A season win total on one book can sit half a win apart from the same team on another, and the price attached to the over or under can move even when the number doesn’t. Shopping one book means accepting whatever number and price it happens to post. BetFirm compares 4 sportsbooks, updated September 11, 2026, so the gap between them is visible before a bet gets placed.
Every NFL team is listed below with the best available price on the over and the best available price on the under, pulled from BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings. Last season’s win total sits next to the current number for context, since the two rarely match and the size of that gap is often the real story.
| Team | Total | Kalshi, all in | Cheaper after fees | Over · Under | Last | Record | Pace | Where it stands |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 149ers | 11.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 49.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 5.2cUnder Books by 2.6c | o +110 BetMGMu -105 DraftKings | 12 -0.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 10 of 15 |
| 2Bengals | 11.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 50c12+ wins | Over Books by 1.6cUnder Books by 0.4c | o -105 Caesarsu -110 BetMGM | 6 +5.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 10 of 15 |
| 3Bills | 11.5 | -191over: 65.6c to buy · mid 62.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 5.9cUnder Kalshi by 2.8c | o -148 BetRiversu +130 DraftKings | 12 -0.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 10 of 15 |
| 4Chiefs | 11.5 | +110over: 47.7c to buy · mid 45c12+ wins | Over Books by 1.2cUnder Books by 1.2c | o +115 BetMGMu -130 DraftKings | 6 +5.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 10 of 15 |
| 5Rams | 11.5 | +110over: 47.7c to buy · mid 45c12+ wins | Over Books by 0.1cUnder Books by 1.2c | o +110 BetMGMu -130 BetMGM | 12 -0.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 11 of 15 |
| 6Ravens | 11.5 | +129over: 43.7c to buy · mid 41.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 0.2cUnder Books by 1.5c | o +130 DraftKingsu -145 BetMGM | 8 +3.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 11 of 15 |
| 7Seahawks | 11.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 49.5c12+ wins | Over Books by 6.3cUnder Books by 0.3c | o +115 BetMGMu -115 DraftKings | 14 -2.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 10 of 15 |
| 8Eagles | 10.5 | -136over: 57.7c to buy · mid 55.5c11+ wins | Over Kalshi by 0.6cUnder Books by 1.2c | o -140 Caesarsu +120 BetMGM | 11 -0.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 9 of 15 |
| 9Lions | 10.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 50.5c11+ wins | Over Books by 4cUnder Kalshi by 2.7c | o +105 DraftKingsu -120 BetMGM | 9 +1.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 10 of 15 |
| 10Vikings | 10.5 | +105over: 48.8c to buy · mid 46c11+ wins | Over Books by 3.3cUnder Kalshi by 1.6c | o +120 BetRiversu -140 BetMGM | 9 +1.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 9 of 15 |
| 11Broncos | 9.5 | -116over: 53.8c to buy · mid 51c10+ wins | Over Books by 2.6cUnder Kalshi by 0.6c | o -105 Caesarsu -110 BetMGM | 14 -4.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 9 of 15 |
| 12Jaguars | 9.5 | – | – | o +110 BetMGMu -125 DraftKings | 13 -3.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 9 of 15 |
| 13Patriots | 9.5 | -131over: 56.7c to buy · mid 54c10+ wins | Over Books by 2.2cUnder Books by 4.4c | o -120 Caesarsu +125 DraftKings | 14 -4.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 9 of 15 |
| 14Texans | 9.5 | +119over: 45.7c to buy · mid 43.5c10+ wins | Over Books by 1.3cUnder Books by 0.4c | o +125 BetMGMu -140 DraftKings | 12 -2.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 10 of 15 |
| 15Bears | 8.5 | -142over: 58.7c to buy · mid 55.5c9+ wins | Over Books by 3.9cUnder Books by 0.1c | o -121 BetRiversu +110 BetMGM | 11 -2.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 16Cowboys | 8.5 | -161over: 61.7c to buy · mid 59.5c9+ wins | Over Books by 7.2cUnder Kalshi by 2.8c | o -120 Caesarsu +120 BetMGM | 7 +1.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 17Packers | 8.5 | -131over: 56.7c to buy · mid 53.5c9+ wins | Over Kalshi by 3cUnder Books by 4.3c | o -148 BetRiversu +120 Caesars | 9 -0.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 18Saints | 8.5 | -142over: 58.7c to buy · mid 56.5c9+ wins | Over Books by 7.2cUnder Kalshi by 4.3c | o -106 BetRiversu +100 DraftKings | 6 +2.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 19Buccaneers | 7.5 | +110over: 47.7c to buy · mid 45c8+ wins | Over Books by 2.2cUnder Books by 2.1c | o +120 DraftKingsu -125 BetMGM | 8 -0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 20Chargers | 7.5 | +146over: 40.7c to buy · mid 37.5c8+ wins | Over Kalshi by 4.8cUnder Books by 7.4c | o +120 BetMGMu -139 BetRivers | 11 -3.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 21Colts | 7.5 | -103over: 50.8c to buy · mid 48c8+ wins | Over Books by 2cUnder Books by 0.3c | o +105 BetMGMu -120 DraftKings | 8 -0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 8 of 15 |
