2018 Heisman Trophy Winner Odds

The Heisman Trophy is awarded to the most outstanding player in college football each year.  Before the start of each season, oddsmakers set the odds for those players who are most likely to win the award.  Recently, being listed as the favorite in the preseason has been all but a guarantee not to win the Heisman (see our table at the bottom of the page for past results).

Just two of the last nine Heisman winners have been running backs, however, 2018 features are pair of backs in Stanford’s Bryce Love and Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor that are the odds-on favorites to be voted the best player in college football.  If history is any indication, however, a quarterback from this list, or perhaps from outside of it, will emerge as a contender before the season has concluded.

The first column shows any movement in the odds since our last update.  The last column, titled “Hesiman” represents the implied odds each player has to win the award at the given odds.

2018 Heisman Trophy: Updated Odds to Win

Player Class Pos School Odds Change Heisman
Jonathan Taylor SO RB Wisconsin +750 -150 9.49%
Bryce Love SR RB Stanford +800 -400 8.97%
Tua Tagovailoa SO QB Alabama +1250 None 5.98%
Khalil Tate JR QB Arizona +1400 None 5.38%
Jake Fromm SO QB Georgia +1400 -200 5.38%
Kyler Murray JR QB Oklahoma +2000 -250 3.84%
JK Dobbins SO RB Ohio State +2100 -350 3.67%
Shea Patterson JR QB Michigan +2200 -550 3.51%
Trace McSorley JR QB Penn State +2500 -500 3.10%
Will Grier SR QB West Virginia +2500 -600 3.10%
Cam Akers SO RB Florida State +2500 None 3.10%
Rodney Anderson JR RB Oklahoma +2500 None 3.10%
Sam Ehlinger SO QB Texas +2700 None 2.88%
Jarrett Stidham JR QB Auburn +2700 -500 2.88%
McKenzie Milton SR QB UCF +3300 +200 2.37%
Kelly Bryant SR QB Clemson +3500 -700 2.24%
Drew Lock SR QB Missouri +3500 None 2.24%
Dwayne Haskins SO QB Ohio State +3500 -500 2.24%
Justin Herbert JR QB Oregon +3500 -500 2.24%
Deondre Francois SR QB Florida State +3500 -500 2.24%
Brandon Wimbush SR QB Notre Dame +3500 None 2.24%
D’Andre Swift SO RB Georgia +3500 None 2.24%
Nick Fitzgerald SR QB Mississippi State +4000 None 1.97%
Ronald Jones SR RB USC +4000 None 1.97%
KJ Costello JR QB Stanford +5000 None 1.58%
Jake Browning SR QB Washington +5000 None 1.58%
Jalen Hurts JR QB Alabama +5000 None 1.58%
Ed Oliver JR DT Houston +6600 None 1.20%
Travis Etienne SO RB Clemson +6700 None 1.19%
Justice Hill JR RB Oklahoma State +8000 None 1.00%
Nick Bosa JR DE Ohio State +8000 None 1.00%
N’Keal Harry JR WR Arizona State +8000 None 1.00%
Ryan Finley SR QB NC State +10000 None 0.80%
JD Spielman SO WR Nebraska +10000 None 0.80%
David Sills SR WR West Virginia +15000 None 0.53%
Ben Hicks JR QB SMU +15000 None 0.53%
Adrian Killins JR RB UCF +15000 None 0.53%
Malcolm Perry JR QB Navy +30000 None 0.27%

Past Heisman Winners & Preseason Favorites Odds

If you are thinking about placing a wager on a player to win the Heisman, you may want to consider picking someone other than the favorite.  Since we started archiving these odds in 2009, no favorite to win prior to the season has ended up taking home the award.  In fact, many of the players who ended up winning were not listed with odds to win in the preseason, we’ve marked those players with an asterisk (*).

Perhaps most notably, Johnny Manziel in 2012 wasn’t even available to bet in futures markets until the eight week of the season.  At that time he had the sixth-best odds on the board at +1200, with Geno Smith listed as the favorite at -250 (Braxton Miller +500, Collin Klein +700, Matt Barkley +800, and DeAnthony Thomas +800 were all listed ahead of him as well).

Given the past results, you’re better off taking a player in the +2000 range than hoping the preseason favorite pays off.

Year Winner Preseason Favorite Preseason
2017 Baker Mayfield +1000 Sam Darnold +500
2016 Lamar Jackson +10000 DeShaun Watson +500
2015 Derrick Henry +2500 Trevone Boykin +625
2014 Marcus Mariota +425 Jameis Winston +240
2013 Jameis Winston* +600 Braxton Miller/Johnny Manziel +350
2012 Johnny Manziel* +1200 Matt Barkley +300
2011 Robert Griffin III +2800 Andrew Luck +325
2010 Cam Newton* +2000 Mark Ingram +400
2009 Mark Ingram* +3300 Tim Tebow +225

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