Free Weekly NFL Football Picks

Alex Smart

Game Details
Oct 24 '21, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Bengals vs Ravens
Play on: UNDER 46½ -105
Game Analysis

Cincinnati,  ranks dead last with  55.0 offensive plays per game on the road tied with other  two team this season. They will go against a Baltimore  team that likes to play fast at home ,with 68.7 plays per game on average . When averaging this out as compared to my defensive power ranking charts I come out of this with a mathematical advantage compared to the Totals number being offered based on my projected output. 

Taylor is 6-0 UNDER in road games off a non-conference game as the coach of CINCINNATI with a combined average of 36.6 ppg scored. CINCINNATI is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) in road games vs. dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21 or more  FD's per game  with a combined average of 38,3 ppg going on the board. 

Harbaugh is 10-1 UNDER  in home games after a win by 21 or more points as the coach of BALTIMORE with a combined average of 39.7 ppg scored. ( the Ravens won 34-6 vs the Chargers lat weak behind a tremendous defensive effort) BALTIMORE is 8-0 UNDER   vs. excellent passing teams averaging 7.5 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 36 ppg scored. 


Pick Released on Oct 21 at 01:09 pm

Ben Burns

Game Details
Oct 24 '21, 1:00 PM in 1d
NFL | Jets vs Patriots
Play on: Patriots -6½ -110 at William Hill
Game Analysis

Though I had a solid winning Week 6 overall, I lost a tough one with New England. The Patriots played a red hot Dallas team tough. For most of the game, things played out pretty much as I had expected them to. After a wild finish to the fourth quarter, New England got the ball first in OT. Getting more than a field goal, I liked my chances. Unfortunately, the Cowboys would go on to score a touchdown. Though I don't think the Jets are quite as bad as their record suggests, they're obviously a step down in class from Dallas. The Pats already handled them by a 25-6 score. The question becomes, how will New England respond to the difficult loss? Remember, the Pats were also off a tough loss (17-16 vs. Miami) the first time that they faced the Jets. Yet, they bounced back without an issue. Also, recall that they picked off Wilson four times in that game. With b2b road games on deck, followed by Cleveland, New England can't afford to squander this opportunity. If the line stays at a touchdown or less, consider laying the points. 

Pick Released on Oct 18 at 07:49 am

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