NBA Season Win Totals (Over Under Wins Futures)

A season win total is a position on an entire year, placed before the first tip-off is played. Once the price is set, most of the outcome is decided by where that number sits, not by who eventually turns out to be right about a roster’s talent. Buying wins too high or selling them too low does more damage over 82 games than any single result later in the year.

BetFirm compares 6 sportsbooks, including bet365, DraftKings, BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, Hard Rock, with prices last updated September 11, 2026. The board below covers every team in the NBA, matched to the best price available on the over and the under for each one, so the total and the price sit next to each other instead of being scattered across separate shops.

2026-27 NBA Win Totals by Sportsbook

Highest totalSpurs 59.562 wins last season
Biggest jumpPacers +23.519 wins to a 42.5 total
Biggest dropClippers -13.542 wins to a 28.5 total
Right now13 of 30 on over pacenothing decided yet
Team Total Over · Under Last Record Pace Where it stands
1Spurs 59.5 o -105 FanDuelu ≈-115 est. 62 -2.5 5-2 58.6 Under paceneeds 55 of 75
2Celtics 53.5 o -120 BetMGMu ≈-105 est. 56 -2.5 5-2 58.6 On pace for overneeds 49 of 75
3Rockets 53.5 o -110 FanDuelu ≈-115 est. 52 +1.5 7-1 71.8 On pace for overneeds 47 of 74
4Thunder 53.5 o -110 FanDuelu ≈-115 est. 64 -10.5 5-2 58.6 On pace for overneeds 49 of 75
576ers 51.5 o -120 FanDuelu ≈-105 est. 45 +6.5 7-1 71.8 On pace for overneeds 45 of 74
6Pistons 51.5 o -115 FanDuelu ≈-110 est. 60 -8.5 6-1 70.3 On pace for overneeds 46 of 75
7Knicks 49.5 o -120 FanDuelu ≈-105 est. 53 -3.5 3-4 35.1 Under paceneeds 47 of 75
8Cavaliers 48.5 o -105 Caesarsu ≈-105 est. 52 -3.5 4-3 46.9 Under paceneeds 45 of 75
9Nuggets 48.5 o +100 BetMGMu ≈-126 est. 54 -5.5 3-3 41 Under paceneeds 46 of 76
10Lakers 47.5 o -115 FanDuelu ≈-110 est. 53 -5.5 6-2 61.5 On pace for overneeds 42 of 74
11Raptors 47.5 o -105 bet365u ≈-115 est. 46 +1.5 4-3 46.9 Under paceneeds 44 of 75
12Trail Blazers 47.5 o -110 Caesarsu ≈-105 est. 42 +5.5 5-1 68.3 On pace for overneeds 43 of 76
13Timberwolves 46.5 o -125 FanDuelu ≈-101 est. 49 -2.5 5-3 51.3 On pace for overneeds 42 of 74
14Hawks 44.5 o -115 bet365u ≈+103 est. 46 -1.5 4-4 41 Under paceneeds 41 of 74
15Heat 42.5 o -105 FanDuelu ≈-120 est. 43 -0.5 2-5 23.4 Under paceneeds 41 of 75
16Pacers 42.5 o -120 FanDuelu ≈-105 est. 19 +23.5 2-6 20.5 Under paceneeds 41 of 74
All 30 teamsFewer
17Magic 40.5 o -120 FanDuelu ≈-105 est. 45 -4.5 2-5 23.4 Under paceneeds 39 of 75
18Grizzlies 38.5 o -115 BetMGMu ≈-110 est. 25 +13.5 6-1 70.3 On pace for overneeds 33 of 75
19Hornets 38.5 o +100 BetMGMu ≈-120 est. 44 -5.5 3-5 30.8 Under paceneeds 36 of 74
20Warriors 37.5 o -115 bet365u ≈-105 est. 37 +0.5 5-3 51.3 On pace for overneeds 33 of 74
21Mavericks 36.5 o -125 FanDuelu ≈-101 est. 26 +10.5 4-3 46.9 On pace for overneeds 33 of 75
22Suns 36.5 o -110 FanDuelu ≈-115 est. 45 -8.5 1-4 16.4 Under paceneeds 36 of 77
23Wizards 31.5 o -120 FanDuelu ≈-105 est. 17 +14.5 4-3 46.9 On pace for overneeds 28 of 75
24Jazz 29.5 o -105 BetMGMu ≈-120 est. 22 +7.5 1-6 11.7 Under paceneeds 29 of 75
25Clippers 28.5 o -115 bet365u ≈-110 est. 42 -13.5 1-6 11.7 Under paceneeds 28 of 75
26Pelicans 28.5 o +100 Caesarsu ≈-110 est. 26 +2.5 3-4 35.1 On pace for overneeds 26 of 75
27Bucks 25.5 o +100 BetMGMu ≈-110 est. 32 -6.5 1-6 11.7 Under paceneeds 25 of 75
28Bulls 25.5 o -120 BetMGMu ≈-105 est. 31 -5.5 1-6 11.7 Under paceneeds 25 of 75
29Nets 23.5 o +100 BetMGMu ≈-120 est. 20 +3.5 1-6 11.7 Under paceneeds 23 of 75
30Kings 18.5 o -110 Caesarsu ≈-110 est. 22 -3.5 1-6 11.7 Under paceneeds 18 of 75

Pace is the team’s current rate stretched over 82 games; green means on track for the over. Over and under show the best price on the closing number. The books on this board list only the over price, so an under marked ≈ is estimated from that over and the market’s typical margin on these totals (5.8%). It usually lands within a few cents of the real under; check the book before betting it.

Load Management, Rest, and the Middle of the League

The NBA plays 82 games a season, and how those games get managed matters as much as how good a roster looks on paper. Rest plans, minutes limits, and roster news that lands well before the opener change a team’s realistic ceiling long before the schedule ever tests it. A star’s night off in the middle of the year can cost a win total more than an opponent’s talent ever does.

This is where the market misses most often, and it tends to miss in the middle of the league rather than at either end of the board. The Thunder sit at 61.5 and the Kings sit at 20.5, and both extremes get picked apart heavily by bettors and books alike. The teams parked in between, not obviously great and not obviously bad, are where a rest philosophy or a quiet roster move can shift a number nobody is watching as closely.

Half-Games, Vig, and the Price on Either Side

A win total is really two numbers: the total itself and the price attached to each side of it. Two sportsbooks can post the identical number and still charge different odds on the over or the under, and that difference changes the return on what is otherwise the same bet.

Totals also shift by half games from book to book, not just by price. Bet365, DraftKings, BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, Hard Rock do not always agree on where a team’s number belongs, and a half-win in either direction can turn a fair total into one that clearly favors a side. Checking 6 books before placing a season-long bet costs nothing, and the number will not move again until next year’s totals go up, so there is little reason to take the first price seen.

The Gap Between Last Year’s Wins and This Year’s Number

Every total on the board is answering one question: how much better or worse is this team expected to be than it was last season. The Pacers went from 19 wins to a total of 44.5, and the Clippers moved the other way, from 42 wins down to 30.5. Those are the totals worth the closest look, because the market is not just projecting talent, it is projecting change.

A gap that size usually comes from roster turnover, a tougher or easier schedule, or plain regression toward the middle of the league, and often some mix of all three. The bettor’s real job is deciding whether the number has already priced in enough of that change, too much of it, or not enough. A total sitting close to last season’s win count is a small argument. A total sitting far from it is the one worth working through before betting either side.

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