Winning Sports Picks

15* SEC GAME OF THE NIGHT on South Carolina +14.5

With the distraction surrounding Missouri head coach Frank Haith right now, I'll gladly fade the Tigers at home as a 14.5-point favorite over the South Carolina Gamecocks tonight.

The NCAA is expected to notify Haith of allegations of "unethical conduct and failure to promote an atmosphere of compliance" stemming from his time as coach at Miami, according to a report by CBSSports.

This team isn't playing all well already, and they certainly don't need these distractions. The Tigers have lost two out of their last three in blowout fashion with a 49-64 loss at Ole Miss, and a 52-83 setback at Florida.

The distraction is bad enough, but when you couple that with Missouri's injury woes, and it almost has no chance of covering this inflated spread. Leading scorer Laurence Bowers (16.8 PPG) and 6th-leading scorer Keion Bell (8.9 PPG) are doubtful, while 5th-leading scorer Earnest Ross (9.6 PPG) is questionable.

Former Kansas State head coach Frank Martin is already turning around this South Carolina basketball program in his first year on the job. He has the Gamecocks off to a 11-6 start, which includes an 82-73 win at LSU as a 10-point underdog in their last road game. In fact, the Gamecocks are 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS on the road this season.

This play falls into a system that is 26-6 (81.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (MISSOURI) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game where a team made 33% of their shots or worse. Take South Carolina Tuesday.

15* Spurs/76ers TNT ATS ANNIHILATOR on San Antonio -6

The San Antonio Spurs are once again a covering machine this season. They are 32-11 SU & 25-17-1 ATS on the year and somehow they continue to go under the radar. Once again, they are undervalued as only a 6-point favorite over the lowly Philadelphia 76ers tonight.

The 76ers are really struggling of late, losing 14 of their last 19 games overall with 12 of those losses coming by 6 points or more. That includes recent losses to New Orleans (99-111), Toronto (72-90), Brooklyn (89-109), San Antonio (86-109) and Oklahoma City (85-109).

The Spurs have really had the 76ers' number in recent meetings. They have won three straight over Philadelphia all by 10 points or more. That includes their 109-86 home victory over the 76ers on January 5th earlier this month. San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 meetings with Philadelphia.

The Spurs are 40-17-4 ATS in their last 61 games following a S.U. win. San Antonio is 34-15-3 ATS in its last 52 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Spurs are 41-19-2 ATS in their last 62 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The 76ers are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 vs. Western Conference foes. Take the Spurs Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nets/Knicks UNDER 193.5

The books have set the bar too high Sunday between the Brooklyn Nets and New York Knicks. This will be the 4th meeting of the season between these teams, so they are certainly familiar with one another. Familiarity usually breeds low-scoring games.

The first three meetings this year have seen 185 (OT), 197 and 186 combined points. They have combined to average 183.7 points/game (not counting overtime) in those three contests. That alone lets you know that there's at least 10 points of value with this UNDER.

Another big reason to back the UNDER is the fact that the Knicks are now a slow it down team without starting PG Raymond Felton, who is out with a finger injury. Their offense just doesn't run as smoothly without him out there running the pick and roll.

Brooklyn is 16-6 to the UNDER versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 20-7 in Nets last 27 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The UNDER is 19-7-2 in Nets last 28 road games overall. The UNDER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in New York. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* Cincinnati/Syracuse ESPN No-Brainer on Cincinnati +9

The Syracuse Orange are in a huge letdown spot Monday after a huge win at then-No. 1 Louisville by a final of 70-68 over the weekend. They will not have enough left in the tank to beat a very good Cincinnati team by double-digits today.

Cincinnati is off to a 16-3 start this season while posting three straight wins in conference play. Its three losses this season have come by a combined 8 points, which includes two 1-point defeats and a 6-point setback to Notre Dame.

What is most impressive about the Bearcats this year is the fact that they have played their best basketball on the road. They are a perfect 7-0 away from home this season, which includes road wins over Iowa State, Oregon, Xavier, Pitt, Rutgers and DePaul. They won't be intimidated by the Carrier Dome one bit.

Cincinnati is 10-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. The Bearcats are 8-0 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Syracuse is 0-6 ATS vs. dominant rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 7+ per game over the last 2 seasons. These four tends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the Bearcats. Take Cincinnati Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Minnesota Timberwolves +8

The Minnesota Timberwolves are way undervalued right now due to their recent string of injuries to good players like Kevin Love and Nikola Pekovic. However, what the betting public fails to realize is that this team is one of the deepest in the league, which allows it to overcome these injuries and remain competitive.

That was on display last time out as the Timberwolves made easy work of the Houston Rockets by a final of 92-79. They had six different players score in double figures in a complete team win. Andrei Kirilenko led the way with 21, followed by Luke Ridnour (16), Chris Johnson (15), Derrick Williams (11), Jose Barea (11) and Mickael Gelabale (11).

The Atlanta Hawks are playing their worst basketball of the season right now, which is why they should not be an 8-point favorite today. They are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last ten games overall. That includes an embarrassing 58-97 loss at Chicago on January 14th. Atlanta also has injury issues of its own as Devin Harris and Deshawn Stevenson are questionable, while Lou Williams is out for the season.

This play falls into a system that is 23-3 (88.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites (ATLANTA) - cold team - having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. Roll with the Timberwolves Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Bobcats OVER 206.5

The Houston Rockets are coming off a 79-92 loss at Minnesota, which has certainly influenced the oddsmakers heading into Monday's showdown with the Charlotte Bobcats. The Rockets shot a season-worst 32.1% in that game, and there's no question they'll turn it around and get their offense going today.

Houston is one of the highest-scoring teams in the league at 104.5 points/game. They play at the fastest tempo in the league, which is also a big reason why they give up a whopping 103.5 points/game.

Charlotte is not a great offensive team (95.0 PPG), but it will certainly get its offense going against this soft Houston defense. Also, the Bobcats are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA as well. They give up 103.3 points/game on the season.

Houston is 50-27 to the OVER in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996. The OVER is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The OVER is 7-1 in Rockets last 8 vs. Eastern Conference foes. The OVER is 6-1 in Bobcats last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Thunder/Nuggets NBA Sunday Night BAILOUT on Denver +1

The Denver Nuggets are highly motivated for a win Sunday for a couple different reasons. They are coming off an ugly home loss to the Washington Wizards on Friday as a double-digit favorite.

However, I picked the Wizards +10 in that game knowing that the Nuggets would likely be looking ahead to this game with the Thunder. That's because they want revenge from a 97-117 road loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday.

The Thunder will be the team looking ahead in this one. After just beating the Nuggets only four days ago, they won't be motivated at all to beat them again. Plus, they have a road game against the Los Angeles Clippers on deck Tuesday, and they'll be looking ahead to that huge showdown between the top two teams in the West.

Denver is 15-3 at home this season. Oklahoma City is 10-24 ATS in its last 34 games after a close loss by 3 points or less. The Nuggets are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Bet the Nuggets Sunday.

25* NFL Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Baltimore Ravens +9.5

The Ravens have really come together as a team in the playoffs after a tough finish to the regular season. It all coincided with the return of Ray Lewis from injury. Lewis announced that he would be retiring after this season a few weeks back, and this team has completely rallied behind him because of it.

Baltimore went into Denver and came away with a 38-35 overtime victory as a 9.5-point underdog. It overcame two special teams touchdowns by Broncos

20* 49ers/Falcons NFC Championship ANNIHILATOR on San Francisco Money Line -197

The 49ers were the most impressive team in the league in the divisional round. Colin Kaepernick had a coming out party in their 45-31 blowout victory over the Green Bay Packers. He threw for 263 yards and two touchdowns, while also rushing for 181 yards and two scores.

Kaepernick helped the 49ers set a franchise playoff record with 589 total yards of offense. That's saying something when you consider San Francisco has had some very potent offenses dating back to the Joe Montana/Steve Young days. This offense has an excellent chance to explode once again Sunday as it goes up against an Atlanta defense that gave up 491 total yards to Seattle last week.

The 49ers clearly have the better defense in this one. They are giving up just 17.9 points per game and 297.8 total yards per game. Atlanta give up a ridiculous 372.9 yards per game defensively. It is actually getting outgained on the season, which is a sign that the Falcons are not nearly as good as their 14-3 record would indicate.

San Francisco

15* CBB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Rider +4

The Rider Broncs are showing excellent value as a 4-point home underdog to the Iona Gaels Sunday. This is one of the most underrated teams in the country, and that has really shown of late.

Rider is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall. It has won four straight outright to get to 10-9 on the season. All four wins came by 7 points or more, and it is now ready to take on the overrated Gaels today.

Iona is overvalued due to its current 6-game winning streak coming in. Two of those wins came by narrow margins on the road. One was a 66-62 win at Siena as an 11.5-point favorite, and the other was an 86-82 victory at Marist as a 9.5-point favorite. All six of Iona's losses have come on the road this season.

Iona is 0-6 ATS versus poor passing teams, averaging <=12 assists/game this season. Rider is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997. The Broncs are 12-1 ATS in January games over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Rider Sunday.

15* Utah/Washington Pac-12 Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah +11

The Utah Utes are one of the most underrated teams in the country due to their 8-9 start. They are highly motivated for their first Pac-12 victory of the season Saturday. Clearly, when you look at most of their losses this season, its easy to see that this team is much better than its record would indicate.

Seven of Utah's eight losses have come by 10 points or less. That includes road losses to Arizona State (54-55) as an 8-point dog, to Arizona (57-60) as a 19-point dog, and home to UCLA (53-57) as a 7-point dog. There's no question that the Utes have what it takes to play with the Huskies tonight.

Washington is on a nice run right now, but with this run comes expectations from oddsmakers that it cannot live up to. It has won four straight while beating Washington State, Cal and Stanford on the road while also knocking off Colorado at home. The Huskies could easily be overlooking the Utes tonight and looking ahead to a five-game stretch that includes Oregon State, Oregon, Arizona, Arizona State and UCLA.

This play falls into a system that is 31-6 (83.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (UTAH) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Utah is 12-3 ATS after 5 or more consecutive losses since 1997. Washington is 4-12 ATS after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Utes are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Utah is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. Roll with the Utes Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa PK

The Iowa Hawkeyes (12-5) opened with a brutal Big Ten schedule, losing their first three to the likes of Indiana, Michigan and Michigan State. However, they proved what they were capable of by nearly upsetting both the Hoosiers (65-69) and Spartans (59-62).

Iowa exploded for its first Big Ten victory last Sunday in a 70-50 triumph at Northwestern. This is one of the more underrated teams in the country, and it is capable of beating anyone at home inside of rowdy Carver Hawkeye Arena.

The Wisconsin Badgers are in a huge letdown spot here after winning at Indiana 64-59 as a 10.5-point underdog on Tuesday. They have opened 4-0 in Big Ten play with two of their wins coming over lowly Penn State and Nebraska by single-digits. As a result, they are overvalued right now.

Iowa is 8-1 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The Hawkeyes are in all home games over the last 2 seasons. Iowa is 11-1 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. The Hawkeyes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win. Bet Iowa Saturday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE NIGHT on San Antonio Spurs -3.5

The San Antonio Spurs are showing solid value as only a 4-point road favorite over the Atlanta Hawks tonight. They have won 12 of their last 15 games overall and should have no problem making easy work of the struggling Hawks in this one.

