Today’s Free Betting Picks from Top Sports ATS Cappers

1* Free Pick on Broncos/Ravens  UNDER 43.5 

Look for a defensive battle Sunday when the Ravens host the Broncos and for the game to finish well below the posted total of 43.5. These two teams have flashed some offense early on, but Baltimore 47-point outburst in Week 1 came against the Bills and Denver hasn't exactly played a great defense with their first two against the Seahawks and Raiders. 

Both of these teams are built on their defenses and both can get pressure on the quarterback. I just don't see either of these offenses being able to consistently sustain drives and I think both will struggle in the red zone. 

UNDER is 9-2 in the Ravens last 11 off a division road loss and 9-2 in their last 11 after 2 straight games where 50+ total points were scored. 

We also find a great system in play. The UNDER is 26-6 (81%) over the last 5 seasons when you have a team off a division road loss (Ravens) against a team off a win over a division opponent (Broncos). Take the UNDER! 

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This is a 1* Free Play on the Dallas Cowboys.

The Hawks are staring 0-3 in the face this Sunday and we think it’ll become a reality. Dallas finally found its footing in the second half of its 20-13 win over the Giants last Sunday night and we look for it to grind out a win here as well. Dallas’ QB Dak Prescott was 16 of 25 for 160 yards last week, along with another 45 yards rushing. The Dallas defense had six sacks of Eli Manning and now that aggressive unit faces the Seahawks suspect offensive line which has already given up 12 sacks this year (the most in the NFL.) Note that Dallas is 10-6 ATS its last 16 on the road, while Seattle is just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 at home. Consider the COWBOYS Sunday afternoon.

AAA Sports

Indy +7

Take the Colts +7 as they showed they have a solid defense and Andrew Luck played well at Washington in an easy win vs. the Redskins. There are +6, +6.5 and I even saw a +7.5 out there so shop around. 

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Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Baltimore Ravens -5 

The Baltimore Ravens are in a good spot here.  They have extra rest after playing last Thursday in a 23-34 loss to the Bengals.  It was a tough scheduling spot there and they fell behind 21-0 quickly, but rallied and made a game out of it.  They actually outgained the Bengals by 52 yards in that contest a week after outgaining the Bills by 216 yards in a dominant 47-3 home win. 

I really like this Ravens team as I believe they are one of the better teams in the AFC.  And I think Denver is a bit overvalued here off its 2-0 start.  That 2-0 start has come at home against both the Seahawks and Raiders by a combined 4 points.  They could easily be 0-2 as they trailed in the fourth quarter in both of those games.   

And keep in mind playing in Denver is tough for any road team early in the season with the altitude.  Now the Broncos will be hitting the road for the first time this season.  They’ll be facing a hungry Ravens team here.  And home-field advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 10-3 SU in the last 13 meetings.  The Ravens are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with the Broncos. 

Denver’s pass defense has been exposed against two weak offenses in Oakland and Seattle.  Russell Wilson threw for 298 yards and 3 touchdowns against them in Week 1.  Then Derek Carr went 29-of-32 passing for 288 yards and a touchdown against them in Week 2.  Joe Flacco should do more of the same here.  He is completing 64% of his passes for 612 yards with five touchdowns and two picks through two games.  He finally has some weapons outside with the additions of John Brown, Michael Crabtree and Willie Snead, who are their three leading receivers to this point. 

Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Baltimore) - a good team from last season that outscoring their opponents by 4 or more points per game, after playing a game where 50 or more total points were scored are 35-12 (74.5%) ATS since 1983.  The Broncos are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Ravens Sunday.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on New England Patriots -6.5 

The Patriots are coming off an ugly loss to the Jaguars.  Jacksonville simply wanted that game more after losing to New England in the AFC Championship Game last year.  It’s a forgivable loss because the Jaguars are one of the best teams in the AFC again.  But now the Patriots are off a loss, and they are dangerous off a defeat.  Bill Belichick is 21-6 ATS off a double-digit loss as the coach of the Patriots.  Belichick is also 14-3 ATS off a double-digit loss as a favorite as the coach of New England.  Tom Brady should score at will against a Lions defense that has allowed 78 combined points through the first two weeks of the season.  I don’t think the Lions will be able to keep up.  Give me the Patriots.

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Play - Denver Broncos (Game 469).

Edges - Broncos: 11-4 SU and 9-4-2 ATS versus AFC North opponents, including 3-0 ATS as dogs … Ravens: 1-3 ATS last four games in this series ... With that we recommend a 1* play on Denver.  Thank you and good lucks as always.

