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The Chicago Cubs trail the St. Louis Cardinals by three games for first place in the NL Central. They are tied with the Milwaukee Brewers for the second wild card spot in the National League. It’s safe to say these games down the stretch mean a lot to the Cubs.
I’ll gladly back Chicago ace Kyle Hendricks at basically even money at home against the Cardinals tonight. Hendricks is 6-2 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in 13 home starts this season. He owns the Cardinals, going 8-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in 18 career starts against them, including 5-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing just 5 earned runs in 40 innings.
Jack Flaherty has been great in the second half of the season for the Cardinals. However, he’s up against a Cubs team that he has struggled against recently. Flaherty is 1-2 with a 4.88 ERA in his last five starts against the Cubs, allowing 13 earned runs in 24 innings.
Home-field advantage has been huge in this series. The home team is 11-1 in 12 meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals this season. The Cubs are 6-0 at Wrigley Field against the Cardinals. The Cubs are 21-5 in their last 26 home meetings with St. Louis dating back further. Chicago is 14-3 in Hendricks’ last 17 starts against the Cardinals. Bet the Cubs Thursday.
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