The MLB Comp play is on the Oakland A/S at 4:05 eastern. Oakland fits a powerful MLB Database system that is 22-5 and plays on home favorites off a home favored win that scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits, vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 2 or less runs and had 4 or less hits like Houston. The Astros are 1-7 vs Divisional teams, 3-11 on the road and 0-4 vs left handers hitting just .229. Hill is Pitching for Oakland and he has a 2.42 Era which is better than the 5.56 Era that D. Fister has. Play on Oakland. On Sunday the start the Month off big with the NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Game of the Year backed with 2 Superb systems, The Game 1 West conference 18-2 system is up along with ESPN Sunday night MLB Totals play. Jump on and end the week big. For the MLB Free pick. Play on Oakland. RV
Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Cleveland Indians -125
The Cleveland Indians are showing great value as only -125 favorites over the Philadelphia Phillies Sunday. The Indians will be motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this interleague series.
I like their chances of taking Game 3 today with Danny Salazar on the mound. The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.043 WHIP in four starts this season with 26 strikeouts in 23 innings and only 11 hits allowed.
Vincent Velasquez started the season very strong, but he has cooled off in his last two starts. He has allowed 8 runs, 5 earned, in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals and Mets.
Philadelphia is 0-7 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 3 runs or less five straight games since 1997. Cleveland is 12-2 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. Bet the Indians Sunday.
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#MLB Free Pick Sunday
Play: Under 8.5 Runs
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The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the Texas Rangers and the Los Angeles Angels, and odds are Sunday's contest at Arlington will stay under the total as well.
Cole Hamels (3-0, 2.52) will take the ball for the Rangers coming off a solid outing against Houston on April 20 when he held the Astros to one run on five hits in 6 2/3 innings. The left-hander returns to the mound after a 10-day layoff because of a sore groin, and facing LAA could be just what the doctor ordered as he has a .160 BAA against the current members of the Angels.
The Halos turn to Garrett Richards (1-3, 2.35 ERA) who went 0-3 over his first four turns this season despite allowing three earned runs or fewer in each outing. He did get some run support in a 6-1 win against the Royals his last time out, but that will likely not be the case today.
Under is 9-2-1 in Angels last 12 overall and 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 6-1 in Rangers last seven overall.
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10* FREE MLB PICK (Astros/A's UNDER 8.5)
Oakland took Game 2 of the series 2-0 yesterday and I look for another low-scoring affair at the pitcher friendly Coliseum on Sunday. The A's will send out one of the more underrated starters in the game right now in Rich Hill, who has a 2.42 ERA and 1.269 WHIP in 5 starts with a ridiculous 37 strikeouts in 26 innings of work. Houston is a team that strikes out a lot and Hill should have the Astros hitters whiffing early an often in this one. Houston will send out Doug Fister, who has a not so impressive 5.56 ERA and 1.500 WHIP, but will be facing a bad Oakland offense. The A's are scoring just 2.9 runs/game at home and a mere 2.6 runs/game with a .176 team average in 9 day games. Give me the UNDER 8.5!
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I'm recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Arizona will look to avoid a home sweep at the hands of division rival Colorado. The Diamondbacks looks to be getting "just what the doctor ordered," facing Rockies' hurler Chad Bettis. The "Snakes" crushed Bettis in his first start this season, but that was nothing new. Arizona has tagged Bettis for 16 earned runs, 37 base runners, and four home runs, in six appearances against them, spanning 19 2/3 IP. That's a hefty 7.31 ERA, 1.88 WHIP, and a 1.83 HRs/9 IP ratio. Shelby Miller could sure use a decent start. He's off a rough April, but faces a team he dominated in three home starts over the previous three seasons. Miller was also at his best in daytime action from 2013 through 2015. We also believe this is a case of good timing. Miller's mechanics got back on track last time out, and as reported, his pitches had quality movement. But because of his April struggles, we're getting a nice price with the home team. Arizona enters on a 32-14 run and averaging 6 rpg against bullpens averaging at least 4 IP per game. Colorado's overused pen fits the bill. I'm recommending a play on the Diamondbacks on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Free Pick on Trail Blazers +
The betting public has jumped all over the Warriors in Game 1 at basically a double-digit dog. I really like the value here with Portland, who I believe is going to give the Warriors a bigger scare than a lot of people think with Curry on the sidelines. Unlike the Rockets, who were a complete mess, the Trail Blazers are a young team that is confident and going to give everything they have to win this series.
All the pressure is on the Warriors to open up the series and that makes Portland a dangerous team in this spot. Game 1 can be a spot where the home team lets their guard down just a little. The big key here is that we don't need the Blazers to pull off the upset. All we need is for them to lose by 9 or less, which I'm confident they will.
The last time these two teams played the Warriors won 136-111, which is important to note. Road teams revenging a blowout loss of 20 or more points against an opponent off a home win are 77-50 (61%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Portland!
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I like the draw when these two play on Sunday afternoon.
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Indiana has played well in this series and probably a bit above their heads, too. We think the cream rises to the top tonight and that the better team will advance and cover the number. The Raptors have had a lot of trouble in the playoffs in the past but this is the best team they have had in the last few years and this squad is just ready to take the next step. Indiana has covered three straight in this series but the last one could have gone either way at the end but Toronto was more inclined to protect the lead instead of cover the spread. The fact that Indiana has done so well in this series just gives us a great line here as we had this one handicapped at 8. Anything on the other side of the key NBA number of 7 is golden in our eyes. Toronto is one of the best home teams in the NBA and this crowd will be absolutely bonkers on Sunday and we don’t see any way the Raptors just don’t dominate this one. Great series Indiana, but this one is going the way of the Raptors.
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Dave's Sunday Free Play:
1* on St. Louis Cardinals -105
The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals come in hungry for a win against the Washington Nationals today. They have lost the first 2 games of this series and want to salvage it with a Game 3 victory. Carlos Martinez has been their best starter this season as he's 4-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 4 starts, so he should get the job done. Max Scherzer is actually showing signs of regression in the early going at 2-1 with a 4.35 ERA in 5 starts. Scherzer has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Martinez is 14-1 (+13.2 Units) against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. Take St. Louis.
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