Online sportsbooks have recently rolled out their regular season win totals/projections for every college football team for the upcoming season. You are able to wager on whether that team will have more (over) or less (under) wins than the book projects.
The over and under on each team is not an equal proposition. Each wager has a price, which represents how much risk you must take to make that selection. The price (or vig) works the same as with other types of bets. Negative numbers show the risk amount to win $100 (e.g. -110 means bet $110 to win $100), while positive numbers show the wining payout for a $100 bet (e.g. +105 means bet $100 to win $105). This also gives us some insight to where current sentiment falls on each team. If a team’s over odds are shaded heavily, say, -130 or worse, that means that side of the proposition is favored significantly.
Below are the estimated win totals for every team, sorted by most to least projected wins.
| Team | Conference | 2023 Win Total | 2022 Wins | Over | Under | +/- Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | SEC (East) | 11.5 | 15.0 | +120 | -155 | -3.5 |
| Alabama | SEC (West) | 10.5 | 11.0 | +150 | -180 | -0.5 |
| Michigan | Big Ten (East) | 10.5 | 13.0 | -130 | +100 | -2.5 |
| Ohio State | Big Ten (East) | 10.5 | 11.0 | -115 | -115 | -0.5 |
| Clemson | ACC (Atlantic) | 10.0 | 11.0 | -110 | -120 | -1 |
| Florida State | ACC (Atlantic) | 10.0 | 10.0 | +110 | -140 | No Change |
| USC | Pac-12 | 10.0 | 11.0 | -110 | -120 | -1 |
| LSU | SEC (West) | 9.5 | 10.0 | -115 | -115 | -0.5 |
| Oklahoma | Big 12 | 9.5 | 6.0 | -125 | -105 | +3.5 |
| Oregon | Pac-12 | 9.5 | 10.0 | -105 | -125 | -0.5 |
| Penn State | Big Ten (East) | 9.5 | 11.0 | -145 | +115 | -1.5 |
| Texas | Big 12 | 9.5 | 8.0 | -130 | +100 | +1.5 |
| Toledo | MAC (West) | 9.5 | 9.0 | -160 | +130 | +0.5 |
| Tulane | American | 9.5 | 12.0 | +120 | -150 | -2.5 |
| Liberty | Ind | 9.0 | 8.0 | -115 | -115 | +1 |
| Tennessee | SEC (East) | 9.0 | 11.0 | -120 | -110 | -2 |
| Washington | Pac-12 | 9.0 | 11.0 | +115 | -145 | -2 |
| Air Force | MWC (Mountain) | 8.5 | 10.0 | -105 | -125 | -1.5 |
| Boise State | MWC (Mountain) | 8.5 | 10.0 | +100 | -130 | -1.5 |
| Kansas State | Big 12 | 8.5 | 10.0 | +120 | -150 | -1.5 |
| North Carolina | ACC (Coastal) | 8.5 | 9.0 | -105 | -125 | -0.5 |
| Notre Dame | Ind | 8.5 | 9.0 | -115 | -115 | -0.5 |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 | 8.5 | 10.0 | -130 | +100 | -1.5 |
| SMU | American | 8.5 | 7.0 | -130 | +100 | +1.5 |
| UCLA | Pac-12 | 8.5 | 9.0 | -120 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Utah | Pac-12 | 8.5 | 10.0 | +100 | -130 | -1.5 |
| Western Kentucky | CUSA (East) | 8.5 | 9.0 | +115 | -145 | -0.5 |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten (West) | 8.5 | 7.0 | -135 | +105 | +1.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt (East) | 8.0 | 9.0 | +105 | -135 | -1 |
| Fresno State | MWC (West) | 8.0 | 10.0 | -145 | +115 | -2 |
