With Kansas City winless both SU and ATS in its last two preseason games versus NFC North foes, we recommend a 1* play on Green Bay.  Thank you and good luck as always. 

> Marc puts his 6-2 winning start on this year’s NFL preseason to the test with a 7* Killer Play backed with a Game Four Awesome Angle inside the game that has NEVER LOST the money.  You know exactly what to do! 

Pick Released on Aug 31 at 05:20 pm

Doc's Sports

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 10:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Wyoming
Play on: Wyoming +10 -107 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #208 Take Wyoming Cowboys over Northern Illinois Huskies (Saturday 10:30 pm CBSSN) The Huskies struggled to put UNLV away in their opening game last year in DeKalb and I expect similar results on Saturday night in Laramie. NIU put forth one of the most embarrassing performances in decades in their bowl game last year losing 55-7 and have just 33 total yards. This team is trending down and they are coming off a 6 loss season in 2015 and I just do not see things getting any better in 2016. Wyoming took a step back last year and this might be a make or break year for Coach Craig Bohl. I just do not see them getting blown out at home with a ton of returning starters back from last year. It is always a tough place to play in Laramie and Wyoming is 19-3 in their last 22 home openers. Take the points in this contest. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by a full slate of winners you do not want to miss. Doc’s Sports went 7-0 with their opening card in 2013 (+$3,000) and they expect similar results in 2016. Sign-up now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Pick Released on Aug 30 at 03:00 pm

Brandon Shively

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 7:30 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | Indiana vs Florida International
Play on: OVER 61 -107
Game Analysis

This game went ‘Over’ last year, but the total is about a touchdown higher this year. FIU returns 9 on offense this year including their QB (64% 21-8 LY), all 5 O-Line starters (92 car starts). That should pave the way for the offense and Indiana has never been known for their defense. FIU’s defense is a mess with 16 sacks departing on the defensive line which makes this game good for the ‘over’ as the Hoosiers should be able to protect their QB and run their offense. The new QB is Richard Lagow and he looked good in spring (6-6 JUCO finished 11-of-17 for 135 yards). He threw two touchdowns in red zone-specific work. Top 3 WR’s are back to help out with the scoring. Simmie Cobbs 6’4 Jr will replace Jordan Howard at RB but had 226 carries LY as Howard was injured. 

Indiana has a well balanced offense and will look to put up 35+ points here. The weakness for Indiana is that they lost all 4 defensive linemen from last year and there are no expected seniors to start on the defensive line which is a big concern for this game, especially playing their first game on the road against an experienced QB and offensive line of Florida International.(1* Over)

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Pick Released on Aug 30 at 12:01 pm

Sean Higgs

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 3:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | LSU vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin +10 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Sean Higgs College Football FREE PLAY - Look. If these guys beat 'Bama at home, they are in the playoffs. They are that good. But it is tough to go against the defending champs. That being said, Wisconsin is not even close to be as deep or talented as the top 2 SEC clubs. Not a knock. Just the truth. They will bring a tough OL and rushing attack. But I think that the Bayou Bengals rate the clear edge here. Their new DC just left the Badgers! Forget the fact that he boasted a Top 10 defense the last 3 years. I am pretty sure he knows the offensive side of the ball pretty good from facing it in practice daily. Don't be scared of the double digit line here. LSU wins this one going away. -- FREE MONEY on the LSU TIGERS - GL Higgs

Pick Released on Aug 26 at 11:43 pm

Alex Smart

Game Details
Sep 02 '16, 9:00 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Arkansas State
Play on: Toledo +3 -106 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

Toledo beat up on  ASU two seasons ago in the GoDaddy Bowl, 63-44, and clobbered them by a  37-7 count in Toledo last season. The  Rockets lead the all-time series, 4-0 SU and according to my own numbers and matchup statistics this years version of the Rockets  are being vastly under rated here vs a Arkansas State side, that I am betting will not be as explosive as last season. With new QBs and wide recievers, it will take time for this Red Wolves team to jell . With that said, I expect the Red Wolves will struggle for cohesiveness vs a Toledo  team that beat Arkansas last season, and blew out Bowling Green the eventual MAC Champions. With the Rockets  offense getting back four starters on a line that allowed just four sacks, and opened up the lanes for 208 ypg rushing I expect this catalyst  will be the key to us getting a  cover on a value underdog line in this tilt .

Play on the Toledo Rockets to cover (comp selection)

Pick Released on Aug 29 at 09:03 am

Rocky Sheridan

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 3:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -21 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Kent State completely overmatched here in the opener.  Penn State should push the tempo here with this new offense and get this game out of reach by the 3rd quarter.

Free Play on Penn State to cover the number here on Saturday

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Pick Released on Aug 29 at 11:00 pm

Kyle Hunter

Game Details
Sep 02 '16, 7:00 PM in 1d
NCAA-F | Ball State vs Georgia State
Play on: UNDER 52.5 -107
Game Analysis

*3 Star Friday Night Free Play* The Georgia State Panthers offense was all about quarterback Nick Arbuckle the last couple years. Arbuckle threw for more than 7,600 yards in the past two years. This Georgia State team went from 0-12 in 2013 to 6-7 and a bowl berth last year. Arbuckle had a lot to do with that, and he will be missed. 

Georgia State has no one experienced at quarterback ready to step in, and they also have almost no running game. The Panthers offense is going to have to find its way this year, and I think that will take some time. While Georgia State was 47th in tempo last year, I expect a slower pace to start the year with a new signal caller.

Georgia State's defense was much improved last year, and that was the other big reason for their overall improvement as a team. The Panthers have a defensive-minded coach in Trent Miles. Georgia State allowed 43.4 points per game two years and only 28.3 per game last year. This defense returns nine guys and is a senior-laden group. Look for further improvement here.

