The odds to win college football’s playoff have recently been updated. The table below shows the futures odds on each team.
Our odds to win the College Football Playoffs this year include a few things you might not see in other places. The Margin of Victory (MOV) column shows each team’s average margin of victory for the season so far. While not an exact metric of the best teams, you’ll almost always see the teams with the biggest margin of victory near the top of the list. The change column represents how much the odds have moved since our last update. If this column says “none” it’s either a fresh update or no changes have been made over the last week. The last column in the table (CFB Playoff) is the implied probability of each team winning the championship this year based on the current odds. We’ve taken out the hold (the percentage the book takes) in order to show a more accurate representation of the true probability implied by the posted odds.
Preseason we’ll show records and margins of victory (MOV) from last season. These will be updated once the season starts.
| Team | 2024 Record | Conference | 2024 MOV | Odds | Change | CFB Playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | 1-0 | SEC | 31.0 | +300 | New | 17.70% |
| Ohio State | 1-0 | Big Ten | 46.0 | +425 | New | 13.48% |
| Alabama | 1-0 | SEC | 63.0 | +800 | New | 7.87% |
| Oregon | 1-0 | Big Ten | — | +800 | New | 7.87% |
| Texas | 1-0 | SEC | 52.0 | +900 | New | 7.08% |
| Ole Miss | 1-0 | SEC | — | +1400 | New | 4.72% |
| Miami Florida | 1-0 | ACC | 24.0 | +1800 | New | 3.73% |
| Penn State | 1-0 | Big Ten | 22.0 | +1800 | New | 3.73% |
| Notre Dame | 1-0 | Ind | 10.0 | +2000 | New | 3.37% |
| USC | 1-0 | Big Ten | 7.0 | +2500 | New | 2.72% |
| LSU | 0-1 | SEC | -7.0 | +3300 | New | 2.08% |
| Tennessee | 1-0 | SEC | — | +3300 | New | 2.08% |
| Utah | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +3300 | New | 2.08% |
| Clemson | 0-1 | ACC | -31.0 | +4000 | New | 1.73% |
| Michigan | 1-0 | Big Ten | 20.0 | +4000 | New | 1.73% |
| Missouri | 1-0 | SEC | — | +5000 | New | 1.39% |
| Oklahoma | 1-0 | SEC | 48.0 | +6600 | New | 1.06% |
| Texas A&M | 0-1 | SEC | -10.0 | +6600 | New | 1.06% |
| Kansas State | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +10000 | New | 0.70% |
| NC State | 1-0 | ACC | — | +10000 | New | 0.70% |
| Arizona | 1-0 | Big 12 | 22.0 | +15000 | New | 0.47% |
| Auburn | 1-0 | SEC | — | +15000 | New | 0.47% |
| Georgia Tech | 2-0 | ACC | 13.0 | +15000 | New | 0.47% |
| Colorado | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +20000 | New | 0.35% |
| Iowa | 1-0 | Big Ten | — | +20000 | New | 0.35% |
| Louisville | 1-0 | ACC | — | +20000 | New | 0.35% |
| Oklahoma State | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +20000 | New | 0.35% |
| Kansas | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +25000 | New | 0.28% |
| Kentucky | 1-0 | SEC | 31.0 | +25000 | New | 0.28% |
| Nebraska | 1-0 | Big Ten | 33.0 | +25000 | New | 0.28% |
| SMU | 2-0 | ACC | 5.0 | +25000 | New | 0.28% |
| Wisconsin | 1-0 | Big Ten | 14.0 | +25000 | New | 0.28% |
| Boise State | 1-0 | MWC | 11.0 | +30000 | New | 0.24% |
| TCU | 1-0 | Big 12 | 7.0 | +30000 | New | 0.24% |
| UCF | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +30000 | New | 0.24% |
| Washington | 1-0 | Big Ten | — | +30000 | New | 0.24% |
| West Virginia | 0-1 | Big 12 | -22.0 | +30000 | New | 0.24% |
| Iowa State | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +40000 | New | 0.18% |
| South Carolina | 1-0 | SEC | 4.0 | +40000 | New | 0.18% |
| Virginia Tech | 0-1 | ACC | -7.0 | +40000 | New | 0.18% |
| Arkansas | 1-0 | SEC | — | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Boston College | 1-0 | ACC | 15.0 | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Florida | 0-1 | SEC | -24.0 | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Florida State | 0-2 | ACC | -9.0 | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Liberty | 1-0 | CUSA | — | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Maryland | 1-0 | Big Ten | 43.0 | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Memphis | 1-0 | American | — | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| North Carolina | 1-0 | ACC | 2.0 | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Syracuse | 1-0 | ACC | 16.0 | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Texas Tech | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +50000 | New | 0.14% |
| Mississippi State | 1-0 | SEC | — | +75000 | New | 0.09% |
| Oregon State | 1-0 | Pac-12 | — | +75000 | New | 0.09% |
| Tulane | 1-0 | American | — | +75000 | New | 0.09% |
| Air Force | 1-0 | MWC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Akron | 0-1 | MAC | -46.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Appalachian State | 1-0 | Sun Belt (East) | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Arizona State | 1-0 | Big 12 | 41.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Arkansas State | 1-0 | Sun Belt (West) | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Army | 1-0 | American | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Ball State | – | MAC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Baylor | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Bowling Green | 1-0 | MAC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Buffalo | 1-0 | MAC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| BYU | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| California | 1-0 | ACC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Central Michigan | 1-0 | MAC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Charlotte | 0-1 | American | -23.