Free College Football Picks Against the Spread

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: New Mexico -6.5

I like the spot for the New Mexico Lobos Saturday as they host the Air Force Falcons.  The Lobos are coming off their bye week and have two full weeks to prepare for the triple-option.  The Falcons won't have the element of surprise here, plus New Mexico head coach Bronco Mendenhall has plenty of experience defending the triple-option.

The Lobos have been better than expected this season despite their 1-4 record.  They covered as 14-point dogs and nearly upset Montana State, which is one of the best FCS teams in the country.  They held their own against Arizona, Auburn and Fresno State.  They needed the bye week after that gauntlet, and they should come back refreshed and ready to go this week.

Air Force is one of the most overrated teams in college football this season.  The Falcons are 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS, and oddsmakers have failed to adjust enough for this being one of the worst teams in program history.  Their lone win came against FCS Merrimack 21-6 as 30-point favorites.  Merrimack went on to lose 63-17 to UConn the next week.  Their four losses all came by double-digits, including a 31-19 road loss at Wyoming, which is also one of the worst teams in college football.

This Air Force offense is the main culprit for their struggles.  The Falcons are scoring just 11.4 points per game, averaging 249 yards per game and just 3.4 yards per carry.  I don't believe they can keep up with this underrated New Mexico offense, which averages 32.0 points per game, 461.2 yards per game and 6.4 yards per play despite the tough schedule this season.  Bet New Mexico Saturday.

No. 1 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 7-plus years! He is riding a 5001-4329 Run L2588 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $282,630! He was the No. 6 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well as the No. 8 Ranked Overall Capper in 2023 with his $1,000/game players up $92,690 in 2022 and 2023 combined!

No. 2 Ranked College Football Capper All-Time! Jack has delivered SIX Top-7 CFB Finishes L12 Years (#2 2012, #3 2018, #3 2014, #5 2016, #6 2020, #7 2017) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! He is riding a 1001-824 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $99,870!

Jack has delivered an EPIC 18-3 Run L6 Days on all premium plays which included a 9-0 CFB SWEEP last Saturday! This money train stays right on track with Jack's Saturday College Football 9-Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge are FOUR 20* Top Plays for you to crush your book with today folks!

It would cost you roughly $335.00 to buy all nine plays separately, so YOU SAVE $275.00 with this 9-Pack! Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Sunday's entire NFL card is ON JACK!

*Free Play on Ohio State* The Ohio State Buckeyes have the best unit on the field in their defense led by Jim Knowles. Caleb Downs has been a fantastic addition to the secondary, and I expect he and Denzel Burke to have a big game here for the Buckeyes. 

Oregon's defensive line is 64th in defensive line yards. Ohio State is 1st in offensive line yards. With Henderson and Judkins the Buckeyes have the best running back duo in the country. Will Howard will likely run it more often in this game too. I think Ohio State can be very successful on the ground in this matchup.

Dillon Gabriel isn't going downfield much at all this year, and he has made several bad decisions with the football. Oregon is 106th in offensive explosiveness in the country. The Ducks are up against an Ohio State defense that is 5th in the nation in success rate allowed. 

Ohio State hasn't been tested so far this year and that is the negative on them. The Buckeyes have a clear talent advantage though, and I think they'll come with a strong effort here.

Take Ohio State.

(31-14 last 45 college football plays. Saturday 5 or $75 Special Offer includes my Sun Belt Game of the Year. Get on board!) 

Yes, an anticipated Vanderbilt letdown after upsetting Alabama last week is fully expected. 

But that's not the only reason why I like Kentucky to cover this number.
 
The Wildcats have one of the best defenses in the country. They give up the fifth-fewest yards per game and rank 11th in scoring defense holding foes to 13.4 points a game. The Wildcats held the powerful offenses of Georgia and Mississippi to season-lows in points. 

Kentucky's offense is not on par with its defense. But Brock Vandragriff is improving at quarterback and faces arguably the SEC's weakest defense. Vanderbilt ranks 90th in pass defense. The Commodores are giving up an average of 33.6 points during their past three games. 

