College basketball futures tend to be even more unpredictable than futures in most other sports. You have a huge field of potential teams to start with. With just five starters and thirteen players in total on each team, there is potential there for one or two excellent players to overcome a team that has better talent overall. College basketball teams are also notoriously streaky with regards to shooting, so if a team gets hot or cold at the right time their fortunes can change on a dime. This is nowhere more apparent than the NCAA Tournament, where top teams often fall in the early rounds to smaller schools.
The table below lists the top teams according to the odds at 5Dimes sportsbook. We recommend 5Dimes for basketball betting because they offer reduced juice, giving you an edge you aren’t likely to find anywhere else.
We’ve also included the probability for each team to win the tournament based on the odds and the field listed (NCAA Tournament column). It is sometimes easier to grasp what the odds are trying to say when thinking in terms of percentage probability versus how much a $100 bet would payout (e.g. +500 means a $100 bet would pay out $500). The change column shows how much the odds have improved or decreased for that team since our last update. If a team is “New” this means they were not listed as of our previous update. Our Power Index is the approximate number of points a team would be favored by on a neutral court against an average college basketball team.
Wow, what a tournament we’ve seen so far! Duke is the current favorite to win the tournament, while both Gonzaga and Kentucky have seen their odds improve significantly due to how the rest of their region has played out to date. Looking for a Cinderella Story? Syracuse and Loyola-Chicago each have the worst odds to win the tournament at about 100 to 1.
|Team||Record||Conference||Power Index||Odds||Change||NCAA Tournament|
|West Virginia||26-10||Big 12||11.1||+1500||+1800||5.55%|
|Texas Tech||26-9||Big 12||10.3||+2500||None||3.42%|
|Kansas State||24-11||Big 12||4.7||+6600||+53400||1.33%|
Of the remaining teams, I believe Kentucky and Kansas have the best value to win the tournament based on talent and their remaining opponents.
Be sure to check out the daily college basketball odds each night of the season to see if there is any value with these teams or others.