Online sportsbooks have recently rolled out their regular season win totals/projections for every college football team for the upcoming season. You are able to wager on whether that team will have more (over) or less (under) wins than the book projects.
The over and under on each team is not an equal proposition. Each wager has a price, which represents how much risk you must take to make that selection. The price (or vig) works the same as with other types of bets. Negative numbers show the risk amount to win $100 (e.g. -110 means bet $110 to win $100), while positive numbers show the wining payout for a $100 bet (e.g. +105 means bet $100 to win $105). This also gives us some insight to where current sentiment falls on each team. If a team’s over odds are shaded heavily, say, -130 or worse, that means that side of the proposition is favored significantly.
Below are the estimated win totals for every team, sorted by most to least projected wins. We have also included each team’s regular season wins from last year (bowls are excluded from win total bets – keep that in mind before making your bets), the price on both their over and under wagers, and how many more or less wins (+/- Wins) they are expected to have compared to last season’s performance.
| Team | Conference | 2018 Win Total | 2017 Wins | Over Price | Under Price | +/- Wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | SEC (West) | 11.0 | 11 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Clemson | ACC (Atlantic) | 11.0 | 12 | +100 | -120 | -1.0 |
| Georgia | SEC (East) | 10.5 | 12 | -115 | -105 | -1.5 |
| Ohio State | Big Ten (East) | 10.5 | 11 | -120 | +100 | -0.5 |
| Washington | Pac-12 (North) | 10.5 | 10 | +100 | -120 | +0.5 |
| Boise State | MWC (Mountain) | 10.0 | 10 | -110 | -110 | No Change |
| Miami FL | ACC (Coastal) | 10.0 | 10 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Oklahoma | Big 12 | 10.0 | 12 | -110 | -110 | -2.0 |
| Wisconsin | Big Ten (West) | 10.0 | 12 | +100 | -120 | -2.0 |
| Notre Dame | Ind | 9.5 | 9 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Penn State | Big Ten (East) | 9.5 | 10 | -110 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Arkansas State | Sun Belt | 9.0 | 7 | -120 | +100 | +2 |
| Auburn | SEC (West) | 9.0 | 10 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Central Florida | American (East) | 9.0 | 12 | -120 | +100 | -3.0 |
| Florida Atlantic | CUSA (East) | 9.0 | 10 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Michigan | Big Ten (East) | 9.0 | 8 | +100 | -120 | +1 |
| Michigan State | Big Ten (East) | 9.0 | 9 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Appalachian State | Sun Belt | 8.5 | 8 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Memphis | American (West) | 8.5 | 10 | -120 | +100 | -1.5 |
| Mississippi State | SEC (West) | 8.5 | 8 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Ohio | MAC (East) | 8.5 | 8 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Oregon | Pac-12 (North) | 8.5 | 7 | -120 | +100 | +1.5 |
| San Diego State | MWC (West) | 8.5 | 10 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 |
| South Florida | American (East) | 8.5 | 9 | -120 | +100 | -0.5 |
| Texas | Big 12 | 8.5 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +2.5 |
| Toledo | MAC (West) | 8.5 | 11 | -110 | -110 | -2.5 |
| Troy | Sun Belt | 8.5 | 10 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 |
| USC | Pac-12 (South) | 8.5 | 11 | +100 | -120 | -2.5 |
| Virginia Tech | ACC (Coastal) | 8.5 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Fresno State | MWC (West) | 8.0 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| North Texas | CUSA (West) | 8.0 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 8.0 | 9 | -120 | +100 | -1.0 |
| Stanford | Pac-12 (North) | 8.0 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Arizona | Pac-12 (South) | 7.5 | 7 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Army | Ind | 7.5 | 9 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 |
| Florida | SEC (East) | 7.5 | 4 | -120 | +100 | +3.5 |
| Florida State | ACC (Atlantic) | 7.5 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +1.5 |
| Houston | American (West) | 7.5 | 7 | -115 | -105 | +0.5 |
| Iowa | Big Ten (West) | 7.5 | 7 | +100 | -120 | +0.5 |
| Marshall | CUSA (East) | 7.5 | 7 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Missouri | SEC (East) | 7.5 | 7 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| TCU | Big 12 | 7.5 | 10 | -110 | -110 | -2.5 |
| UAB | CUSA (West) | 7.5 | 8 | -120 | +100 | -0.5 |
| Utah State | MWC (Mountain) | 7.5 | 6 | -120 | +100 | +1.5 |
| Louisiana Tech | CUSA (West) | 7.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| Louisville | ACC (Atlantic) | 7.0 | 8 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| LSU | SEC (West) | 7.0 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -2.0 |
| Middle Tennessee State | CUSA (East) | 7.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| Navy | American (West) | 7.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| N.C. State | ACC (Atlantic) | 7.0 | 8 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Northern Illinois | MAC (West) | 7.0 | 8 | +100 | -120 | -1.0 |
| South Carolina | SEC (East) | 7.0 | 8 | -120 | +100 | -1.0 |
