Today’s Free Betting Picks from Top Sports ATS Cappers

On Friday, north of the border, Ottawa will visit Winnipeg. The Redblacks are off an impressive 29-11 road win on Sunday. However, keep in mind that victory came against a Montreal squad which has really been struggling of late. Also, lets not forget that the Redblacks are still a sub-500 team. Now, they play on an extra short week against a very well-rested Winnipeg team. The Bombers, who won by three at Ottawa back in August, were last in action way back on 9/9. They destroyed Saskatchewan by a 48-28 margin in that one. With the schedule in their favor, provided that the line doesn't climb above a touchdown, consider laying the points, the Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Nice -1/2 (-110)

The FREE SOCCER PLAY for Friday afternoon takes place in France League One.Take Nice as a small home favorite.

Nice 2

Angers 1

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Oakland -127 

AL West foes battle and Oakland here has value at this low juice. 

Nick Martinez gets the ball for the Rangers and he enters play with a 5.47 ERA. Martinez has bounced from the bullpen to the starting rotation here in the month of September, which is not the most ideal situation. Martinez has let up 4 runs in each of his last 2 outings, one of which was just 0.2 innings out of the pen. 

This Athletics team has been playing hard all season long and they put up 4.6 runs per game. This team is anything but a pushover and should have a lot of success here against Martinez given how aggressive they are.

Some trends to note. Rangers are 0-4 in Martinezs last 4 starts vs. American League West. Rangers are 0-5 in Martinezs last 5 starts.

Texas has struggled when Martinez is on the mound, plain and simple. 

Back Oakland.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Friday 5* FREE MLB ML Play

Doc’s Sports NCAA Football Free Play. #409 Take UCLA Bruins over Stanford Cardinal (Saturday 10:30 pm ESPN) Jim Mora is a very overrated coach but taking him aside UCLA may have better talent than that of the Cardinal. Stanford is coming off back-to-back losses including last Saturday night at San Diego State, a team from a Group of Five conference. I just do not believe they will be able to run a desperate Bruin team out of the building. Stanford is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games. 68% of the money is coming in on the Bruins as the spread in this game continues to drop. Doc’s Sports nailed both of their top plays in football last week including a BLOWOUT Nonconference Game of the Year winner behind Wisconsin destroying BYU. Jump on board our top plays this week and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Bulldogs vs Bulldogs Free Pick September 23, 2017.

The Georgia Bulldogs are asked to cover seven points at home versus the Mississippi State Bulldogs this week. It could be hard for Georgia to cover here with a backup quarterback and only one of their top two running backs healthy. Sony Michel didn't play last week, and his status for this game is unclear. What is clear is that Mississippi State shut down the high powered rushing attack of LSU last week, and if they can slow Georgia's running game, this should be close. I'll take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule.

Jeff Allen's Free Play for Saturday is on the Colorado Buffalos

Washington has dominated the series of late but Colorado played the Huskies tough in last year's Pac-12 championship game. In fact, it was 14-7 at the half with the Buffs getting the kickoffs before two second-half picks opened the floodgates. Both 3-0s are meaningless as each team opened the year with cupcakes but the Buffalo run defense is especially tough and new QB Montez does not make mistakes or turn the ball over like his predecessor Lifau. Colorado is 6-3 L9 as a home dog and the program as a whole is still on the upswing. Grab the points.

World Champion Jeff Allen was the No.2 football handicapper on this network in 2016, and the No.2 NFLX handicapper on the network this year. Allen is off a monster week 5-1 week in the NFL and his NFL totals dating back to August 9th are now on a 14-2 run after winner on the Lions/Giants Under last night. Allen is a 30+ year industry icon and you just don't last that long unless you win. 

I'm recommending a play on Arkansas State plus the points on Saturday afternoon. SMU put 36 points on the board against TCU last time out, but allowed 56.  The Mustangs have allowed TCU and North Texas to complete 56 of 77, 73% of their passes, for 789 yards, with 7 TDs and just 2 INTs.  The porous pass defense plays right into Arkansas State's strength, the passing game led by QB Justice Hansen.  The ASU signal caller has completed 71% of his passes on the season, averaging over 385 yards per game with 8 TDs and only 2 INTs. And while Arkansas State was cruising to an easy 45-point win over Arkansas-Pine Bluff, SMU was suffering the tough emotional and physical loss to TCU. SMU's defense ranks 117th against the pass and 104th in total yards allowed per game.  We had Arkansas State and cashed when they covered at Nebraska in their season opener.  We'll recommend them again this week.  Arkansas State plus the points.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

  Army works on ball control via a ground heavy attack. The Cadets average 364.7 ypd  via the rush this season. Meanwhile, the Green Wave despite of knowing what to expect are just  6-49 SU in their L/55 games when they allow 200 or more yards rushing including a recent loss to Navy 23-21. 

With that said, I'm betting on Army piling up at least 200 yards plus, and for Tulane to fail here in a letdown spot after playing Oklahoma last week while allowing the Sooners to score 42 straight points in a lopsided 56-14 home loss. 
 
TULANE is 6-17 ATS L/23  in home games after a loss by 28 or more points. 
 
