Live Vegas Sports Betting Odds

Sunday, March 24th, 2019

Time # Teams Opener % SC odds Picks
CBB    
12:10pm
865
866
Iowa
Tennessee
+156 -115
-8 -108
21%
79%
155 -110
-7½ -110
155 -113
-7½ -111
155 -110
-8 -110
155½ -110
-8 -106
155 -115
-8½ -110
155 -110
-7½ -110
(9)
2:00pm
877
878
Wichita State
Clemson
+137 -115
-8 -108
95%
5%
136 -105
-7 -115
136 -114
-7 -112
136 -110
-7½ -110
136 -110
-7½ -107
136 -110
-7 -115
136 -115
-7 -115
(1)
2:40pm
867
868
Washington
North Carolina
+147½ -110
-11½ -107
73%
27%
148 -115
-11½ -105
147½ -112
-11½ -110
148 -110
-11½ -110
148 -115
-11½ -109
148 -110
-12 -105
149 -110
-11½ -105
(10)
4:00pm
897
898
Xavier
Texas
+140 -115
-6 -108
98%
2%
139½ -110
-6 -110
139 -116
-6 -111
139½ -110
-6 -110
139½ -115
-6 -110
140 -105
-6 -110
139½ -110
-5½ -110
(6)
5:15pm
863
864
UCF
Duke
+143½ -110
-13 -107
23%
77%
143 -105
-13 -110
144 -109
-13 -109
143½ -110
-13 -110
143 -115
-13 -115
143 -115
-13½ -110
143 -115
-13 -110
(7)
6:10pm
869
870
Buffalo
Texas Tech
+146 -115
-3½ -108
39%
61%
146 -110
-4 -110
146 -110
-4 -105
146 -110
-4 -110
146½ -110
-4 -110
146 -110
-4 -110
146½ -105
-3½ -115
(5)
7:10pm
875
876
Liberty
Virginia Tech
+126 -110
-9 -107
47%
53%
124½ -110
-8½ -110
124½ -111
-8½ -111
124½ -110
-8½ -110
125 -105
-8½ -110
125 -105
-9 -105
124½ -110
-8½ -115
(3)
7:30pm
879
880
Harvard
NC State
+152½ -115
-11 -108
84%
16%
152½ -110
-10½ -110
152½ -115
-10½ -110
152½ -110
-10½ -110
152½ -110
-10½ -110
152 -115
-10½ -110
152½ -105
-10½ -105
 
7:45pm
861
862
Oklahoma
Virginia
+128 -115
-11½ -108
49%
51%
126½ -110
-10½ -110
126 -111
-10½ -107
126½ -110
-10½ -110
127 -105
-11 -105
127 -105
-11 -110
126½ -110
-10½ -110
(8)
8:40pm
871
872
Ohio State
Houston
+131½ -110
-6 -104
30%
70%
132½ -115
-6 -105
132½ -111
-5½ -111
132½ -110
-6 -110
132½ -110
-5½ -115
132 -110
-6½ -105
132½ -105
-6 -105
(9)
9:30pm
899
900
Nebraska
TCU
+147 -115
-3½ -108
40%
60%
147 -110
-4 -110
147 -113
-4 -113
147 -110
-4 -110
147 -115
-4 -110
147 -110
-4 -110
147 -110
-4 -105
 
