A season win total on one book can sit half a win apart from the same team on another, and the price attached to the over or under can move even when the number doesn’t. Shopping one book means accepting whatever number and price it happens to post. BetFirm compares 4 sportsbooks, updated September 11, 2026, so the gap between them is visible before a bet gets placed.
Every NFL team is listed below with the best available price on the over and the best available price on the under, pulled from BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings. Last season’s win total sits next to the current number for context, since the two rarely match and the size of that gap is often the real story.
| Team | Total | Kalshi, all in | Cheaper after fees | Over · Under | Last | Record | Pace | Where it stands |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149ers | 11.5 | -182over: 64.6c to buy · mid 62.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 8.1c | o -130 Caesarsu ≈+115 est. | 12 -0.5 | 5-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 12 |
| 2Bills | 11.5 | -126over: 55.7c to buy · mid 53.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 1.2c | o -120 Caesarsu ≈+107 est. | 12 -0.5 | 4-1 | 13.6 | On pace for overneeds 8 of 12 |
| 3Chiefs | 11.5 | -148over: 59.7c to buy · mid 57c12+ wins | Over Books by 4.1c | o -125 BetMGMu ≈+103 est. | 6 +5.5 | 4-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 8 of 13 |
| 4Ravens | 11.5 | -148over: 59.7c to buy · mid 57.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 6.2c | o -115 Caesarsu ≈+107 est. | 8 +3.5 | 4-1 | 13.6 | On pace for overneeds 8 of 12 |
| 5Bengals | 10.5 | +114over: 46.7c to buy · mid 44c11+ wins | Over Books by 2.3c | o +125 Caesarsu ≈-146 est. | 6 +4.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | Under paceneeds 8 of 12 |
| 6Jaguars | 10.5 | – | – | o -155 Caesarsu ≈+131 est. | 13 -2.5 | 4-1 | 13.6 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 12 |
| 7Lions | 10.5 | +114over: 46.7c to buy · mid 44.5c11+ wins | Over Books by 7.3c | o +154 DraftKingsu ≈-134 est. | 9 +1.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | Under paceneeds 8 of 12 |
| 8Rams | 10.5 | -168over: 62.7c to buy · mid 60.5c11+ wins | Over Books by 3.4c | o -146 DraftKingsu ≈+123 est. | 12 -1.5 | 2-3 | 6.8 | Under paceneeds 9 of 12 |
| 9Seahawks | 10.5 | +101over: 49.8c to buy · mid 47.5c11+ wins | Over Kalshi by 8.5c | o -140 Caesarsu ≈+120 est. | 14 -3.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | Under paceneeds 8 of 12 |
| 10Vikings | 10.5 | -168over: 62.7c to buy · mid 60c11+ wins | Over Books by 9.2c | o -115 Caesarsu ≈+107 est. | 9 +1.5 | 5-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 12 |
| 11Bears | 9.5 | -148over: 59.7c to buy · mid 57.5c10+ wins | Over Books by 0.5c | o -145 BetMGMu ≈+170 est. | 11 -1.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 12 |
| 12Broncos | 9.5 | -154over: 60.7c to buy · mid 58c10+ wins | Over Books by 6.2c | o -120 DraftKingsu ≈+115 est. | 14 -4.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 12 |
| 13Cowboys | 9.5 | +153over: 39.6c to buy · mid 37.5c10+ wins | Over Kalshi by 13.9c | o -115 Caesarsu ≈-101 est. | 7 +2.5 | 2-3 | 6.8 | Under paceneeds 8 of 12 |
| 14Eagles | 9.5 | +190over: 34.5c to buy · mid 32.5c10+ wins | Over Kalshi by 16.7c | o -105 Caesarsu ≈-116 est. | 11 -1.5 | 2-3 | 6.8 | Under paceneeds 8 of 12 |
| 15Patriots | 9.5 | -191over: 65.6c to buy · mid 63.5c10+ wins | Over Books by 13.2c | o -110 Caesarsu ≈-101 est. | 14 -4.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 12 |
| 16Colts | 8.5 | +134over: 42.7c to buy · mid 39.5c9+ wins | Over Kalshi by 7.3c | o +100 DraftKingsu ≈+107 est. | 8 +0.5 | 2-3 | 6.8 | Under paceneeds 7 of 12 |
| 17Packers | 8.5 | +101over: 49.8c to buy · mid 47.5c9+ wins | Over Books by 3.3c | o +115 Caesarsu ≈-128 est. | 9 -0.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 12 |
| 18Raiders | 8.5 | +119over: 45.7c to buy · mid 43.5c9+ wins | Over Kalshi by 4.3c | o +100 BetMGMu ≈-116 est. | 3 +5.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 12 |
| 19Browns | 7.5 | -103over: 50.8c to buy · mid 48.5c8+ wins | Over Kalshi by 0.4c | o -105 BetMGMu ≈-106 est. | 5 +2.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 12 |
| 20Giants | 7.5 | +119over: 45.7c to buy · mid 43.5c8+ wins | Over Kalshi by 4.3c | o +100 BetMGMu ≈-106 est. | 4 +3.5 | 3-1 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 12 |
| 21Panthers | 7.5 | -148over: 59.7c to buy · mid 57.5c8+ wins | Over Books by 10.9c | o +105 BetMGMu ≈-106 est. | 8 -0.5 | 2-2 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 13 |