Atlanta has lost seven of its last nine games overall coming into this one. That includes losses to Cleveland and Washington both by double-digits, which is a clear sign that there is something wrong with this team right now. They don't have what it takes to compete against a title contender like San Antonio from the West.

The Spurs have won 10 of their last 11 meetings with the Hawks while going 8-3 ATS in the process. All 10 wins came by 6 points or more. Dating back further, San Antonio is 22-7 SU & 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 meetings with Atlanta.

San Antonio is 42-19-4 ATS in its last 65 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Atlanta is 6-18 ATS versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 103+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. The Spurs are 9-1 ATS against Southeast division opponents over the last 2 seasons. Bet San Antonio Saturday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia Tech -4

The Virginia Tech Hokies (10-6) have played an absolutely brutal schedule in their last six games. They finally put an end to a 4-game losing streak by going on the road and knocking off Georgia Tech 70-65 in overtime as a 10-point underdog.

I like the Hokies to pick up back-to-back wins Saturday while facing the lowly Wake Forest Demon Deacons (9-7). Virginia Tech is 7-2 at home this season where it is outscoring opponents by 10.5 points/game. It has impressive home wins over both Oklahoma State and Iowa.

Wake Forest is just 2-5 on the road this season, getting outscored by 7.3 points/game. It has blowout road losses to both Duke (62-80) and Clemson (44-60) in conference play. I expect a third straight blowout road loss for the Demon Deacons in ACC action today.

The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings in this series. Virginia Tech has won eight of the last 10 meetings. The Hokies are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings with Wake Forest dating back to 2006. Take Virginia Tech Saturday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas +10.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are showing their best value of the season as a double-digit underdog at Ole Miss Saturday. This is a team on the rise under second-year head coach Mike Anderson, and they are clearly underrated right now despite a solid 11-5 start.

I have no doubt that Ole Miss is one of the most overrated teams in the country after seeing them play several times this season. Ole Miss is off to a 14-2 start, but it is nowhere near as good as its record would indicate. It needed overtime to win at Vanderbilt last time out despite being a 9-point favorite.

This has been a very closely-contested rivalry in recent years. In fact, each of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2008 have been decided by 10 points or less. That makes for a perfect 10-0 system backing the Razorbacks pertaining to today's 10.5-point spread.

Ole Miss is 0-6 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Penn State -4

The Penn State Nittany Lions are very hungry for their first Big Ten victory of the season. They played Michigan State tough at home on Wednesday, and I look for them to get that elusive first conference win today.

They'll host the lowly Nebraska Cornhuskers, who I feel are the worst team in the Big Ten. They are just 2-5 on the road this season, scoring 57.9 points/game away from home. They are also winless in Big Ten play, which includes an 0-3 road record. They have lost all three of their conference road games by 10 points or more.

The home team one both meetings last season in Nebraska's inaugural Big Ten campaign. In fact, both were blowouts as the Huskers won 70-58 on January 11th, while the Nittany Lions had their revenge with a 67-51 triumph on February 11th.

Penn State is a perfect 6-0 ATS in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. Take Penn State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Harvard +11

The Harvard Crimson are one of the most underrated teams in the country under former Michigan head coach Tommy Amaker. This team is much better than its 9-5 record would indicate as it has had some very close losses to some very good teams.

In fact, four of Harvard's five losses this season have come by less than 11 points. That includes road losses to UMass (64-67) as an 11-point dog, UConn (49-57) as a 9-point dog, and St. Mary's (69-70) as a 12-point dog. They have also won at Boston College (79-63) as a 4-point dog and at California (67-62) as an 11-point dog.

Memphis really only has one very good win this season, which was an 85-80 win at Tennessee as a 2.5-point underdog. This team has lost to the three best teams it has faced in Louisville, Minnesota and VCU all by 9 points or more. The Tigers are clearly overvalued today as a double-digit favorite.

Harvard is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons. It is winning in this spot by 14.8 points/game. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Crimson are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. These three trends combine for a 15-0 system backing the Crimson. Roll with Harvard Saturday.

20* Thunder/Mavs ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 205.5

The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between Western Conference rivals Dallas and Oklahoma City. These teams are very familiar with one another after squaring off in the playoffs last year. Familiarity breeds low-scoring games.

A quick look at all meetings between these teams over the past two seasons and it's easy to see that this total has been inflated. Not counting overtime, each of the last eight meetings between the Mavs & Thunder have seen 201 or less combined points at the end of regulation. That's a perfect 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set.

This play falls into a system that is 36-13 (73.5%) to the UNDER over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet the UNDER on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more.

The UNDER is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The UNDER is 7-0 in the Mavs last 7 Friday games. Combine these two trends with the 8-0 one based on their recent head-to-head history, and we have a perfect 19-0 system backing the UNDER tonight. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Washington Wizards +10

I have ridden the Washington Wizards with success in their last couple of games. They have won three of their last four with their only loss coming 94-95 at Sacramento as a 5-point underdog last time out. Their three wins came at home over the Thunder, Hawks, and Magic with two of the three coming by double-digits.

This is a completely different Washington team now with John Wall back in the line-up. His energy is contagious, and you can see it coming off in his teammates during this four-game stretch. He makes the job of everyone on offense easier, creating looks for open teammates.

It's no coincidence that the Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall. They are once again undervalued as a 10-point dog to the Denver Nuggets tonight. Denver is a great home team, but it certainly has a tendency to play down to its competition.

The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Washington is 40-22 ATS off a close road loss of 3 points or less since 1996. The Wizards are 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season. Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Roll with the Wizards Friday.

15* Bulls/Celtics ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Boston -3

I have been riding the Boston Celtics with a lot of success lately. They have won six of their last seven games overall while going 5-2 ATS in the process. Off a loss last time out, the Celtics are once again undervalued as only a 3-point favorite over the Bulls tonight.

Chicago comes in overvalued after back-to-back wins, which included a 97-58 home victory over Atlanta. It needed overtime to win at Toronto last time out, and there's no question that it is the more tired team heading into this one.

The Bulls will be playing their 5th game in 8 days, while the Celtics will only be playing their 3rd game in 7 days. Boston does have some veteran on its team like Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce, so playing on good rest is very important for the Celtics.

The home team has won nine of the last 11 meetings in this series with all nine wins coming by 4 points or more. The Bulls are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Boston is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 vs. Eastern Conference foes. Take the Celtics Friday.

25* NBA on TNT TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Lakers UNDER 207

You can expect the defensive intensity to be at an all-time high when the Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat get together tonight. That has been the case in recent meetings when Kobe and company and Lebron and his teammates have gotten together.

The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings in this series. All four games saw 185 or less combined points with an average of 179.8 points/game. As you can see, we are getting roughly 27 points of value in backing the UNDER based on their last four meetings.

Sure, the Lakers have a new system under Mike D'Antoni, but that's the biggest reason this total has been inflated. Since defensive stopper Dwight Howard has returned from injury, the UNDER is 2-0 in the Lakers' past two games with a 113-93 victory over Cleveland, and a 104-88 triumph over Milwaukee.

The Lakers know they cannot run with the more athletic Heat, so they certainly aren't going to turn this into a track meet. Look for the Lakers to control the tempo playing at home tonight in what will be a half-court game.

The UNDER is 6-1-1 in Lakers last 7 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 games overall. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. These five trends combine for a 22-1 system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Pac-12 GAME OF THE NIGHT on Oregon State +15

The Oregon State Beavers are way undervalued heading into this showdown with UCLA tonight. They are coming off three straight losses to Oregon, Arizona State and Arizona all by 13 points or less. There's no question they'll be hungry for their first Pac-12 victory of the season tonight.

The UCLA Bruins are way overvalued heading into this one due to their current 9-game winning streak coming in. Each of their last six wins have come by 14 points or less, and with Oregon on deck Saturday, this is a huge letdown spot for the Bruins. They will clearly be looking ahead to their showdown with the Ducks this weekend.

Oregon State is a balanced team that features six different players scoring in double figures. They are without one of them in Angus Brandt, but they still have five averaging double digits, which is a rarity in college basketball.

Each of the last five meetings in this series have been decided by 10 points or less. The Bruins are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.

This play falls into a system that is 32-9 (78%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 10 or more points (OREGON ST) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive road wins. Take Oregon State Thursday.

15* Sun Belt GAME OF THE NIGHT on Louisiana-Monroe +12

The LA Monroe Warhawks are showing excellent value as a double-digit road underdog to the South Alabama Jaguars tonight. The Jaguars are certainly overvalued in this spot, and they have been for about a month now as they are just 3-5 ATS in their last 8 games.

Because LA Monroe is just 3-10 on the season, it is clearly undervalued. That is also evident by the fact that it is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall. Each of its last four losses have come by 9 points or less to MTSU, Troy, South Alabama, and UAB.

As you can see, they recently played South Alabama earlier this month on January 3rd, falling at home 72-77 as a 7-point underdog. That put the Warhawks in revenge mode as they will be facing the Jaguars twice within two weeks.

Six of South Alabama's eight wins this season came by 11 points or less, and the other two were against William Carey and Arkansas-Little Rock at home.

LA Monroe is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series dating back to 2009. All five games were decided by 7 points or less and by a COMBINED 19 points! Look for another closely-contested game with the Warhawks possibly pulling off the upset. Take Louisiana-Monroe Thursday.

15* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE NIGHT on Duquesne +10

The Duquesne Dukes should not be catching double-digits tonight at UMass. The Minutemen are clearly overvalued heading into this one due to winning eight of the last nine contests overall.

UMass has been extremely fortunate during this recent run as seven of its last eight wins have come by 9 points or less. In fact, the Minutemen are 11-4 this season, but only one of those eleven wins came by more than 9 points. That was a 75-61 home victory over Eastern Michigan as a 15-point favorite.

Duquesne is undervalued heading in due to its 7-9 start, which includes four straight losses all as underdogs. Remember, this is a team that beat West Virginia 60-56 as an 8-point dog, while also falling at Georgetown 55-61 as a 14-point dog earlier this season. This team is much better than its 7-9 record would indicate.

UMass was dealt a big blow when it lost second-leading scorer Jesse Morgan (13.4 PPG) to a season-ending ACL injury on January 10th in a 62-70 loss at Saint Louis. I look for the Minutemen to really struggle without him the rest of the way, and to not be so fortunate in these close games.

You have to go back to 2008 to find the last time that Duquesne lost to UMass by more than 9 points. The Dukes have won four of their last six meetings in this series.

UMass is 0-7 ATS off a road no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite since 1997. The Minutemen are 1-8 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Roll with Duquesne Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Troy +7.5

The Troy Trojans are showing excellent value as an 8-point underdog to the Florida Atlantic Owls tonight. These are two very evenly-matched teams with Troy coming in at 7-10, and FAU sporting a 9-9 record. I look for the Trojans to give the Owls a run for their money, possibly pulling off the upset.

The biggest reason I'm backing Troy is that this team is clearly undervalued due to its 7-10 record. I have no doubt that the Trojans are better than their record would indicate. That's evident by the fact that six of their last seven losses have come by 7 points or less. They have simply been victim of bad luck in close games.

Troy has turned the corner with back-to-back wins over Arkansas-Little Rock and LA-Monroe heading into this one. Now, it wants revenge from a 54-61 home loss to FAU on December 27th. The Owls are coming off a big win at Western Kentucky last time out, setting them up for a huge letdown spot here against a team they have already beaten once this season.

