Daily Free Sports Picks

MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies
Philadelphia Phillies
+145
  at  BMAKER
in 5h

Free Play for Sunday

Phillies +145

Bottom Line: The Phillies have dropped the first 2 games or the series but are showing value at this price in Game 3 against a club they are 36-17 against in the last 53 meetings.  The Rockies are just 16-36 in their last 52 games following a win, 24-54 in their last 78 Sunday games and 3-8 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.  They are 2-7 in Nicasio's last 9 Sunday starts, 1-4 in his last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance, 2-9 in his last 11 starts on 4 days of rest, 1-5 in his last 6 starts during game 3 of a series and 0-4 in his last 4 starts versus the National League East.  The Phillies will be a lot more familiar with Nicasio because they saw him twice last season and won both games.  The Rockies haven't faced Hernandez since 2011.

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NHL  |  Apr 20, 2014
Los Angeles Kings vs. San Jose Sharks
Total
5 un-110
  at  BMAKER
in 11h

I'm recommending a play on the Under between the Kings & Sharks on Sunday night.  Game-1 was certainly an anomaly between these two teams.  The Sharks broke out to a 5-0 lead and held on for a 6-3 win.  Nine goals was a far cry from what has been a hotly contested rivalry.  Before Thursday, the teams had combined to score a total of 36 goals in their previous 10 meetings, an average of just 3.6 gpg.  We saw a lot of slop on the Kings defensive end in Game-1 and Jonathan Quick had a horrible night between the pipes, losing track of the puck early and often.  But with the out-burst out of the way, I expect a return to head-to-head form in this one.  Kings games are on an 18-5-6 Under run after their opponent scored at least 5 goals in their previous game and they're 5-0-2 to the Under if they allowed 5 or more goals in their previous contest.  And finally, the Under is 15-7-1 in San Jose's last 23 games on home ice.  I look for more of the same in this one.  I'm recommending a play on the Under between the Kings & Sharks on Sunday night.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

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MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
-120
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

FREE PLAY for 4/20

Cincinnati Reds -120

The Key: Homer Bailey is off to a rough start, but I look for him to get things turned around against a Chicago club he has owned.  The Reds are 9-0 in Bailey's last nine starts against the Cubs with five of the wins coming in the Windy City.  Bailey has held the Cubs to two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts against them.  Bailey hasn't been the only Cincy starter who has had success against the North Siders as the Reds are 48-19 in the last 67 meetings, including 20-6 in the last 26 in Chi-Town.  Take the Reds.

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NBA  |  Apr 20, 2014
Portland Trailblazers vs. Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
-5½-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 10h

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Houston Rockets -5.5

The Rockets made the biggest splash this offseason by signing top free agent Dwight Howard. The move appears to have paid off as the Rockets won 54 games and earned home-court advantage in the first round of the postseason. They did so despite the fact that Howard missed 11 games, and backup center Omer Asik missed 34. Having these two healthy in the playoffs could be absolutely huge.

James Harden (25.4 ppg, 6.1 apg, 4.7 rpg) had one hell of a year as the leader of this team. His ability to get to the free throw line at will and cash in 86.6 percent of his attempts has been huge. Chandler Parsons (16.6 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 4.0 apg) took his game to another level this year. Howard (18.3 ppg, 12.2 rpg, 1.8 bpg) was his old dominant self when healthy.

A couple of guys emerged on the scene as difference-makers as well. Terrance Jones (12.1 ppg, 6.9 rpg) came out of nowhere to play a massive role for this team. He shot 54.2 percent from the field in 27 minutes per game. Jeremy Lin (12.5 ppg, 4.1 apg) and Patrick Beverly (10.2 ppg) were interchangeable at point guard. All in all, it was a very good season, yet this team appears to be getting overlooked heading into the playoffs.

The Rockets really were impressive against the Blazers this season. They won three of four games while outscoring them by an average of 6.5 points per game. The Blazers had no answer defensively, giving up an average of 116 points per game to Houston.

