Las Vegas Favorites & Each Team’s Odds to Win Super Bowl 58 in 2024

NFL odds to win the Super Bowl refer to the probability of a team winning the championship. These odds are usually released months before the Super Bowl is set to take place, and the sportsbook will continue to update the odds as the season progresses. The team with the lowest odds is considered the favorite to win the Super Bowl.

We’ve also included each team’s margin of victory this season. While not 100% correlated to how strong a team is, it is a great baseline for establishing the strength of a team or modeling your own power rankings for the NFL.

The Change column indicates how much each team’s odds have moved and in which direction since the last time they were updated. This shows how the market reacts week to week and can be useful when betting in-season futures odds if the market overreacts to a team’s result.

Our Super Bowl column in the table below indicates the true probability implied by the odds. This is different from simply converting the odds to a probability as we have taken out the sportsbook’s margin so that the sum of all probabilities equals 100%. You can use this to your advantage by shopping futures odds. If a team you like to win the Super Bowl this season is being offered at odds that imply a lower probability than the percentage we have listed, that wager would have a positive expected value.

Something you may also want to consider with NFL futures like this is how long your money will be tied up. This is money you could be using to bet throughout the season, so you will want to make sure you are getting enough value out of your wager to justify taking that money out of your bankroll for so long.

NFL Futures: Odds to Win Super Bowl 57 (LVII)

Team 2022 Record Division 2022 MOV Odds Change Super Bowl
Chiefs 14-3-0 AFC West 7.0 +650 None 11.03%
Eagles 14-3-0 NFC East 9.3 +700 None 10.34%
Bengals 11-4-0 AFC North 6.2 +850 None 8.71%
Bills 12-3-0 AFC East 8.6 +1000 None 7.52%
49ers 11-4-0 NFC West 8.7 +1000 None 7.52%
Jets 7-8-0 AFC East -1.2 +1400 None 5.52%
Cowboys 12-4-0 NFC East 7.1 +1600 None 4.87%
Dolphins 8-7-0 AFC East -0.3 +1800 None 4.35%
Ravens 10-5-0 AFC North 1.6 +2000 None 3.94%
Lions 7-8-0 NFC North 1.5 +2500 None 3.18%
Jaguars 7-8-0 AFC South 2.5 +2500 None 3.18%
Seahawks 7-8-0 NFC West -0.7 +2800 None 2.85%
Browns 7-10-0 AFC North -1.2 +3300 None 2.43%
Chargers 9-6-0 AFC West 0.3 +3300 None 2.43%
Vikings 12-3-0 NFC North -0.6 +4500 None 1.80%
Packers 7-8-0 NFC North -0.1 +5000 None 1.62%
Patriots 7-8-0 AFC East 1.0 +5000 None 1.62%
Saints 6-9-0 NFC South -0.9 +5000 None 1.62%
Broncos 5-12-0 AFC West -4.2 +5500 None 1.48%
Raiders 6-9-0 AFC West -1.4 +5500 None 1.48%
Steelers 7-8-0 AFC North -2.2 +5500 None 1.48%
Falcons 7-10-0 NFC South -1.2 +6600 None 1.23%
Bears 3-14-0 NFC North -8.1 +6600 None 1.23%
Rams 5-12-0 NFC West -4.5 +6600 None 1.23%
Giants 8-6-1 NFC East -1.6 +6600 None 1.23%
Panthers 6-9-0 NFC South -1.6 +8000 None 1.02%
Titans 7-9-0 AFC South -3.6 +8000 None 1.02%
Commanders 7-7-1 NFC East -1.3 +8000 None 1.02%
Texans 3-13-0 AFC South -7.7 +10000 None 0.82%
Colts 4-12-0 AFC South -8.1 +10000 None 0.82%
Buccaneers 7-8-0 NFC South -3.4 +10000 None 0.82%
Cardinals 4-13-0 NFC West -6.4 +15000 None 0.55%

History of Super Bowl Odds

The Super Bowl is one of the most bet-on sporting events in the world, and the odds to win the game are a hotly debated topic. Over the years, there have been some interesting trends in the odds, as well as some surprising upsets.

Here are some interesting facts about Super Bowl odds:

  • The New England Patriots have been the favorites to win the Super Bowl more than any other team, with 11 appearances as the pre-season favorite.
  • The largest Super Bowl upset came in Super Bowl III, when the New York Jets beat the Baltimore Colts as 18-point underdogs.
  • The average Super Bowl favorite has won the game outright 63% of the time.
  • The average Super Bowl underdog has covered the spread 53% of the time.

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