Daily Free Sports Picks

MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
-142
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

I'm playing CLEVELAND.  

The Indians go for the sweep of Minnesota this afternoon and they couldn't have asked for a better pitcher to help them pull it off.  Right now, Corey Kluber is on the streak of a lifetime.  I used him in his most recent start as he went 7.2 innings and gave up just one run on five hits.  He struck out 10.  Though Kluber did not factor into the decision, what's important is he gave his team a chance to win and they did, 2-1 over Baltimore.

I'll put Kluber's last five starts up against any stretch any pitcher has had all season.  During this time, he has allowed just three runs (one of them unearned) in 39 innings, twice going the distance. The most hits he's allowed in any of those games was six.  He also has a 45-5 KW ratio. Unbeaten over his last eight outings, opponents are batting just .161 against Kluber in his last six starts.  He has a 1.19 ERA his last 10.

Somehow, despite being division rivals and playing Cleveland 12 times, Minnesota has avoided Kluber this season.  So they may be unprepared for what they're in for.

Like Kluber, Twins starter Phil Hughes has pitched well lately. The difference is that Hughes' numbers fall well short of Kluber's over the long-term.  Hughes has struggled somewhat at Target Field this season (4.76 ERA in 12 starts).  Seeing as Cleveland has won five of six and Minnesota has lost five of six, it's easy to side with the better pitcher and the hotter team.  1* free play.

MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
+115
  at  5DIMES
in 7h

The Red Sox will be out to avoid the sweep tonight as they have dropped the first three games of this series and are riding a four-game losing streak overall. The offense has been able to do nothing during the skid as they have scored a total of nine runs over the four games and while they were underdogs the first three games in this series, those were against C.J. Wilson, Jered Weaver and Garrett Richards and they take a step down in opposing pitching tonight. The Angels meanwhile has won three straight games and seven of their last eight to take over the lead in the American League West by a game and a half over Oakland. They visit the A's starting tomorrow so there could very well be a lookahead going into that big series. The recent run has given Los Angeles the best record is baseball but it is 5-14 in its 19 road games this season against American League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better. Rubby De La Rosa has a 3.79 ERA on the season and that goes down to 3.25 at home in six starts with four of those resulting in quality outings. He is coming off a poor start against the Astros where he allowed six runs in four innings but he allowed six runs in a game about a month ago and followed that up with a quality outing and I expect the same tonight. The Red Sox are 5-1 in De La Rosas six home starts. The Angels go with Matt Shoemaker who has a very comparable ERA but has not been very consistent, especially on the road. He has a 2.72 ERA at home but that balloons to 5.70 on the road and while he has been winning, he has been fortunate to get great run support which I feel comes to an end tonight. Play (966) Boston Red Sox

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MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
-125
  at  BMAKER
in 7h

Thursday's Free MLB Pick  ---Los Angeles Angels -125---

The Angels have taken each of the first 3 games of their series at Boston and I look for them to finish off the 4-game sweep tonight. LA has won 7 of their last 8 overall and with the talent this team has offensively I look for them to put up a big number against Red Sox starter Rubby De La Rosa, who was just rocked at home by the Astros for 6 runs on 9 hits and 4 walks. Control has been a major issue for De La Rosa, as he's walked a ridiculous 18 batters over his last 6 starts (34 innings). The Angels will counter with Matt Shoemaker who despite an ugly 5.18 ERA, he's 5-1 with a strong 1.182 WHIP over 6 road starts. Shoemaker simply had 1 bad start on the road at Kansas City, which drove up his ERA. He's not allowed more than 2 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts, two of which were on the road.

Key Trends/System - LA is 36-16 in their last 52 as a favorite, 40-13 in their last 53 against a team with a losing record, 5-1 in their last 6 on the road and 12-2 in their last 14 road games with a total set between 9 and 10.5 runs. Boston is 6-14 in their last 20 vs a team with a winning record, 7-19 in their last 26 as a home dog and 3-12 in their last 15 with a total set between 9 and 10.5 runs. BET THE ANGELS -125!