Florida Atlantic is 0-6 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. It is losing in this spot 67.0 to 71.3 on average. The Owls are 0-6 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot 66.1 to 69.0. Bet Troy Thursday.

15* Wizards/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington +4

It's no coincidence that the Washington Wizards have won three straight games heading into this contest with Sacramento Wednesday. After knocking off the Oklahoma City Thunder 101-99 on January 7th, John Wall returned to help lead the Wizards to a 93-83 win over the Atlanta Hawks on January 12th.

Wall played an even bigger role in their 120-91 win over the Orlando Magic last time out, scoring 12 points while dishing out six assists in 20 minutes on January 1th. It was also no coincidence that the Wizards had a season-high 29 fast break points against the Magic Monday.

"It just came out of nowhere how fast we're playing now," said Bradley Beal, averaging 18.3 points during the winning streak. "With John back, the speed is so much faster."

"He brings the added dimension that nobody has," coach Randy Wittman said. "Guys have to run harder."

"These games have not been flukes, we've just been playing very well," said guard A.J. Price, who has scored 34 points while shooting 11 of 21 over his last two games. "We lost so many close games that I think once we started losing so many in a row, it became a mental thing."

Now, riding a mental high, I like the Wizards to pick up win No. 4 in a row at Sacramento tonight. The Kings are not playing well right now, losers of four of their last five with their only victory coming at home by a final of 124-118 against the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers. Three of their last four losses have come by 20 points or more.

This play falls into a system that is 45-17 (72.6%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on teams (WASHINGTON) - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days.

The Wizards are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win. Washington is 7-1-2 ATS in its last 10 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The Kings are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Sacramento. The underdog is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Roll with the Wizards Wednesday.

15* NBA Western Conference Total DOMINATOR on Spurs/Grizzlies UNDER 188

This total has been set too high tonight in a battle between the San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies. This has become one of the better rivalries in the league over the past few seasons due to their 7-game playoff series back in 2011. The defensive intensity is at an all-time high when these teams get together.

I believe this total has been inflated due to the last two meetings, which both went to overtime. These teams just played on January 11th with Memphis winning 101-98 (OT) at home. The Grizzlies led 95-92 before Tony Parker hit a game-tying 3-pointer at the buzzer to force OT.

The first meeting of the season between these teams took place on December 1st with San Antonio winning 99-95 (OT). This game was tied 87-87 at the end of regulation for 174 combined points.

Essentially, five of the last six meetings in this series saw 187 or less combined points at the end of regulation (not counting Parker's buzzer-beater). Having just played each other less than a week ago, these teams are very familiar with one another, and familiarity breeds low-scoring, defensive battles.

Another big factor in favor of the UNDER is the fact that Manu Ginobli will be out the next 10-14 days after suffering a Grade 1 hamstring strain on January 13th against the Timberwolves. Ginobli is one of the team's leading scorers, and he's great at penetrating the lane and creating easy shots for teammates. His loss certainly benefits the UNDER.

The UNDER is 41-20-1 in Grizzlies last 62 overall. Memphis is 10-1 to the UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. San Antonio is 16-2 to the UNDER in home games in January games over the last 3 seasons.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. The UNDER is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 home games. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games following a S.U. loss. The UNDER is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 games following a ATS loss. Memphis is 7-0 to the UNDER after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread this season. These five trends combine for a perfect 25-0 system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* Rockets/Mavs ESPN Wednesday No-Brainer on Dallas -4

The Dallas Mavericks are one of the most underrated teams in the league due to their 16-23 start. I have backed them with success as a free pick in each of their last three games with a 117-112 win at Sacramento, a 104-83 home win over Memphis, and a 113-98 home victory over Minnesota.

Dallas makes the premium card Wednesday as my featured top play as a small home favorite over the Houston Rockets tonight. Dirk Nowitzki is finally healthy and he has returned to the starting line-up, which is the biggest reason for the Mavericks' turnaround.

Houston is overvalued due to getting off to a 21-14 start, but it has come back down to reality here of late. The Rockets have lost four straight to fall to 21-18 on the season. They'll lose No. 5 in a row tonight in blowout fashion at Dallas.

This is a very tired Rockets team, and that is really starting to show of late. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days, which is about as tough a situation as you will find in the NBA. They simply won't have the legs to keep up with the Mavericks tonight.

Dallas simply owns Houston. It has won eight straight meetings with the Rockets will going 7-1 ATS in the process. In fact, it has covered six straight meetings in this series dating back to 2011.

Houston is 1-11 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. The Rockets are 1-9 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Houston is 25-8 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. Bet the Mavericks Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +6.5

The Boston College Eagles are showing great value as a home underdog to the Miami Hurricanes tonight. Boston College is one of the most underrated teams in the country. It is clearly turning the corner under veteran head coach Steve Donahue.

The Eagles are off to a solid 9-7 start this season while returning four starters from last year, which was Donahue's first with the program. Four of their seven losses have come by 5 points or less, including a 73-78 home loss to a very good NC State team. The Eagles are a solid 7-3 at home this season.

Miami is clearly overvalued heading into this one after winning four in a row SU & ATS coming in. This is a big letdown spot for the Hurricanes considering they have Duke on deck. This smell like a trap game for them, and I fully expect Boston College to win outright.

Miami is 0-7 ATS in road games after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last 3 seasons. It is losing in this spot by 8.8 points/game. All three of Miami's losses have come on the road this season. The Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take Boston College Wednesday.

15* Big Ten GAME OF THE NIGHT on Penn State +12

The Penn State Nittany Lions are showing excellent value at home tonight against the Michigan State Spartans. I'll gladly back them as a double-digit home underdog as they look to build on their 7-3 home record this season.

Michigan State is one of the most overvalued teams in the country, which is obvious due to its 5-9 ATS record. It is ranked in the Top 25 due to a fortunate 14-3 start that has seen eight wins by 12 points or less. That includes a 66-56 home win over Nebraska as a 17-point favorite last time out.

This is a huge letdown spot for the Spartans considering their next four games after this will be against Top 25 opponents. There's no question these players are looking ahead to those four games and overlooking the Nittany Lions tonight. Even coach Tom Izzo believes that is very possible.

"I worry that maybe we're looking at (the records of the opposition)," Izzo said. "I guess we've got one more game and then we've got (four of the next five) against ranked teams or whatever. So, maybe we'll play better then, but we've got to play better Wednesday to win on the road."

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. Penn State beat Michigan State 61-48 in its last home meeting.

Michigan State is 0-7 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games this season. The Spartans are 0-6 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season. Michigan State is 1-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. These four trends combine for a 25-1 system backing the Nittany Lions. Roll with Penn State Wednesday.

15* ACC GAME OF THE NIGHT on Maryland -1.5

The NC State Wolfpack are in a huge letdown spot tonight. They are coming off an 84-76 home victory over previously unbeaten and No. 1 Duke on Saturday. Off such a big win, it's only human nature for a team like the Wolfpack to suffer a letdown their next time out.

Off back-to-back close losses to Florida State (62-65) and Miami (47-54), the Maryland Terrapins are hungry for a victory tonight. They'll be ready to go against a Top 25 opponent while looking to improve upon their 11-1 home record this season. The Terrapins are outscoring opponents by 18.2 points/game at home this year.

Maryland has won nine of its last 10 meetings with NC State dating back to 2007. Looking back further, the Terrapins are 23-7 SU & 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings in this series. Maryland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 meetings with the Wolfpack.

The Terrapins are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. NC State is 7-18 ATS after 5 or more consecutive wins since 1997. Maryland is 7-0 ATS in home games after playing a game where both teams score 65 points or less since 1997. It is winning in this spot by 16.7 points/game. Bet Maryland Wednesday.

15* Conference USA GAME OF THE NIGHT on Rice +20

The Rice Owls are showing perhaps their best value of the season as a 20-point home underdog to the Memphis Tigers. While Rice is off to just a 3-12 start this season, I believe that former UCLA coach Ben Braun has this program headed in the right direction.

The Owls do have some impressive showings this season as big underdogs where they covered the spread. They lost at Temple 63-67 as a 26-point underdog, and they fell at Texas 41-57 at Texas as an 18-point dog, covering the spread in each contest.

Off five straight losses and three straight non-covers, the price is right to back the Owls tonight. Meanwhile, the Tigers are way overvalued due to their current six-game winning streak. They have some unimpressive performances in the role of the big favorite this year.

Memphis beat Samford 65-54 as a 26-point home favorite, beat Austin Peay 83-65 as a 28-point home favorite, beat Lipscomb 62-56 in a non-lined home game, beat Oral Roberts 72-57 in a non-lined home game, and topped East Carolina 67-54 as a 15-point home favorite. The Tigers failed to beat all five of these inferior opponents at home by more than 18 points, which is why I believe Rice is a great bet at home tonight as a 20-point dog.

The Tigers are 2-10 ATS versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997. The Owls are 16-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997. Braun is 29-11 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1997.

The home team is a perfect 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings, which dates back to 2006. The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings at Rice. Bet Rice Wednesday.

15* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +9

The Vanderbilt Commodores are showing great value as a 9-point home underdog to the Ole Miss Rebels Tuesday night. I'll gladly take advantage and back them in a game that I believe they have an excellent chance to win outright.

Ole Miss is way overvalued coming into this one due to its 13-2 start and its 5-game winning streak coming in. That's especially the case considering it beat Tennessee on the road before knocking off No. 10 Missouri at home in its last two games, respectively. The Rebels are in a big letdown spot tonight, and they cannot live up to the expectations they have created for themselves from oddsmakers.

Vanderbilt is undervalued heading into this one due to its 6-8 start and losses in four of its last five games. Those four losses have all come to very good teams in Butler, Kentucky, Arkansas and Middle Tennessee State. Off their most embarrassing loss of the season with a 33-56 setback at Arkansas, there's no question the Commodores return home highly motivated for a victory tonight.

The Commodores have won five straight and eleven of their last 12 meetings with the Rebels. Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 vs. SEC opponents. The Commodores are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Vanderbilt is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home games. The Commodores are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS loss. Roll with Vanderbilt Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Rockets -1.5

The Houston Rockets will be highly motivated for a victory tonight as they host the Los Angeles Clippers. They have lost three straight coming in, all of which were on the road. They'll be more than happy to return home tonight where they are 14-6 SU & 13-7 ATS on the season.

The Los Angeles Clippers miraculously blew out Memphis on the road last night 99-73 despite playing without Chris Paul. Teams can usually get by one game without a superstar, but when that superstar misses more than one game in a row they start to really miss him.

Paul (knee) is expected to miss tonight's game at Houston as his is listed as doubtful. The Clippers are clearly overvalued heading into this one because of how well they played without Paul against Memphis, which was playing without leading scorer Rudy Gay. I fully expect LA to get blown out tonight by a hungry Houston team that simply wants this one more.

The Rockets will be the more rested team heading into this one as well. They come in on two days' rest having last played on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Clippers will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days. The Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.

Houston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Rockets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 75 points in their previous game. Bet the Rockets Tuesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Bobcats UNDER 186

The Indiana Pacers and Charlotte Bobcats will take part in a defensive battle tonight. These are two very familiar teams as this will be their 3rd meeting of the season and their 2nd meeting in 4 days. Familiarity leads to low-scoring games as both teams know what the other is trying to accomplish offensively, making it easier to stop.

