Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Phoenix Suns +7
The Dallas Mavericks have been on a tear at home of late, but it has been a different story for them on the road this season. The Mavericks are just 2-9 SU & 5-6 ATS on the road this year, getting outscored by 7.3 points per game on average. They can’t be 7-point road favorites over the Suns tonight.
That’s especially the case when you factor in the tough situation for the Mavs tonight. They’ll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 10 days here. They are without Dennis Smith Jr. and could be without J.J. Barea for this game tonight.
The betting public wants nothing to do with the Suns right now. They are 0-10 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall. So we’re getting some extra value on the Suns tonight because oddsmakers are forced to set this number higher than it should be.
The Suns own the Mavs, going a perfect 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings. They’ve won outright as underdogs five times during this stretch. It’s just a matchup that favors them, and given the tough situation for Dallas, don’t be surprised if Phoenix wins this game outright, too. Bet the Suns Thursday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago Bulls +5.5
The Bulls are going through a coaching change and they just got several key players back from injury of late. Lauri Markkanen, Bobby Portis and Kris Dunn all recently returning from injury. I think this team is going to be a good bet moving forward now that they finally have some talent to surround Zach LaVine and Jabari Parker. It has also allowed Justin Holiday and Wendell Carter Jr. among others to get some valuable minutes. This is now a deep team that will pull some upsets. I like getting the 5.5 here with the Bulls against the Magic tonight. Orlando is 11-25 ATS in its last 36 games as a favorite. Chicago is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 against Southeast division opponents while Orlando is 0-6 ATS in its last six against NBA Central division teams. The Magic are also 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games when playing on two days of rest. Give me the Bulls.
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Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Houston Rockets -5
The Key: The Houston Rockets will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and their 4th game in 10 days here Thursday night. They are rested and need to kick it into high gear now after a disappointing 12-14 start this season. The are coming off a win and cover at home against the Blazers, which is a good start. And I think they can handle a Lakers team that will be missing Brandon Ingram and Rajon Rondo tonight. The Rockets are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 meetings. Houston is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 home meetings. The favorite is 17-6 ATS in the last 23 meetings. Take Houston.
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#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Dallas Mavericks will be playing on no rest following a 114-107 win over Atlanta Wednesday night. They're only 1-6 ATS in their last seven in the second night of a back-to-back.
Dallas is 13-2 SU home at American Airlines Center but just 2-9 straight up on the road. That run includes setbacks at some of the worst teams in the league and they took a 121-100 loss here in Phoenix back on October 17.
The Suns 4-24 record (9-19 ATS) is the worst in basketball by a mile and they're expected to be without Devin Booker (left hamstring injury) for a seventh straight game, but they've won six straight meetings with Dallas straight up and I think Phoenix will keep this reasonably close, if not win outright.
Free pick on Phoenix Suns.
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10* FREE NBA PICK (Bulls +5.5)
I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a decently priced dog against the Magic. This game is being played on a neutral court in Mexico City and I just think Orlando is way overpriced due to the fact that the Bulls are coming off a couple of ugly losses in their last two games. I actually think Chicago is a team you are going to want to be on quite a bit here in the near future, as they recently got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen and are now working two more starters back in the mix in Bobby Portis and Kris Dunn. It's also not like the Magic are in prime form right now. Last time out Orlando lost by 25 at Dallas and the game before that they lost by 22 at home to the Pacers. I just feel like this should be closer to a pick'em. Give me the Bulls +5.5!
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Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Thursda 12-13-18
LA Clippers +3
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Take the Los Angeles Lakers plus the points versus the Houston Rockets. Los Angeles (17-10) has won six of their last seven games with their 108-105 win over Miami on Monday as a 5.5-point favorites. The Lakers have then covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after a point spread loss. Los Angeles is also 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games against Western Conference opponents. Houston (12-14) snapped a three-game losing streak on Tuesday with their 111-103 win over Portland. But the Rockets have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Houston has also failed to cover the point spread in 13 of their last 19 games against Western Conference opponents. Take the Lakers plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
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