John Ryan

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Dallas Cowboys (130)

PHILADELPHIA (6 - 6) at DALLAS (7 - 5)       

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 4:25 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 10-star wager (3 to 10-star grading scale) on the Cowboys which the market has priced them as 3-point home favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Cowboys to average a minimum of 6 yards per play and will have the lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio. In past games where the Cowboys have attained these performance measures, they have produced a 76-5 winning by an average of 14.6 points and 64-15-2 ATS covering by an average of 9.2 points. Slicing the data set to include games from the start of the 2016 season shows that Dallas is a perfect 12-0 and 11-1 ATS covering by an average of 12 points.

The Eagles have not done well when allowing these performance measures going just 3-30 SUATS losing by an average of 13.6 points and failing to cover by an average of 12.9 points over the past 10 seasons. When the opponent has gained a minimum of 6 YPPL and rushed the ball for a minimum of 137 yards, the Eagles are just 1-5 ATS since 2016 and 3-17 ATS over the past 10 seasons.

This database situational query has produced a 22-9 mark for 71% winners since 2009. Road teams using the money line with a struggling defense allowing 6.0 or more yards-per-play, after outgaining previous opponent by 150 or more total yards.

Dallas WR trio of Gallup, Cooper, and Beasley all have significant matchup advantages. Cooper has been a huge success so far and his presence stretches a defense vertically. He will be covered in man situations by Sidney Jones and Prescott will be targeting Cooper in man situations as often as possible. Eagles trio of WR will have their hands full just to get meaningful seperationg from the defender to give Wentz a chance at completing a pass. Byron Nelson is perhaps the best coverage CB in the NFC and will all but eliminate either of Algholor or Jefferies. And Chidobe Awuzie is nearly as good as Nelson in man coverage.

Zach Ertz has had a great season as the league leader in receptions for a TE and will be looking to break the all-time TE receiving record in the weeks to come. This day though, will see him matched against a very good and physical safety in Jeff Heath. Given the strength of the Dallas LB and their elite speed from sideline to sideline, it will be difficult for Wentz to extend plays rolling out to either side, especially to his right where he has been exceptional this season. Dallas pressured Brees up the middle to disrupt that offense, but with Wentz, their goal will be pocket containment and force him to step up in a crowd of linemen. Dallas’ LB speed is the biggest problem facing the Eagles offense.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
 Atlanta (111)

ATLANTA (4 - 8) at GREEN BAY (4 - 7 - 1)      

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Falcons, who are installed as 4-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls the

The following database situation query provides a solid record of 54-22 ATS for 71% since the start of the 2014 season. Play against favorites of 3.5 to 10 points after a game where they forced no turnovers and are now facing an opponent after a game where they committed 1 or less turnovers.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

New England Patriots (117)

NEW ENGLAND (9 - 3) at MIAMI (6 - 6)

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the New England Patriots, whom the market has priced as 8-point road favorites.

SIM Projections and Results
Patriots will gain 250 to 300 net passing yards and 7.5 to 8 yards per pass attempt, gain a minimum of 137 rushing yards and between 400 and 450 total offensive yards. Miami is projected to gain less than 250 net passing yards and less than 7.5 passing yards per attempt. Patriots are 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when their defense allows 200 to 250 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when they allow 6.5 to 7 net passing yards/attempt over the last 3 seasons; 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when they gain 250 to 300 net passing yards over the last 3 seasons; 27-9 ATS (+17.1 Units) when they gain 7.5 to 8 net passing yards/attempt since 1992;  100-19-2 ATS when they rush for a minimum of 137 yards and 18-2 ATS covering by an average of 12.3 points when on the road against a divisional opponent.

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup          

NY Jets (115)

NY JETS (3 - 9) at BUFFALO (4 - 8)     

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
7-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 7-star wager on the Jets, who are currently priced as 4.5-point road dogs.

