This year’s MLB win totals (over/under win projections) are out in Vegas. We wanted to post them and compare them to the actual wins each team earned last season. This will show us, in the oddsmaker’s eyes at least, how much teams are expected to improve or get worse this year.
Win totals are a bit different than the odds to win the World Series. The team projected for the most wins isn’t necessarily going to be the favorite to win the championship as the actual odds factor in things like how difficult a team’s divisional and conference competition will be.
Below you will find the posted win totals for each Major League Baseball team. We have included the over and under odds as of this publishing as well. This shows current market sentiment for each team or, in other words, how much more likely the over is than the under for a particular team. For example, if the Astros over wins is -120, compared to even odds of +100 for the under, it means the market believes it is slightly more likely for Houston to have more than 96.5 wins that season. Note this number only includes games during the regular season.
Also included is each team’s win total from last season. The +/- Wins column shows how many games each team is projected to improve or decrease compared to last year. As of now, the White Sox and Orioles are expected to improve the most versus last season, while the Mariners and A’s are both projected to have a significant drop in wins in the upcoming season.
|Team||Division||2018 Wins||2019 Win Total||Over||Under||+/- Wins|
|Red Sox||AL East||108||95.5||-110||-110||-12.5|
|Blue Jays||AL East||73||76.5||-110||-110||3.5|
|White Sox||AL Central||62||74.5||-110||-110||12.5|