| Texas A&M | SEC (West) | 7.0 | 7 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Utah | Pac-12 (South) | 7.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| West Virginia | Big 12 | 7.0 | 7 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Buffalo | MAC (East) | 6.5 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Duke | ACC (Coastal) | 6.5 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Georgia Southern | Sun Belt | 6.5 | 2 | -105 | -115 | +4.5 |
| Iowa State | Big 12 | 6.5 | 7 | -120 | +100 | -0.5 |
| Southern Miss | CUSA (West) | 6.5 | 8 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 |
| Temple | American (East) | 6.5 | 6 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Washington State | Pac-12 (North) | 6.5 | 9 | -110 | -110 | -2.5 |
| Wyoming | MWC (Mountain) | 6.5 | 7 | -110 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Arkansas | SEC (West) | 6.0 | 4 | +100 | -120 | +2 |
| Baylor | Big 12 | 6.0 | 1 | -105 | -115 | +5 |
| Eastern Michigan | MAC (West) | 6.0 | 5 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| Kansas State | Big 12 | 6.0 | 7 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Miami OH | MAC (East) | 6.0 | 5 | -115 | -105 | +1 |
| Minnesota | Big Ten (West) | 6.0 | 5 | +100 | -120 | +1 |
| Mississippi | SEC (West) | 6.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | No Change |
| Nebraska | Big Ten (West) | 6.0 | 4 | -110 | -110 | +2 |
| Nevada | MWC (West) | 6.0 | 3 | +100 | -120 | +3 |
| New Mexico State | Sun Belt | 6.0 | 6 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Northwestern | Big Ten (West) | 6.0 | 9 | -120 | +100 | -3.0 |
| Purdue | Big Ten (West) | 6.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | No Change |
| SMU | American (West) | 6.0 | 7 | +100 | -120 | -1.0 |
| Syracuse | ACC (Atlantic) | 6.0 | 4 | -110 | -110 | +2 |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 6.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | No Change |
| UL-Monroe | Sun Belt | 6.0 | 4 | +100 | -120 | +2 |
| UNLV | MWC (West) | 6.0 | 5 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| Wake Forest | ACC (Atlantic) | 6.0 | 7 | -120 | +100 | -1.0 |
| Boston College | ACC (Atlantic) | 5.5 | 7 | -120 | +100 | -1.5 |
| Bowling Green | MAC (East) | 5.5 | 2 | -110 | -110 | +3.5 |
| BYU | Ind | 5.5 | 4 | -105 | -115 | +1.5 |
| California | Pac-12 (North) | 5.5 | 5 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Colorado State | MWC (Mountain) | 5.5 | 7 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 |
| Georgia Tech | ACC (Coastal) | 5.5 | 5 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Kentucky | SEC (East) | 5.5 | 7 | -110 | -110 | -1.5 |
| Old Dominion | CUSA (East) | 5.5 | 5 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Pittsburgh | ACC (Coastal) | 5.5 | 5 | +100 | -120 | +0.5 |
| Tennessee | SEC (East) | 5.5 | 4 | -110 | -110 | +1.5 |
| Tulane | American (West) | 5.5 | 5 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Western Michigan | MAC (West) | 5.5 | 6 | +100 | -120 | -0.5 |
| Arizona State | Pac-12 (South) | 5.0 | 7 | -120 | +100 | -2.0 |
| Florida International | CUSA (East) | 5.0 | 8 | -110 | -110 | -3.0 |
| Georgia State | Sun Belt | 5.0 | 6 | +100 | -120 | -1.0 |
| Indiana | Big Ten (East) | 5.0 | 5 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Massachusetts | Ind | 5.0 | 4 | -110 | -110 | +1 |
| North Carolina | ACC (Coastal) | 5.0 | 3 | +100 | -120 | +2 |
| UT-San Antonio | CUSA (West) | 5.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| UCLA | Pac-12 (South) | 5.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| UL-Lafayette | Sun Belt | 5.0 | 5 | +100 | -120 | No Change |
| Virginia | ACC (Coastal) | 5.0 | 6 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Air Force | MWC (Mountain) | 4.5 | 5 | -110 | -110 | -0.5 |
| Maryland | Big Ten (East) | 4.5 | 4 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Western Kentucky | CUSA (East) | 4.5 | 6 | +100 | -120 | -1.5 |
| Akron | MAC (East) | 4.0 | 7 | -110 | -115 | -3.0 |
| Ball State | MAC (West) | 4.0 | 2 | +100 | -120 | +2 |
| Central Michigan | MAC (West) | 4.0 | 8 | -120 | +100 | -4.0 |
| Cincinnati | American (East) | 4.0 | 4 | -115 | -105 | No Change |
| Colorado | Pac-12 (South) | 4.0 | 5 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| New Mexico | MWC (Mountain) | 4.0 | 3 | -120 | +100 | +1 |
| Rutgers | Big Ten (East) | 4.0 | 4 | -110 | -110 | No Change |
| Tulsa | American (West) | 4.0 | 2 | +100 | -120 | +2 |
| Vanderbilt | SEC (East) | 4.0 | 5 | -110 | -110 | -1.0 |
| Charlotte | CUSA (East) | 3.5 | 1 | -110 | -110 | +2.5 |
| Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | 3.5 | 3 | -110 | -110 | +0.5 |
| Connecticut | American (East) | 3.5 | 3 | +100 | -120 | +0.5 |
| Hawaii | MWC (West) | 3.5 | 3 | -120 | +100 | +0.5 |
| Illinois | Big Ten (West) | 3.5 | 2 | +100 | -120 | +1.5 |
| South Alabama | Sun Belt | 3.5 | 4 | -120 | +100 | -0.5 |
| East Carolina | American (East) | 3.0 | 3 | -105 | -115 | No Change |
| Kansas | Big 12 | 3.0 | 1 | -110 | -110 | +2 |
| Rice | CUSA (West) | 3.0 | 1 | -110 | -110 | +2 |
| San Jose State | MWC (West) | 3.0 | 2 | +100 | -120 | +1 |
| Texas State | Sun Belt | 3.0 | 2 | -120 | +100 | +1 |
| Kent State | MAC (East) | 2.5 | 2 | +100 | -120 | +0.5 |
| Oregon State | Pac-12 (North) | 2.5 | 1 | -110 | -110 | +1.5 |
| UTEP | CUSA (West) | 2.5 | 0 | -110 | -110 | +2.5 |