The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings in this series. The Bobcats and Pacers have combined for 190 or fewer points in all five meetings, including 184 or less in four of the five. That includes a 90-89 Charlotte victory on 11/02 for 179 combined points, and a 96-88 Indiana victory on 1/12 for 184 combined points in their two meetings this season.

Indiana plays at one of the slowest paces in the league. It is scoring just 90.9 points/game and allowing 89.3 points/game on the season, combining with its opponents to average 180.2 points/game. It is scoring a mere 87.9 points/game on the road this year.

The Pacers have scored 96 or fewer points in eight straight games while allowing 97 or fewer in eight straight as well. Charlotte has scored 89 or fewer points in three straight games, averaging just 85.3 points/game during this span.

Indiana is 18-4 to the UNDER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. The UNDER is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 games overall. The UNDER is 16-5-1 in Pacers last 22 vs. Eastern Conference.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Pacers last 5 games playing on 1 days rest. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in Bobcats last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The UNDER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. These three trends combine for a perfect 14-0 system backing the UNDER. Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference Total DOMINATOR on Hawks/Bulls UNDER 184.5

Both the Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls will be hungry for a win tonight, which means their level of intensity defensively will be at an all-time high. I look for a very low-scoring game tonight when these two get together because of it.

Atlanta has lost five of its last six, and it is coming off an 83-93 loss at Washington. It is scoring just 89.5 points/game during this stretch, and 93.4 points/game on the road this season. However, it is holding opponents by 94.2 points/game on the road.

Chicago is one of the best defensive teams in the league. It is allowing just 92.3 points/game overall, including 90.8 points/game at home. However, it is one of the worst offensive teams in the game, scoring 93.5 points/game overall and 91.7 at home.

Recent meeting between the Hawks and Bulls have been typically low scoring. Each of the last three meetings saw 167, 175 and 169 combined points, respectively. In fact, they have combined for 178 or fewer points in six of their last seven meetings.

Chicago is 13-2 UNDER in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 3 seasons. The Bulls are 14-2 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Atlanta is 27-10 UNDER after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 3 seasons. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Western Conference Total ANNIHILATOR on Clippers/Grizzlies UNDER 184

The Los Angeles Clippers and Memphis Grizzlies are becoming bitter rivals. They played in a seven-game series last May in the playoffs, which has fueled the fire for their regular season meetings this year. I look for the defensive intensity to be high between these familiar foes tonight.

Looking at the recent meetings between these teams, it's easy to see that there is some value with the UNDER tonight. Five of the last six meetings have seen 178 or few points at the end of regulation. Also, four of those six have gone UNDER the posted total, and another would have if not for overtime after an 87-87 tie at the end of regulation.

A big factor as to why I like the UNDER in this contest is the fact that Memphis is going to be without leading scorer Rudy Gay (17.8 PPG), who will miss tonight's game to attend his grandmother's funeral. The Grizzlies will likely be a little lost offensively without him considering they run so many plays for him.

Memphis is 9-1 UNDER versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. The Grizzlies are 8-0 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 2 seasons. Memphis is 7-0 UNDER after scoring 85 points or less this season. These three trends combine for a 24-1 (96%) system backing the UNDER. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

Note: This total has dropped to as low as 180.5 in some places since I posted it this morning. I still recommend the UNDER at 180 or higher.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards -2

The Washington Wizards are one of the most undervalued teams in the league right now due to their 6-28 start. They should be a much bigger favorite tonight against the Orlando Magic.

Washington is finally getting healthy as PG John Wall has recently returned to the line-up. It has won its last two games with impressive victories over the Oklahoma City Thunder and Atlanta Hawks. This will be just the Wizards' 2nd game in 7 days, so they'll be well rested and ready to go.

Orlando is in a big letdown spot here. It is coming off a huge 104-101 road win over the Los Angeles Clippers on Saturday. Off such a big win, it will be hard for these players to get up emotionally to play the Wizards tonight.

The home team has won three straight and six of the last seven in this series. The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Washington is 8-1 ATS versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game this season. The Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Orlando. Take Washington Monday.

20* Louisville/UConn ESPN Big Monday No-Brainer on Connecticut +7.5

The Connecticut Huskies should not be an underdog at home to the Louisville Cardinals tonight, let alone a 7-point dog. I'll gladly back these underrated Huskies showing their best value of the season tonight.

Connecticut is 12-3 under first-year head coach Kevin Ollie. Their three losses have all come by 6 points or less on the road against New Mexico (60-66), NC State (65-69) and Marquette (76-82). Those are three very good teams that will likely be playing in the NCAA Tournament at season's end.

UConn is coming off a 65-58 win at Notre Dame as an 8.5-point underdog to really show what it is capable of. The Huskies are a perfect 8-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 15.3 points/game.

Louisville comes in overvalued due to its 15-1 start. It has opened with a very soft Big East schedule with wins over Providence, Seton Hall and South Florida. It now takes a step up in competition and will not be able to live up to the expectations it has created for itself from oddsmakers.

Rick Pitino is 4-12 ATS in road games after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more as the coach of Louisville. The Huskies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. UConn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 vs. Big East foes. Bet UConn Monday.

15* Texans/Patriots AFC Late-Afternoon BAILOUT on Houston +9.5

The fact of the matter is that these teams share identical records at 12-4 heading into the postseason. Houston righted the ship with a 19-13 home victory over Cincinnati in its playoff opener last week in game that was more of a blowout than the final score would indicate. Houston outgained Cincinnati 420-198 for the game in arguably its most dominant performance of the season.

With their confidence and swagger back, the Texans will be much more prepared this time around to go into New England and put up a fight. Sure, the Patriots won the first meeting by 28, but the Texans will learn from that loss and it will help them heading into the rematch. Meanwhile, the Patriots could easily be overconfident in this one after such a lopsided win the first go-round.

A closer look at the numbers shows that the Texans are still one of the most dominant teams in the league. They rank 7th in the league in total offense at 374.2 yards per game, and 7th in total defense at 316.1 yards per game. They clearly have the better stop unit in this one as the Patriots rank just 25th in total defense at 373.6 yards per game. We all know that defense wins out in the playoffs.

The Texans were only an underdog twice all season. They opened as a 3.5-point dog in their first meeting at New England before it got bet up to 5.5. This line of 9.5 is clearly an overreaction from that first meeting, and the value is certainly with the road dog this time around.

This play falls into a system that is 24-4 (85.7%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON)

15* Michigan/Ohio State Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -1.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes should be a much bigger home favorite today against the Michigan Wolverines. I'll gladly take advantage and back the Buckeyes showing their best value of the season today.

Michigan is way overvalued due to its perfect 16-0 start this season. This is a very good team, but it has only played two true road games all season, and those came against overmatched Bradley and Northwestern. This will easily be the Wolverines' toughest challenge yet.

Ohio State will be highly motivated to put an end to the Wolverines' perfect start. Its fans will be rocking the building in this one, giving them the added emotional lift they need to pull off the win. The Buckeyes are 9-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 25.8 points/game.

The Buckeyes are 9-0 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons. They are winning in this spot by an average of 27.7 points/game. Roll with Ohio State Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -2

The Toronto Raptors are one of the most underrated teams in the league. They should be a much bigger favorite at home against the Milwaukee Bucks today.

Toronto is playing its best basketball of the season right now. It has won 10 of its last 13 games overall with its three losses coming to the Spurs, Thunder and Kings. Its last four wins have all come by 18 points or more. Toronto is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 home games.

The Raptors are a perfect 7-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive unders this season. Toronto is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Raptors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. These three trends combine for a 22-1 system backing the Raptors. Take Toronto Sunday.

20* Seahawks/Falcons NFC Sunday No-Brainer on Atlanta -2

First and foremost, starter Matt Ryan rarely loses at home. The Falcons

15* Hornets/Knicks NBA Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 193

Oddsmakers have set the bar too high in this contest between the New Orleans Hornets and New York Knicks. I look for a low-scoring affair between two of the better defensive teams in the league.

New York is giving up just 96.3 points/game at home this season. Off three straight losses, including two in which it allowed over 100 points, the Knicks will clamp down defensively in this one. They'll be up against a Hornets team that is scoring just 92.0 points/game.

These teams met twice last season with the UNDER going 2-0. New Orleans beat New York 89-85 at home for 174 combined points, while the Knicks beat the Hornets at home 102-80 for 182 combined points. I look for a similarly low scoring game here. The UNDER is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in New York. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings over..

New York is 19-6 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 2 seasons. The Knicks are 10-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 5-0 in Hornets last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The UNDER is 17-4 in Hornets last 21 games following a SU win of more than 10 points. The UNDER is 7-1 in Knicks last 8 games following a ATS loss. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

25* NFL Divisional Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Green Bay Packers +3.5

The Packers are finally getting healthy at the right time. Charles Woodson just returned last week, and they had all of their receivers healthy for the first time all year. Green Bay dominated Minnesota 24-10 in the first round in a game that was even more of a blowout than the final score would indicate.

Green Bay will want revenge from its loss to the 49ers in Week 1. Aaron Rodgers really had a good game, making this 49ers

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -2

The Detroit Pistons are playing their best basketball of the season heading into this contest with the Utah Jazz. Detroit has won seven of its last nine games overall with its two losses both coming in overtime. It even has home wins over the Heat, Hawks and Bucks during this stretch.

Utah is a completely different team home and away. It is 11-4 at home this season, but just 8-15 on the road. That includes a 95-103 road loss at Atlanta last night. Detroit is a very respectable 10-9 at home this season, limiting opponents to just 93.5 points/game. Utah is allowing nearly 102.0 points/game on the road.

The Jazz are a very tired team right now. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back, their 3rd game in 4 days, and their 6th game in 9 days. Meanwhile, the Pistons will be playing just their 3rd game in 6 days. I'll gladly back the fresher, hotter team as only a small home favorite in this one.

The home team has won three straight and five of the last six in this series. The Jazz are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games playing on 0 days' rest. The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Roll with the Pistons Saturday.

20* Ravens/Broncos AFC Saturday ANNIHILATOR on Baltimore +9

The Ravens have new life now that they have their leader, Ray Lewis, back in action. He led the team in tackles with 13 in a 24-9 home victory over Indianapolis last weekend. This team really rallies around Lewis, and they want to send him out with a Super Bowl ring now that he has announced he will retire at season

15* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas +8.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are in a big letdown spot here tonight. I look for them to suffer a hangover from their brutal 89-97 road loss at Kansas in overtime on Wednesday. The Jayhawks banked in a 3-pointer to send the game to OT.

Texas comes in highly motivated for its first Big 12 victory of the season. It has lost a pair of heartbreakers with a 79-86 loss at Baylor and a 53-57 home setback against West Virginia. The value is clearly with the hungry road underdog in this one.

Texas really owns Iowa State having won nine of the last ten meetings in this series. Its only loss during this stretch came by 6 points on the road last season. The road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss. Texas is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Cyclones are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Take Texas Saturday.

15* Duke/NC State ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on NC State +4.5

The NC State Wolf Pack will show Saturday why they were picked my many to win the ACC this season. They will hand the Duke Blue Devils their first loss of the season behind inspiration from a rowdy home crowd.

NC State is 13-2 this season with its only losses coming on the road against Michigan and Oklahoma State. The Wolf Pack are a perfect 9-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 17.5 points/game.

Duke is way overvalued due to its 15-0 start and No. 1 ranking. However, this will be the FIRST true road game of the season for the Blue Devils Saturday. That's right, they have played 15 games and have yet to play a true road game, which is the biggest reason they are so overrated right now.

