NBA Season Win Totals (Over Under Wins Futures)

A season win total is a position on an entire year, placed before the first tip-off is played. Once the price is set, most of the outcome is decided by where that number sits, not by who eventually turns out to be right about a roster’s talent. Buying wins too high or selling them too low does more damage over 82 games than any single result later in the year.

BetFirm compares 6 sportsbooks, including bet365, DraftKings, BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, Hard Rock, with prices last updated September 11, 2026. The board below covers every team in the NBA, matched to the best price available on the over and the under for each one, so the total and the price sit next to each other instead of being scattered across separate shops.

2026-27 NBA Win Totals by Sportsbook

Highest totalThunder 62.564 wins last season
Biggest jumpPacers +24.519 wins to a 43.5 total
Biggest dropClippers -13.542 wins to a 28.5 total
Lowest totalKings 20.522 wins last season
Team Last Total Caesars DraftKings BetMGM bet365 Hard Rock Since open
1Thunder 64 62.5 62.5o+100 · u≈-123 62.5o-110 · u≈-112 62.5o-105 · u≈-117 61.5o-130 · u≈+106 – +1
2Spurs 62 59.5 59.5o-130 · u≈+106 60.5o-120 · u≈-102 59.5o-125 · u≈+102 60.5o-115 · u≈-107 – -1
3Knicks 53 52.5 51.5o-110 · u≈-112 52.5o+100 · u≈-123 52.5o+100 · u≈-123 52.5o+100 · u≈-123 – flat
4Celtics 56 51.5 51.5o+100 · u≈-123 53.5o+155 · u≈-193 51.5o+100 · u≈-123 – – +1
576ers 45 50.5 50.5o+100 · u≈-123 48.5o-180 · u≈+145 50.5o-130 · u≈+106 50.5o-105 · u≈-117 – flat
6Nuggets 54 48.5 48.5o-120 · u≈-102 48.5o-110 · u≈-112 49.5o+105 · u≈-129 48.5o-110 · u≈-112 – flat
7Pistons 60 48.5 48.5o-110 · u≈-112 48.5o-105 · u≈-117 49.5o-105 · u≈-117 – – -1
8Rockets 52 48.5 48.5o-110 · u≈-112 47.5o-125 · u≈+102 48.5o-105 · u≈-117 – – +1
9Timberwolves 49 48.5 48.5o-115 · u≈-107 48.5o+105 · u≈-129 48.5o-110 · u≈-112 47.5o-110 · u≈-112 – flat
10Cavaliers 52 47.5 48.5o-110 · u≈-112 47.5o-120 · u≈-102 47.5o-115 · u≈-107 48.5o+100 · u≈-123 – flat
11Heat 43 46.5 46.5o-125 · u≈+102 45.5o-120 · u≈-102 46.5o-125 · u≈+102 46.5o+100 · u≈-123 – +1
12Raptors 46 46.5 47.5o-120 · u≈-102 – 46.5o-120 · u≈-102 46.5o-115 · u≈-107 – +1
13Lakers 53 45.5 46.5o-115 · u≈-107 45.5o+100 · u≈-123 46.5o-105 · u≈-117 45.5o-105 · u≈-117 – flat
14Hawks 46 43.5 43.5o-135 · u≈+110 43.5o-110 · u≈-112 43.5o-120 · u≈-102 43.5o-115 · u≈-107 – flat
15Magic 45 43.5 44.5o-120 · u≈-102 43.5o-115 · u≈-107 43.5o-130 · u≈+106 43.5o-115 · u≈-107 – flat
16Pacers 19 43.5 43.5o-130 · u≈+106 44.5o+105 · u≈-129 43.5o-125 · u≈+102 44.5o+100 · u≈-123 – -1
All 30 teamsFewer
17Trail Blazers 42 41.5 41.5o-110 · u≈-112 41.5o-110 · u≈-112 41.5o-110 · u≈-112 41.5o-105 · u≈-117 – flat
18Hornets 44 39.5 37.5o-130 · u≈+106 39.5o+100 · u≈-123 39.5o+110 · u≈-135 38.5o-110 · u≈-112 – flat
19Suns 45 39.5 40.5o-105 · u≈-117 39.5o-120 · u≈-102 40.5o-110 · u≈-112 39.5o-110 · u≈-112 – +1
20Jazz 22 37.5 38.5o-115 · u≈-107 36.5o-120 · u≈-102 37.5o-120 · u≈-102 37.5o+100 · u≈-123 35.5o-110 · u≈-112 +2
21Warriors 37 37.5 37.5o+100 · u≈-123 37.5o-120 · u≈-102 – – – -2
22Wizards 17 34.5 35.5o+105 · u≈-129 34.5o-105 · u≈-117 34.5o-110 · u≈-112 34.5o-110 · u≈-112 – flat
23Mavericks 26 33.5 34.5o-120 · u≈-102 33.5o-105 · u≈-117 34.5o-110 · u≈-112 33.5o-105 · u≈-117 – flat
24Bulls 31 29.5 29.5o+100 · u≈-123 29.5o-110 · u≈-112 29.5o-105 · u≈-117 – – +1
25Grizzlies 25 29.5 30.5o-110 · u≈-112 29.5o-115 · u≈-107 29.5o-120 · u≈-102 – – +1
26Clippers 42 28.5 27.5o-120 · u≈-102 28.5o-105 · u≈-117 28.5o-110 · u≈-112 – – -2
27Pelicans 26 28.5 29.5o-110 · u≈-112 28.5o-115 · u≈-107 28.5o-110 · u≈-112 28.5o-110 · u≈-112 – flat
28Bucks 32 25.5 26.5o-115 · u≈-107 25.5o-110 · u≈-112 25.5o-120 · u≈-102 25.5o-115 · u≈-107 – flat
29Nets 20 24.5 24.5o-130 · u≈+106 24.5o-110 · u≈-112 24.5o-110 · u≈-112 24.5o+100 · u≈-123 – flat
30Kings 22 20.5 21.5o-125 · u≈+102 20.5o-115 · u≈-107 21.5o-105 · u≈-117 20.5o-105 · u≈-117 – flat

