Favorites to Win the 2018 MLB World Series

The top team in baseball takes home the World Series Trophy each year.  The table below tracks futures odds on every MLB team to win the upcoming World Series.

The defending champion Boston Red Sox are currently the odds-on favorites to win his year’s World Series. Their top rival in the American League, the Houston Astros, are listed just behind them. Out of the National League, the Nationals currently have the best odds to make and win the series, followed by the LA Dodgers, and Chicago Cubs.

Next we’ll look at the projected playoffs, division winners, and World Series matchup as suggested by the latest odds.

MLB Playoffs: Projected Division Winners & Championship Predictions

AL – Division Winners

AL East: Red Sox
AL Central: Indians
AL West: Astros

NL – Division Winners

NL East – Nationals
NL Central – Cubs
NL West – Dodgers

Conference Championship Series

ALCS:  Red Sox vs Astros
NLCS: Dodgers vs Nationals

World Series Projected Matchup & Winner

World Series:  Red Sox vs Nationals

World Series Champions: Boston Red Sox

The change column represents how much the odds have improved or decreased since the last update. The +/- runs column tracks a team’s run differential throughout the season.  The final column shows the normalized probability for each team to win the World Series.

Vegas World Series Odds to Win the 2018 MLB Championship

Team 2018 Record Division +/- Runs Odds Change World Series
Red Sox 108-54 AL East 1.6 +500 +150 13.83% 16.7%
Astros 103-59 AL West 1.7 +700 -50 10.37% 12.5%
Yankees 100-62 AL East 1.1 +900 -200 8.30% 10.0%
Nationals 82-80 NL East 0.5 +950 -200 7.90% 9.5%
Dodgers 92-71 NL West 1.2 +1000 +200 7.54% 9.1%
Cubs 95-68 NL Central 0.7 +1000 +200 7.54% 9.1%
Indians 91-71 AL Central 1.0 +1400 -200 5.53% 6.7%
Cardinals 88-74 NL Central 0.4 +1500 -200 5.19% 6.3%
Brewers 96-67 NL Central 0.7 +2000 -500 3.95% 4.8%
Braves 90-72 NL East 0.6 +2000 -350 3.95% 4.8%
Phillies 80-82 NL East -0.3 +2100 -300 3.77% 4.5%
Mets 77-85 NL East -0.2 +2300 +700 3.46% 4.2%
Rockies 91-72 NL West 0.2 +2800 +450 2.86% 3.4%
A’s 97-65 AL West 0.8 +4000 -750 2.02% 2.4%
Rays 90-72 AL West 0.4 +4500 None 1.80% 2.2%
White Sox 62-100 AL Central -1.2 +4700 -200 1.73% 2.1%
Angels 80-82 AL West 0.0 +5500 None 1.48% 1.8%
Twins 78-84 AL Central -0.2 +7200 -1200 1.14% 1.4%
Mariners 89-73 AL West -0.2 +7500 -500 1.09% 1.3%
Pirates 82-79 NL Central 0.0 +8000 -1000 1.02% 1.2%
Reds 67-95 NL Central -0.8 +8500 -1500 0.96% 1.2%
Blue Juays 73-89 AL East -0.8 +9000 -2000 0.91% 1.1%
D-Backs 82-80 NL West 0.3 +9500 +500 0.86% 1.0%
Padres 66-96 NL West -0.9 +14000 -2500 0.59% 0.7%
Giants 73-89 NL West -0.6 +14000 -2500 0.59% 0.7%
Rangers 67-95 AL West -0.7 +17000 -4500 0.49% 0.6%
Tigers 64-98 AL Central -1.0 +25000 -2000 0.33% 0.4%
Royals 58-104 AL Central -1.2 +28000 -5000 0.30% 0.4%
Marlins 63-98 NL East -1.4 +29000 -4500 0.29% 0.3%
Orioles 47-115 AL East -1.7 +45000 -13000 0.18% 0.2%

World Series Futures: Best Bets

In terms of best bets on futures, we are looking at value above all else.  Sometimes favorites are simply too popular to take a flier on, while betting on a longer shot to get hot at the right time and win the World Series is well worth the risk.  As of the latest update, here are a few teams worth looking at.

Boston Red Sox +500 & Houston Astros +700

I’m willing to bet that one of these teams ends up taking home the World Series this year. The implied odds say they are both one of the top three teams in the league, and I believe one or the other will be the best team in the entire MLB. There isn’t a huge edge here, but it’s enough to warrant an early wager on both to win the World Series. It’s likely this will be the best odds you can get on either team as the season progresses, and I’m not willing to take the chance that they will be discounted later on.

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