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MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs
San Francisco Giants
-158
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: San Francisco Giants -158

The San Francisco Giants (66-59) hold a slim lead over the likes of Atlanta (one game back) and Pittsburgh (two games back) for the final wild card spot in the National League.  Look for them to take care of business against the Chicago Cubs (55-71) tonight due to their motivation and edge on the mound.

Madison Bumgarner has been one of the more underrated starters in baseball since he joined the league.  The left-hander has gone 13-9 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.136 WHIP in 26 starts, 9-3 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.906 WHIP in 14 road starts, and 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.583 WHIP in his last three.

Bumgarner is also 4-2 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in eight career starts against Chicago.  He'll be opposed by Travis Wood, who has struggled mightily all year.  The left-hander is 7-10 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.524 WHIP over 25 starts this season.

Bumgarner is 9-0 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season.  Wood is 1-10 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last three seasons.  The Giants are 7-0 in Bumgarner's last seven road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The Cubs are 10-28 in Wood's last 38 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Giants Thursday.

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MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
San Diego Padres
+150
  at  BETONLINE
in 10h


08/21 10:10 PM EST   MLB   (957) SAN DIEGO PADRES VS (958) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take: (957) Your free pick for Thursday, August 21st, 2014, comes in baseball as San Diego and the Dodgers meet at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles. LA has pitching depth problems and scheduled starter Zack Greinke is 0-3 his last three starts despite being favored. There is concern with him due to elbow tenderness. Greinke mentioned some elbow soreness after his last road start, in Milwaukee on Aug. 9. He started Friday against the Brewers at Dodger Stadium, walking five in his five innings and needing 99 pitches. The Dodgers' rotation -- with the best numbers in the National League -- is suddenly looking thin. The Dodgers already have starting pitchers Hyun-Jin Ryu (strained buttock), Josh Beckett (hip impingement) and Paul Maholm (knee surgery) on the disabled list. The Dodgers already have recent acquisitions Roberto Hernandez and Kevin Correia in the rotation. Still, the Dodgers lead the Giants by 4 1/2 games in the National League West, so there is less urgency to win every game than normally would be the case, plus LA is roughly a .500 road team -- they've played their best baseball on the road. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter and face righty Tyson Ross (11-11, 2.70 ERA). Ross is having a strong season allowing 3, 2, 2, 1, 1, 0, 1, 2, 0 and 2 runs his last 10 starts. Ross has nearly struck out a hitter per inning. The Padres are 5-1 in Ross' last 6 starts, while the Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Play the Padres!

MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
+117
  at  BETONLINE
in 7h

I'm recommending a free play on the Red Sox on Thursday.  We had the Angels last night and won despite Garrett Richard's injury suffered early in the contest.  The Angel bullpen was then forced to work the final 7 1/3 innings.  The pen has been worked pretty hard of late and the team may even be forced to call-up an arm from the farm on Thursday, simply for protection.  As it is, Matt Shoemaker will take the mound.  He'll likely be asked to eat-up a lot of innings tonight, whether he's mowing batters down or giving up  runs.  The righty is not only not used to throwing a lot of innings, but he's also been pretty bad on the road in most cases.  Rubby De La Rosa made three straight strong outings before getting roughed-up last time out.  But I expect a bounce-back in this one, just like he did the last time he was off a tough loss.  De La Rosa had little trouble with the Angel lineup on August 10 and I expect another decent outing tonight.  But the main reason for this suggested play is the bullpen situation for the Halos and Shoemaker's situation mentioned above.  I'm recommending a play on the Red Sox on Thursday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

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MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Indians
-139
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

Free Pick on Cleveland Indians -

Cleveland comes into this matchup having won each of the first two games of the series and are a scorching 7-2 over their last 9 overall. I see no reason why the Indians won't finish off the sweep with one of the league's hottest starters taking the mound. Cleveland's Corey Kluber has a 0.86 ERA and 0.952 WHIP over his last 3 starts and an impressive 1.31 ERA over his last 8 outings. Kluber has won 7 straight decisions.

The Twins will counter with Phil Hughes, who has also been pitching well of late. However, Hughes has an ugly 4.79 ERA over 13 home starts. Cleveland comes in hitting right-handed starters well, as they are averaging 4.7 runs and hitting .261 as a team. Hughes is due for a bad start and I look for him to struggle knowing that he has to pitch well with Kluber on the mound for the Indians.

