The 2018 Kentucky Derby is set to get underway at 6:50 PM ET on Saturday, May 5th at Churchill Downs. This is a Grade 1 stakes race for three-year-old thoroughbreds, and it’s held annually in Louisville, Kentucky. This is a 1 1/4-mile race that is known in the United States as “The Fastest Two Minutes in Sports” as well as the “Run for the Roses”.
It is the first leg of the Triple Crown, which is followed by the Preakness Stakes and the Belmont Stakes. The Kentucky Derby has been run every year since 1875, making this the 144th running. The attendance at the event ranks first in North America and surpasses that of all the other stakes races, including the Breeders’ Cup.
Because of it’s popularity, the Kentucky Derby draws millions of fans and bettors around the world. I’m going to take a look at the wagering side of it and go through and give my predictions for this year’s race. I provide my Trifecta below, which is picking the 1-2-3 (win, place, show) finishers in the correct order. If you Box these horses together, they can finish 1-2-3 in any order, but it costs more.
**Note – I have picked three of the past six Kentucky Derby Winners with American Pharaoh (5/2) in 2015, Orb (7/2) in 2013, and I’ll Have Another (12/1) in 2012 with my ‘Win’ selections. Last year, I picked winner Always Dreaming to place (noting I may regret not picking him to win).
This year’s predictions will be posted around May 1 (see updated odds below).
Exacta Pick: TBD
Trifecta Pick: TBD
If you are new to the Kentucky Derby, then you might want to check out my betting guide for beginners. This year’s complete odds are listed below.
|Horse||Jockey||Trainer||Career Earnings||Odds||Change||Kentucky Derby|
|Justify||Mike Smith||Bob Baffert||$666,000||+200||New||24.03%|
|Mendelssohn||Ryan Moore||Aidan O’Brien||$1,961,137||+525||New||11.53%|
|Bolt d’Oro||Victor Espinoza||Mick Ruiz||$1,016,000||+575||New||10.68%|
|Audible||Javier Castellano||Todd Pletcher||$882,920||+650||New||9.61%|
|Magnum Moon||Luis Saez||Todd Pletcher||$1,177,800||+725||New||8.74%|
|Good Magic||Jose Ortiz||Chad Brown||$1,855,000||+825||New||7.79%|
|Vino Rosso||John Velazquez||Todd Pletcher||$620,500||+950||New||6.86%|
|Enticed||Junior Alvarado||Kiaran McLaughlin||$595,680||+3000||New||2.33%|
|My Boy Jack||Ken Desmormeaux||Keith Desormeaux||$645,145||+3000||New||2.33%|
|Solomini||Flavien Prat||Bob Baffert||$752,000||+3000||New||2.33%|
|Noble Indy||John Velazquez||Todd Pletcher||$691,600||+3000||New||2.33%|
|Hofburg||Joze Ortiz||Bill Mott||$227,950||+3500||New||2.00%|
|Flameaway||Jose Lezcano||Mark Casse||$704,834||+4500||New||1.57%|
|Lone Sailor||James Graham||Tom Amoss||$334,237||+6000||New||1.18%|
|Combatant||Ricardo Santana||Steve Asmussen||$388,550||+6500||New||1.09%|
|Free Drop Billy||Irad Ortiz||Dale Romans||$625,220||+6500||New||1.09%|
|Instilled Regard||Joel Rosario||Jerry Hollendorfer||$294,000||+6500||New||1.09%|
|Bravazo||Gary Stevens||D. Wayne Lukas||$436,528||+6500||New||1.09%|
|Promises Fulfilled||Robby Albarado||Dale Romans||$337,280||+8500||New||0.84%|
|Firenze Fire||Manuel Franco||Jason Servis||$669,100||+9000||New||0.79%|
|Snapper Sinclair||Jose Ortiz||Steve Asmussen||$372,360||+10000||New||0.71%|