2019 Heisman Trophy Winner Odds


The Heisman Trophy is awarded to the most outstanding player in college football each year.  Before the start of each season, oddsmakers set the odds for those players who are most likely to win the award.  Recently, being listed as the favorite in the preseason has been all but a guarantee not to win the Heisman (see our table at the bottom of the page for past results).

As of now the top three contenders are all QBs: Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence, Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa, and [now] Oklahoma’s Jalen Hurts. Lawrence had a spectacular performance in the championship game, which explains him being the favorite this year, but it is worth nothing that the favorites very rarely end up winning the award. Almost everyone on the list is a QB with just three running backs and two wide receivers having odds posted right now.

Running backs and wide receivers have all but disappeared from the Heisman conversation, and I think you’d be hard-pressed to find a casual college football fan that could name the best running back or wide receiver in the country. In any case, the table below shows the odds on the remaining contenders for this year’s best player in college football from BetOnline.

The Change column shows any movement in the odds since our last update.  The last column, titled “Hesiman” represents the implied odds each player has to win the award at the given market odds.

2019 Heisman Trophy: Updated Odds to Win

Player Class Pos School Odds Change Heisman
Trevor Lawrence SO QB Clemson +350 New 15.79%
Tua Tagovailoa JR QB Alabama +500 New 11.84%
Jalen Hurts SR QB Oklahoma +650 New 9.47%
Adrian Martinez SO QB Nebraska +1200 New 5.47%
D’Andre Swift JR RB Georgia +1200 New 5.47%
Jake Fromm JR QB Georgia +1200 New 5.47%
Jonathan Taylor JR RB Wisconsin +1200 New 5.47%
Justin Fields SO QB Ohio State +1200 New 5.47%
Travis Etienne JR RB Clemson +1200 New 5.47%
Ian Book SR QB Notre Dame +1600 New 4.18%
Justin Herbert SR QB Oregon +1600 New 4.18%
Sam Ehlinger JR QB Texas +1600 New 4.18%
Austin Kendall JR QB Oklahoma +2500 New 2.73%
Jerry Jeudy JR WR Alabama +2500 New 2.73%
JT Daniels SO QB USC +2500 New 2.73%
Kelly Bryant SR QB Clemson +2500 New 2.73%
Shea Patterson SR QB Michigan +2800 New 2.45%
K.J. Costello SR QB Stanford +3300 New 2.09%
Rondale Moore SO WR Purdue +3300 New 2.09%

Past Heisman Winners & Preseason Favorites Odds

If you are thinking about placing a wager on a player to win the Heisman, you may want to consider picking someone other than the favorite.  Since we started archiving these odds in 2009, no favorite to win prior to the season has ended up taking home the award.  In fact, many of the players who ended up winning were not listed with odds to win in the preseason, we’ve marked those players with an asterisk (*).

Perhaps most notably, Johnny Manziel in 2012 wasn’t even available to bet in futures markets until the eight week of the season.  At that time he had the sixth-best odds on the board at +1200, with Geno Smith listed as the favorite at -250 (Braxton Miller +500, Collin Klein +700, Matt Barkley +800, and DeAnthony Thomas +800 were all listed ahead of him as well).

Given the past results, you’re better off taking a player in the +2000 range than hoping the preseason favorite pays off.

Year Winner Preseason Favorite Preseason
2018 Kyler Murray +2000 Bryce Love +500
2017 Baker Mayfield +1000 Sam Darnold +500
2016 Lamar Jackson +10000 DeShaun Watson +500
2015 Derrick Henry +2500 Trevone Boykin +625
2014 Marcus Mariota +425 Jameis Winston +240
2013 Jameis Winston* +600 Braxton Miller/Johnny Manziel +350
2012 Johnny Manziel* +1200 Matt Barkley +300
2011 Robert Griffin III +2800 Andrew Luck +325
2010 Cam Newton* +2000 Mark Ingram +400
2009 Mark Ingram* +3300 Tim Tebow +225

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