9:40pm
873
874
Cal-Irvine
Oregon
+123 -115
-5 -107
48%
52%
124 -110
-5 -110
123½ -113
-5 -106
124 -110
-5 -110
124 -110
-5 -110
124 -115
-5 -115
124 -110
-5 -110
(6)
Time # Teams Opener % SC odds Picks
NBA    
12:05pm
531
532
Clippers
Knicks
-10 -105
+222 -104
0%
0%
-10 -110
222 -110
-10 -107
222 -106
-10 -110
222 -110
-10 -116
222 -110
-10 -110
222 -110
-9½ -115
222 -110
(1)
5:05pm
535
536
Nuggets
Pacers
-1½ -102
+212 -107
27%
73%
-1½ -110
211½ -110
-1½ -105
211½ -106
-1 -110
211½ -110
-1 -118
211½ -105
-1½ -105
211 -115
-1 -110
211½ -110
(2)
7:35pm
541
542
Spurs
Celtics
+220½ -110
-2 -110
0%
0%
220 -110
-2 -110
OFF 220 -110
-2 -110
220 -110
-2½ -110
220 -115
-2 -115
OFF  
Time # Teams Opener % SC odds Picks
NHL    
12:38pm
1
2
Flyers
Capitals
6½ -140
-180
0%
0%
6½ -140
-182
OFF OFF 6½ -140
-182
6½ -140
-190
OFF  
3:08pm
3
4
Coyotes
Islanders
5½ +105
-145
0%
0%
5½ +105
-145
OFF OFF OFF 5½ +105
-145
OFF  
7:08pm
5
6
Canadiens
Hurricanes
5½ -120
-150
0%
0%
5½ -120
-150
OFF OFF OFF 5½ -120
-150
OFF  
8:08pm
7
8
Avalanche
Blackhawks
6½ -130
-110
0%
0%
6½ +7
-115
OFF OFF OFF 6½ -130
-115
OFF  
10:08pm
9
10
Blue Jackets
Canucks
-145
6 -120
0%
0%
-155
6 -115
OFF OFF OFF -155
6 -115
OFF (4)
Time # Teams Opener % SC odds Picks
MLB    
1:05pm
971
972
Marlins
Cardinals
+135
-158
64%
36%
+135
-155
+135
-158
+135
-155
+135
-155
+135
-155
+135
-155
 
1:05pm
973
974
Blue Jays
Tigers
+100
-117
0%
0%
+100
-120
+100
-117
+100
-120
+100
-120
+100
-120
+100
-120
 
1:05pm
975
976
Yankees
Twins
-129
+110
92%
8%
-130
+110
-129
+110
-130
+110
-130
+110
-130
+110
-130
+110
 
3:05pm
977
978
Rockies
Reds
+110
-129
0%
0%
+110
-130
+110
-129
+110
-130
+110
-130
+110
-130
+110
-130
 
3:05pm
979
980
Indians
White Sox
-108
-108
0%
0%
-110
-110
-108
-108
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
-110
 
3:05pm
981
982
Royals
Rangers
+105
-123
0%
0%
+105
-125
+105
-123
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-125
 
3:10pm
983
984
Cubs
Padres
+100
-117
0%
0%
+100
-120
+100
-117
+100
-120
+100
-120
+100
-120
+100
-120
 
4:05pm
985
986
Rays
Braves
+105
-123
0%
0%
+105
-125
+105
-123
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-125
(3)
4:05pm
987
988
Giants
A's
+115
-134
0%
0%
+115
-135
+115
-134
+115
-135
+115
-135
+115
-135
+115
-135
(2)
4:10pm
989
990
Brewers
Diamondbacks
-105
-111
0%
0%
-105
-115
-105
-111
-105
-115
-105
-115
-105
-115
-105
-115
 
10:10pm
991
992
Dodgers
Angels
+105
-123
0%
0%
+105
-125
+105
-123
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-125
+105
-125
 

Futures

While this page lists the odds on today’s matchups we also have several pages of futures for those of you interested.

College Football

NFL

NBA

CBB

MLB

I know you have to wait a long time to get your money on these wagers, but futures can be profitable if you know what you are doing.

How Sportsbooks Set the Lines

There is no doubt that the odds makers at the top online sportsbooks have great jobs, but it’s also a stressful career.  They have to make sure that their betting lines are an accurate reflection of the public’s perception or else they could quickly find themselves out on the street.  There are still people out there who think that the bookie’s job is to pull the wool over players’ eyes and try to win their money.  However, the books just want to grind away their profit with the juice.  Let’s take a look at how they do that when setting the odds.

