NBA Season Win Totals (Over Under Wins Futures)

Before the start of every season, oddsmakers release projected win totals for every NBA team. You can bet whether each team will win more (over) or less (under) games than their projections. These can be solid wagers if you have a grasp on each team and their schedule. The drawback is that you have to wait until the regular season ends before collecting your winnings.

Along with the total set, both the over and under have a price associated with it.  For example, the Warriors are listed at 63.5 wins with -130 on the under and +110 on the over. This gives you the indication that the betting market thus far has favored the Warriors at under 63.5 wins. These are apt to change, but our prices are accurate as of the time of this post.

2018-2019 NBA Regular Season Win Totals

Most of these win totals shouldn’t come as a surprise. The Warriors and Celtics are projected for the most wins, which each improving slightly over their regular season wins from the 2017-2018 season. Three teams don’t have totals as of yet (we’ll post them up when they do), but as of now the Hawks and Kings are projected to be the worst teams in the NBA.

How did LeBron’s move to LA swing these win totals? A quick look at the +/- wins column shows the Lakers are expected to improve by 14.5 wins with King James and the other pieces they added this year. Meanwhile, the Cavs are the team expected to lose the most wins this year (not shocking considering how much production leaves with James).  All told, Cleveland projects to lose 19.5 more games than they did a year ago.

Early on it looks like the Spurs, Heat, and Bulls are expected to do better than the posted number, while the Warriors, Lakers, and Nuggets appear to be favored to underperform.

Up to date win totals provided by BetOnline.

Team Conference (Division) 2018 Win Total Over Price Under Price 2017 Wins +/- Wins
Warriors West (Pacific) 63.5 110 -130 58 +5.5
Celtics East (Atlantic) 58.5 -120 100 55 +3.5
Rockets West (Southwest) 55.5 -110 -110 65 -9.5
Raptors East (Atlantic) 55.5 -110 -110 59 -3.5
76ers East (Atlantic) 54.5 -110 -110 52 +2.5
Jazz West (Northwest) 49.5 -110 -110 48 +1.5
Lakers West (Pacific) 49.5 130 -150 35 +14.5
Bucks East (Central) 47.5 -115 -115 44 +3.5
Pacers East (Central) 47.5 -120 100 48 -0.5
Nuggets West (Northwest) 47.5 110 -130 46 +1.5
Pelicans West (Southwest) 45.5 -110 -110 48 -2.5
Spurs West (Southwest) 44.5 -125 105 47 -2.5
Wizards East (Southeast) 44.5 -110 -110 43 +1.5
Blazers West (Northwest) 42.5 100 -120 49 -6.5
Heat East (Southeast) 40.5 -145 125 44 -3.5
Pistons East (Central) 38.5 -105 -115 39 -0.5
Clippers West (Pacific) 36.5 -110 -110 42 -5.5
Hornets East (Southeast) 35.5 -105 -115 36 -0.5
Mavs West (Southwest) 34.5 -120 100 24 +10.5
Grizzlies West (Southwest) 34.5 -120 100 22 +12.5
Nets East (Atlantic) 31.5 -130 110 28 +3.5
Magic East (Southeast) 30.5 -120 100 25 +5.5
Cavs East (Central) 30.5 -105 -115 50 -19.5
Knicks East (Atlantic) 29.5 -110 -110 29 +0.5
Bulls East (Central) 28.5 -140 120 27 +1.5
Kings West (Pacific) 25.5 -110 -110 27 -1.5
Hawks East (Southeast) 23.5 -105 -115 24 -0.5
Thunder West (Northwest) OFF OFF OFF 48 OFF
T-Wolves West (Northwest) OFF OFF OFF 47 OFF
Suns West (Pacific) OFF OFF OFF 21 OFF

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