This advantage blends in with the head-to-head series. Harden averaged 30.3 points, 7.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists against the Blazers this season. Howard was just as dominant, averaging 25.5 points and 13.5 rebounds in the season series. Harden did his damage against both Matthews and Batum, who he will be seeing plenty of in this series. The Blazers are only a few early fouls for Brook Lopez away from having a serious problem trying to stop Howard.

The Trail Blazers are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 Conference Quarterfinals games.  Portland is 3-12 ATS after scoring 110 points or more over the last two seasons.  Houston is 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover four or five of its last six games against the spread.  Bet the Rockets in Game 1 Sunday.

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NBA  |  Apr 20, 2014
Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
-9½-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Free Pick on Spurs -

The Spurs own the Mavericks and I don't expect that to change in the playoffs. San Antonio swept the season series and have won 9 straight overall. Three of the four wins this season came by at least 9-points, which is pretty telling just how much of an edge the Spurs have against Dallas.

The one thing Dallas does really well is score the basketball, which doesn't do them a whole lot of good against the Spurs. San Antonio is more than capable of outscoring teams and they shouldn't have any trouble filling up the stat sheet against the Mavericks defense. Dallas doesn't have an answer for Tony Parker defensively, which ends up in the Spurs getting an opener 3-pointer just about anytime they want. San Antonio is also one of the better teams in the league at slowing down Dirk Nowitzki.

There's a strong system in play on the Spurs. Excellent shooting teams (>=47.5%) against an poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%), average rebounding team (+/-3 Reb/G) against a poor rebounding team (-3 to -5.5 Reb/G) at least 42+ games into the season are 39-15 ATS since 1996. That's a 72% system in favor of San Antonio!

NHL  |  Apr 20, 2014
Philadelphia Flyers vs. NY Rangers
NY Rangers
-160
  at  BMAKER
in 1h
On Sunday the Free NHL Play is on the NY. Rangers. Game 78 at 12:05 eastern. As seen below teams up 1-0 all time in the NHL Playoffs are 72-51 in round 1. The Rangers are 9-0 here vs Philadelphia and outscoring them 35-10 in those 9 wins. The Rangers have a big goaltending edge with Lundquist and dominated the 3rd period of game game outscoring the Flyers 3-0 to take the momentum into game 2. The Rangers have won 14 of 15 when playing off 3+ games that went under and are 9-4 on Sundays. They have the #3 power play kill unit. Philly has lost 11 of 16 with 2 days rest and both recent times when trailing in a series and 6 of 9 in April. Look for the Rangers to make all Easter Parishioners happy as they take game 2. On Sunday end the week big as we have 2 Powerful NBA Power system plays one is 100%, their is the MLB Sunday night total of the Month, a 100% dog system and NHL. For the free Early play take the NY. Rangers. RV
 
 
 
MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Total
9 un-115
  at  BMAKER
in 8h

1* Free Play “under” Red Sox/Orioles.

 

This is the Sunday night ESPN game and I believe this one sets up as a classic pitchers duel. The Orioles will send Ubaldo Jimenez (0-3, 7.31 ERA) to the hill to face the Red Sox. Jimenez has had a poor start to the season but this is the perfect opponent for the struggling starter to get untracked against; the Red Sox have been inconsistent at the plate this season, so this is Jimenez’s moment to start turning things around. Boston's Jake Peavy (0-0, 1.93) is unbeaten in his last 10 regular-season starts, going 3-0 with a 3.17 ERA. He struck out eight and gave up one run in six innings in Tuesday’s 2-1 road loss to the Chicago White Sox. Peavey has pitched well against the Orioles with 3.15 ERA and 2-0 record. Baltimore’s best hitter in Chris Davis is 2 for 17 with eight strikeouts against Boston this year and hitless in five at-bats versus Peavy. Keep in mind that the lower number is 3-1 in Boston games when the total number is set at either 9 or 9.5. Also, the Red Sox have seen the total go “under” the number in six of nine vs. divisional opponents this year. Four of five games between these two teams this season (including last night’s game) saw the lower number hit. I believe the stage is once again set for a lower-scoring affair. How about you? Pitchers duel or slugfest?