Cleveland is 22-6 in Kluber's last 28 starts as a favorite, 15-3 in Kluber's last 18 starts after scoring 5+ runs last time out and 6-1 in his last 7 during game 3 of a series. Minnesota is 31-81 in their last 112 games against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and 1-5 in Hughes' last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.

There's also a solid system in play backing Cleveland. Favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings are 222-103 over the last 5 seasons. That's a 68% system in favor of the Indians. Take Cleveland!

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MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
Total
8 un-110
  at  5DIMES
in 1h


On Thursday the free MLB Totals Play is on the Under in the Houston at NY.Yankes game. Rotation numbers 959/960 at 1:05 eastern This game fits a solid League wide totals system that has played to the under 31 of 44 times long term. The system pertains to home favorites with a posted total of 8 or less that lost as a home favorite at -200 or higher and scored 2 or less run son 5 or more hits, vs an opponent off a road dog win that scored 5 or more runs and played error free ball. Houston has won 2 straight here and has D. Keuchel on the mound and he has a respectable 3.17 road era this year. B. McCarthy counters for the Yankees and he has a career 2.57 era vs Houston and a 1.93 era in his last 3 starts which all stayed under the total. Look for this game to stay under here today. On Thursday we have a Big MLB Game of the Week from a Perfect system, there is also the NFLX Week 3 Power system play in the Steelers at Eagles game an early MLB Total system. Last night our Top MLB Totals Play cashed. More Damage on Thursday. Jump on this Big Triple play card now. For the free MLB Play take the Houston and New York to stay under the total today. RV

MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
Total
7 un-122
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

This is a 1* Free Play on the “under” between the Cleveland Indians and the Minnesota Twins.

With two hot hurlers going head to head in this one, I look for this total to sneak below the posted number. The visiting Indians will start the red hot Corey Kluber (13-6, 2.41 ERA) who has allowed a combined three runs over his last five outings. Kluber has two complete games over that stretch as well. The Twins meanwhile will turn the ball over to Phil Hughes (13-8, 3.76) who has been their most consistent starter all season, the right-hander has given up one run or less while going at least six innings in his last three outings. Note that Hughes is 3-1 with a solid 2.61 ERA lifetime against the Indians. And note that eight of the last nine Indians’ games have seen the lower number fall and that includes yesterday’s 5-0 win over the Twins. These starting pitchers have been downright dominant of late as demonstrated by their recent strikeout to walk ratios: Hughes has totaled 22 strikeouts with two walks over 20 1/3 innings while Kluber has 89 Ks to just 12 walks in his last 12 starts. Consider the UNDER.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Aug 28, 2014
Ole Miss vs. Boise State
Ole Miss
-9½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 7d

        We like Ole Miss -9.5 here as we are getting 2 teams that certainly have a gap in talent level and an Ole Miss team that looks like it is ready to contend for SEC Title and certainly give Alabama a run for money.The Rebs had some issues with pass rush last year, but it looks like Freeze has tools in place to correct this and even with some new starters on offensive line, this Rebel team still has superior weapons at skill positions. This is a spot we expect Ole Miss to win by double digits! 

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NFLX  |  Aug 23, 2014
New Orleans Saints vs. Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts
-1-125
  at  5DIMES
in 2d

This is a Free #NFLX play on the Indianapolis Colts. 

The Colts looked great for three quarters of football at home against the Giants last week, but after surrendering 27 unanswered points in the final period, Indianapolis is still winless in the pre-season. They host the undefeated New Orleans Saints in Week 3, and we should see plenty of Andrew Luck and Drew Brees as normally the starters see the most action in the third week of the exhibition season. 

Brees hasn't seen any action in the Saints previous two games, so it could take him a while to shake off some rust. Luck has looked solid in his limited action so far for the Colts, so we can expect him to be sharp right off the get go. 

This game will mean a lot more to the Colts than it will to the Saints, who struggled on the road at the best of times. New Orleans will be up against a revamped Colts defense that should be a lot better in 2014. 