| James Madison | Sun Belt (East) | 8.0 | 8.0 | +100 | -130 | No Change |
| Louisville | ACC (Atlantic) | 8.0 | 8.0 | -115 | -115 | No Change |
| South Alabama | Sun Belt (West) | 8.0 | 10.0 | -130 | +100 | -2 |
| Troy | Sun Belt (West) | 8.0 | 12.0 | +145 | -175 | -4 |
| Baylor | Big 12 | 7.5 | 6.0 | +145 | -175 | +1.5 |
| Iowa | Big Ten (West) | 7.5 | 8.0 | -170 | +140 | -0.5 |
| Memphis | American | 7.5 | 7.0 | -155 | +125 | +0.5 |
| Miami (FL) | ACC (Coastal) | 7.5 | 5.0 | +115 | -145 | +2.5 |
| Ole Miss | SEC (West) | 7.5 | 8.0 | -115 | -115 | -0.5 |
| TCU | Big 12 | 7.5 | 13.0 | -140 | +110 | -5.5 |
| Texas A&M | SEC (West) | 7.5 | 5.0 | -175 | +145 | +2.5 |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 7.5 | 8.0 | +110 | -140 | -0.5 |
| UTSA | CUSA (West) | 7.5 | 11.0 | -135 | -135 | -3.5 |
| Arkansas | SEC (West) | 7.0 | 7.0 | 130 | -160 | No Change |
| Marshall | Sun Belt (East) | 7.0 | 9.0 | -115 | -115 | -2 |
| Maryland | Big Ten (East) | 7.0 | 8.0 | -115 | -115 | -1 |
| Ohio | MAC (East) | 7.0 | 10.0 | -150 | +120 | -3 |
| San Diego State | MWC (West) | 7.0 | 7.0 | -130 | +100 | No Change |
| Appalachian State | Sun Belt (East) | 6.5 | 6.0 | -115 | -115 | +0.5 |
| Auburn | SEC (West) | 6.5 | 5.0 | -150 | +120 | +1.5 |
| Buffalo | MAC (East) | 6.5 | 7.0 | +105 | -130 | -0.5 |
| Eastern Michigan | MAC (West) | 6.5 | 9.0 | -175 | +145 | -2.5 |
| Illinois | Big Ten (West) | 6.5 | 8 | -140 | +110 | -1.5 |
| Kentucky | SEC (East) | 6.5 | 7.0 | -160 | +130 | -0.5 |
| Louisiana Lafayette | Sun Belt (West) | 6.5 | 6.0 | -170 | +140 | +0.5 |
| Miami Ohio | MAC (East) | 6.5 | 6.0 | -165 | +135 | +0.5 |
| Middle Tennessee | CUSA (East) | 6.5 | 8.0 | -130 | +100 | -1.5 |
| Minnesota | Big Ten (West) | 6.5 | 9.0 | +110 | -140 | -2.5 |
| Mississippi State | SEC (West) | 6.5 | 9.0 | +110 | -140 | -2.5 |
| Missouri | SEC (East) | 6.5 | 6.0 | +110 | -140 | +0.5 |
| Navy | American | 6.5 | 4.0 | -130 | +100 | +2.5 |
| NC State | ACC (Atlantic) | 6.5 | 8.0 | -150 | +120 | -1.5 |
| North Texas | CUSA (West) | 6.5 | 7.0 | -110 | -120 | -0.5 |
| Northern Illinois | MAC (West) | 6.5 | 3.0 | -165 | +135 | +3.5 |
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 6.5 | 7.0 | +115 | -145 | -0.5 |
| Pittsburgh | ACC (Coastal) | 6.5 | 9.0 | -200 | +160 | -2.5 |
| South Carolina | SEC (East) | 6.5 | 8.0 | +100 | -130 | -1.5 |
| Syracuse | ACC (Atlantic) | 6.5 | 7.0 | +100 | -130 | -0.5 |
| UCF | American | 6.5 | 9.0 | -155 | +125 | -2.5 |
| Washington State | Pac-12 | 6.5 | 7.0 | +145 | -175 | -0.5 |
| Wyoming | MWC (Mountain) | 6.5 | 7.0 | -130 | +100 | -0.5 |
| Army | Ind | 6.0 | 6.0 | -125 | -105 | No Change |
| Duke | ACC (Coastal) | 6.0 | 9.0 | -130 | +100 | -3 |
| Georgia Southern | Sun Belt (East) | 6.0 | 6.0 | -115 | -115 | No Change |
| Kansas | Big 12 | 6.0 | 6.0 | -130 | +100 | No Change |
| Nebraska | Big Ten (West) | 6.0 | 4.0 | +100 | -130 | +2 |
| UNLV | MWC (West) | 6.0 | 5.0 | -145 | +115 | +1 |
| Wake Forest | ACC (Atlantic) | 6.0 | 8.0 | -105 | -125 | -2 |