This play falls into a system that is 38-9 (80.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DUKE) - after allowing 60 points or less against opponent after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games.

Duke is 0-7 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Devils are 2-11 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. Duke is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 vs. ACC opponents. The Wolf Pack are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. ACC foes. Bet NC State Saturday.

15* NBA Western Conference ANNIHILATOR on Memphis Grizzlies -2

The Memphis Grizzlies will be highly motivated to beat the San Antonio Spurs and put an end to their losing streak in this series. Memphis has lost five straight to San Antonio since knocking the Spurs out in the first round of the 2011 NBA playoffs. That includes a 95-99 overtime loss at San Antonio in their first meeting of the season on December 1st.

That home victory by the Spurs was no surprise considering the home team has dominated this series, winning 12 of the last 15 meetings. Memphis is 13-4 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 6.7 points/game while limiting foes to 86.7 points/game.

San Antonio is a mediocre 13-8 on the road where it is giving up 100.1 points/game. The Spurs really have not played all that well of late, failing to cover the spread in three of their last four. They have lost their last two road games with an 83-100 setback at New York and an 88-95 loss at New Orleans.

Memphis is a perfect 10-0 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. It is outscoring these good teams 98.9 to 88.3, or by an average of 10.6 points/game. As you can see, this is a team that takes their game up a notch when playing against the best competition the league has to offer. Roll with the Grizzlies Friday.

15* Bulls/Knicks ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 191.5

Oddsmakers have set the bar way too high in this game between the New York Knicks and Chicago Bulls. I'll gladly take advantage by backing the UNDER in a contest that will be nationally televised on ESPN tonight. These National TV games always seem to bring out better top defensive effort by both teams.

New York is much worse off offensively without Raymond Felton, who remains out with a finger injury. Felton is great at running the pick and roll, and the Knicks simply do not have an ample replacement for him. They are coming off a 76-point effort at Indiana last night as they shot just 34.8% from the floor.

Chicago is one of the best defensive teams in the league. It is giving up just 91.9 points/game this season on 43.3 percent shooting. However, the Bulls are one of the worst offensive teams in the game. They are scoring only 93.4 points/game on 43.9 percent shooting this year.

The Bulls and Knicks had combined for 184 or less points in three straight meetings (at the end of regulation) before a 110-106 road win by Chicago earlier this season on December 21st. However, New York went off to 45 points in the 4th quarter as the teams combined for 72 in the final period, and that's not going to happen again.

Chicago is 16-4 to the UNDER as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. Better yet, the Bulls are 9-1 to the UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. They are combining with their opponents for for an average of 175.5 points/game in this spot. The UNDER is 20-6 in Bulls last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on New Orleans Hornets -2

The New Orleans Hornets are one of the most undervalued teams in the league right now due to their 10-25 start. This team has been battling injuries all season as C Anthony Davis (13.4 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 1.9 BPG) and SG Eric Gordon (15.6 PPG, 4.4 APG) have missed a combined 43 games this season.

However, both Davis and Gordon are back and healthy, and this team is really playing up to its potential now because of it. In fact, the Hornets have won three straight games outright as underdogs. They went on the road to beat Dallas 99-96 as a 6-point dog before coming back home to top San Antonio 95-88 as an 8-point dog, and Houston 88-79 as a 2-point dog.

I have backed the Hornets with success in each of their last two games, and I'm going to continue to back them tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves because I believe they are still undervalued as only a 2-point favorite. This is a Minnesota team that remains without Kevin Love, and one that is coming off an ugly 84-106 loss at Oklahoma City.

New Orleans lost to Minnesota 102-113 in their first meeting of the season on December 14th. That loss works in its favor considering it is 26-12 ATS revenging a same season loss vs. opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Minnesota is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bet the Hornets Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -2.5

I have been riding the Boston Celtics here of late with a lot of success. Boston is riding a current four-game winning streak, which is their longest of the season. I have been on them in all four games with the Celtics posting a 3-1 ATS mark. Their only ATS loss came by a single point in an 8-point win over Phoenix as a 9-point favorite.

The reason I'm riding this team right now is because they are finally at full strength. One of the most underrated players in the league, guard Avery Bradley, has returned from injury to provide a big spark. He is the best perimeter defender in the league in my opinion, and he will make life very difficult on James Harden tonight.

Houston has been on an incredible run of late, but as a result it is overvalued. The Rockets have won 10 of their last 13 games overall, but they just had their five-game winning streak snapped with a 79-88 loss at New Orleans on Wednesday. With their momentum halted, I look for the Rockets to suffer a second straight defeat on the road tonight.

This play falls into a system that is 27-4 (87.1%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (HOUSTON) - terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, after scoring 85 points or less. Bet the Celtics Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Atlanta Hawks -4.5

The Atlanta Hawks will be highly motivated for a win tonight as they welcome the Utah Jazz to their home court Friday night. Atlanta is 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games overall, so it is clearly undervalued right now as only a 4.5-point home favorite over the Jazz.

Look for the Hawks (20-14) to put forth their best effort of the season tonight as they try and put an end to this 4-game skid. Atlanta is 11-6 at home this season, limiting opponents to 96.8 points/game.

Utah is just 8-14 on the road this year, giving up 101.5 points/game. The Jazz are overvalued after winning four of their last five with all four wins coming against the Timberwolves, Suns, Mavs and Bobcats, who are all .500 or worse this season.

The Jazz are 0-8 ATS in road games off a road win over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot 88.8 to 99.0, or by an average of 10.2 points/game. They just cannot seem to string together road wins. They'll be up against a very hungry Atlanta team tonight. Take the Hawks Friday.

15* Heat/Blazers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Miami -3

The Miami Heat are highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost four of their last seven games overall, including a 77-87 road loss at Indiana on Tuesday. I believe they are actually undervalued right now due to their recent struggles, and they should be a bigger favorite over Portland in this one.

The Blazers have been playing very well of late, but as a result they are overvalued. They have won 11 of their last 14 games overall, but they have mostly been beating up on inferior opponents. They will finally meet their match tonight in the defending champion Heat.

The road team has won five straight and six of the last seven in this series. The road team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings. Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 meetings in Portland, winning the last three outright.

The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Northwest opponents. The Blazers are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Portland is 4-19 ATS after having won 4 of its last 5 games over the last 3 seasons. The Blazers are 3-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. Take the Heat Thursday.

15* Kentucky/Vanderbilt ESPN Thursday No-Brainer on Vanderbilt +13

The Vanderbilt Commodores are undervalued today as a double-digit home underdog to the Kentucky Wildcats. This is a team that has clearly improved as the season has gone along, winning four of their last six while covering the spread in four of their last five lined games.

Kentucky comes into this game way overvalued after covering the spread in each of its last five games overall. It has played an extremely soft schedule while winning five of its last six with all five victories coming at home against Samford, Portland, Lipscomb, Marshall and Eastern Michigan. It is not just going to roll Vanderbilt on the road tonight.

This has been a very closely-contested series in recent years to say the least. Each of the last six meetings have been decided by 9 points or less. In fact, each of the last nine meetings were decided by 13 points or fewer, making for a 9-0 system backing the Commodores pertaining to tonight's spread.

Vanderbilt is 6-0 ATS after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 2 seasons. It is winning in this spot by an average of 14.5 points/game. Add that 9-0 trend to this 6-0 one and we have a perfect 15-0 system backing the Commodores tonight. Bet Vanderbilt Thursday.

20* Knicks/Pacers TNT GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana -4.5

The Indiana Pacers are rolling right now, and they're not about to cool off on National TV against the depleted New York Knicks tonight. Indiana has won 11 of its last 14 games overall heading into this one.

The Pacers have been absolutely dominant at home this season. They have gone 13-3 SU & 10-6 ATS at home, outscoring opponents by 7.8 points/game. They are limiting foes to just 87.3 points/game at home this year. The Pacers have won eight straight home games coming in with all eight victories by 5 points or more, including an 87-77 win over the defending champion Miami Heat on Tuesday.

The New York Knicks have really cooled off after a fast start this season. They are just 5-6 SU in their last 11 games overall, including 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games. Their recent struggles have coincided with an injury to PG Raymond Felton (finger), who has missed the past six games. Also, leading scorer Carmelo Anthony (29.0 PPG) has been suspended for tonight's game, further hurting the team.

Indiana has won 28 of its last 39 home meetings with New York. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Knicks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. New York is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bet the Pacers Thursday.

15* Miami/UNC ESPN Thursday ANNIHILATOR North Carolina -4

The North Carolina Tar Heels should be a much heavier home favorite tonight over the Miami Hurricanes. North Carolina will be highly motivated to bounce back from a 52-61 loss at Virginia on Saturday as it returns home where it has played well all season.

UNC is 7-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in all home games this year, outscoring opponents by an average of 18.3 points/game. It has a few impressive home wins this year, including a 79-73 victory over a very good UNLV team as only a 2-point favorite.

Miami comes into this game overvalued after winning its last two games, including a 62-49 victory at Georgia Tech on Saturday. Remember, this is the same team that lost 50-69 to Arizona, and 55-57 to Indiana State in late December on a neutral court.

North Carolina is 10-0 SU in its last 10 meetings with Miami. The Tar Heels are 7-0 ATS off a road loss over the last 3 seasons, winning in this spot by 18.5 points/game. UNC is 6-0 ATS after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse over the last 2 seasons, winning in this spot by 20.5 points/game. These three trends combined for a perfect 23-0 system backing the Tar Heels. Roll with North Carolina Thursday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Hornets +3

The New Orleans Hornets are one of the most undervalued teams in the league at this point of the season due to their 9-25 start this season. They have been battling injuries all season, but they are finally healthy and a dangerous team because of it.

Eric Gordon (18.2 PPG) and Anthony Davis (13.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG) have missed a combined 43 games this season, which is the biggest reason for their early struggles. Both are back and healthy and helping out this team. Gordon scored 24 points while Davis added 17 in a 95-88 win over San Antonio as an 8-point underdog on Monday.

Houston is overvalued right now due to the fact that it has been red hot of late. I look for the Rockets to cool off in a very tough spot for them tonight. They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days. Off a big emotional win over the Lakers last night, this is clearly a letdown spot for them.

Houston is 1-10 ATS in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. New Orleans is 9-1 ATS in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons. The home team has won six straight meetings in this series. The Hornets will be very hungry for a win having already lost twice in Houston this season. Bet the Hornets Wednesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee -2.5

The Tennessee Volunteers should be a much heavier home favorite tonight over Ole Miss. I'll gladly back them at this price as they look to bounce back from a tough 80-85 home loss to Memphis last time out. That was the Volunteers' first home loss of the season, and a rare one to say the least.

Tennessee is 6-1 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 10.6 points/game. It has beaten quality opponents in Wichita State and Xavier at home this season, and it will notch another home victory over Ole Miss in this one. In fact, the Vols have won eight straight home meetings with the Rebels dating back to 1997.

Ole Miss is way overvalued right now due to its 11-2 start against a very soft schedule. Their 11 wins have come against Miss Valley State, Coastal Carolina, Arkansas-Little Rock, McNeese State, Lipscomb, Rutgers, E. Tennessee State, Loyola-Marymount, San Francisco, Hawaii and Fordham. Tennessee will be the toughest team that the Rebels have faced all year.