Las Vegas sportsbooks and online shops alike pay close attention to the opening numbers released by the Las Vegas Sports Consultants.  LVSC is a private company that provides a service of setting the odds for casinos.

However, the books will also take into account their customers’ habits as well.  If the client base is full of recreational bettors you will see the totals shaded towards the over and the point spreads towards the favorites.  That means if a total is set at 48, a recreational book might set their total at 49.

Why the Lines Move

Once the lines are released the odds makers job is not over.  Injuries and changes in coaching strategies can cause the numbers to be updated.  The book has to adapt as new information comes forward.

The book wants balance action on the game.  This way the winners get paid by the losers and the sportsbook collects their profit from the vig.  This rarely works out perfectly, but a decent sized book will get enough action on both sides where they won’t take a beating if one side beats the other.

If the action gets unbalanced enough, the lines maker will move the line.  This can mean moving the spread or total by a half a point, or the money line is adjusted.  Some places even change the juice on the point spread, so if a favorite at -3 -110 is taking a lot of money the book will adjust to -3 -120.

Profiting From Movement in the Odds

You can use these line movements to increase your profits.  It’s easier to do when you have a lot of time between the release of the line and start of the game.  In football, the betting public tends to pile money in on their favorite teams once they get off work on Fridays so if you anticipate the line moves coming at these times you can take advantage.

Another way to use line movements to your advantage is through middling.  Let’s say it’s Tournament time and the first round has LSU taking on Arizona.  LSU is an early 6-point favorite and the line moves to -8 later in the week.  Well now you can take Arizona +8 and hope that the game ends with LSU winning between six and eight points.  If it’s six or eight, you get a win and a push, but if it’s by seven, you win both of your bets.  Any other result only creates a loss of the vig.

Understanding Money Line Bets

Money line bets are typically misunderstood by the beginner, but they are not that tough to get a hold of.  Instead of having to pick a winner against the spread, you simply pick the winner of the game.

Boxing, tennis, baseball, auto racing, hockey and soccer are the six biggest money line sports. While there are margins of victory in baseball, hockey and soccer, they are so small that it would be too difficult to come up with a point spread for every game. That’s why run lines and puck lines might adjust the score by 1.5, but there is still a money line that goes with those numbers.

Let’s just take a look at an example of a baseball money line to show you how it works.

The Dodgers are the favorites and the Yankees are the underdogs in this example. The favorite is signified by the – (minus) written in front of the 130, while the underdog is given a + (plus) sign in front of the 120. If you are wanting to bet the Dodgers, then you will be risking $130 for every $100 you win. If you want to bet the Yankees, then you will be wagering $100 to get back $120.

The money line is usually pretty small in baseball, but it can be much bigger in other sports such as boxing and Tennis. Floyd Mayweather, who has yet to lose a fight in his career, is going to be a massive favorite over almost anyone he faces. Let’s just give an example of how a boxing money line would work in a Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao battle.

In this instance, you would be betting $500 to win $100 on Mayweather. If you like Pacquiao, then you will be betting $100 to win $375 on him, which is meant to entice action on the underdog because of the much bigger return.

Oddsmakers understand that the general public is going to want to bet the favorite more times than not. That makes it imperative for them to set the price on the favorite as high as possible to try and draw equal action on both sides. If they have $5,000 wagered on Mayweather, then that means they need to have at least $1,000 wagered on Pacquiao to make sure that they don’t lose money. If Mayweather wins, then the books would only be paying out $1,000 since it’s 1/5 odds.

Football & Basketball Money Lines

While money line wagers aren’t as big in football and basketball, they can still be a good bet if you don’t like the point spread. The best money line bets are those on small underdogs you believe will win outright. That’s because you don’t have to pay juice on money line underdogs, so in the long run you’re likely going to save money.