SIM Projections and Results
Jets are expected to gain 6 or more yards per play and will have a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio than Buffalo. In past games when the Jets have accomplished this, they are a solid 34-3 SU and 32-5 ATS covering by an average of 14.8 points. In past games when the Bills have allowed these measures to an opponent, they have been a horrid 1-49 SU and 6-43-1 ATS for 12% and failing to cover by an average of 13.6 points.

The following database system query has produced a solid 29-7 ATS mark good for 81% winners since 1997.  Play on any team after 5 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers and is now facing an opponent after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.

John Ryan's Gridiron 10-Star Titan have been produced fantastic results again this season with the NFL 10-Stars on an 11-3 ATS 79% win streak. They are akin to Game of the Year status and represent the highest possible grade his proven Machine Learning programs can identify. This report, as always is the case, features some incredible data base query results and a game situation that is 23-1 ATS covering the number by an average of 17.8 points!

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

OVER Washington – NY Giants (121)

NY GIANTS (4 - 8) at WASHINGTON (6 - 6)       

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the OVER, which is currently priced at 40-points. Plus, a 2-Star parlay using the OVER and the Redskins.

SIM Projections and Results

Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed.

Projections call for Washington to gain 7 or more yards-per-play and will have a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio. When the Giants have allowed these performance measures to an opponent they are 20-2-1 OVER for 91% and covering the total by an average of 13.2 points. Moreover, the Giants are just 1-22 SU and 2-21 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 12.5 points. So, a small 2-Star parlay does make complete sense and recommend it highly for this game.

The Redskins are 15-3 OVER covering by an average of 11.5 points and 16-1-1 ATS covering by an average of 13 points. 

John Ryan's Gridiron 10-Star Titan have been produced fantastic results again this season with the NFL 10-Stars on an 11-3 ATS 79% win streak. They are akin to Game of the Year status and represent the highest possible grade his proven Machine Learning programs can identify. This report, as always is the case, features some incredible data base query results and a game situation that is 23-1 ATS covering the number by an average of 17.8 points!

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

OVER Washington – NY Giants (121)

NY GIANTS (4 - 8) at WASHINGTON (6 - 6)       

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the OVER, which is currently priced at 40-points. Plus, a 2-Star parlay using the OVER and the Redskins.

SIM Projections and Results

Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed.

Projections call for Washington to gain 7 or more yards-per-play and will have a lower, more efficient yards-per-point ratio. When the Giants have allowed these performance measures to an opponent they are 20-2-1 OVER for 91% and covering the total by an average of 13.2 points. Moreover, the Giants are just 1-22 SU and 2-21 ATS failing to cover the spread by an average of 12.5 points. So, a small 2-Star parlay does make complete sense and recommend it highly for this game.

The Redskins are 15-3 OVER covering by an average of 11.5 points and 16-1-1 ATS covering by an average of 13 points. 

John Ryan Sports Research Report

@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup

New Orleans Saints (113)

NEW ORLEANS (10 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (5 - 7)

Week 14 Sunday, 12/9/2018 1:00 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy

Place a 10-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on the Saints, who are installed as 10-point favorites.

SIM Projections and Results

Projection summary and their precedents are listed as follows:

Saints are 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when they score 28 or more points this season while the Bucs are just  2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) when they allow 28 or more points over the last 3 seasons and 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when they allow 29 to 35 points over the last 3 seasons. Bucs are 0-24 SU and 1-23 ATS losing to the number by an average of 17.8 points when the opponent has gain 7 or more yards-per-play and the opponent had a lower (more efficient) yards-per-point ratio.

Our vast NFL databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all of the advanced mathematical technologies we have in our data tool shed.

This one has produced a 25-6 ATS record for 81% and calls for us to play on road favorites that are mistake-free teams averaging 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game and is now facing a team that has forced 1.25 turnovers per game and after 4 consecutive games where they committed 1 or fewer turnovers. If the game is taking place in the second half of the season, the record improves to 28-6 ATS for 82.4% since 1980