The Volunteers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss. Tennessee is 14-6-1 ATS in its last 21 home games. The Vols are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. SEC foes. The Rebels are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win of more than 20 points. Tennessee is 8-0 ATS in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 24-9 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997. Bet Tennessee Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -9

I have rode the Boston Celtics with success in each of their last three games. They beat Indiana at home 94-75 as a 3-point favorite, won at Atlanta 89-81 as a 5.5-point dog, and won at New York 102-66 as a 7.5-point dog.

The biggest reason I've been backing the Celtics of late is the fact that they've underachieved through the first half of the season, and I have no doubt this is a much better team than their 14-17 record at the time I started backing them.

Avery Bradley is one of the most underrated players in the league. He has just recently returned from injury to give the Celtics a big boost the past four games. Bradley is arguably the best perimeter defender in the league and he'll make life miserable on these Phoenix guards tonight, just as he did on J.R. Smith Monday. Also, Rajon Rondo returns from his one-game suspension.

This is clearly a rebuilding year for the lowly Phoenix Suns. They are off to just a 12-24 start this season, going 14-21-1 ATS in the process. The Suns have been atrocious on the road, going 2-15 while getting outscored by 10.2 points/game. I faded them with success against Milwaukee last night as they lost 99-108. That makes this a tough situation for Phoenix as it will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days.

Phoenix is 1-10 ATS versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game over the last 2 seasons. The Suns are 2-16 ATS versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons. They are losing in this spot by 12.5 points/game. Phoenix is 0-8 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. Take the Celtics Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Virginia Tech -3

The Virginia Tech Hokies are highly motivated for a win tonight as they return home following a brutal stretch on the road. They have played four straight away from home while going 1-3 with three losses to some very good teams in Maryland, BYU and Colorado State.

Virginia Tech will be very happy to return home to a place where it has clearly played its best basketball of the season. The Hokies are 7-1 at home this season while outscoring opponents by 13.1 points/game. They have home wins over Iowa and Oklahoma State this year.

Boston College is just 1-3 on the road this season. Its lone road win came against Penn State, and its three losses were against College of Charleston, Dayton and Baylor. The Eagles also have bad home losses to Bryant (54-56) and Harvard (63-79) this season.

The Eagles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Boston College is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games following a loss. The Eagles are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games. The home team has won eight of the last nine meetings in this series. Roll with Virginia Tech Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Western Michigan +14

The Western Michigan Broncos are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They are off to a very solid 8-5 start this season with their only losses coming on the road against some very good competition in Cornell, Michigan, Illinois State, Duquesne and NC State.

They are certainly battle-tested after playing three of the top teams in the country in Michigan, Illinois State and NC State. They also have impressive wins on the road against Loyola-Illinois (81-71) as a 5-pint dog, and South Florida (58-53) as a 10-point dog.

Akron is overvalued due to a five-game winning streak coming in that has gotten the Zips to 9-4 on the season. However, all five of those wins came at home against some very soft competition. Those five wins were against Arkansas-Pine Bluff, Cleveland State, Texas Southern, Princeton and Coppin State.

Western Michigan will be motivated to put an end to a 7-game losing streak to Akron. It has played the Zips very tough during this skid, though, as six of the seven losses have come by 12 points or less. That includes a 66-69 overtime loss to Akron in their lone meeting last season.

This play falls into a system that is 24-5 (82.8%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet against home favorites of 10 or more points (AKRON) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more. Take Western Michigan Wednesday.

15* Pitt/Georgetown Big East No-Brainer on Georgetown -2

This line is an absolute gift from oddsmakers. Georgetown is one of the most underrated teams in the country and it should be a much bigger favorite at home tonight against the overrated Pittsburgh Panthers.

Georgetown is off to a 10-2 start this season. Its only losses have come against then-No. 1 Indiana in overtime on a neutral court as a 9.5-point dog and at Marquette 48-49 as a 3-point dog. Off that loss to Marquette Saturday, I look for the Hoyas to be hungry to bounce back at home.

Pitt played a very soft schedule before opening Big East play, racing out to a 12-1 start. However, it was favored by 6 over Cincinnati in its Big East opener, losing 61-70 at home. It then went on the road Saturday and fell at Rutgers 62-67 as a 7-point dog. Once again, this team is overvalued tonight.

Georgetown is a perfect 8-0 at home this season. It is outscoring opponents by a whopping 13.8 points per game at home this year. It is limiting its opponents to 51.1 points per game on 37.0 percent shooting at home.

The Panthers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. The Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Hoyas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss. Bet Georgetown Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Bucks -5.5

Off four straight losses, the Milwaukee Bucks will be highly motivated for a win tonight. Their losses have come against Detroit and Indiana on the road, as well as red hot San Antonio and Houston at home. They had beaten Miami at home in their last win before this 4-game skid.

Finally, the Bucks get a break in their schedule tonight against the Phoenix Suns, losers of eight of their last nine games overall. Phoenix is just 2-14 on the road this season, getting outscored by an average of 10.2 points/game. It is giving up a whopping 106.6 points/game away from home this year.

Phoenix is 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. It is losing in this spot by an average of 9.2 points/game. Milwaukee is a very profitable 57-30 ATS in its last 87 games following 4 or more consecutive losses. The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Roll with the Bucks Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Drake +20.5

The oddsmakers have missed their mark badly in this game between Drake and Creighton. The Bulldogs are clearly undervalued headed into this one as a 20.5-point underdog. I like them to give the overvalued Blue Jays a run for their money in this one.

Drake is just 6-8 on the season against a very tough schedule. Its eight losses have come against quality opponents in Detroit (by 6), California (by 3), Xavier (by 4), St. Mary's (by 15), Iowa State (by 9), Bradley (by 9), Wichita State (by 12) and Missouri State (by 12). As you can see, none of its eight losses came by more than 15 points.

Creighton is overvalued due to its 14-1 start and No. 13 ranking in the country. There's no question that this is a very good team that will be a tough out in the NCAA Tournament, but it has created expectations for itself due to this fast start that it cannot live up to.

I faded Creight on Saturday by taking Indiana State +14.5 with success, and I'll do the same tonight with Drake. Only four times this season have the Blue Jays won by more than 20 points. Those four games were against Presbyterian, Longwood and St. Josephs and Nebraska.

Drake has played Creighton tough over the last several years. Each of the last 13 meetings dating back to 2006 were decided by 17 points or less with Drake actually winning five of those outright. This makes for a perfect 13-0 system backing the Bulldogs pertaining to tonight's line of 20.5.

This play falls into a system that is 41-11 (78.8%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet against home teams as a favorite or pick (CREIGHTON) - off 2 straight wins against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive home losses of 10 points or more.

This play falls into another system that is 47-13 (78.3% ATS) over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 20 or more points (DRAKE) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival. Take Drake Tuesday.

Note: I noticed that Drake has been bet down to +16.5 in some places since I posted this pick Tuesday night. I still recommend Drake at +16.5

20* Alabama/Notre Dame BCS Championship BEST BET on Notre Dame +10

The Fighting Irish have been getting disrespected all season. Many people don

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Hornets +8.5

The New Orleans Hornets have played the San Antonio Spurs very tough this season, but they are 0-2 in two meetings. They lost 95-99 at home as a 7-point underdog on October 31st, and 94-99 on the road as a 13.5-point dog on December 21st.

The Hornets will want revenge from those two heartbreaking defeats, and they should not be an 8.5-point home dog tonight. That's especially the case considering New Orleans is finally at full strength as SG Eric Gordon just recently returned the line-up. He helped lead the Hornets to a 99-96 overtime victory at Dallas on Saturday, which was their 3rd road win in the last six games.

San Antonio is overvalued right now due to a run in which it has won eight of its last nine games while going 6-3 ATS in the process. This run has been against some very weak competition. With the Lakers on deck Wednesday, and having already beaten the Hornets twice this year, the Spurs could be overlooking them just enough to lose this game, let alone cover the inflated 8.5-point spread.

New Orleans is 24-12 ATS revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are 33-18 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons. The home team is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings in this series. The Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans. Roll with the Hornets Monday.

15* Celtics/Knicks NBA Monday No-Brainer on Boston +6.5

The Boston Celtics (16-17) are hungry to get back to .500 on the season tonight with a victory over the New York Knicks. I have been on Boston its past two games with a 94-75 home win over Indiana as a 3-point favorite, and an 89-81 road win at Atlanta as a 5.5-point underdog.

I believe this team is ready to turn the corner and win a third straight game for only the second time this season. Boston just recently got Avery Bradley back from injury, and he is one of the most underrated players in the league. His perimeter defense is as good as you will see in the NBA.

New York is overvalued due to its fast start. It has won two straight as well, but it needed to come from way behind to beat Orlando last time out. This team is without starting point guard Raymond Felton until late January, and they have been inconsistent without him.

Boston has owned this series with New York. It has won 14 of the last 17 meetings dating back to 2009. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New York. The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

The Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. New York is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a win. Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 vs. Eastern Conference foes. Take the Celtics Monday.

Note: I still recommend the Celtics at +7.5 now that Rajon Rondo has been officially ruled out.

15* Arkansas State/Kent State GoDaddy Bowl No-Brainer on Arkansas State -3.5

The Arkansas State Red Wolves won the Sun Belt conference for a second straight year thanks to a finish that leaves them as one of the hottest teams in the country heading into their bowl game. They have gone 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games overall. All seven victories came by a touchdown or more.

Kent State comes in deflated following its loss to Northern Illinois in the MAC title game. There

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Charlotte Bobcats +9

The Detroit Pistons should not be a 9-point favorite against any team in the league, not even the Charlotte Bobcats. This is a much improved Bobcats' team this year that will give the Pistons a run for their money, possibly pulling off the upset tonight.

Detroit is overvalued right now due to winning four straight games coming in. Its last three wins have all come by 6 points or less, so it's not like it is blowout out the opposition. Off a 1-point home win over Atlanta last time out, it is in a big letdown spot tonight against the Bobcats.

An easy way to tell that Detroit is overvalued is the fact that it has not been a favorite of more than 7 points in any game this season. In fact, the 13-22 Pistons have only been a favorite 11 times this year with nine of those being a 5-point favorite or less.

Charlotte put an end to its long losing streak with an impressive 91-81 road victory at Chicago on December 31st as an 11.5-point underdog. It did lost to Cleveland 104-106 in its most recent game, but this team comes in fresh and ready to bounce back. In fact, this will only be the Bobcats' 2nd game in six days, so they'll be giving 100% effort in this one.

This play falls into a system that is 25-7 (78.1%) ATS since 1996. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - off an upset loss as a home favorite, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record. Bet the Bobcats Sunday.

20* Seahawks/Redskins NFC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 46

The oddsmakers have inflated this total in this NFC wild-card game between the Seattle Seahawks and Washington Redskins. I'll take advantage by backing the UNDER in what I believe is going to be a low-scoring, defensive battle.

Both offenses have been playing well of late, which is the biggest reason for this inflated total. However, each offense runs into a hot defense, and defenses reign supreme more times than not in the playoffs.

Seattle is allowing just 15.3 points/game this season, and it has given up 17 points or less in each of its last five contests. Washington has given up 21 or fewer points in three straight games while picking up three big wins in the process.