Vanderbilt runs a sophisticated offense that features a lot of triple-option looks. Kentucky not only catches a break with Vanderbilt in a prime letdown spot, but the Wildcats were idle last week. That gave them ample practice time to key on Vanderbilt's intricate attack and quarterback Diego Pavia. 

Kentucky has won seven of the past eight times the teams have met. The Wildcats are 8-2 SU and ATS during the last 10 meetings. 

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 26-13 on his premium/free college football picks this season for 67 percent. Stephen has three premium CFB plays going Saturday in addition to this free selection headed by his SEC Game of the Month.)

1* FREE INFO PLAY

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Arkansas State/Texas State OVER 65.5

The Key: Two offensive-minded head coaches square off in this Sun Belt showdown between Texas State and Arkansas State Saturday.  Last year, Arkansas State turned their season around with a 77-31 win over Texas State that saw 108 combined points.  The Red Wolves kicked an onside kick up 28 and you can bet GJ Kinne and the Bobcats have not forgotten.  If they get the chance to run up the score in this one they will continue piling on the points.  Texas State is scoring 37.6 PPG and averaging 454 YPG this season and will be up against an Arkansas State defense that yields 30.2 PPG, 437 YPG and 6.7 YPP.  Texas State has faced an easy schedule of opposing offenses and even gave up 40 points to Sam Houston State and 31 to Arizona State.  Arkansas State has faced a tough schedule of opposing defenses including Iowa State and Michigan.  They should find some traction offensively this week against Texas State.  Take the OVER.

**4X Top 10 NCAAF Handicapper!** Dave was the #4 NCAAF Capper in 2011, the #7 NCAAF Capper in 2009 and the #5 NCAAF Capper in 2008! He had his best season to date finishing as the #2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020! He is riding a 341-294 NCAAF Run over the past couple seasons! He is also on a 118-73 Run on NCAAF 7* Top Plays as well as a recent 10-3 NCAAF Run! Give your book the beating it deserves this weekend and hop on board for Dave's Saturday NCAA Football 9-Pack for $49.95! By doing so you'll earn access to his 7* NCAAF Blowout Game of the Year along with eight 6* picks in college football for you to crush your book with today ladies and gents! Dave guarantees you'll cash in a profit or you get Sunday's NFL picks for FREE!

#135 ASA PLAY ON Northern Illinois +3 over Bowling Green, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET - We love looking at underdogs that have a chance to dominate on the ground and that’s what we have here. NIU ranks 10th nationally averaging 230 YPG on the ground on 5.1 YPC. They are facing a BG defense that allows over 200 YPG on the ground and ranks outside the top 115 in both YPG allowed on the ground and YPC allowed. The Huskies rushing YPG differential is +113 while BG is -68 in that statistic. While BG has played the slightly higher strength of schedule, NIU’s is no slouch have played on the road at FBS opponents Notre Dame (NIU won by 2) and at NC State (NIU lost by 7 but outgained the Wolfpack by over 100 yards). The Falcons lost tough games @ Penn State and @ Texas A&M and those setbacks look like they’ve taken a lot out of this team as they haven’t been the same since. Two weeks ago those lost to a bad Old Dominion team as a double digit favorite and last week they barely got by at 1-5 Akron team (27-20) as a 16 point favorite. Those 2 teams have a combined record of 2-9 and Bowling Green was outgained on a YPP basis vs Akron and slightly outgained ODU. Not only should NIU control the trenches, they also have a much better overall defense ranking 11th in total defense and 19th in YPP allowed compared to 89th and 105th for the Falcon’s defense. NIU has a YPG differential of +100 and a YPP differential of +0.4. BG is +10 and dead even in those key stats. The better team is getting points here and we’ll grab the dog.

