FREE MLB Over-Under Thursday 7-30-15
OVER 8 1/2 Pittsburgh/Cincinnati (MLB)
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Free soccer play is the match on Friday between Nimes and Evian to end in a draw. I think we see a 1-1 final score.
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XANDER LOCKE'S BIG $ NFL TOTAL
I have come up with my own strategic method of picking NFL TOTALS. I am not going to divulge my methods. I have had great success with these methods. Very rarely will I lose more than I win of these games.
TAKE THE UNDER
1* Free Play Minnesota Vikings.
What you see is what you get each year from Pittsburgh, which builds through the draft, doesn’t sign a lot of free agents and basically comes at you. How much Ben Roethlisberger has left is a question asked every September given the number of hits he takes. The biggest change will be at defensive coordinator, where legend Dick Lebeau is gone – which may mean the LBs will be freer to attack the pocket.
The Vikes have Adrian Peterson back and things seem to have calmed down a bit in Minnesota. But then again, Mike Wallace has been on board for only a few months. Vikes are looking for a huge Year 2 improvement from Teddy Bridgewater and if they get it they can make things sticky in the North.
In 2014/15 the Steelers were 1-3 SU/ATS in the preseason and in 2013/14 they were 0-4 SU/ATS. After missing the playoffs in 2013/14, Pittsburgh returned last year only to lose 30-17 to the Ravens in the Wildcard round. Mike Tomlin has clearly not been very worried about winning in the preseason the last few years.
Last year the Vikes went 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in the preseason, after going 1-3 SU/ATS in 2013/14 and 1-3 SU/ATS in 2012/13. For a team which is desperately trying to get back to the playoffs, the preseason suddenly becomes a lot more important.
There are many players on Minnesota which have something to prove, while Pittsburgh will surely be happy to just go through the motions and leave Canton without any significant injuries.
Minnesota would seem to be the more motivated team in this one, consider laying the short points.
07/30 08:10 PM MLB (973) SEATTLE MARINERS VS (974) MINNESOTA TWINS
Take: (974) MINNESOTA TWINS.
Reason: Your free play Thursday, July 30, 2015 is in the MLB contest between Mariners and Twins in Minnesota. The Seattle Mariners head to Minnesota with no punch, the No. 25 offense in baseball. J.A. Happ (4.31 ERA) is not throwing well for Seattle with the team 1-9 his last ten starts. Happ couldn't find the strike zone Saturday, allowing three runs on one hit and four walks over 1.2 innings. Phil Hughes has been solid, with the team 7-1 his last eight starts. The Twins are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, plus 8-3 in their last 11 home games. Hughes tossed seven shutout innings as the Twins spanked the Yankees 10-1 Friday night. He allowed seven hits, did not walk a batter, and struck out three. Hughes (9-6, 3.93 ERA) has been pitching much better of late after a sluggish start to the year. Known for his command, he didn't walk a hitter in this one, and has now turned in 50 consecutive starts where he has walked three or fewer. He is 7-2 at home and sports a 2.25 ERA against Seattle. Play the Twins.
Play - Kansas City Royals w/Duffy.
Edges - Royals: Danny Duffy 6-0 with 1.15 ERA last six team starts, during the month of July. Blue Jays: Marco Estrada 3-7 team starts at night this season, and Toronto 3-7 last ten games versus left-handers. With Duffy 4-0 with a 1.38 ERA in his last four overall team starts, we recommend a 1* play on Kansas City. Thank you and good luck as always.
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FREE MLB play Thursday 7-30-15
NY Mets -108 (MLB)
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FREE MLB play Thursday 7-30-15
Minnesota -139 (MLB)
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On Thursday the free Canadian Football League play is on British Columbia game 321 at 8:35 eastern and televised on Espn 2. British Columbia has won 4 of the last 5 in the series and the last 2 here in Winnipeg. They are 13-5 vs teams under .500 and thats what they will get here tonight with Winnipeg who is 1-6 as a home dog of 3 or less. When Playing with 6 or less days rest Winnipeg is 5-17, off a division loss they check in at 3-13 and they are also a dismal 0-7 when the total is between 49.5 and 52 in their home games. Look for British Columbia to take another in this series. On Thursday the lead play is the 5* MLB Game of the week from a Huge undefeated blowout system winning by over 3 runs since 2004. We also have a Powerful MLB Totals play with 8 big statistical angles. MLB SWEEPS on Wednesday Jump on now and put this industry leading data on your side. For the free CFL Play. Take British Columbia tonight on Espn 2. RV
Kansas City+ over Toronto
The Blue Jays coming off an easy win over erroring Philadelphia, now must face a KC a unit that they have had recent success against. Still, prefer the visitor with Duffy (4.03) on the hill. In July the LHP has been solid with a 3-0 mark, and a 1.37 ERA to boot. Back on July 10th Duffy (4-4) stopped the Jays 3-0 with 6 innings of work and no earned runs. In game #1 of a series the Royals are a MONSTER 10-1 with Duffy hurling. In addition, Toronto has been extremely faulty off a win going 1-10 coming into action...KC!
