The odds to win college football’s playoff have recently been updated. The table below shows the futures odds on each team.
Projected Championship Matchup: Georgia v. Ohio State
Projected Champion: Georgia
Our odds to win the College Football Playoffs this year include a few things you might not see in other places. The Margin of Victory (MOV) column shows each team’s average margin of victory for the season so far. While not an exact metric of the best teams, you’ll almost always see the teams with the biggest margin of victory near the top of the list. The change column represents how much the odds have moved since our last update. If this column says “none” it’s either a fresh update or no changes have been made over the last week. The last column in the table (CFB Playoff) is the implied probability of each team winning the championship this year based on the current odds. We’ve taken out the hold (the percentage the book takes) in order to show a more accurate representation of the true probability implied by the posted odds.
Preseason we’ll show records and margins of victory (MOV) from last season. These will be updated once the season starts.
| Team | 2022 Record | Conference | 2022 MOV | Odds | Change | CFB Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 15-0 | SEC (East) | 26.4 | +375 | New | 15.58% |
| Alabama | 11-2 | SEC (West) | 22.0 | +525 | New | 11.84% |
| Ohio State | 11-2 | Big Ten (East) | 23.2 | +550 | New | 11.39% |
| Clemson | 11-3 | ACC (Atlantic) | 11.5 | +900 | New | 7.40% |
| LSU | 10-4 | SEC (West) | 9.2 | +1200 | New | 5.69% |
| Michigan | 13-1 | Big Ten (East) | 24.4 | +1400 | New | 4.94% |
| USC | 11-3 | Pac-12 | 12.1 | +1400 | New | 4.94% |
| Florida State | 10-3 | ACC (Atlantic) | 13.4 | +1800 | New | 3.90% |
| Notre Dame | 9-4 | Ind | 8.8 | +2800 | New | 2.55% |
| Texas | 8-5 | Big 12 | 12.8 | +2800 | New | 2.55% |
| Penn State | 11-2 | Big Ten (East) | 17.5 | +3300 | New | 2.18% |
| Washington | 11-2 | Pac-12 | 11.2 | +3300 | New | 2.18% |
| Oregon | 10-3 | Pac-12 | 7.7 | +3500 | New | 2.06% |
| Tennessee | 11-2 | SEC (East) | 21.8 | +4000 | New | 1.81% |
| Oklahoma | 6-7 | Big 12 | 2.8 | +6600 | New | 1.10% |
| TCU | 13-2 | Big 12 | 7.5 | +6600 | New | 1.10% |
| Texas A&M | 5-7 | SEC (West) | -1.1 | +6600 | New | 1.10% |
| Utah | 10-4 | Pac-12 | 13.5 | +6600 | New | 1.10% |
| Wisconsin | 7-6 | Big Ten (West) | 3.4 | +6600 | New | 1.10% |
| Colorado | 1-11 | Pac-12 | -29.1 | +10000 | New | 0.73% |
| North Carolina | 9-5 | ACC (Coastal) | 1.5 | +10000 | New | 0.73% |
| Oregon State | 10-3 | Pac-12 | 9.9 | +10000 | New | 0.73% |
| Auburn | 5-7 | SEC (West) | -7.5 | +12500 | New | 0.59% |
| Florida | 6-7 | SEC (East) | -2.2 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| Iowa | 8-5 | Big Ten (West) | 4.4 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| Kansas State | 10-4 | Big 12 | 8.6 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| Miami (FL) | 5-7 | ACC (Coastal) | -8.6 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| Mississippi State | 9-4 | SEC (West) | 5.2 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| Ole Miss | 8-5 | SEC (West) | 3.9 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| South Carolina | 8-5 | SEC (East) | 0.3 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| UCLA | 9-4 | Pac-12 | 7.9 | +15000 | New | 0.49% |
| Arkansas | 7-6 | SEC (West) | 1.2 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| Baylor | 6-7 | Big 12 | 0.8 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| Kentucky | 7-6 | SEC (East) | -1.3 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| Minnesota | 9-4 | Big Ten (West) | 11.3 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| NC State | 8-5 | ACC (Atlantic) | 1.3 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| Oklahoma State | 7-6 | Big 12 | -2.8 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| Tulane | 12-2 | American | 10.8 | +20000 | New | 0.37% |
| Illinois | 8-5 | Big Ten (West) | 9.8 | +25000 | New | 0.29% |
| Louisville | 8-5 | ACC (Atlantic) | 7.8 | +25000 | New | 0.29% |
| Maryland | 8-5 | Big Ten (East) | 5.0 | +25000 | New | 0.29% |
| Michigan State | 5-7 | Big Ten (East) | -3.0 | +25000 | New | 0.29% |
| Missouri | 6-7 | SEC (East) | -1.8 | +25000 | New | 0.29% |
| Purdue | 8-6 | Big Ten (West) | -5.2 | +25000 | New | 0.29% |
| Iowa State | 4-8 | Big 12 | -3.0 | +27500 | New | 0.27% |
| Pittsburgh | 9-4 | ACC (Coastal) | 5.8 | +27500 | New | 0.27% |
| Syracuse | 7-6 | ACC (Atlantic) | 0.1 | +27500 | New | 0.27% |
| Texas Tech | 8-5 | Big 12 | 1.1 | +27500 | New | 0.27% |
| West Virginia | 5-7 | Big 12 | -7.8 | +27500 | New | 0.27% |
| Arizona State | 3-9 | Pac-12 | -9.2 | +30000 | New | 0.25% |
| Duke | 9-4 | ACC (Coastal) | 9.3 | +30000 | New | 0.25% |
| Kansas | 6-7 | Big 12 | -3.7 | +30000 | New | 0.25% |
| Virginia Tech | 3-8 | ACC (Coastal) | -8.0 | +30000 | New | 0.25% |
| Wake Forest | 8-5 | ACC (Atlantic) | 5.6 | +30000 | New | 0.25% |
| Georgia Tech | 5-7 | ACC (Coastal) | -13.9 | +40000 | New | 0.18% |
| Washington State | 7-6 | Pac-12 | 2.8 | +40000 | New | 0.18% |
| Arizona | 5-7 | Pac-12 | -6.5 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Boston College | 3-9 | ACC (Atlantic) | -15.6 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| California | 4-8 | Pac-12 | -6.2 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Cincinnati | 9-4 | American | 4.9 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Houston | 8-5 | American | 3.9 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Indiana | 4-8 | Big Ten (East) | -12.8 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Northwestern | 1-11 | Big Ten (West) | -15.3 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Stanford | 3-9 | Pac-12 | -14.6 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Vanderbilt | 5-7 | SEC (East) | -13.5 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |
| Virginia | 3-7 | ACC (Coastal) | -9.7 | +50000 | New | 0.15% |