Odds to Win the 2017 Men’s NCAA Basketball Tournament & Final Four

The field is set and the brackets are out. This means we have a good understanding of which teams are contenders to compete for the NCAA Tournament title, and which teams are not. There has been a big enough sample size to where we can make educated guesses at what will happen in March Madness.

Vegas Betting Favorites to Win the Final Four & 2017 NCAA Tournament

Coming into the season, UCLA was one of my favorite long shot bets to take down the tourney. Their chances of winning were greater than their odds in my opinion, which were roughly +8000 before the season. And now that value bet on UCLA looks great considering the Bruins are currently the one of the favorites at +1175 odds.

While I still like this team a lot, the value is gone at this current price. And they can score with anyone, but I’m not sure they play enough defense to reel off six consecutive victories against the best teams in the country. I love the +8000 ticket I have, but I wouldn’t recommend betting them again at their current price.

North Carolina is currently the favorite at +685 and with good reason.  They probably have the clearest path to the Championship of any of the top seeds in the current bracket.  Duke at +910 is the top #2 seed in the tournament and currently has better odds than the top seed in their region, Gonzaga (+950).

You can find my full bracket picks for this season here.

Scroll down below this table to get my value bets to win the NCAA tournament.

2017 March Madness Final Four Futures Odds

Team 5 Dimes Odds
North Carolina +685
Kansas +835
Villanova +845
Duke +910
Gonzaga +950
Kentucky +985
Arizona +1125
UCLA +1175
Louisville +1575
Oregon +2500
Florida +3000
Purdue +3000
Florida State +3050
West Virginia +3500
Baylor +4000
Virginia +4000
SMU +5000
Iowa State +6000
Michigan +7000
Butler +7500
Wichita State +8000
Notre Dame +8000
Wisconsin +9000
Minnesota +9500
Maryland +10000
Michigan State +10000
Oklahoma State +10000
Cincinnati +10000
Saint Mary’s CA +12000
Northwestern +20000
Virginia Tech +20000
South Carolina +20000
Rhode Island +20000
Middle Tennessee +25000
Miami Florida +27500
Arkansas +30000
Seton Hall +30000
Vanderbilt +30000
Marquette +30000
Virginia Commonwealth +30000
Providence +30000
USC +30000
Kansas State +30000
Wake Forest +30000
Dayton +30000
Creighton +30000
Xavier +40000
Nevada +50000
Princeton +85000
East Tennessee State +200000
Vermont +500000
Winthrop +500000
Bucknell +500000
New Mexico State +500000
UNC Wilmington +500000
Florida Gulf Coast +500000
Troy +999999
Jacksonville State +999999
Northern Kentucky +999999
North Dakota +999999
Mount St. Mary’s +999999
New Orleans +999999
North Carolina Central +999999
Texas Southern +999999
South Dakota State +999999
Iona +999999
Kent State +999999
UC Davis +999999

My Predictions: Futures Bets to Capture the 2017 NCAA Basketball Championship

As I’ve stated above, it’s not worth wagering on the favorites. Instead, we are going to pinpoint a couple of teams further down the line that are showing great value. These are teams that I think will have shorter odds once the tournament rolls around, so the time is now to pounce on them.

Best Value Bet Prediction: Florida +3000 (3/13)

As of this writing, the Gators are playing as well as anyone in the country right now. They have won five straight games by double-digits with a 35-point win at LSU, a 32-point win at Oklahoma, a 39-point home win over Missouri, a 22-point home win over Kentucky and a 12-point win at Georgia. That win over Kentucky proved what they are capable of.

The Gators have lost just five games all season. Four of the five came by 5 points or less to the likes of Gonzaga, Florida State, South Carolina and Vanderbilt. The other was a 10-point loss to Duke. So as you can see, the Gators have played some of the best teams in the country, and they haven’t been overmatched in any game this year.

Florida’s best attribute is its ability to get after it defensively. It ranks 39th in scoring defense at 65.4 points per game. But the Gators are vastly improved on the offensive end this year, ranking 53rd in scoring at 79.4 points per game. They have scored at least 84 points in four of their last five games, so they are really clicking on this end right now.

Second-Best Value Bet: Purdue +3000 (3/13)

The Boilermakers are the best team in the Big Ten in my opinion. They just don’t have any weaknesses. They rank 26th in scoring (81.6), 25th in free throw percentage (76%) and 5th in 3-point shooting (41.8%) in the country offensively. Defensively, they rank 43rd in opponents field goal percentage (40.7%) and 20th in rebounds per game.

Purdue is led by Wooden Award candidate Caleb Swanigan (19.0 ppg, 12.8 rpg, 48.2% 3-pointers). He and Isaac Haas (12.8 ppg, 5.1 rpg) are a formidable duo inside. The guard play is vastly improved this season, and basically everyone on the floor outside of Haas can shoot the 3-pointer. That’s evident by the fact that five key contributors are shooting 41.4% from 3-point range or better on the season.  I think the Boilermakers have a legitimate shot to take down the title based on their lack of weaknesses across the board.

Remember to check out the daily college basketball odds each night of the season to see if there is any value with these teams or others.

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