| 22Panthers | 7.5 | -103over: 50.8c to buy · mid 48.5c8+ wins | Over Books by 7.3cUnder Kalshi by 4.4c | o +130 DraftKingsu -139 BetRivers | 8 -0.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 15 |
| 23Raiders | 7.5 | -103over: 50.8c to buy · mid 48.5c8+ wins | Over Kalshi by 0.4cUnder Books by 1.4c | o -105 DraftKingsu -110 BetMGM | 3 +4.5 | 2-0 | 17 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 15 |
| 24Steelers | 7.5 | +110over: 47.7c to buy · mid 45c8+ wins | Over Kalshi by 4.7cUnder Books by 5.3c | o -110 BetMGMu -110 BetMGM | 10 -2.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 7 of 15 |
| 25Jets | 6.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 50.5c7+ wins | Over Books by 1.6cUnder Kalshi by 0.6c | o -105 BetMGMu -110 Caesars | 3 +3.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 6 of 15 |
| 26Browns | 5.5 | -126over: 55.7c to buy · mid 53.5c6+ wins | Over Books by 2.2cUnder Books by 1.2c | o -115 BetMGMu +110 DraftKings | 5 +0.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 15 |
| 27Cardinals | 5.5 | -112over: 52.8c to buy · mid 50c6+ wins | Over Books by 4cUnder Books by 0.4c | o +105 Caesarsu -110 BetMGM | 3 +2.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 15 |
| 28Commanders | 5.5 | -126over: 55.7c to buy · mid 53.5c6+ wins | Over Kalshi by 2.5cUnder Books by 3.3c | o -139 BetRiversu +120 BetMGM | 5 +0.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 6 of 15 |
| 29Falcons | 5.5 | -103over: 50.8c to buy · mid 48.5c6+ wins | Over Kalshi by 0.7cUnder Books by 3.8c | o -106 BetRiversu +100 BetMGM | 8 -2.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 6 of 15 |
| 30Giants | 5.5 | -182over: 64.6c to buy · mid 58.5c6+ wins | Over Books by 3.2cUnder Books by 6c | o -159 BetRiversu +140 DraftKings | 4 +1.5 | 1-1 | 8.5 | On pace for overneeds 5 of 15 |
| 31Titans | 4.5 | +105over: 48.8c to buy · mid 45.5c5+ wins | Over Books by 2.3cUnder Books by 4.2c | o +115 BetMGMu -115 DraftKings | 3 +1.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 5 of 15 |
| 32Dolphins | 2.5 | -131over: 56.7c to buy · mid 54.5c3+ wins | Over Books by 0.2cUnder Books by 0.1c | o -130 DraftKingsu +110 BetRivers | 7 -4.5 | 0-2 | 0 | Under paceneeds 3 of 15 |
Pace is the team’s current rate stretched over 17 games; green means on track for the over. Over and under show the best price on the closing number. A Kalshi price is what a $1 payout costs, in cents, so the price is the win chance: 40c is +150, 60c is -150. How to read a Kalshi price. Kalshi is what a buyer actually pays for the over on the consensus total (over 9.5 is the contract for at least 10 wins), shown as sportsbook odds so it lines up with the book prices: the ask plus the 7% taker fee. The mid under it is the market’s fair read, halfway between bid and ask, which nobody can buy at. Cheaper after fees compares each side’s real cost, the No contract standing in for the under.
A short season leaves little room to average out bad luck. One quarterback injury, a rash of injuries on either line, or a soft closing schedule can swing a win total more than talent alone ever would. Betting a number here means pricing in health and schedule as much as roster strength.
That’s why the same team can look like an over play early and an under play later without much changing on paper. A total that looks safe in the offseason can turn fragile fast once a starter goes down. Treat the number as a bet on how a team stays healthy and who it plays, not just on how good it is.
The total itself is only half the bet. The price attached to the over or the under moves independently of the number, so two books can post the same total at different odds, or a half-win difference at similar prices. Comparing BetRivers, BetMGM, Caesars, DraftKings side by side shows which combination actually pays best.
A half-game gap matters more than it looks. A total posted a half win lower on one book can turn a push into a win, or turn a close under into a loser, without anything happening on the field. Shopping the number and the price together, rather than settling for whichever book loads first, is the difference between a fair total and a soft one.
The biggest gaps on the board sit where the number and last season disagree the most. The Bengals enter with a total built well above their 6 wins a season ago, up to 10.5, a bet that the roster or schedule turned in their favor. The Broncos sit on the other side, priced down from 14 wins to 9.5, a bet that last year’s record won’t repeat.
Neither gap is automatically right or wrong. A total built on turnover, a new starter, easier opponents, or a schedule that got tougher can be sound even when it looks aggressive next to last season’s number. The teams asked to move the most in either direction are usually the ones worth the closest look before a bet goes down.