| Boston College | ACC (Atlantic) | 5.5 | 3.0 | -125 | -105 | +2.5 |
| BYU | Ind | 5.5 | 8.0 | -125 | -105 | -2.5 |
| California | Pac-12 | 5.5 | 4.0 | +115 | -145 | +1.5 |
| Central Michigan | MAC (West) | 5.5 | 4.0 | -115 | -115 | +1.5 |
| Cincinnati | American | 5.5 | 9.0 | -115 | -115 | -3.5 |
| East Carolina | American | 5.5 | 8.0 | +125 | -155 | -2.5 |
| Florida | SEC (East) | 5.5 | 6.0 | -130 | +100 | -0.5 |
| Georgia State | Sun Belt (East) | 5.5 | 4.0 | +135 | -165 | +1.5 |
| Iowa State | Big 12 | 5.5 | 4.0 | -130 | +100 | +1.5 |
| Michigan State | Big Ten (East) | 5.5 | 5.0 | +130 | -160 | +0.5 |
| New Mexico State | Ind | 5.5 | 7.0 | -125 | -105 | -1.5 |
| Purdue | Big Ten (West) | 5.5 | 8.0 | +125 | -155 | -2.5 |
| San Jose State | MWC (West) | 5.5 | 7.0 | -150 | +120 | -1.5 |
| Utah State | MWC (Mountain) | 5.5 | 6.0 | +115 | -145 | -0.5 |
| UTEP | CUSA (West) | 5.5 | 5.0 | -125 | -105 | +0.5 |
| Arizona | Pac-12 | 5.0 | 5.0 | +100 | -130 | No Change |
| Arizona State | Pac-12 | 5.0 | 3.0 | +155 | -190 | +2 |
| Bowling Green | MAC (East) | 5.0 | 6.0 | +130 | -160 | -1 |
| Connecticut | Ind | 5.0 | 6.0 | -115 | -115 | -1 |
| Southern Mississippi | Sun Belt (West) | 5.0 | 7.0 | +100 | -130 | -2 |
| Temple | American | 5.0 | 3.0 | -150 | +120 | +2 |
| UAB | CUSA (West) | 5.0 | 7.0 | -115 | -115 | -2 |
| Virginia Tech | ACC (Coastal) | 5.0 | 3.0 | -115 | -115 | +2 |
| Arkansas State | Sun Belt (West) | 4.5 | 3.0 | -125 | -105 | +1.5 |
| Ball State | MAC (West) | 4.5 | 5.0 | -160 | +130 | -0.5 |
| Colorado State | MWC (Mountain) | 4.5 | 3.0 | -140 | +110 | +1.5 |
| Georgia Tech | ACC (Coastal) | 4.5 | 5.0 | +115 | -145 | -0.5 |
| Houston | American | 4.5 | 8.0 | +115 | -145 | -3.5 |
| Rice | CUSA (West) | 4.5 | 5.0 | -115 | -115 | -0.5 |
| Texas State | Sun Belt (West) | 4.5 | 4.0 | +135 | -165 | +0.5 |
| West Virginia | Big 12 | 4.5 | 5.0 | +110 | -140 | -0.5 |
| Rutgers | Big Ten (East) | 4.0 | 4.0 | -115 | -115 | No Change |
| South Florida | American | 4.0 | 1.0 | -120 | -110 | +3 |
| Tulsa | American | 4.0 | 5.0 | -105 | -125 | -1 |
| Akron | MAC (East) | 3.5 | 2.0 | -145 | +115 | +1.5 |
| Colorado | Pac-12 | 3.5 | 1.0 | +130 | -160 | +2.5 |
| Hawaii | MWC (West) | 3.5 | 3.0 | -120 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Indiana | Big Ten (East) | 3.5 | 4.0 | -150 | +120 | -0.5 |
| Nevada | MWC (West) | 3.5 | 2.0 | -175 | +145 | +1.5 |
| New Mexico | MWC (Mountain) | 3.5 | 2.0 | +110 | -140 | +1.5 |
| Northwestern | Big Ten (West) | 3.5 | 1.0 | -125 | -105 | +2.5 |
| Old Dominion | Sun Belt (East) | 3.5 | 12.0 | -125 | -105 | -8.5 |
| Vanderbilt | SEC (East) | 3.5 | 5.0 | -165 | +135 | -1.5 |
| Virginia | ACC (Coastal) | 3.5 | 3.0 | -115 | -115 | +0.5 |
| Western Michigan | MAC (West) | 3.5 | 5.0 | -140 | +110 | -1.5 |
| Stanford | Pac-12 | 3.0 | 3.0 | +130 | -160 | No Change |
| Charlotte | CUSA (East) | 2.5 | 3.0 | -175 | +145 | -0.5 |
| Kent State | MAC (East) | 2.5 | 5.0 | -105 | -125 | -2.5 |
| Massachusetts | Ind | 2.0 | 1.0 | -135 | +105 | +1 |