The Seahawks are scoring 21.1 points/game while allowing 18.7 points/game on the road this season. That's an average combined score of 39.8 points/game. Washington is scoring 25.7 points/game and allowing 22.1 points/game at home this year for an average combined score of 47.8 points/game. Add 47.8 and 39.8 and divide by two and we get 43.8, which is closer to what this total should really be set at, so you can see where I'm getting the value at.

This play falls into a system that is 29-8 (78.4%) to the UNDER since 1983. It tells us to bet the UNDER on home teams against the total (WASHINGTON) - after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers against opponent after 5 consecutive games where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

I look for both of these rookie quarterbacks to focus on taking care of the football and not making mistakes, which won't put their defenses in bad positions. This will lead to a low-scoring affair and an easy cash on the UNDER in this one. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Seahawks/Redskins NFC ATS ANNIHILATOR on Washington +3

The Redskins are one of the hottest teams in the league entering the playoffs. After a 3-6 start, it appeared that they would be just playing for pride the rest of the way. They weren

15* Syracuse/South Florida Big East ANNIHILATOR on South Florida +8.5

The Syracuse Orange (13-1) are in a big letdown spot Sunday. They are coming off a 78-53 home victory over Rutgers in their Big East opener. That gave head coach Jim Boeheim is 903rd career victory, moving him past Bob Knight for 2nd on the all-time Division 1 wins list. It's only human nature for his players to have a letdown after getting him such a big win.

I believe South Florida is a good enough team to beat Syracuse even without a letdown by the Orange, but the spot makes the Bulls a must-play today. South Florida is off to a 9-3 start this season to pick up right where it left off last year as an NCAA Tournament team.

The Bulls remain underrated this season. They play tremendous defense, limiting opponents to just 60.2 points/game and 39.0 percent shooting. They have four players averaging double digits scoring, including returning starters Anthony Collins (10.2 PPG, 7.8 APG) and Victor Rudd (11.2 PPG, 7.8 RPG).

This will be just the 2nd true road game for Syracuse this season. Its first resulted in a 91-82 victory at Arkansas as an 8.5-point favorite on November 30th. That's a big reason why this team is so overvalued right now because it has done almost all of its damage at home against very weak competition.

Syracuse is a tired team right now as this will be its 3rd game in 7 days, and its 4th game in 9 days. The Orange are 0-7 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons. The Bulls are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. USF only lost by 8 points at Syracuse last season as a 14-point underdog. I like them to stay within 8 at home this time around. Take South Florida Sunday.

25* NFL Wild-Card Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Green Bay Packers -7.5

The Packers have been playing their best football at home this season. They are 7-1 at Lambeau Field this year with their only loss coming against the San Francisco 49ers in their opener. They have won seven straight home games since, and they are outscoring opponents by an average of 11.6 points per game at Lambeau this season.

Green Bay had been dominant in this series before its Week 17 loss to Minnesota, which was a much more important game for the Vikings. It is still 5-1 straight up and 4-2 against the spread in its last six meetings with the Vikings. That includes a 23-14 home win earlier this season, and a 45-7 triumph at Lambeau last year. The Packers are outscoring the Vikings by an average of 13.7 points/game in their last six meetings.

While the Packers have struggled stopping Adrian Peterson, I believe a third try at him will help them improve against the run. They

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Northern Iowa +9.5

The Northern Iowa Panthers should not be catching this many points Saturday night against the Illinois State Redbirds. The Panthers have won eight of their last 10 meetings with the Redbirds, losing only once by more than 9.5 points.

Northern Iowa is undervalued right now due to losing four of its last five games overall. However, it has been an underdog in five of its last six games, clearly playing a difficult schedule. Its losses have come against Iowa, UNLV, Wichita State and Indiana State. It even beat St. Mary's 82-73 and George Mason 82-77 despite being an underdog in both games during this stretch.

Illinois State has lost its last two with a 75-77 setback at Indiana State, and a 72-79 drubbing at home at the hands of Creighton. Off such a tough loss to the Blue Jays, who are picked to win the MVC this season, I expect the Redbirds to suffer a hangover from that defeat.

Northern Iowa is 8-1 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons. The underdog is 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings in this series. This one will go right down to the wire folks. Roll with Northern Iowa Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Celtics +5

The Boston Celtics are undervalued right now due to a recent 4-game losing streak before last night's 94-75 win over Indiana. I picked the Celtics last night, and I'm on them again Saturday as I believe they are going to put a run together here soon.

Boston just recently got Avery Bradley back from injury. His presence will take a lot of pressure off of Rajon Rondo, who also recently returned from injury. This team is finally starting to get healthy and there's no question they are going to string some wins together in the near future.

I believe that Atlanta has overachieved with its roster in the first half of the season, and as a result it is overvalued. It lost at Detroit last night 84-85, using a ton of energy to try and come back as it outscored the Pistons 22-11 in the 4th quarter.

Meanwhile, Boston coasted to its victory and rested in the 4th quarter, so it comes into this game in a much better frame of mind. The Celtics didn't have a single player play more than 30 minutes last night, while the Hawks had all five starters play more than 31 minutes. In fact, Jeff Teague, Al Horford and Lou Williams all played more than 40 minutes.

The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Atlanta. The last two meetings between these teams were decided by a combined 4 points. Boston has won four of the last five meetings with its only loss coming by a single point. Bet the Celtics Saturday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah +18.5

The Arizona Wildcats are way overvalued right now due to their perfect 13-0 start this season. They got away with murder in a 92-83 home win in overtime against Colorado on Thursday. They erased a double-digit deficit in the second half, and Colorado hit a game-winning jumper at the end of regulation that was eventually called off, though most would argue it should have counted.

Arizona is feeling overconfident right now as it continues to win close games. It had beaten San Diego State 68-67 prior to that overtime victory over Colorado. I wouldn't be surprised to see this underrated Utah team pull off the upset, but I'll take the points for some insurance.

Utah is a much better team than it is getting credit for. It is certainly better than its 8-5 record would indicate. ALL FIVE of its losses have come by 5 points or less this season. That includes a 58-61 loss at BYU as a 12.5-point underdog, and a 54-55 loss at Arizona State as an 8-point dog. The Utes are 8-2 ATS in all lines games this season.

Arizona is 0-6 ATS in home games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 3 seasons. The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. These two trends combine for a perfect 12-0 system that has not lost in three years. Take Utah Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Rice +16

The Rice Owls are catching way too many points Saturday against the Harvard Crimson in this one. Rice is an ever-improving team under former UCLA head coach Ben Braun. I know it is just 3-9 on the season, but it is an impressive 4-1 ATS in its lined games as it has been undervalued all year.

Its lined games have been against some solid competition, including a 63-77 loss at Temple as a 26-point underdog, and a 41-57 loss at Texas as an 18-point underdog. It also lost to Drexel 47-55 as a 13-point dog, and 63-65 to TCU as a 4-point dog.

Harvard is in for a big letdown in this one. It let a big lead slip away at St. Mary's last time out, falling 69-70 as a 12-point road underdog. The Gaels were playing a second of a back-to-back, so they clearly weren't on their game. I look for the Crimson to suffer a hangover from that crushing defeat.

Harvard hasn't been prone to blowing teams out, either. It is 7-5 this season with just one of those wins coming by more than 16 points. It has a 15-point home win over MIT, a 7-point home loss to Vermont, a 9-point home win over Fordham, a 1-point home win over Boston, and a 7-point home win over Holy Cross, falling to cover the spread in any of those five contests.

This play falls into a system that is 29-8 (78.4%) ATS since 1997. It tells us to bet on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (RICE) - after allowing 65 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after a close loss by 3 points or less. Also, the Crimson are 0-6 ATS in home games after 3 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons. Take Rice Saturday.

15* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State +14

The Indiana State Sycamores are showing excellent value as a 14-point underdog to the Creighton Blue Jays Saturday. Indiana State is a much better team than it is getting credit for in this one.

The Sycamores are off to a 9-4 start this season with their four losses coming against quality opponents in UCLA, New Mexico, San Diego State and Morehead State as they were an underdog in all four contests. Three of those losses have come by 9 points or less. What's most impressive about their 9-4 start is the fact that they have been an underdog in nine of their ten lined games this season, going a superb 7-3 ATS.

Creighton is overvalued due to its 13-1 start. It is coming off a huge win at Illinois State by a final of 79-72 as a 1.5-point favorite, setting it up for a big letdown spot tonight. The Blue Jays may win this game, but it won't be by more than 14 points.

The Sycamores are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Indiana State is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games overall. The Sycamores are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win. Indiana State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. These four trends combine for a 20-0 system backing the Sycamores. Bet Indiana State Saturday.

20* Pitt/Ole Miss Compass Bowl No-Doubt Rout on Ole Miss -3

The Ole Miss Rebels were one of the most improved teams in the country this season. First-year head coach Hugh Freeze did an excellent job with this program by returning it to relevance. They even had three losses all by 6 points or less to Texas A&M, Vanderbilt and LSU, which are three of the better teams in the conference.

Ole Miss comes in with momentum after beating Mississippi State 41-24 in its finale just to become bowl eligible. It was their most dominant performance of the season as the Rebels outgained the Bulldogs 527-333 for the game. Now, they face a Pittsburgh team that doesn

15* Bulls/Heat ESPN Friday No-Brainer on UNDER 191

The oddsmakers have inflated this total tonight between the Chicago Bulls and Miami Heat. This game will be played on National TV on ESPN, which will bring out the best effort defensively from both teams. I don't expect either team to top 95 points in this one.

The Chicago Bulls don't need to be on National TV to play defense. It is their specialty as they are limiting opponents to just 91.6 points/game this season. However, they are scoring a mere 92.4 points/game, combining with their opponents to average 184.0 points/game on the season.

Miami has been playing solid defense at home, giving up 96.9 points/game. It will have no trouble shutting down this mediocre Bulls' offensive attack tonight. The Heat are one of the highest-scoring teams in the league, but rarely do they face a defense as stiff as the one they'll be up against tonight.

A look at the recent history between these teams indicates that this total has been inflated. Chicago and Miami have combined for 190 or less points (at the end of regulation) in 10 of their last 11 meetings. That includes an 83-72 home victory for Miami in their most recent meeting, and a 96-86 (OT) home win for Chicago in their previous meeting in a game that was tied 84-84 at the end of regulation.

The UNDER is Under is 20-7 in Bulls last 27 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The UNDER is 15-4 in Bulls last 19 games as an underdog. The UNDER is 6-1 in Heat last 7 home games. The UNDER is 9-1 in Bulls last 10 games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season. Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -2

The Boston Celtics are more motivated for a win tonight than they have been all season. They are coming off four straight losses while dropping eight of their last 10 games overall. There's no question they will be giving 110% effort to try and right the ship tonight.

A big reason for the Celtics' struggles of late is their schedule, which has featured seven road games. Also, eight of those 10 games have come against teams that would currently be in the playoffs if the season were to end today. It's safe to say the the Celtics are battle-tested heading into this showdown with Indiana.

While the Celtics are undervalued due to their recent cold streak, the Pacers are certainly overvalued due to their recent success. Indiana has won nine of its last 11 games overall. However, seven of their nine wins during this stretch came against teams with losing records. They have simply taken advantage of a very soft schedule over the past month.

The Celtics are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Pacers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The home team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Roll with the Celtics Friday.

20* Texas A&M/Oklahoma Cotton Bowl ANNIHILATOR on Texas A&M -3

The Texas A&M Aggies were very close to winning the SEC West with a chance to play for the national title in Kevin Sumlin

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on San Jose State -2.5

The San Jose State Spartans are not getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers tonight. As only a 2.5-point home favorite, I expect them to roll right over the Idaho Vandals Thursday.