The upcoming Mountain West Conference matchup between the San Diego State Aztecs (2-3) and the Wyoming Cowboys (1-4) on Saturday presents an interesting contest between two teams that have struggled but showed flashes of potential recently. San Diego State enters this game after a close 27-24 victory over Hawaii, which saw solid performances from quarterback Danny O'Neil (791 passing yards, 5 TDs this season) and running back Marquez Cooper, who rushed for over 100 yards and two touchdowns. The Aztecs' offense averages around 20.6 points per game, with their defense allowing about 22.4 points. They'll rely on their running game, as Wyoming has one of the weaker run defenses, allowing 185.2 rushing yards per game. Wyoming, on the other hand, comes off their first win of the season, a 31-19 upset over Air Force. They've struggled offensively, scoring just 16.4 points per game on average, and their passing game, led by quarterback Evan Svoboda, has been inconsistent. Defensively, Wyoming has allowed 32.4 points per game, but their third-down conversion rate of 36.5% is respectable. Wyoming's home-field advantage at War Memorial Stadium could play a crucial role, as they've historically performed well in conference home games. Both teams are known for inconsistent play this season, making this a close matchup. Neither team will compete in the postseason but Wyoming is my play here on Saturday

Chip’s FAB-5 NCAAF Best Bet Winners

Chip Chirimbes, Las Vegas Hilton Handicapping Champion, ‘Big-Game’ Player and Seven-time NCAA Champion was 5-1 in NCAF action last Saturday and has posted his FAB-5 of NCAAF Best Bet winners including Chip’s Highest-Rated Megabucks (4-2) winner between Ohio State and Oregon, his 'Top-Rated' Vegas Hotline winner between Penn State and USC, his Power Play winner between Arizona and BYU, his Money Game winner between Washington State and Fresno State and his Double-Down (Bail-Out) winner between Minnesota and UCLA. Get this 'Guaranteed' to 'Profit' FAB-5 of NCAAF Best Bet winners for only $99. 

Chips FREE NCAAF Best Bet winner

California at Pittsburgh 3:30 ET

Golden Bears (+) over Panthers- All week long I have been hearing what a tough spot that California is in after they blew a huge 2nd half lead against Miami. Now, they take to the road against an undefeated Pittsburgh club that is also 5-0 ATS. This number opened minus-3.5 and seemed a bit shy and all the interest has been on the Panthers and yet the price has dropped. Something tells me...take CALIFORNIA!

Cincinnati/UCF 3:30: Bearcats much improved from a season ago under Satterfield. They've got themselves a QB with Sorsby (66% completions; 12 TD/ 1 INT), a veteran offensive line and a quality run game. UCF defense, mediocre at best, has difficulty sacking (134th nationally - 0.6 sacks per game) the QB and that should prove to be fatal with big strike receivers Henderson and Covey running through the secondary. UCF 0-6 ATS off SU/ATS loss vs opponent off SU/ATS loss. Cincinnati sports a 6-1 ATS mark as a dogs of 2 or more points in the second of back-to-back road games. Look for the Bearcats to avenge last year's close loss. 

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Eastern Michigan +2.5

The Miami Ohio Redhawks are getting a lot of respect early in the season after winning the MAC last year.  But this team is a far cry from that one, and that has played out with the Redhawks going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS through five games.  The only win came 23-20 at home over UMass.  That's the same UMass team that Eastern Michigan beat 28-14 on the road to give them a common opponent.  The Eagles have gone 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS this season and have been an undervalued commodity.  Their lone loss came on the road at Washington by 21 as 24.5-point dogs.  Their win over Jacksonville State has aged pretty well, and they blew out their other three opponents.  The Eagles had a bye last week so they will be the fresher team.  The Redhawks will be playing for a 4th consecutive week after losing to Cincinnati, Notre Dame and Toledo.  They have been through a tough stretch and I'm not quite sure how much they'll have left for EMU this week.  Wrong team favored.  Give me Eastern Michigan.

*Top 10 Overall Capper 4 of L8 Years!*

*#1 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2020-21!*

*#1 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2012-13!*

*#2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2017-18!*

*#2 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2016-17!*

*#3 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2008-09!*

*#9 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2014-15!*

*#10 Ranked NCAAF Capper in 2018-19!*

*1518-1280 Football Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $111,440)*

*1400-1209 NCAAF Run! ($1,000/game bettors up $80,330)*

*780-657 Run on NCAAF 5 Unit Top Plays!*

I am the #4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time on this network! I am a 5-Time Top 3 NCAAF Capper and currently the #6 Ranked NCAAF Capper All-Time as well! I am riding a HOT 30-13 Run L12 Days in all sports that includes a 10-5 NCAAF Run! I keep the money coming your way this weekend with my Saturday All-Inclusive NCAAF 15-Pack for $49.99! This card features FIVE 5 Unit BEST BETS in the Cal/Pitt, Arkansas State/Texas State, Florida/Tennessee, Iowa State/Virginia & Boise State/Hawaii games! You pay *ONLY $3.33/Play* for all 15 winners, and you are GUARANTEED-to-PROFIT or I'll send you Sunday's NFL plays for FREE!