CFB Home favorites like Tulane - quick starting offensive team - scoring 16+ PPG in the first half, after a loss by 17 or more points are just 25-58 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 70% for bettors.  

Play on Army to cover

Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Saturday 9-23-17

Washington -10 1/2

Join Pure Lock with his spread on UL-Monroe v. UL-Lafayette!  67% in CFB this year!  The only Capper to ever have a perfect season in any sport as Pure Lock went 14-0 100% in College Football in 2006 with every pick released!

Georgia -4.5 1.1% Free Play (63% career ATS backing Georgia) - 15-3-1 ATS RUN on Free Picks! 

I’ll give the play at the top of the podcast and it’s on Georgia -4.5 between the hedges for our free play of the week.  This is the most interesting match up of the week and I’m going to fade the hype of Miss State who just last week shocked LSU in their own building 37-7.  I’m not overreacting.  That was a massive coaching advantage for Miss State with Dan Mullen over Ed Orgeron as sad as it is to say.

In this game Kirby Smart has his best Georgia team and the last time he faced off against a good Miss State offense he did so as the DC at Alabama.  They went on the road and held Dak Prescott, another mobile QB to just 89 yards rushing and 6 total points.  This time a rested Georgia team hosts Miss State who just played a tough SEC game and is in a hang over spot, but let’s look at the match up a little more anyway.

For Miss State to win they must run the ball.  Last year in their losses they averaged 2.31 ypc less compared to their wins.  Nick Fitzgerald is getting some help this year from Aeris Williams who is averaging over 7 yards per carry, but this team had a very misleading victory at Louisiana Tech the week before and I expect some struggles getting that running game going this week.

Georgia defensively returns 10 starters this was a team that held Notre Dame and a mobile QB in Winbush to just 55 yards running and they did that on the road!  Notre Dame’s offense has been great against everyone else and just ran for 515 yards last week against a usual stout Boston College defense.  I believe that Miss State will have to win with the arm of Nick Fitzgerald and I don’t like his chances on the road where doesn’t have nearly as good of numbers particularly in the SEC road games where he only eclipsed a 101 QB rating once and it came against a bad pass defense in Ole Miss.  How bad is a 101 QB Rating? Illinois, last year ranked 124th in college football for the season with a 101.4 QB rating.  Fitzgerald on the road has a 107 QB rating.  Vanderbilt ranked 116th in the nation a year ago with 107 QB rating.

Georgia’s offense is not lighting it up and that may be where most of you feel comfortable with 4.5 points if you are leaning towards Miss State’s side.  A few things to look at here.  Much like Miss State Georgia must run the ball to win behind their senior RB’s Nick Chubb and Sony Michel who are both having great years so far as this offense is averaging 230 yards rushing per game.  Just so you know since 2008, Georgia is 38-4 when rushing for over 200 yards.  Miss State’s defense allowed 5.16 ypc in SEC play a year ago and allowed 200+ in 3 of their 4 road games.  Now they held LSU in check, but LSU ran it just 29 times and both of their RB’s averaged over 5 yards per carry.  I also think Jake Fromm is flying under the radar he seems to be a major upgrade over Eason.  He makes quick decisions and it has benefited the running game.

At the end of the day both teams have impressive wins against premier programs Notre Dame and LSU while also defeating some very good group of 5 teams Louisiana Tech & Appalachian State.  It should be a fun game, but I see Georgia winning this one by 7-10 points at least.

R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 9-24-17

UNDER 44 1/2 Cincinnati/Green Bay

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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Cleveland Browns -1.5

The Cleveland Browns are clearly improved this season despite their 0-2 start.  They were competitive against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Ravens.  They were only outgained by four total yards in those two games combined, so statistically they hung right with them.

The problem with the Browns thus far has been turnovers and special teams mistakes.  They committed five turnovers against the Ravens, yet still had numbers chances to cover the spread as 8-point dogs in a 14-point loss.  They only lost by 3 to the Steelers, and the difference in that game was a punt block that was returned for a TD by the Steelers.

Now the Browns will be motivated for a rare victory here against arguably the worst team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts.  The Colts are 0-2 and haven't even been competitive despite playing weaker competition.  They were outgained by 148 yards in their 9-46 loss to the Rams.  Then they were outgained by a depleted Cardinals team by 123 yards last week in a game they did not deserve to go to overtime against.  That games was a bigger blowout than the final score. The Rams and Cardinals aren't as good as the Steelers and Ravens, which is a key points here.

The Browns have the better defense, and it's not really even close.  They are giving up just 313 yards per game and 5.3 per play thus far, while the Colts are allowing 381 yards per game and 6.1 per play.  The Browns are averaging 311 yards per game and 5.3 per play on offense, so they have moved the ball fine.  The Colts are only averaging 245 yards per game and 4.4 per play.  So the Browns are basically dead even in yards per game and yards per play on the season, while the Colts are getting outgained by 136 yards per game and 1.7 yards per play.

Indianapolis is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games.  Plays on road teams (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 51-24 (68%) ATS since 1983.  The Browns are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Bet the Browns Sunday.

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