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1* free play on the Houston Astros...
The Houston Astros have picked up the "W" in both of the first two games of this three-game set against the Los Angeles Angels at Minute Maid Park. They've now holding a one-game lead to the Halos for the AL West top spot and I think they'll pull away with another victory tonight.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Pitching - The Angels hand the ball to Matt Shoemaker (5-7, 4.55 ERA) who's coming off six shutout innings of a 7-0 home-win against the Twins. He was torched for six runs on six hits with three homers in only three innings against the Astros back in May and is 4-1 away from home for the season despite posting a 5.06 ERA in nine outings. He may not be able to count on much run-support tonight when the Astros can counter with Scott Kazmir (6-5, 2.24 ERA) who impressed in his debut with his new club allowing only three hits in seven innings of a 3-0 win at Kansas City. He held the Angels to one run on six hits in 7 1/3 innings with the A's earlier in the season.
2. Situational - The Halos are have lost 12 of their last 14 as a road underdog and they're 1-5 in Shoemaker's last six starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. The Astros are 7-1 in their last eight games as a favorite.
3. X-Factor - The current members of the Astros have a combined .390 batting average against Shoemaker with Jose Altuve going 4-for-7 with a double and a homer.
Selection: This is a play on the Houston Astros (Free)
Nationals RH Max Scherzer (10-8, 2.33 ERA) vs. Marlins RH Dan Haren (7-6, 3.51)
Scherzer the Nationals starter this afternoon in Miami gave up five runs against Pittsburgh on Friday. But, in the starts directly following two other five-run outings this season, the veteran hurler owns a 2-0 record and 1.72 ERA. Meanwhile, DanHaren has just one win in his last nine trips to the hill, despite turning in six quality starts in that period of time. He also owns a very viable 2.83 ERA in 10 home starts, compared to a slightly bloated 4.16 ERA in 10 road outings. Im expecting a pitcher duel in the heat and humidity of South Florida this afternoon.
Under is 8-3 in Scherzers last 11 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower.Under is 34-14-3 in Marlins last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Ply UNDER the set total 1/2 unit comp selection
Free Pick on Cubs -
Chicago got back on track by taking 2 of 3 against the Rockies, including yesterday's 3-2 win. The Cubs know they have to keep it going and a trip to Milwaukee could should do the trick. The Brewers have dropped 6 of 8 and have maintained one of the worst records in the league all season. I look for the Milwaukee to be dragging a bit here as they just got back home from a 7-game road trip against the Diamondbacks and Giants.
The key here is the starting pitching matchup and the advantage that it gives the Cubs. Chicago will send out Jake Arrieta, who is 7-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.965 WHIP over 10 road starts. Arrieta also comes in with a sensational 1.64 ERA and 0.773 WHIP over his last 3 outings. The Brewers counter with Jimmy Nelson, who has a 4.17 ERA in 8 home starts and is 0-3 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in 4 career starts versus Chicago.
Cubs are 6-2 in their last 8 as a road favorite and a perfect 5-0 in Arrieta's last 5 road starts as a favorite. Milwaukee is 2-8 in their last 10 as a home dog of +110 to +150 and 1-5 in Nelson's last 6 home starts against a team with a winning record. Take Chicago!
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10* FREE MLB PICK ON ASTROS -144
With Mike Trout doubtful for today's matchup, I think there's some solid value here on the Astros at home. Houston has won 7 of 9 and retaken the top spot in the AL West. Hard to not like their chances given the starting pitching matchup. The Astros will send out newly acquired starter Scott Kazmir, who dazzled in his Houston debut with 7 shutout innings of a 4-0 win at KC. Kazmir has a ridiculous 0.49 ERA and .709 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Angels will send out Matt Shoemaker, who has a 4.98 ERA in 8 road starts and a ugly 8.00 ERA and 1.889 WHIP in 2 career starts against the Astros. Houston is 23-9 in their last 32 after 2 or more consecutive wins and Kazmir is a dominant 47-17 in his last 64 starts when listed as a favorite of -125 to -175. Roll the Astros -144!
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FREE MLB play Thursday 7-30-15
Cincinnati +132 (MLB)
The Angels are barking at +141. This is a capable team that is fighting for positioning against the Astros and will come out motivated to reverse their fortunes.
Speaking of fortunes...16-5 since July 17th has SportsAtari and his subscribers counting the stacks. Another win yesterday and 6 out of 8 recent games.
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