Free Weekly NFL Football Picks

ASA

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | 49ers vs Vikings
Play on: Vikings +5 -110 at circa
Game Analysis

#276 ASA PLAY ON Minnesota Vikings +5 over San Francisco 49ers, Sunday at 1 PM ET

This is a tough situational spot for the Niners off a Monday night win and traveling on a short week.  We find it interesting that San Francisco destroyed the NY Jets on Monday night in front of the whole world, yet this line opened -6 and has dropped to -5 with sharp money on the Vikes.  We agree with the move and still like the value with the home underdog. The Niners had a big yardage edge last week 401 to 266 but they also ran 21 more offensive plays (70 to 49) so the YPP margin was much closer (5.7 to 5.4).  The Jets also had 2 turnovers (0 for SF) which both led to points for the 49ers.  San Fran is also really banged up coming out of that win with injuries along the offensive line, RB McCaffrey is out, top tackler LB Greenlaw out, and starting safety out.  The Vikings also had a dominating victory on the road last week beating the Giants 28-6.  They outgained New York by nearly +3.0 YPP with the offense averaging over 6.0 YPP.  These 2 met here in Minneapolis last season and SF was a 6 point favorite and lost outright 22-17.  It wasn’t a fluke as the Vikes outgained the Niners by 127 yards in that game.  This is absolutely one of the toughest road venues for opposing teams in the NFL.  The Vikings have been solid money makers as home underdogs going 20-11 ATS their last 31 in that role and dating all the way back to 1980, Minnesota has cashed almost 60% of the time when getting points at home.  SF played nearly a perfect game on Sunday night.  Can they do it again on the road on a short week with a multitude of injuries?  We don’t think so. This one stays close and we’ll take the points.

Pick Released on Sep 14 at 12:45 pm

Jack Jones

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 4:05 PM in 13h
NFL | Rams vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -1 -108 at SC Consensus
Game Analysis

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -1

The Arizona Cardinals improved down the stretch last year once Kyler Murray returned.  They built off that positive momentum all offseason and should be one of the more improved teams in the NFL.  I was impressed with the Cardinals taking the Bills to the brink in a 34-28 road loss last week, covering as 7-point dogs.

Now the Cardinals return for their home opener against the Los Angeles Rams.  This isn't the same Rams team as last year that made the playoffs because they have been decimated by injuries, plus their best defensive player in Aaron Donald retired.

The Rams suffered two more injuries to their offensive line in their opener against Detroit and now may be without as many as four starting offensive linemen.  Last year's Offensive Rookie of the Year in Puka Nacua suffered a knee injury against the Lions and is out for at least four weeks.  The Rams are also dealing with injuries at cornerback on defense.

Despite all these injuries, the Rams managed to take the Lions to OT, but fell short in a 26-20 defeat on Sunday Night Football.  The Lions really ran them over in OT with David Montgomery and bully ball.  The Cardinals are capable of doing the same thing with James Conner as they want to be a run-first team.

I question how the Rams bounce back mentally from that loss to the Lions.  They wanted revenge from their 24-23 playoff loss and came up just short again.  Matthew Stafford really wanted it against his former team and played as well as you could expect given the circumstances.  I question whether or not he can do it again with all these O-Line injuries and being without Nacua.

Speaking of revenge, the Cardinals want some of it themselves after being owned by Sean McVay over the years.  I would almost never beat against McVay when facing the Cardinals because of it.  But this is the best Arizona team he has seen in quite some time, and this is one of the worst Rams teams given all their injuries.

I'm expecting this line to climb due to these injuries as we get closer to Sunday, so getting Arizona -1 on Wednesday is a nice value currently.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

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Pick Released on Sep 11 at 06:35 pm

Brandon Lee

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | Seahawks vs Patriots
Play on: Seahawks -3½ -104 at BetVegas
Game Analysis

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Seahawks -3.5

I'm betting the Seahawks -3.5 on the road against the Patriots. There's a chance New England is way better than anticipated, but I'm not going to be one to overreact to their Week 1 upset of the Bengals. I think that was more a result of Cincinnati just not being ready to go for Week 1. Not only did the Bengals have guys holding out, they were missing some key pieces. They also had arguably their biggest game on the schedule looming in Week 2 at Kansas City. Not a big surprise they came out flat as a big favorite against a team that everyone thought was going to be bad. On the flip side, NE was out to prove something after being told how bad they were going to be. I still think this Patriots team lacks a lot, especially on the offensive side of the ball. I don't think they will be able out physical this Seattle team and things could get ugly if they have to play from behind. Give me the Seahawks -3.5! 

Pick Released on Sep 12 at 12:42 pm

John Martin

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 4:25 PM in 13h
NFL | Bengals vs Chiefs
Play on: UNDER 48 -105
Game Analysis

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Bengals/Chiefs UNDER 48

Joe Burrow just doesn't look right with his injured wrist.  The Bengals managed just 224 yards and 10 points against the Patriots at home in Week 1.  He was without Tee Higgins and will be without him again.  Ja'Marr Chase isn't up to full speed after sitting out camp.  The Bengals don't have Joe Mixon any more to bail them out.  I think the Bengals will struggle again offensively against what has become one of the better defenses in the NFL in the Chiefs.  Kansas City won't have Hollywood Brown as he just hit the IR.  The Chiefs will give Isaiah Pacheco a heavy workload knowing they can get what they want on the ground against a Cincinnati defense that no longer has run stuffer DJ Reader.  The Patriots had a lot of success on the ground against them last week.  I think the Chiefs get a lead and try and sit on it as they usually do in the 2H to really eat up clock with long, extended drives that many times end up in FG's.  Give me the UNDER.