San Jose State is off to a solid 7-5 start this season. What is most impressive about this start is the fact that it is 4-1 in true road games with its only loss coming at Kansas by a final of 57-70 as a 27.5-point underdog. That game really showed what this team is capable of. They also have a solid home win over Weber State 68-67 as a 2.5-point dog.

Idaho is simply not a very good team at 5-6 on the season. Its only wins have come against Wisconsin-Green Bay, Cal Davis, Eastern Washington, Walla Walla and Seattle. The Vandals are just 2-4 on the road this season, and they have lost every game they have played against a respectable opponent.

San Jose State is 20-6 ATS after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997. The Spartans are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. They want revenge from two losses to Idaho by 8 and 6 points last season. I believe they get it tonight in blowout fashion. Take San Jose State Thursday.

15* T'Wolves/Nuggets NBA Thursday ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +8

The betting public has jumped all over the Denver Nuggets tonight. This line opened at 6.5 in most places and has already been bet up to 8. I'm going to fade the public and back the Minnesota Timberwolves showing excellent value here tonight.

Denver is overvalued because it just recently put an end to the Los Angeles Cliippers' 17-game winning streak with a 92-78 home victory on Tuesday. That win has the public all over them in this one, and I fully expect the Nuggets to suffer a big emotional letdown after such a huge victory. Also, starting PG Ty Lawson is doubtful to play with an Achilles injury.

Minnesota comes in undervalued after its 84-106 loss at Utah last night. That was arguably the worst game the Timberwolves have played all season, and there's no question they will be motivated to bounce back with a win tonight. I know they are playing a back-to-back, but this will be just their 2nd game in 5 days, so fatigue won't be a factor.

Minnesota has played Denver very tough in recent meetings. The Nuggets have only beaten the Timberwolves once by more than 7 points in the last six meetings. Minnesota lost 107-113 and 103-101 (OT) in its last two trips to Denver, respectively.

The road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings, and the Timberwolves are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Denver. Minnesota is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. It is also 12-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 2 seasons. Roll with the Timberwolves Thursday.

20* K-State/Oregon Fiesta Bowl No-Brainer on Oregon -8

There

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Wisconsin-Milwaukee +18

At 4-10 on the season, the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers are certainly undervalued heading into this showdown with Detroit. The Panthers are also 0-8 on the road this year, where they are getting outscored by an average of 15.5 points/game.

Detroit is overvalued due to its 8-5 start which has included wins in six of its last seven games with its only loss coming at Syracuse. The Titans are also 7-0 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 15.3 points/game.

A closer look shows that Detroit only has two wins this season by more than 16 points. Those were at home against Northern Michigan (88-53) and Rochester College (102-67), two games where there wasn't a point spread set because they were expected to blow them out.

Only three of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's 10 losses this season have come by more than 16 points. One was a recent 21-point loss at Wisconsin in their last road game. If they can stay within 21 of the Badgers on the road, I have no doubt they can stey within 17 of Detroit away from home.

Detroit is 0-7 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons. The Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Bet Wisconsin-Milwaukee Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on UTEP +10.5

The UTEP Miners should not be catching double-digits against the Colorado State Rams Wednesday. UTEP comes in playing its best basketball of the season having won three straight and five of six overall. Its only loss during this stretch came by a final of 60-62 to a very good UNLV team as a 6.5-point underdog.

Colorado State is off to a very impressive 11-2 start this season, but as a result it is way overvalued heading into this contest Wednesday. It has won five straight, but those five wins have come against North Florida, CS-Bakersfield, Portland, Virginia Tech and Adams State. The Rams will certainly be seeing a step up in competition tonight.

UTEP is a perfect 6-0 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons. UTEP is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games overall. Colorado State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet UTEP Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Miami -6

The Miami Hurricanes will be very hungry for a win Wednesday when they host LaSalle. They have lost back-to-back games to Arizona and Indiana State on neutral courts to drop to 8-3 after a hot 8-1 start. I have no doubt they get back on track with a blowout home victory tonight.

Miami is 5-0 SU & 3-0 ATS at home this season. It is outscoring opponents by 15.6 points/game at home this year. That includes a 67-59 victory over Michigan State and a 77-62 triumph over Detroit. LaSalle has played one of the easiest schedules you will ever see, and as a result it is overvalued due to its 9-2 start.

LaSalle is 11-24 ATS after having won 4 of its last 5 games since 1997. The Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic 10 opponents. Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. Miami is 41-17-1 ATS in its last 59 non-conference game. Roll with the Hurricanes Wednesday.

25* BCS Bowl GAME OF THE YEAR on Louisville +14

The Florida Gators aren

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Missouri State +16

The Missouri State Bears are a much better team than their 3-10 record would indicate. They should not be catching 15 points to the Evansville Purple Aces tonight. All 10 of their losses have come by 20 points or less, so they have yet to get really crushed. The Bears come in with confidence after beating Southern Illinois 70-59 in as a 5-point dog in their Missouri Valley opener on December 30th.

Meanwhile, Evansville is reeling after back-to-back losses to Butler and Creighton by a combined 25 points. It is just 7-6 on the season with few blowout wins on its resume. It has beaten Oakland City, Miami Ohio and Tennessee Tech by more than 15 points, but that's not saying much. The Purple Aces also beat Yale by 10, Western Illinois by 5, Tennessee Tech by 12 and Alabama State by 13. I believe Missouri State is better than every team that Evansville has beaten.

This play falls into a system that is 156-99 (61.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams as an underdog or pick (MISSOURI ST) - off an upset win as an underdog, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season. Take Missouri State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night Line Mistake on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Toronto Raptors continue going under the radar despite being one of the hottest teams in the league. They have won six of their last seven games overall, including a 123-88 victory at Orlando last time out on December 29th. That means they've had three days' rest heading into this one.

While the Raptors are well-rested, the Portland Trail Blazers come into this game on a back-to-back. They won at New York 105-100 as a 9.5-point underdog, which was a huge win for them. I look for the Blazers to suffer a big letdown here tonight as they simply aren't able to get up emotionally for Toronto after that win inside Madison Square Garden last night.

Portland is 5-10 on the road this season, getting outscored by 6.8 points/game. Toronto is 7-5 at home this year, outscoring opponents by 3.4 points/game. The Raptors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 home games. The favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Roll with the Raptors Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3.5

The Chicago Bulls will be more motivated for a win tonight than they have been all season. As a result, I'll back them as only a 3.5-point favorite over the lowly Orlando Magic. Chicago has lost three of its last four while going 0-4 ATS in the process.

This recent run has the Bulls way undervalued heading into this contest. They are coming off their most embarrassing loss of the season with an 81-91 home loss to Charlotte, allowing the Bobcats to put an end to their 18-game losing streak. Head coach Tom Thibodeau is one of the best in the business in getting his players to respond from a bad defeat.

Orlando is in a world of hurt right now after losing second-leading scorer Glen Davis (16.0 PPG, 7.9 RPG) for 4-6 weeks with a shoulder strain. Now, guards Jameer Nelson (hip) and E'Twuan Moore (elbow) have missed the past two games, and each is questionable to return tonight. Orlando has lost six straight coming in, including a 110-112 overtime loss to Miami last time out. I look for the Magic to suffer a hangover from that tough loss to the rival Heat and drop their 7th straight tonight.

The Bulls are 45-22-2 ATS in their last 69 games following a S.U. loss. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Wednesday games. The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Chicago has won six of its last seven meetings with Orlando. Take the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers -3

The Cleveland Cavaliers are hungry for a win tonight. They have lost two straight in heartbreaking fashion to Atlanta (94-102) and Brooklyn (100-103) in the closing seconds. I look for them to take out their frustration on the lowly Sacramento Kings tonight and to pick up a blowout home victory.

Cleveland comes in on three days' rest having last played on December 29th in Brooklyn. Meanwhile, Sacramento will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 3rd game in 4 days. The Kings lost 97-103 at Detroit last night. They won't be able to match the intensity of the well-rested Cavaliers in this one. The Kings are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 0 days rest.

Sacramento is just 1-13 on the road this season. It is getting outscored by an average of 10.7 points/game away from home this year. The Kings are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a S.U. loss. They are also 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

15* 76ers/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Philadelphia +9

The Los Angeles Lakers are simply laying too many points to the Philadelphia 76ers tonight. They have not done well in the role of the big favorite over the last several seasons because they always tend to play down to their competition.

Philadelphia is undervalued because it has lost two straight and eight of its last 10 games overall. Each of its last three losses have come on the road by 7 points or less to Brooklyn, Golden State, and Portland. It has won two of its last five with a 99-80 home win over Atlanta, and a 99-89 triumph on the road at Memphis, both playoff teams. This recent stretch certainly has the 76ers motivated for a win here tonight.

The Lakers are overvalued due to winning six of their last seven games overall. That includes a 104-87 home victory over the hapless Portland Trail Blazers last time out. They could be looking ahead to their game against the Los Angeles Clippers next, who have won 17 straight games.

Los Angeles is 9-26 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of its last 6 against the spread over the last 3 seasons. The Lakers are 9-23-1 ATS in their last 33 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. Los Angeles is 2-14 (88%) ATS in its last 16 Tuesday games. The Lakers are 15-35-2 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. The road team is 7-1 ATS (88%) in the last 8 meetings. Take the Lakers Tuesday.

15* Wisconsin/Stanford Rose Bowl ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin +7

The Badgers will at least have a familiar face guiding the program in in former head coach Barry Alvarez. With his credentials, he certainly demands respect from his players. He

15* Michigan/South Carolina Outback Bowl No-Brainer on South Carolina -5

The Gamecocks were just one loss away from playing for the SEC Championship and a shot at a national title. They beat SEC East champ Georgia 35-7, but followed that up with back-to-back road losses to LSU and Florida for their only setbacks of the season. They only lost 21-23 at LSU, and they gave up just 183 total yards to Florida in a game that was much closer than the final score would indicate.

Michigan already played one SEC team this season, and it was not pretty. It lost to Alabama 14-41 on a neutral field on September 1st in a game that was even more of a blowout than the final score would indicate. The Wolverines found themselves down 31-7 at halftime, and they rushed for just 69 yards on 2.4 per carry as a team.

South Carolina

15* CBB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Yale +20.5

The Yale Bulldogs are showing awesome value as a 20.5-point underdog to the Iowa State Cyclones on Tuesday, January 1st. There's no question that some of these Iowa State players had a little too much fun last night, and they won't be wanting to play at 1:00 EST this afternoon.

This is a huge letdown spot for the Cyclones considering they open Big 12 play next. In fact, they will open conference action with Kansas, which is the team favored to win the Big 12. They will be overlooking Yale enough in this one to not cover the inflated number.

Yale is battle-tested coming in. It is coming off back-to-back road losses to Nevada (75-85) as a 12-point dog, and to St Mary's (62-78) as a 22-point dog. This team is certainly better than its 4-9 record would indicate as eight of its nine losses have come by 16 points or less.

This play falls into a system that is 30-6 (83.3%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road underdogs of 10 or more points (YALE) - a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. Bet Yale Tuesday.

25* College Bowl GAME OF THE YEAR on Mississippi State +1.5

This is the most talented team the Bulldogs have had in the Dan Mullen era. There