2018 Heisman Trophy Winner Odds

The Heisman Trophy is awarded to the most outstanding player in college football each year.  Before the start of each season, oddsmakers set the odds for those players who are most likely to win the award.  Recently, being listed as the favorite in the preseason has been all but a guarantee not to win the Heisman (see our table at the bottom of the page for past results).

Just two of the last nine Heisman winners have been running backs, however, 2018 features are pair of backs in Stanford’s Bryce Love and Wisconsin’s Jonathan Taylor that are the odds-on favorites to be voted the best player in college football.  If history is any indication, however, a quarterback from this list, or perhaps from outside of it, will emerge as a contender before the season has concluded.

The first column shows any movement in the odds since our last update.  The last column, titled “Hesiman” represents the implied odds each player has to win the award at the given odds.

2018 Heisman Trophy Odds to Win

Change Player Pos Team Odds Heisman
+0 Bryce Love RB Stanford +400 13.90%
+0 Jonathan Taylor RB Wisconsin +600 9.93%
+0 Jake Fromm QB Georgia +1200 5.35%
+0 Tua Tagovailoa QB Alabama +1250 5.15%
+0 Khalil Tate QB Arizona +1400 4.63%
+0 Shea Patterson QB Michigan +1650 3.97%
+0 JK Dobbins RB Ohio State +1750 3.76%
+0 Kyler Murray QB Oklahoma +1750 3.76%
+0 Will Grier QB West Virginia +1900 3.47%
+0 Trace McSorley QB Penn State +2000 3.31%
+0 Jarrett Stidham QB Auburn +2200 3.02%
+0 Cam Akers RB Florida State +2500 2.67%
+0 Rodney Anderson RB Oklahoma +2500 2.67%
+0 Sam Ehlinger QB Texas +2700 2.48%
+0 Kelly Bryant QB Clemson +2800 2.40%
+0 Dwayne Haskins QB Ohio State +3000 2.24%
+0 Justin Herbert QB Oregon +3000 2.24%
+0 Deondre Francois QB Florida State +3000 2.24%
+0 Brandon Winbush QB Notre Dame +3500 1.93%
+0 Drew Lock QB Missouri +3500 1.93%
+0 D’Andre Swift RB Georgia +3500 1.93%
+0 McKenzie Milton QB UCF +3500 1.93%
+0 Ronald Jones RB USC +4000 1.69%
+0 Nick Fitzgerald QB Mississippi State +4000 1.69%
+0 Jake Browning QB Washington +5000 1.36%
+0 Jalen Hurts QB Alabama +5000 1.36%
+0 KJ Costello QB Stanford +5000 1.36%
+0 Ed Oliver DT Houston +6600 1.04%
+0 Travis Etienne RB Clemson +6700 1.02%
+0 Justice Hill RB Oklahoma State +8000 0.86%
+0 N’Keal Harry WR Arizona State +8000 0.86%
+0 Nick Bosa DE Ohio State +8000 0.86%
+0 Ryan Finley QB NC State +10000 0.69%
+0 JD Spielman WR Nebraska +10000 0.69%
+0 David Sills WR West Virginia +15000 0.46%
+0 Ben Hicks QB SMU +15000 0.46%
+0 Adrian Killins RB UCF +15000 0.46%
+0 Malcolm Perry QB Navy +30000 0.23%

Past Heisman Winners & Preseason Favorites Odds

If you are thinking about placing a wager on a player to win the Heisman, you may want to consider picking someone other than the favorite.  Since we started archiving these odds in 2009, no favorite to win prior to the season has ended up taking home the award.  In fact, many of the players who ended up winning were not listed with odds to win in the preseason, we’ve marked those players with an asterisk (*).

Perhaps most notably, Johnny Manziel in 2012 wasn’t even available to bet in futures markets until the eight week of the season.  At that time he had the sixth-best odds on the board at +1200, with Geno Smith listed as the favorite at -250 (Braxton Miller +500, Collin Klein +700, Matt Barkley +800, and DeAnthony Thomas +800 were all listed ahead of him as well).

Given the past results, you’re better off taking a player in the +2000 range than hoping the preseason favorite pays off.

Year Winner Preseason Favorite Preseason
2017 Baker Mayfield +1000 Sam Darnold +500
2016 Lamar Jackson +10000 DeShaun Watson +500
2015 Derrick Henry +2500 Trevone Boykin +625
2014 Marcus Mariota +425 Jameis Winston +240
2013 Jameis Winston* +600 Braxton Miller/Johnny Manziel +350
2012 Johnny Manziel* +1200 Matt Barkley +300
2011 Robert Griffin III +2800 Andrew Luck +325
2010 Cam Newton* +2000 Mark Ingram +400
2009 Mark Ingram* +3300 Tim Tebow +225

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