UNDER 40
Cincinnati (5-6, 4-6-1 ATS, 2-3 AWAY) go down to Jacksonville to take on the AFC South leading Jaguars (8-3, 8-3 ATS, 3-3 HOME) on MNF. Opening odds for this one have the ML Bengals +375 | Jaguars -500, and the spread is set at Jags -10, the O/U is 40. The last time these two met up was 9/30/21, a 24-21 Bengals win, JAX covered the 7.5 in that one. Bengals have lost 3 in a row. Jags have won 4 of their last 5. These are two teams going in complete opposite directions coming into play. Obviously things for the Bengals have taken a huge halt after Joe Burrow’s season came to an end. This Bengals side is no longer a threat on the offensive end and they’ve been abysmal since Burrow went down. Browning fell to the Steelers last time out as Cincinnati has had zero success moving the ball. Jags have the #4 ranked RUN D (87.4 YAPG), Mixon will be in tough tonight, and Browning will have to do it with his arm. How many dump offs and bubble screens can you score on the Jags? There is just no way this Bengals offense can keep up. I don't think they score more an 10-14. This is a 24-10, 24-13 type scoreline. Even though Bengals D ranks in bottom 6 in the NFL in both Pass. Yds + Rush Yds allowed Bengals defense tightens up for just 22PPG. They're "stingy" enough to help with the UNDER here. With their loss in Baltimore on Nov. 16, Bengals are back to the old Bengals, losers of 15 straight prime-time games on the road. Hop on. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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1* Free Pick on Jaguars
Mike Lundin's Bengals/Jaguars NFL Free Pick
The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a 16-10 loss to Pittsburgh.
Cincinnati QB Jake Browning completed 19-of-26 passes for 227 yards one touchdown and one interception in his first career start, but the team still managed only 10 points. Cincy needs him to step up as their running game has been pretty much non-existent all season long.
Additionally, Jacksonville ranks 3rd against the run, holding opponents to 87-4 rushing yards per game.
Jacksonville QB Trevor Lawrence has led the Jags to wins in seven of their last eight games. The Jaguars scored 20 points or more in all seven wins, and now they'll get to play a Bengals defense that is allowing an NFL-worst 389.3 yards per game and 6.4 yards per play.
I don't see how Cincinnati and Browning will be able to keep up with the Jags and Lawrence. I think the home team will cover the spread comfortably.
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1* Free Wiseguy Play on Jaguars
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FREE PLAY on Bengals/Jaguars under
7* NFL Jaguars/Bengals Free Pick
PLAY ON: Jags/Bengals UNDER 40
I don't want to be involved with the spread in this game, but do feel the UNDER is at the very least worth a small bet. Cincinnati's offense is nothing without Burrow at quarterback. In last week's loss to the Steeler they only had 25 rushing yards and 197 passing yards. Jags have held 3 of their last 4 opponents under 100 rushing yards with the only exception being the 49ers. I don't see anything coming easy for Cincy's offense in this game. Bengals defense isn't great and this Jags offense isn't bad with Lawrence, but I expect a big time effort from Cincinnati's stop unit. UNDER has cashed in 13 of 14 MNF games this year. Give me the UNDER 40!
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Monday NFL Free play. My selection is on Jacksonville minus the points over Cincinnati at 8:15 pm et on Monday.
Just a light opinion for the Monday nighter and it's likely going to be a popular one as the Bengals appear to be all but cooked without QB Joe Burrow. Cincinnati had a tough enough time just getting plays off, let alone making anything out of them in last week's 16-10 home loss against the Bengals. The defense held up for a while, but that was against a punchless Steelers offense that's on its second offensive coordinator this season. Here, the Bengals face a more challenging opponent in the Jaguars, who have reeled off two straight wins, both SU and ATS. In fact, the SU winner has gone a perfect 11-0 ATS in Jacksonville's 11 contests to date this season. With Cincinnati getting torched for nearly 5.0 yards per rush by opposing ground attacks, everything should be on the table for the Jags offense here. While I don't expect the Bengals to roll over, I do think it's only a matter of time before Jacksonville pulls away. Take Jacksonville.
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