1* NCAAF - Ga Tech/N Carolina FREE PICK on North Carolina +4

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #128 Pittsburgh Panthers over California Golden Bears (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 12 ESPN) Cal is still in shellshock after blowing a big lead to Miami in the fourth quarter with some very questionable calls going against them. Now they must fly cross country to Pittsburgh to take on a 5-0 Panther squad. Pittsburgh is coming off a double-digit conference road win last time out and I see them winning this game by double digits as well. Lay the points with the home team on Saturday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring a top play in college football.

Vanderbilt vs Kentucky 
7:45 ET | 
8-Unit bet Under the total currently priced at 44 points. 

The following CFB betting algorithm has gone 59-25-1 Under for 70% winning bets over the past 7 seasons. The requirements are: 

Bet on home teams facing a conference foe. 

The total is 44 or more points. 

Both teams have win percentages between 50 and 60% on the season. 

UNDER 62.5

LSU and Ole Miss clash in a big conference showdown and we’re on the Under. For starters, the trend this college season has been under for high totals. Entering Saturday, games with totals of 60 or more are hitting at a 63% rate to the under. Scoring has been down and this game is going to be dominated by the Rebels defense. They are near the top in the nation in rush yards against and they don’t allow a lot of big plays down field. This will be a game that’s won by both of these teams sustaining drives and winning the game with rushing. Expect a slow developing game and neither side will have any sort of explosive plays. Grab the under. My daily free plays are meant to be 5* bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on THE UNDER ON SATURDAY. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray

Saturday 5* FREE NCAAF O/U Play

The winning nights continue! Time to hop on the $ train with "The Razor". Ray is back and locked in with more winners for today! Top 10 Capper In The World ON EVERY Network Ray sells his plays! You won't find many hotter cappers out there! CONSISTENT PROFIT$. As Ray Monohan always says…”Pad that bankroll one day at a time folks!” Kickin' Ass & Takin' Names! Leaderboard Movin'. Clients are CASHIN. Start making P-R-O-F-I-T-$ NOW!

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: Tennessee -14

I'm betting the Volunteers as a 14-point favorite against the Gators. The only thing that's keeping this from being a premium selection, is the lookahead spot with a home game against Alabama on deck. I just think it will be hard for them to lookahead coming off that upset loss at Arkansas. There's more wiggle room with the 12-team playoff, but a loss here and a loss at home to Alabama or at Georgia and they probably don't have a shot. My money is on them to show up against what I think is a very mediocre Florida team. The Gators come in off back-to-back wins and covers at Miss St and home vs UCF. I don't think either of those teams are any good. They were lucky to only lose by 13 at home to Texas A&M (gave up 488 total yards) and lost 17-41 at home to Miami (gave up 529 yards). I don't think Florida's offense will be able to enough here to keep this one close. Give me Tennessee -14! 

In games featuring two ranked teams darting back 7 seasons, home sides  are 178-88 SU and 151-107-8 ATS for. a 59% conversion rate for bettors. .Considering OSU’s  1-5 ATS record away when both squads are unbeaten we have a trending situation that favors the home side.It must be noted that the last time these teams met back in 2021 the Ducks waddled away with the victory and according to my projections are live dogs in this spot play situation. 

Play on 

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Oklahoma plus the points over Texas at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

Most wrote off Oklahoma following its home loss against Tennessee two games back but I liked what I saw out of the Sooners in their bounce-back performance on the road against Auburn. Off its bye week, I expect Oklahoma to give rival Texas its best shot. The Longhorns are obviously the hunted right now as they check in undefeated on the season. Of course you can throw records out the window in rivalry matchups such as this one. Oklahoma has owned this series in recent years, winning five of the last six and 11 of the last 14 meetings. Also note that four of the last five matchups have been decided by eight points or less. Take Oklahoma.