2018 MLB Season Over Under Win Totals

This year’s MLB win totals (over/under win projections) are out in Vegas. We wanted to post them and compare them to the actual wins each team earned last season.  This will show us, in the oddsmaker’s eyes at least, how much teams are expected to improve or get worse this year.

Win totals are a bit different than the odds to win the World Series.  The team projected for the most wins isn’t necessarily going to be the favorite to win the championship as the actual odds factor in things like how difficult a team’s divisional and conference competition will be.

2018 Vegas MLB Over Under Wins Predictions

Below you will find the posted win totals for each Major League Baseball team.  We have included the over and under odds as of this publishing as well.  This shows current market sentiment for each team or, in other words, how much more likely the over is than the under for a particular team.  For example, the Astros over 96.5 wins is -120, compared to even odds of +100 for the under, meaning the market believes it is slightly more likely for Houston to have more than 96.5 wins this season.

Also included is each team’s win total from last season.  The +/- Wins column shows how many games each team is projected to improve or decrease compared to last year.  As of now, the Giants and Mets are expected to see the biggest improvement, while the Marlins are, to nobody’s surprise, expected to see the biggest drop in wins.

+/- Wins Team Division 2017 Wins 2018 Win Total Over Under
-4.5 Houston Astros AL West 101 96.5 -120 +100
-7.5 Los Angeles Dodgers NL West 104 96.5 -120 +100
2.5 Chicago Cubs NL Central 92 94.5 +100 -120
-7.5 Cleveland Indians AL Central 102 94.5 -110 -110
3.5 New York Yankees AL East 91 94.5 -110 -110
-4.5 Washington Nationals NL East 97 92.5 -115 -105
-1.5 Boston Red Sox AL East 93 91.5 -110 -110
-7.5 Arizona Diamondbacks NL West 93 85.5 -110 -110
2.5 St. Louis Cardinals NL Central 83 85.5 -110 -110
4.5 Los Angeles Angels AL West 80 84.5 -110 -110
-1.5 Milwaukee Brewers NL Central 86 84.5 -105 -115
-2.5 Minnesota Twins AL Central 85 82.5 -120 +100
-5.0 Colorado Rockies NL West 87 82 -110 -110
17.5 San Francisco Giants NL West 64 81.5 -125 +105
3.5 Seattle Mariners AL West 78 81.5 -110 -110
11.0 New York Mets NL East 70 81 -110 -110
5.0 Toronto Blue Jays AL East 76 81 -105 -115
-2.5 Tampa Bay Rays AL East 80 77.5 -110 -110
-0.5 Texas Rangers AL West 78 77.5 -110 -110
9.5 Philadelphia Phillies NL East 66 75.5 -110 -110
2.5 Atlanta Braves NL East 72 74.5 -110 -110
-0.5 Oakland A’s AL West 75 74.5 -125 +105
5.5 Cincinnati Reds NL Central 68 73.5 -110 -110
-2.0 Baltimore Orioles AL East 75 73 +100 -120
-2.0 Pittsburgh Pirates NL Central 75 73 -110 -110
-8.5 Kansas City Royals AL Central 80 71.5 -105 -115
-1.5 San Diego Padres NL West 71 69.5 -115 -105
4.5 Detroit Tigers AL Central 64 68.5 -110 -110
1.0 Chicago White Sox AL Central 67 68 -110 -110
-12.5 Miami Marlins NL East 77 64.5 -110 -110

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