Vegas Odds to Win the 2018-19 College Football Playoff & Championship

The odds to win college football’s playoff have recently been updated.  The table below shows the futures odds on each team (if available) from 5Dimes sportsbook.  We love 5Dimes for betting college football because of their reduced juice option, which gives you a built-in discount on every bet you place!

Included in our odds table is the implied win probability for each team based on the odds given.  This can make it easier to visualize just how likely the books think it is that a certain team will win.  We’ve also included a change column, which shows how much a team’s odds have improved or decreased since our last update.  The MOV column represents the average margin of victory so far this season for that team. Later in the season this can be helpful for setting your own odds or power rankings.

Vegas Betting Favorites to Win the 2018 College Football Playoff

It is starting to sound like a broken record, but Alabama is again the favorite to win the next college football playoff.  Also near the top of the list you will find other teams that either made the playoff last year (Clemson, Georgia, Oklahoma) or just missed the final four (Ohio State).

Last week’s biggest mover was Michigan, who turned in a dominant performance over Penn State. If the Wolverines can win out, they are almost guaranteed a spot in the CFB Playoff. Georgia continues to look good, however, with one loss their fate will most likely be decided against the favorite Alabama in the SEC Championship game.

Projected College Football Playoff Final Four

Alabama, Clemson, Notre Dame, Michigan

Projected CFB Playoff Matchup

Alabama vs Clemson

Projected Playoff Winner

Alabama

Here’s a look at all of the teams with available odds to win the championship this year, courtesy of 5Dimes.

Odds to Win 2018-2019 CFB National Title

Team 2018 Record Conference 2018 MOV Odds Change CFB Playoff
Alabama 9-0 SEC +37.2 -275 +75 55.96%
Clemson 9-0 ACC +33.6 +350 +25 16.96%
Notre Dame 9-0 ACC +14.3 +950 +50 7.27%
Michigan 8-1 Big Ten +23.1 +1200 +200 5.87%
Georgia 8-1 SEC +18.8 +1500 -500 4.77%
Ohio State 8-1 Big Ten +18.4 +1600 -400 4.49%
Oklahoma 8-1 Big 12 +21.2 +2200 -700 3.32%
West Virginia 7-1 Big 12 +15.4 +10000 None 0.76%
Washington State 8-1 Pac-12 +12.0 +15000 -5000 0.51%
UCF 8-0 AAC +22.6 +100000 -94000 0.08%
LSU 7-2 SEC +7.8 +200000 -197000 0.04%

NCAA Football Championship Value Bets

Alabama (-275), Georgia (+1500)

You might scoff at listing the favorite as being one of the top value bets, but the fact of the matter is that all signs point to another Alabama championship.    Sophomore QB Tua Tagovailoa gives this team a legitimate run-pass threat that the Crimson Tide simply haven’t had in the past.  That makes them scary for the rest of college football.  The players – the coaching – the recruiting.  You simply can’t deny that Alabama is a well-oiled college football winning machine right now.  Betting against them is not advised.

With that being said, even the best teams in history are susceptible to bad games, and if Alabama falters, it’s likely another SEC team, I’m guessing Georgia, steps in and takes advantage.  The Bulldogs have incredible talent returning in the places it matters most.  The SEC is incredibly top-heavy, but those teams at the top are going to be hard for anyone else to compete with.

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