This is especially the case on underdogs of +2.5 or less in football. Most football games are decided by a field goal or more, so most of the time the +1, +1.5, +2 and +2.5 don’t even come into play. Instead of paying -110 juice on the spread, you can forgo the points and get a better return if you win by taking the moneyline.

So, instead of betting $110 to win $100 on the Patriots +2.5, you could bet $100 to win $120 on the Patriots money line (+120). The only way you would win with the +2.5 and lose on the money line is if the Patriots lost by 1 or 2. Obviously, the chances of that happening are very slim, and over the long haul it’s proven that taking the money line on these small underdogs in football are good bets.

Percentage Needed to Break Even in Betting

If you have ever done any sports betting, then you know that consistently beating the books for a profit is no easy task. But have you ever wondered just what the percentage is that you have to win in order to break even?

There are many handicappers who claim to win 70% of their bets. Whenever you see this, just ignore these touts completely. Even the ones who claim to hit 60 to 65 percent lifetime are likely lying to you. That’s because it is simply too difficult to hit that high of a percentage over the long term.

The best handicappers in the world hit anywhere from 55 to 60 percent. While that doesn’t sound like much, if you hit that kind of a percentage over time, you are going to make some serious bank. So, what percentage do you need to hit to break even? Well, let’s take a look.

Most point spreads are listed at -110 juice.  In that case you to win 52.38% of your bets to break even. You can calculate the percentage by taking amount risked divided by the amount returned.  In this case it’s 110/210 for 52.38%.

That means if you pick 52 right out of 100, you are going to lose a little, and if you pick 53 right, you’ll win a little. So, the house edge is essentially 2.38%. That’s because a bettor has to bet $110 for every $100 they win, so that $10 in juice or ‘vig” is the edge that goes to the house.

If we bet $100 on 100 games and win half and lose half, we would be left with a net loss of $500. That’s because we lose $110 each time we choose the wrong team. If we can get that 50-50 record to 55-45, which would be 55% winners, then we would net a profit of $550. We would win $5,500 on the 55 winners and lose $4,950 on our 45 losing wagers.

The difference between a $500 loss and a $550 profit is $1,050, which is the difference between being a 50 percent handicapper and a 55 percent handicapper. While 5 percent does not sound like much, it is astronomical in sports betting. I hit 55% of my picks in 2014. If you bet $100 per game that year, you would have won $7,900. If you bet $1,000 per game, you would have won $79,000.

Winning % Needed to Beat Moneylines

That winning percentage is pretty easy to follow if you were to only bet the spread at -110 in football and basketball, but not every bet you make is going to have a standard juice of -110. Figuring out what percentage of bets you need to win in this case can become even more complicated.

To give you a better understanding of what percentage of bets you would need to profit, I’ve put together a table at the bottom of this article that list the winning percentages needed for a favorite of -110 to -250 and underdog of +110 to +250. One of the first things that should jump out to you is that you don’t have to hit at a high percentage to profit with large underdogs.

Favorite Winning % Underdog Winning %
-110 52.83% +110 47.62%
-115 53.59% +115 46.51%
-120 54.55% +120 45.45%
-125 55.56% +125 44.44%
-130 56.52% +130 43.48%
-135 57.45% +135 42.55%
-140 58.33% +140 41.67%
-145 59.18% +145 40.82%
-150 60.00% +150 40.00%
-155 60.78% +155 39.22%
-160 61.54% +160 38.46%
-165 62.26% +165 37.74%
-170 62.69% +170 37.04%
-175 63.64% +175 36.36%
-180 64.29% +180 35.71%
-185 64.91% +185 35.09%
-190 65.52% +190 34.48%
-200 66.67% +200 32.26%
-220 68.75% +220 31.25%
-240 70.59% +240 29.41%
-250 71.43% +250 28.57%

Remember, BetFirm is the only site that you need to help you win this season!