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This Sunday, we will CRUSH THE BOOKS together as I have 2 BIG WINNERS for you. I have my NFL GAME OF THE MONTH which were a perfect, 5-0 last season and I also have my NFL TOTAL OF THE WEEK. I release  so few Totals, but when I do, you get paid.

Sunday's FREE NFL WINNER: Jacksonville Jaguars.

Game 466.

10:00 am pst.

With only 2 games into the season, the Jaguars have catapulted themselves as the team to beat and certainly one of the AFC elite. Jacksonville came out last week and dominated New England in their 31-20 win and cover, avenging last years, AFC title game loss. Normally, this could be a spot for a "letdown", but not this time. The Jaguars are motivated here, as the Titans took both meetings a season ago. And outside of the loss Conference championship loss, these pair of losses is are stung the most. Somehow, a banged-up, Tennessee team eked by Houston last Sunday. However, going on the road to TIAA Bank Field and facing the AFC's top team, will be a nightmare. The Titans are 9-22 ATS the L31 games as a visitor and 16-40-4 ATS the L60 games vs. AFC opponents. The Jaguars are 4-1 ATS the L5 games at home and 9-3 ATS the L12 games vs. AFC foes. Take Jacksonville. Thank you.

#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Houston Texans took a 20-17 loss to the Titans last Sunday, and I think they're well overrated in this Week 3 matchup with the New York Giants. 

The Giants are still looking for their first win of the season, but they've held both Dallas and Jacksonville to just 20 points. They limited the Cowboys to only 298 total yards last week. The Texans rank 26th in the league in scoring at 18.5 points and it will be tough to cover this spread in what's likely to be a low-scoring game. 

Additionally we can note that Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record, Texans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record and  0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall.

Free pick on New York Giants +6.5. 

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Dave’s Sunday Free Play: 

1* on Washington Redskins +3 

The Key: The Green Bay Packers will be hitting the road for the first time this week.  They were fortunate to beat the Bears at home in Week 1, and they were also fortunate to tie the Vikings at home in Week 2 due to all of Minnesota’s kicking woes.  The Packers were outgained by 129 yards by the Vikings last week.  And road teams off a tie have been terrible.  In fact, in the last 13 instances, road teams off a tie are 0-13 SU & 2-11 ATS.  The Redskins are better than they are getting credit for here.  They won 24-6 in Arizona in Week 1 and their 6-17 loss to the Colts at home last week was misleading.  They outgained the Colts by 53 yards a week after outgaining the Cardinals by 216 yards.  The home team is 6-2 SU & 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series.  The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss.  Take Washington.

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Dallas at Seattle 4:25 ET

Seahawks over Cowboys- The Seahawks are on the worst dive ever experienced by Pete Carroll as they have lost seven straight and are 1-9 SU in their last 10 with their last SU and ATS victory a 21-12 win over the Cowboys in Dallas. America's team hasn't been much better losing five straight against the points until Sunday night's win over the Giants. Dallas has scored 12, 6, 21 (a loss), 12, 3, 6, and 8 in their last seven games before last weeks 'explosion' of 20 points (scored a TD on the first play of the game). The Seahawks are a different team then what we have become accustomed to seeing but Dallas isn't mush better. The 'Birds' finally get their win. Take SEATTLE!

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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Seattle minus the points over Dallas at 4:25 pm et on Sunday.

I’ll lay the short number with the Seahawks on Sunday afternoon.

Seattle is off to an abysmal 0-2 start but it’s important to keep things in perspective. The Seahawks opened the season with two tough road games in Denver and Chicago and now return home, where they own one of the strongest edges in the NFL.

There’s also good news as the banged-up Seahawks are expected to have Bobby Wagner back on defense, which is a huge gain as they prepare to face a rather limited Dallas offense.

The Cowboys evened their record at 1-1 with a key division win over the Giants last Sunday night but that had more to do with New York’s struggles than anything else. While I do like the Cowboys defense in this matchup, I’m not sure they’ll be able to score enough to hold off what will be a desperate Seahawks squad. Take Seattle (10*).

