I like the draw in this match from Brazil that takes place on Sunday.
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XANDER LOCKE'S BIG $ NFL TOTAL
I have come up with my own strategic method of picking NFL TOTALS. I am not going to divulge my methods. I have had great success with these methods. Very rarely will I lose more than I win of these games.
TAKE THE UNDER
Play on Game #148 Arizona Wildcats (9/03/2015)
This is a huge mismatch for Texas- San Antonio in their first game of the season. UTSA only returns 6 starters this season. I will also note that this offense only threw for 5 TD's last season. They lose ALL of their starting wide receivers and now the leading receivers on the team are their tight end and running back. The new quarterback will not have much time in the pocket in this game as the Arizona pass rush will be fierce (Scooby Wright for Arizona was PAC 12 DPOY last season with 14 sacks and 15 TFL). The UTSA offensive line lost 179 career starts after last year and now they have only have 2 offensive linemen that have started more than one game. Arizona has a HUGE advantage at the line of scrimmage in this game. On defense, UTSA returns ZERO defensive linemen and also lose 110 starts in the secondary. Arizona returns 85% of their offense from last season and have 2 transfers ready to step in on the offensive line.
UTSA played @ Arizona in 2013 and were listed as a 24.5 road dog and Arizona won 38-13, barely covering the spread. The spread for this game is about 7 points more but the difference is that UTSA had 18 returning starters in 2013 and now have only 6. The other difference is this is Rich-Rod's 4th year as the Arizona head coach and now his recruits are fitting into the spread offense and they are even more high-powered.
Arizona is led by QB Anu Solomon who shined last season as a freshmen. Arizona scored 42 or more points in 5 games so obviously they have the offensive firepower. I will also note they opened the season last year with a big 58-13 win vs. UNLV as a 23.5 point home favorite. They then traveled on the road to play UTSA where they only won 26-23. Playing on the road, they still outgained UTSA by 105 yards in Solomons 1st career start on the road. Solomon is back at home for this game and in his 2nd year with the offense, look for a lot of points to be put on the board from the Wildcats.
Arizona will remember the close game from last season and will be highly motivated to step on the gas early and often in this one. This game has 'Blowout' written all over it. I know this spread is big, but I think we will see a final score in the 52-13 range. I will say that Arizona will have this spread covered by at least a touchdown and even a late score by UTSA will not make a difference. Arizona -31.5 is definitely worth a closer look on Thursday Night.
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The Bears of 2014 were a rabble and they're now significantly worse with key players such as Brandon Marshall and (the oft injured but talented) Charles Tillman, as well as a host of role players now gone. They have a new head coach and a QB in Jay Cutler who throws picks regularly. If you are a Bears supporter and thought last season was bad, strap yourself in because you aint seen nothing yet!
The Packers high octane offense will be ready to roll again this season and we don't need to say a lot about them - they should chalk up 12-13 wins and win the NFC North again. Rodgers is arguably the best QB in the game and the fact that the Packers should have made the Superbowl last season should see them very motivated. Games against the weaker sides like Chicago will be important and this one should be pretty one sided.
Take the Packers -6 points here.
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Western Kentucky has nine starters back on defense– a defense that ranked 111th against the run, 121st against the pass and 120th in total yards per game allowed (128 teams ). So having those 9 starters back, from that type of unit may not necessarily be a good thing. HC Derek Mason has placed the Commodores dead last in the conference according to alot of pundits. But Im not sold on the fact that the Commodores are that bad of a team. I know their opponents in game 1 of their non conference schedule Western Kentucky is one one of the most explosive College Football teams in the nation behind Brandon Doughty, but Im betting the Commodores 2nd year 3-4 defense will improve enough under Masons tutelage to slow down this monster attack. Remember Vandy has a defensive front seven that returns five starters and they all play tenacious smash mouth football that is contagious to the rest of D . Yes, I know Vandy has alot of question marks on offense, but even the most pedestrian attack has been able to slice and dice the Toppers D in the past, and until they show improvement Im betting against them.
Play on Vanderbilt to cover 1/2 unit comp selection
Last season I finsihed my College Football Camapign 4th overall in the nation, and on a 86-56 61% run and Im expecting another viable season in 2015-16.
1* Free Play UNDER Cubs/Dodgers.
The visitors hand the ball to Jon Lester (8-8, 3.21 ERA) who went 8 2/3's scoreless innings vs. the Tribe on Monday, giving up just one walk to six K's. Note that Lester owns a respectable 3.24 road ERA this season. The home side counters with Mat Latos (4-9, 4.81 ERA), who returns to the rotation after a stint in the bullpen, the veteran is a poor 0-2 in three starts since joining the Dodgers, looking brilliant in his first outing, but struggling in the other two. We feel the extra time off will benefit Latos here though and with these two competent veterans battling it out on Saturday night, the UNDER does indeed become a very legitimate investment opportunity in this particular matchup.
08/29 09:10 PM EST MLB (961) CHICAGO CUBS VS (962) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free play Saturday, August 29th 2015 is in the MLB contest between the Cubs and the Dodgers in Los Angeles. Dodger stadium is a huge park, great for pitchers, and a shaky Chicago offense is in town, 16th in baseball in runs scored. They have a an ace on the mound in Jon Lester (3.44 ERA), with the team 10-3-1 under the total when he starts. Lester struck out six and walked one while holding the Indians to one run on six hits over 8.2 innings in a no-decision Monday. The Under is 8-0-1 in Lester's last 9 starts with 4 days of rest. The Dodgers are on a 6-1 run under the total and go with veteran Mat Latos, with a 1.29 ERA against the Cubs this season. When these teams clash the under is 13-6-3 in the last 22 meetings in Los Angeles. Play the Cubs/Dodgers Under the total.
Game 278: Denver -5.5
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