The odds to win college football’s playoff have recently been updated. The table below shows the futures odds on each team (if available) from 5Dimes sportsbook. We love 5Dimes for betting college football because of their reduced juice option, which gives you a built-in discount on every bet you place!
Included in our odds table is the implied win probability for each team based on the odds given. This can make it easier to visualize just how likely the books think it is that a certain team will win. We’ve also included a change column, which shows how much a team’s odds have improved or decreased since our last update. The MOV column represents the average margin of victory so far this season for that team. Later in the season this can be helpful for setting your own odds or power rankings.
It is starting to sound like a broken record, but Alabama is again the favorite to win the next college football playoff. Also near the top of the list you will find other teams that either made the playoff last year (Clemson, Georgia, Oklahoma) or just missed the final four (Ohio State).
The top contender to take a hit this past week was Wisconsin, who was stunned with a 21-24 home loss to BYU. While the Badgers could right the ship and find a way to win the Big Ten and get back in the playoff race, that loss could definitely come back to haunt them. They’ll face Iowa this week on the road in what could be a make-or-break situation.
One team that has seen a lot of upward movement here is LSU. They’ve now beaten Miami and Auburn and have moved all the way up to +4500 to win the Playoff. Unfortunately, any team not named Alabama out of the SEC is going to find it difficult to actually make the final four unless something dramatic happens. Alabama has looked every bit like the powerhouse team in the country. It is hard to imagine anyone knocking them off after what we have seen from them in their first three games.
|Team||2018 Record||Conference||2018 MOV||Odds||Change||CFB Playoff|
|Ohio State||3-0||Big Ten (East)||35.7||+575||+45||10.02%|
|Michigan||2-1||Big Ten (East)||21.3||+2500||-1250||2.60%|
|Penn State||3-0||Big Ten (East)||35||+2750||-500||2.37%|
|Wisconsin||2-1||Big Ten (West)||19.7||+2750||-900||2.37%|
|Virginia Tech||2-0||ACC (Coastal)||21||+4500||+2100||1.47%|
|West Virginia||2-0||Big 12||26||+4500||+500||1.47%|
|Miami Florida||2-1||ACC (Coastal)||4.5||+4750||-2000||1.39%|
|Michigan State||1-1||Big Ten (East)||2||+8000||-4750||0.83%|
|Oklahoma State||3-0||Big 12||32.5||+10000||+15000||0.67%|
|Mississippi State||3-0||SEC (West)||33.5||+10000||-2000||0.67%|
|Central Florida||2-0||American (East)||39||+10000||None||0.67%|
|Iowa||3-0||Big Ten (West)||18||+12500||+17500||0.54%|
|Boise State||2-1||MWC (Mountain)||22.7||+12500||+2500||0.54%|
|Texas A&M||2-1||SEC (West)||18||+15000||-5000||0.45%|
|Florida State||1-2||ACC (Atlantic)||-22||+20000||-16500||0.34%|
|Kansas State||2-1||Big 12||1.5||+25000||+5000||0.27%|
|NC State||2-0||ACC (Atlantic)||34||+32500||-7500||0.21%|
|Minnesota U||3-0||Big Ten (West)||22.7||+35000||+15000||0.19%|
|Washington State||3-0||Pac-12 (North)||26.5||+35000||None||0.19%|
|Boston College||3-0||ACC (Atlantic)||20.5||+35000||+40000||0.19%|
|South Carolina||1-1||SEC (East)||5||+50000||-27500||0.13%|
|Nebraska||0-2||Big Ten (West)||-5||+50000||-40000||0.13%|
|Arizona State||2-1||Pac-12 (South)||12.7||+75000||+45000||0.09%|
|South Florida||3-0||American (East)||8.5||+75000||+50000||0.09%|
|Iowa State||0-2||Big 12||-10||+75000||-47500||0.09%|
|Georgia Tech||1-2||ACC (Coastal)||-8||+75000||None||0.09%|
|Northwestern||1-2||Big Ten (West)||-5||+75000||-40000||0.09%|
|Maryland||2-1||Big Ten (East)||5||+75000||+50000||0.09%|
|Texas Tech||2-1||Big 12||-3||+125000||None||0.05%|
|Wake Forest||2-1||ACC (Atlantic)||-0.5||+125000||-50000||0.05%|
|San Diego State||2-1||MWC (West)||-7||+125000||+25000||0.05%|
|Florida Atlantic||2-1||CUSA (East)||-21.5||+175000||-100000||0.04%|
|North Carolina||0-2||ACC (Coastal)||-14.5||+200000||-75000||0.03%|
|Indiana||3-0||Big Ten (East)||14||+200000||-50000||0.03%|
|Purdue||0-3||Big Ten (West)||-2.7||+250000||-215000||0.03%|
|Fresno State||2-1||MWC (West)||8.5||+500000||-375000||0.01%|
|Oregon State||1-2||Pac-12 (North)||-24||+999999||None||0.01%|
|Illinois||2-1||Big Ten (West)||0.5||+999999||None||0.01%|
|Rutgers||1-2||Big Ten (East)||-20.7||+999999||None||0.01%|
|Appalachian State||1-1||Sun Belt||14.5||+999999||None||0.01%|
You might scoff at listing the favorite as being one of the top value bets, but the fact of the matter is that all signs point to another Alabama championship. Sophomore QB Tua Tagovailoa gives this team a legitimate run-pass threat that the Crimson Tide simply haven’t had in the past. That makes them scary for the rest of college football. The players – the coaching – the recruiting. You simply can’t deny that Alabama is a well-oiled college football winning machine right now. Betting against them is not advised.
With that being said, even the best teams in history are susceptible to bad games, and if Alabama falters, it’s likely another SEC team, I’m guessing Georgia, steps in and takes advantage. The Bulldogs have incredible talent returning in the places it matters most. The SEC is incredibly top-heavy, but those teams at the top are going to be hard for anyone else to compete with.