| 22Saints | 7.5 | +140over: 41.7c to buy · mid 39.5c8+ wins | Over Kalshi by 10.2c | o -108 DraftKingsu ≈-110 est. | 6 +1.5 | 1-4 | 3.4 | Under paceneeds 7 of 12 |
| 23Steelers | 7.5 | -154over: 60.7c to buy · mid 58.5c8+ wins | Over Books by 10.7c | o +100 BetMGMu ≈-106 est. | 10 -2.5 | 3-2 | 10.2 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 12 |
| 24Texans | 7.5 | -182over: 64.6c to buy · mid 62.5c8+ wins | Over Books by 11.1c | o -115 BetMGMu ≈-106 est. | 12 -4.5 | 1-4 | 3.4 | Under paceneeds 7 of 12 |
| 25Commanders | 6.5 | +110over: 47.7c to buy · mid 45.5c7+ wins | Over Kalshi by 5.8c | o -115 Caesarsu ≈+103 est. | 5 +1.5 | 1-3 | 3.4 | Under paceneeds 6 of 12 |
| 26Falcons | 6.5 | -209over: 67.6c to buy · mid 65.5c7+ wins | Over Kalshi by 6.8c | o -290 DraftKingsu ≈+228 est. | 8 -1.5 | 2-3 | 6.8 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 12 |
| 27Buccaneers | 5.5 | -168over: 62.7c to buy · mid 60.5c6+ wins | Over Books by 18.3c | o +125 BetMGMu ≈-146 est. | 8 -2.5 | 1-4 | 3.4 | Under paceneeds 5 of 12 |
| 28Chargers | 5.5 | +114over: 46.7c to buy · mid 44.5c6+ wins | Over Kalshi by 13.3c | o -150 Caesarsu ≈+123 est. | 11 -5.5 | 0-5 | 0 | Under paceneeds 6 of 12 |
| 29Jets | 5.5 | -154over: 60.7c to buy · mid 58.5c6+ wins | Over Books by 4.2c | o -130 Caesarsu ≈+123 est. | 3 +2.5 | 2-3 | 6.8 | On pace for overneeds 4 of 12 |
| 30Cardinals | 4.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 50.5c5+ wins | Over Kalshi by 3.3c | o -128 DraftKingsu ≈+123 est. | 3 +1.5 | 1-4 | 3.4 | Under paceneeds 4 of 12 |
| 31Titans | 4.5 | +252over: 28.4c to buy · mid 26.5c5+ wins | Over Kalshi by 13.3c | o +140 BetMGMu ≈-159 est. | 3 +1.5 | 0-5 | 0 | Under paceneeds 5 of 12 |
| 32Dolphins | 2.5 | -116over: 53.8c to buy · mid 51.5c3+ wins | Over Kalshi by 1.8c | o -125 BetMGMu ≈+115 est. | 7 -4.5 | 0-5 | 0 | Under paceneeds 3 of 12 |
Pace is the team’s current rate stretched over 17 games; green means on track for the over. Over and under show the best price on the closing number. The books on this board list only the over price, so an under marked ≈ is estimated from that over and the market’s typical margin on these totals (4.8%). It usually lands within a few cents of the real under; check the book before betting it. A Kalshi price is what a $1 payout costs, in cents, so the price is the win chance: 40c is +150, 60c is -150. How to read a Kalshi price. Kalshi is what a buyer actually pays for the over on the consensus total (over 9.5 is the contract for at least 10 wins), shown as sportsbook odds so it lines up with the book prices: the ask plus the 7% taker fee. The mid under it is the market’s fair read, halfway between bid and ask, which nobody can buy at. Cheaper after fees compares each side’s real cost, the No contract standing in for the under.
A short season leaves little room to average out bad luck. One quarterback injury, a rash of injuries on either line, or a soft closing schedule can swing a win total more than talent alone ever would. Betting a number here means pricing in health and schedule as much as roster strength.
That’s why the same team can look like an over play early and an under play later without much changing on paper. A total that looks safe in the offseason can turn fragile fast once a starter goes down. Treat the number as a bet on how a team stays healthy and who it plays, not just on how good it is.
The total itself is only half the bet. The price attached to the over or the under moves independently of the number, so two books can post the same total at different odds, or a half-win difference at similar prices. Comparing BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings side by side shows which combination actually pays best.
A half-game gap matters more than it looks. A total posted a half win lower on one book can turn a push into a win, or turn a close under into a loser, without anything happening on the field. Shopping the number and the price together, rather than settling for whichever book loads first, is the difference between a fair total and a soft one.
The biggest gaps on the board sit where the number and last season disagree the most. The Bengals enter with a total built well above their 6 wins a season ago, up to 10.5, a bet that the roster or schedule turned in their favor. The Broncos sit on the other side, priced down from 14 wins to 9.5, a bet that last year’s record won’t repeat.
Neither gap is automatically right or wrong. A total built on turnover, a new starter, easier opponents, or a schedule that got tougher can be sound even when it looks aggressive next to last season’s number. The teams asked to move the most in either direction are usually the ones worth the closest look before a bet goes down.