"It’s going to be a great barometer to see just how far we’ve come defensively," Colts coach Chuck Pagano said. "We’re off to a good start defensively when you look at the numbers from the first two ball games ... From an individual standpoint, position standpoint and then collectively as a unit, those guys are all excited to play an outstanding team, an outstanding offensive unit and see exactly where we’re at."

Take IND. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

WNBA  |  Aug 21, 2014
SA Silver Stars vs. Minnesota Lynx
Total
158 ov-110
  at  5DIMES
in 9h

Over 158

All five meetings this year went over 158 points as we had 168, 166, 175, 166 and 160 points in their games. Minnesota is led by Maya Moore and won the 2013 WNBA title. Simeone Augustus and Rebekkah Brunson are other scorers and the Silver Stars are led by Becky Hammon, Danielle Robinson and Adams.

Free pick on over 158

MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
-122
  at  PINNACLE
in 7h

FREE MLB play Thursday

MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Total
9 un-105
  at  BMAKER
in 7h

FREE MLB Over-Under THURSDAY  (8-21-14)

LA ANGELS @ BOSTON  (7:10 PM EST)

PLAY ON: UNDER 9 -105  (MLB)

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NFLX  |  Aug 24, 2014
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Arizona Cardinals
Cincinnati Bengals
+2½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 3d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #281 Take Cincinnati Bengals over Arizona Cardinals (8 pm NBC) We faded the Cardinals at home in Week 3 of the 2013 and won easily and will take the points with the better team in 2014. Cincinnati has a ton of talent on both sides of the football and Arizona just suffered some key injuries on defense. QB Dalton looked impressive last week going 8 for 8 with a touchdown pass. Cincinnati is 0-2 this preseason and with a pair of new coordinators and just believe Cincinnati will give a little extra effort to win this game. I have never been a big fan of former Bengal QB Carson Palmer and feel this is bad blood with the way he forced his way out of Cincinnati. Take the points with the better team on Sunday Night Football. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Week 3 selections featuring our World Famous NFL Preseason Game of the Year. This selection is one of the most sought out games in the entire country and was a BLOWOUT Winner the last two years. 

NFLX  |  Aug 22, 2014
Oakland Raiders vs. Green Bay Packers
Oakland Raiders
+7½-125
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Ross Benjamin has been one of, if not the best, NFL preseason handicappers in the world during his illustrious career. he's gone 5-1 with his preseason pay selections so far in 2014, and 30-18 (63%) since 2010! On Friday Ross is releasing a pair of 5* winning sides in the games between the Giants/Jets and Panthers/Patriots. Both games kick off at 7:30 PM ET and each is specially priced for the preseason at $20.00.

Oakland @ Green Bay 8:00 PM ET
Game# 259-260
Play On: Oakland +7.0

You can be rest assured that a huge portion of the general public's money will go the way of the home favorite Packers in this one. After all, it's the dress rehearsal game for both teams, and the starters on each side will receive extended playing time. Surely the public knows with that in mind, the Packers are the superior team right? I would say that they most certainly are, but in my years of experience, whenever something looks this easy, it normally isn't. Think about this, without factoring any other query into the equation, preseason underdogs of 7.0 or more have gone 68-44 ATS (60.7%) since 1983.

Any preseason away underdog that's coming off of a home favorite ATS loss in which they scored 10-points or more, and they have a preseason winning percentage of .500 or better, versus an opponent coming off of an away underdog ATS win, has gone 22-4 ATS since 1984. The underdog has won 21 of those 26-games outright. Play on the Oakland Raiders plus the points as a free selection.

NFLX  |  Aug 21, 2014
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
-3-125
  at  5DIMES
in 7h

FREE NFL-X PLAY THURSDAY  (8-21-14)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES  (7:30 PM EST)

PLAY ON: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES -3 -125  (NFL-X)

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MLB  |  Aug 21, 2014
Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Angels
-125
  at  BMAKER
in 7h

FREE MLB PLAY THURSDAY  (8-21-14)

LA ANGELS @ BOSTON RED SOX  (7:10 PM EST)

PLAY ON: LA ANGELS -125  (MLB)

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