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Cincinnati | 1-0 | Big 12 | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Coastal Carolina | 1-0 | Sun Belt (East) | 28.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Colorado State | 0-1 | MWC | -52.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Connecticut | 0-1 | Ind | -43.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Duke | 1-0 | ACC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| East Carolina | 1-0 | American | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Eastern Michigan | 1-0 | MAC | 14.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Florida Atlantic | 0-1 | American | -6.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Florida International | 0-1 | CUSA | -24.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Fresno State | 0-1 | MWC | -20.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Georgia Southern | 0-1 | Sun Belt (East) | -11.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Georgia State | 0-1 | Sun Belt (East) | -23.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Hawaii | 1-1 | MWC | -3.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Houston | 0-1 | Big 12 | -20.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Illinois | 1-0 | Big Ten | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Indiana | 1-0 | Big Ten | 24.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Jacksonville State | 0-1 | CUSA | -28.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| James Madison | 1-0 | Sun Belt (East) | 23.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Kent State | 0-1 | MAC | -31.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Louisiana | 1-0 | Sun Belt (West) | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Louisiana Tech | 1-0 | CUSA | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Marshall | 1-0 | Sun Belt (East) | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Massachusetts | 0-1 | Ind | -14.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Miami Ohio | 0-1 | MAC | -7.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Michigan State | 1-0 | Big Ten | 6.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Middle Tennessee | 1-0 | CUSA | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Minnesota | 0-1 | Big Ten | -2.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Nevada | 1-1 | MWC | -1.5 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| New Mexico | 0-2 | MWC | -22.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| North Texas | 1-0 | American | 14.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Northwestern | 1-0 | Big Ten | 7.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Northern Illinois | 1-0 | MAC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Ohio | 0-1 | MAC | -16.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Old Dominion | 0-1 | Sun Belt (East) | -4.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Pittsburgh | 1-0 | ACC | 31.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Purdue | 1-0 | Big Ten | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Rice | 0-1 | American | -20.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Rutgers | 1-0 | Big Ten | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Sam Houston State | 1-0 | CUSA | 20.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| San Diego State | 1-0 | MWC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| San Jose State | 1-0 | MWC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| South Alabama | 0-1 | Sun Belt (West) | -14.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| South Florida | 1-0 | American | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Southern Mississippi | 0-1 | Sun Belt (West) | -31.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Stanford | 0-1 | ACC | -7.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Temple | 0-1 | American | -48.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Texas State | 1-0 | Sun Belt (West) | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Toledo | 1-0 | MAC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Troy | 0-1 | Sun Belt (West) | -2.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Tulsa | 1-0 | American | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| UAB | 1-0 | American | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| UCLA | 1-0 | Big Ten | 3.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| UL Monroe | 1-0 | Sun Belt (West) | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| UNLV | 1-0 | MWC | 20.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Utah State | 1-0 | MWC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| UTEP | 0-1 | CUSA | -33.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| UTSA | 1-0 | American | 12.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Vanderbilt | 1-0 | SEC | 7.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Virginia | 1-0 | ACC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Wake Forest | 1-0 | ACC | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Washington State | 1-0 | Pac-12 | — | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Western Kentucky | 0-1 | CUSA | -63.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Western Michigan | 0-1 | MAC | -14.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |
| Wyoming | 0-1 | MWC | -41.0 | +100000 | New | 0.07% |