Total is the number most books agree on. A red cell is a book posting a different number, which is where the line-shopping edge lives. Since open tracks the consensus number from the day it posted. The books on this board list only the over price, so an under marked ≈ is estimated from that over and the market’s typical margin on these totals (5.1%). It usually lands within a few cents of the real under; check the book before betting it.

Load Management, Rest, and the Middle of the League

The NBA plays 82 games a season, and how those games get managed matters as much as how good a roster looks on paper. Rest plans, minutes limits, and roster news that lands well before the opener change a team’s realistic ceiling long before the schedule ever tests it. A star’s night off in the middle of the year can cost a win total more than an opponent’s talent ever does.

This is where the market misses most often, and it tends to miss in the middle of the league rather than at either end of the board. The Thunder sit at 61.5 and the Kings sit at 20.5, and both extremes get picked apart heavily by bettors and books alike. The teams parked in between, not obviously great and not obviously bad, are where a rest philosophy or a quiet roster move can shift a number nobody is watching as closely.

Half-Games, Vig, and the Price on Either Side

A win total is really two numbers: the total itself and the price attached to each side of it. Two sportsbooks can post the identical number and still charge different odds on the over or the under, and that difference changes the return on what is otherwise the same bet.

Totals also shift by half games from book to book, not just by price. Bet365, DraftKings, BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, Hard Rock do not always agree on where a team’s number belongs, and a half-win in either direction can turn a fair total into one that clearly favors a side. Checking 6 books before placing a season-long bet costs nothing, and the number will not move again until next year’s totals go up, so there is little reason to take the first price seen.

The Gap Between Last Year’s Wins and This Year’s Number

Every total on the board is answering one question: how much better or worse is this team expected to be than it was last season. The Pacers went from 19 wins to a total of 44.5, and the Clippers moved the other way, from 42 wins down to 30.5. Those are the totals worth the closest look, because the market is not just projecting talent, it is projecting change.

A gap that size usually comes from roster turnover, a tougher or easier schedule, or plain regression toward the middle of the league, and often some mix of all three. The bettor’s real job is deciding whether the number has already priced in enough of that change, too much of it, or not enough. A total sitting close to last season’s win count is a small argument. A total sitting far from it is the one worth working through before betting either side.

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