 

AAA Sports

MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals
St. Louis Cardinals
+130
  at  BMAKER
in 2h
Free Baseball Pick

St. Louis at Washington
1:35pm
St. Louis +130

Red Dog Sports won their Saturday free pick on Columbus in NHL action as the Blue Jackets beat Pittsburgh in overtime. Our Sunday free baseball pick is on the Cardinals against Stephen Strasburg. Strasburg lost his last start at Miami and lost a 4-2 decision back in 2013 to the Cardinals. St. Louis can struggle versus lefties as they did Friday night against Gio Gernandez but Matt Carpenter, John Jay, Matt Holiday, etc. are solid vs. righties. Plenty of value on the road team on Easter Sunday.

FREE PLAY on St. Louis +130



MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
-116
  at  BMAKER
in 3h

FREE MLB play Sunday 4-20-14

 

Analysis coming.

 

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NBA  |  Apr 20, 2014
Portland Trailblazers vs. Houston Rockets
Total
214 ov-115
  at  BOVADA
in 10h

Portland @ Houston

 
By Tony George
 
 
The Blazers looked like the team to beat early in the season but fell from grace somewhat down the stretch and in the mid season, but one thing is for sure, Houston will have their hands full in the first round of the NBA Playoffs with the Blazers.  The Rockets with Howard and Harden plus a supporting cast are not going to be an easy out for anyone this playoff season either.  This should be a high flying affair with the Rockets winning this series.  
 
Another thing that is for sure is that the scorekeeper and scoreboard are going to be busy in this series, as both teams can flat out light it up.  Houston ranks second in the NBA in scoring and Portland ranks fourth.  The Rockets averaged 116 ppg against Portland this year and the Blazers averaged 109 against the Rockets.  Some concern with Hardens injury here for the Rockets laying 5 points in this opener but one thing you can bank on is some high scoring affairs in this one and I am all over the Total in game 1 as a free Pro Pick.  
 
Lean to the OVER 214.5 
 
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MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
-142
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Sunday MLB Free Play from Doc’s Sports Take #916 Detroit Tigers over Los Angeles Angels (Sunday, 1:05pm EST)  We got to the window with the Detroit Tigers over the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday, and we like them again on Sunday for a lot of the same reasons. The Tigers will face their second southpaw in as many days and they are built to hit well against left-handers. Hector Santiago has struggled in his first three starts with the Angels, putting up a 4.96 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. There’s a reason the White Sox unloaded him without hesitation, but the Angels were desperate for rotation depth. The Tigers send righty Rick Porcello to the hill for this one. Porcello has been somewhat of an enigma over his short career, but he’s gotten marginally better in each of his five seasons and is clearly the better of today’s hurlers. He’ll go up against a depleted Angel’s lineup that is missing Josh Hamilton and Kole Calhoun – two-thirds of its starting outfield.  It’s also important to point out that the Tigers have been one of the best teams at home over the last few seasons. They’ve won 50+ games at home for five straight seasons – a feat that no other team has accomplished during that time. Take Porcello and the Tigers to get the job done here

MLB  |  Apr 20, 2014
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Total
9½ ov-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, April 20, 2014 is on the Cubs/Reds Over 

This looks to be one of those classic chuck and duck matchups. Cincinnati's Homer Bailey is off to an 0-1 start with an 8.16 ERA in three starts after signing a big deal in the off season. All three of those starts went over the total. He's allowed 29 baserunners and served up six dingers in just 14 1/3 innings of work. His last start at Wrigley, he was fortunate to come away a 6-4 winner giving up all four runs and three homers. The Blue Bears Carlos Villaneuva rocks an 11.97 ERA in two starts allowing 12 earned on 20 hits in 9 1/3 innings. Even with the big high/low, if either pitcher throws to current form, it's hard to imagine how this one wouldn't "fly" over the total. 

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