This year’s MLB win totals (over/under win projections) are out in Vegas. We wanted to post them and compare them to the actual wins each team earned last season. This will show us, in the oddsmaker’s eyes at least, how much teams are expected to improve or get worse this year.
Win totals are a bit different than the odds to win the World Series. The team projected for the most wins isn’t necessarily going to be the favorite to win the championship as the actual odds factor in things like how difficult a team’s divisional and conference competition will be.
Below you will find the posted win totals for each Major League Baseball team. We have included the over and under odds as of this publishing as well. This shows current market sentiment for each team or, in other words, how much more likely the over is than the under for a particular team. For example, if the Astros over wins is -120, compared to even odds of +100 for the under, it means the market believes it is slightly more likely for Houston to have more than 94.5 wins that season. Note this number only includes games during the regular season.
Also included is each team’s win total from last season. The +/- Wins column shows how many games each team is projected to improve or decrease compared to last year. As of now, the Angels, White Sox, and Padres are expected to improve the most over last season. The Astros and Giants are expected to have the biggest drops in wins from last year, but for very different reasons. The Astros has a league-best 107 wins last year, which isn’t a realistic expectation. The Giants, on the other hand, are just expected to be much worse in part due to Padres projected improvement in the division.
| Team | Division | 2019 Wins | 2020 Win Total | Over | Under | +/- Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | AL East | 103 | 102.5 | -110 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Dodgers | NL West | 106 | 102 | -110 | -110 | -4.0 |
| Astros | AL West | 107 | 94.5 | -110 | -110 | -12.5 |
| Twins | AL Central | 101 | 92.5 | -110 | -110 | -8.5 |
| Rays | AL East | 96 | 90 | -110 | -110 | -6.0 |
| Braves | NL East | 97 | 90 | -110 | -110 | -7.0 |
| Athletics | AL West | 97 | 90 | -110 | -110 | -7.0 |
| Nationals | NL East | 93 | 88.5 | -110 | -110 | -4.5 |
| Mets | NL East | 86 | 87 | -110 | -110 | 1.0 |
| Cardinals | NL Central | 91 | 86.5 | -110 | -110 | -4.5 |
| Angels | AL West | 72 | 86 | -110 | -110 | 14.0 |
| Indians | AL Central | 93 | 85.5 | -110 | -110 | -7.5 |
| Cubs | NL Central | 84 | 85.5 | -110 | -110 | 1.5 |
| White Sox | AL Central | 72 | 85 | -110 | -110 | 13.0 |
| Reds | NL Central | 75 | 85 | -110 | -110 | 10.0 |
| Phillies | NL East | 81 | 85 | -110 | -110 | 4.0 |
| Diamondbacks | NL West | 85 | 84.5 | -110 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Red Sox | AL East | 84 | 84.5 | -110 | -110 | 0.5 |
| Padres | NL West | 70 | 83 | -110 | -110 | 13.0 |
| Brewers | NL Central | 89 | 82.5 | -110 | -110 | -6.5 |
| Rangers | AL West | 78 | 79.5 | -110 | -110 | 1.5 |
| Blue Jays | AL East | 67 | 76 | -110 | -110 | 9.0 |
| Rockies | NL West | 71 | 73.5 | -110 | -110 | 2.5 |
| Pirates | NL Central | 69 | 68 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Giants | NL West | 77 | 67.5 | -110 | -110 | -9.5 |
| Mariners | AL West | 68 | 67 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Royals | AL Central | 59 | 66 | -110 | -110 | 7.0 |
| Marlins | NL East | 57 | 65 | -110 | -110 | 8.0 |
| Tigers | AL Central | 47 | 57 | -110 | -110 | 10.0 |
| Orioles | AL East | 54 | 56.5 | -110 | -110 | 2.5 |