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20* on Syracuse +7.5 (L)
20* on Magic PK (W)
15* on Pistons +6.5 (W)
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I cashed in Southern Illinois +7 yesterday as a free pick in a 66-63 loss to Indiana State. I’m back on them again as Tuesday’s free pick in the rematch. They will be the more motivated team for revenge, and I still think this line should be closer to a pick ’em.
The Salukis opened 7-0 this season before losing four straight. But two of those losses came to arguably the best team in the MVC in unbeaten Drake. They were off for three weeks, but they didn’t show much rust at all yesterday against the Sycamores. They shot 49.1% as a team and should be even sharper today in their second game back in action.
Indiana State hasn’t won any of its last 10 games by more than 8 points. This isn’t a Sycamores team that you can trust to get margin. They shoot just 42.8% as a team and give up 46.8% shooting on the season. They shot 50% yesterday and still only won by 3 points. They are a below-average team in the Missouri Valley.
Indiana State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games after a win by 6 points or less. Southern Illinois is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after playing two consecutive games as an underdog. The Salukis are 6-0 ATS in their last six games when revenging a close loss by 3 points or less. The Sycamores are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet Southern Illinois Tuesday.
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