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Pure Lock's FREE NFL play Sunday 9-23-18

Miami -3 -114

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Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 9-23-18

LA Rams -7 +100

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R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 9-23-18

OVER 44 1/2 +101 Oakland/Miami

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Giants/Texans 1:00: Texans shouldn't be laying this kind of wood with a 26th ranked scoring offense. QB Watson still not in rhythm as he attempts to regain that great form he had prior to his ACL injury at midpoint last season. Giants' defense is respectable and MLB Ogletree making an impact. At the same time, disappointed in the Texans' defense which forever underachieves early in the season. Giants have immense offensive skill talent (Beckham, Barkley, Manning) waiting to ignite but still fizzling out under puzzling hire Pat Shurmur. Nevertheless, we'll grab the points with the dog here. Giants are 5-2 ATS on the road against a team with a losing home record. And the Giants have a much better early season winning ATS record than the Texans. Giants the call.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Giants vs Texans under 43½ -109

My money is on the UNDER 43.5 in Sunday's NFL matchup that has the Giants visiting the Texans. These two teams have not looked good at all offensively to start 2018. Neither team has scored more than 20 points in any game. The key here is the defenses have played well and we are going to get a max effort here from both sides, as both teams come in at 0-2 and are trying to save their season. UNDER is 8-1 in the Texans last 9 games played in the month of September, 5-1 in their last 6 off a loss and 4-1 in their last 5 vs a team with a losing record. UNDER is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 on the road and 5-0 in their last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Bet the UNDER 43.5! 

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The Play and the Matchup
DALLAS Cowboys
DALLAS (1 - 1) at SEATTLE (0 - 2)   
Week 3 Sunday, 9/23/2018 4:25 PM
SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on the Dallas Cowboys on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Currently, Dallas is priced as 1.5-point road dog.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Dallas to gain 5.5 to 6.0 yards-per-pass play, will have at least 50 more rushing yards than Seattle, and will contain Seattle to less than 100 rushing yards total. If we look at each one of these KPI individually, we see that Seattle is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 net passing yards-per-attempt; 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when they rush for 75 to 100 yards. Dallas is a solid 36-10 ATS for 78% winners when installed as a road dog and contains that opponent to less than 100 rushing yards. Combining all of these KPI, Dallas is 27-6 ATS for 82% and covering by an average of 8.20 PPG.

This game features the 1-1 Niners and the 2-0 Kansas City Chiefs. Both teams gave up a ton of points last week and really in both weeks for the Chiefs as I believe they will be focused in on defense this week against a Niners team which really is not the best road team. Vikings held this team to 16 points week one and I think you will see similar results today. A ton of square action as poured in on the over in this one as we have 67% of the money backing the over and this line has held tight. Give me the under for a 15* winner.

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Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #963 Sunday Free Pick Colorado Rockies Money Line (+) @ Arizona Diamondbacks @ 4:10 ET - Of course the Diamondbacks would love to play the role of spoiler here against the Rockies. However, Arizona's slump continues and Colorado continues to fight hard for a playoff berth. The Dbacks have lost 16 of their last 21 games. The Rockies have won 9 of their last 11 games versus Arizona. Colorado also has a huge pitching edge here. The Rockies have won 13 of the last 15 games that Kyle Freeland has started. The southpaw has a stellar 2.95 ERA on the season and this is despite pitching his home games in the most hitter-friendly ballpark in the majors. As for Diamondbacks starter Zack Godley, he is 0-3 with a 9.23 ERA in his last 3 starts. Great value here with the small road dog. Free Pick on COLORADO

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs/White Sox UNDER 8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cubs/White Sox finishing below the total of 8.5 set by the books. These two teams combined for double-digit runs in each of the first two games of the series, which I believe has created the value here on the UNDER. Two really strong starters will be on the mound in this one. The Cubs will send out Kyle Hendricks, who always seems to round into form in September. Hendricks has a 1.93 ERA and 0.857 WHIP over his last 3 starts. White Sox will turn to Carlos Rodon. He's a future ace and has a 3.30 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in 18 starts with a 2.72 ERA in 8 road outings. Look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

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Take the Houston Texans minus the points versus the New York Giants. Houston (0-2) looks to bounce-back from an upset 20-17 loss as a field goal favorite in Tennessee last week. The Texans have rebounded to cover the point spread in 12 of their last 15 home games after a loss by 7 points or less against a divisional rival. New York (0-2) looks even more out of sorts after a listless 20-13 loss in Dallas last Sunday night. The Giants have now failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games in the month of September while also failing to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games on the road. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games against teams with a losing record. Lay the points with Houston. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports SWEPT THE BOARD YESTERDAY with their PERFECT 4-0 (100%) Game of the Month/Year mark on Saturday — CA$HING their 25* CFB Big Ten Game of the Month on Maryland along with their 25* CFB Total of the Month with the South Alabama-Memphis Over, their 25* CFB ESPN2 Game of the Month on Utah State and their 25* EPL Underdog of the Month on Wolverhampton — to make it SEVEN STRAIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH/YEAR WINNERS in All-Sports! Now Frank furthers his 55 of 85 (65%) NFL run with this EARLY 1 PM ET LIVE DOG for his 25* NFL Conference Underdog of the Month! DON’T MISS OUT!