Ball State returned 10 guys on offense last year and still only managed 23.3 points per game. These two teams played last year at Ball State and the Cardinals only managed 19 points in a loss. Ball State returns 6 guys on offense last year, and like Georgia State I think they need to find an identity. It should take some time.

Defensively, Ball State returns nine starters from last year and star Darnell Smith who missed all of last year with an injury is back as well.

I see a sloppy low scoring game. Take the under. 

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Pick Released on Aug 30 at 04:00 pm

Freddy Wills

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Vanderbilt
Play on: UNDER 42.5 -107
Game Analysis

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South Carolina/Vanderbilt U42.5 1.1% Free Pick

This is obviously already a low total at 42.5 at just over 6 touch downs, but I think we still have some value here when you look at the strengths of each teams which is their defenses. I actually would lean towards South Carolina on the side, I don't think there is much difference between these two schools, but I just can't get too pumped about the hiring of Will Muschamp or backing a team coached by him.

South Carolina was 120th in pace last year averaging just 66 plays per game, and I don't expect much to change when they break in 7 first time offensive starters.  This offense is having to replace 3 starters on the offensive line and they are going up against Vanderbilt, a team whose defense returns 83% of their production.  A team defense that's good enough to win the SEC East.  Vanderbilt held conference opponents to 33% TD percentage in the red zone.  They also held conference opponents to 25% third down conversions.  I think this is a struggle for South Carolina, and I don't think they will try to do too much here on offense.

Vanderbilt on the other hand also has a poor offense that is unlikely to improve with just 59% of their production returning.  This offense was 25th in time of possession, so expect them to run the ball (56% of the time), which falls into the strength of South Carolina's front 7.  The front 7 of South Carolina should be much improved and they have attacking linebackers that should set up Vanderbilt in third and long.  Vanderbilt has to replace two starters on the offensive line and while that does not sound like much they replace a total of 75 starts from Pulley and Bernstein.  Not exciting news for a team that was 102nd in yards per carry a season ago.  I think this is poised to be a very boring low scoring game and South Carolina could be in position to pull the upset.

Pick Released on Aug 30 at 08:11 pm

Michael Alexander

Game Details
Sep 03 '16, 3:30 PM in 2d
NCAA-F | UCLA vs Texas A&M
Play on: Texas A&M -3 -106 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

Rating: 2 Unit NCAAF Free Pick

 

This game looks to be a nice pick for Texas A&M, who have been starting off their season quickly recently. They have won by 52, 52, and 38 points in their opening games the past 3 years, covering the last 2 by 33 and 18 points. Last years QB Allen who had 17 touchdowns with 7 interceptions is gone, but they are now led by former Oklahoma QB Knight, who should be able to do well as he has a veteran receiving corp to help him. The Bruins are currently 10-17 ATS their last 27 contesst and gave up 30 points or more 7 times last year. They do have a returning QB of their own (Rosen) but he lost 5 offensive linemen.

Pick Released on Aug 30 at 10:19 pm

R&R Totals

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 19h
NFLX | Patriots vs Giants
Play on: UNDER 38 -115
Game Analysis

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Pick Released on Aug 31 at 09:11 pm

Pure Lock

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 19h
NFLX | Patriots vs Giants
Play on: Giants -2½ -116 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

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Pick Released on Aug 31 at 10:19 pm

Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 20h
NCAA-F | South Carolina vs Vanderbilt
Play on: Vanderbilt -4 -108 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Free Pick on Vanderbilt - 

It might not show in the win column, but Vanderbilt head coach Derek Mason has this team moving in the right direction. I look for the Commodores to take another big step in 2016 and really surprise some people with how much better they are.

South Carolina on the other hand is in a major rebuilding phase with only 9 starters back. Not to mention they will be adjusting to new systems on both sides of the ball. It’s unclear who will be the starting quarterback for the Gamecocks. It’s down to senior Perry Orth and true freshman Brandon McIlwain.

Either way I think advantage goes to Vanderbilt. Orth doesn’t really do anything great. McIlwain on the other hand would be making his first ever start on the road in a conference game. Chances are whoever starts is going to struggle.

Vanderbilt has 7 starters back on a defense that shined last year. The Commodores only gave up 21.0 ppg and 351 ypg. Pretty impressive given how the offense struggled to stay on the field.

I look for big improvements on offense for Vandy this season. Sophomore quarterback Kyle Shurmur guided the Commodores to two conference wins last year. Doing so as a true freshman. He should be even better and that’s going to make everyone else around him play with more confidence.

The Gamecocks were 0-5 in true road games last year. Their biggest problem away from home being their defense, which gave up 32.7 ppg and 482 ypg on the highway. With only 5 starters back on that side of the ball, the defense will struggle again in 2016.

You also have to factor in the motivational angle here for Vanderbilt. They haven’t beat South Carolina since 2007. That's 7 straight losses against a division rival. They were painfully close last year in Columbia, losing 10-19, despite leading 10-6 midway through the 4th quarter. They turned it over 5 times and the Gamecocks only touchdown game on a 78 yard pass. The Commodores feel like they should have won that game and will be as motivated as ever to end the streak with this being their home opener. 

The Gamecocks are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games played in September. Vanderbilt on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 in September. The Commodores are also 13-6 ATS in their last 19 conference games. Take Vanderbilt for the easy cover on Thursday! 

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Pick Released on Aug 31 at 10:50 pm

Mikey Sports

Game Details
Sep 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 20h
NFLX | Ravens vs Saints
Play on: Saints -5 -112 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

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Pick Released on Aug 31 at 11:04 pm

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