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Pick Released on Sep 13 at 10:56 pm

Dave Price

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | Seahawks vs Patriots
Play on: UNDER 39 -110
Game Analysis

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Seahawks/Patriots UNDER 39

The Key: Two of the best defenses in the NFL will be on display in this game between the Seahawks and Patriots.  Mike McDonald is a defensive-minded head coach in his first season.  Jerod Mayo is a defensive-minded head coach in his first season.  The Seahawks yielded only 231 yards and 3.3 YPP last week against the Broncos.  The Patriots held the Bengals to 10 points, 224 total yards and 4.7 YPP in Week 1 on the road.  Both teams have poor offensive lines and I think the defensive lines control this game.  This feels like a 17-14 type of game that stays well UNDER 39 combined points.  Take the UNDER.

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Pick Released on Sep 13 at 10:51 pm

Rob Vinciletti

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | Giants vs Commanders
Play on: Giants +1½ -105 at YouWager
Game Analysis

NFL Sunday headlines with 3 big Early plays including a TIER 1 Side. On Sunday night Football our highest Rated Total is going in the Texans vs Bears game from a Perfect Week 2 totals system that is perfect since 1989. There is also MLB and Soccer. Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play is on the NY. Giants plus the points at 1 eastern. This is also our NFL play in the Playbook sports wise guys contest. The Giants were listless last week ion a 20+ point home loss to the Vikings. Expect a more spirited effort her today against a Washington team they beat the last 3 times. NY applies to an early season system that has cashed 14 straight since 2003 and plays on road teams of 6.5 or less that lost by 10 or more and are taking on a team off a loss if the total is 38 or higher and they wont less than 12 games last season. Both teams should move the ball here as Washington moved the ball well with Jayden Daniels last week but allowed 37 to Tampa Bay. Look for NY to take this one. Rob V-

Pick Released on Sep 14 at 07:31 pm

R&R Totals

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | Browns vs Jaguars
Play on: OVER 41 -117
Game Analysis

R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 9-15-24

OVER 41 Cleveland/Jacksonville

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Pick Released on Sep 14 at 10:53 pm

Chip Chirimbes

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | Giants vs Commanders
Play on: Giants +1½ -105 at YouWager
Game Analysis

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Chip’s FREE NFL Best Bet winner

New York Giants at Washington 1:00 ET

Giants (+) over Commies- Who looked worse than the Giants on offense last week as they failed to score a TD in their home opener? Maybe Carolina? Washington of course with their No. 1 draft pick Hayden Daniels were pounded by Tampa Bay despite his 17 of 24 passing and 184 yards. He also ran for 88 yards on 17 carries. Numbers Daniel Jones can only dream about. What New York has is Washington’s ‘number’ as they have won five straight meetings and are 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings. Take NEW YORK GIANTS!

Pick Released on Sep 14 at 11:55 pm

Alex Smart

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 4:25 PM in 13h
NFL | Bengals vs Chiefs
Play on: Bengals +5½ -110 at circa
Game Analysis

The defending Super Bowl Champs started their season with a  hard fought prime time  win vs Baltimore and could easily follow that up with a letdown performance here vs a an opponent that choked against  under rated New England in week 1 action and is badly looking for redemption. . Cincinnati QB Joe Burrow  in his NFL career against sides like KC coming off a SU/ATS vcitroy , is 7-0 SU/ATS away. Im betting that the Bengals keep this game closer than the line might indicate. This game screams FG victory and it might not be the favorite taking the cheese.

Play on Cincinnati to cover

Pick Released on Sep 12 at 10:13 am

Sean Murphy

Game Details
Sep 15 '24, 1:00 PM in 10h
NFL | Chargers vs Panthers
Play on: Chargers -6½ -105 at linepros
Game Analysis

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Los Angeles minus the points over Carolina at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The knee-jerk reaction, as far as I'm concerned, was to back the Panthers plus the points in this spot, with the belief that they're not as bad as they showed in last week's rout in New Orleans. A closer look, however, leads me to believe that this line is a little light in favor of the Chargers. Note that an already talent-deprived Panthers defense lost arguably its best player in DT Derrick Brown to a knee injury on Sunday. Offensively there remain more questions than answers and I believe it's only a matter of time before we see veteran Andy Dalton take over under center, but likely not this week.

The Chargers performed about as expected in their home opener against the Raiders in Week 1. We're going to see a rather conservative offense from Jim Harbaugh's team this year, but that's not necessarily a bad thing. I actually think big-armed QB Justin Herbert can be very comfortable in this style of offense. While the likes of Mike Williams and Keenan Allen are no longer in the mix, I do think the Chargers have an underrated pass-catching corps. Meanwhile, RB J.K. Dobbins showed he can smash behind a terrific offensive line in last week's win. This is a key spot for Los Angeles as it will play a more difficult road game in Pittsburgh (the Steelers home opener) next Sunday. Take Los Angeles.

Pick Released on Sep 11 at 01:46 pm

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