Mikey Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 12-5-19
Montana State +1 -115
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Thursday NCAAB Free play. My selection is on St. Mary's minus the points over Northern Illinois at 10 pm et on Thursday.
Northern Illinois has reeled off six straight wins, including a 24-point rout of Oakland as a short favorite last time out. It should get a rude awakening as it travels west to face St. Mary's on Thursday night, however. The Gaels haven't lost since suffering a stunning loss at the hands of Winthrop (as a 19.5-point favorite) back on November 11th. Since then, St. Mary's has barely had to break a sweat and I expect it to keep rolling in its home gym on Thursday night. Take St. Mary's (8*).
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My free play is on Auburn at 9:00 ET.
Auburn made an incredible run to last year's Final 4, before losing 63-62 to eventual champ Virginia. The Tigers lost a 'ton' off that team, most notably guards Brown (15.9) and Harper (15.3) plus the 6-8 Okeke (12.0 & 6.8). However, the Tigers have opened 7-0 and currently rank 14th in the most recent AP poll. Auburn welcomes an experienced Furman team to Auburn Arena tonight, one which won 25 games in 2018-19. The Paladins have won SEVEN of nine to start the season, losing at Alabama 81-73 on Nov 19 and falling 65-55 at South Florida this past Monday.
The Paladins lost just one starter from last year's team but the loss was a big one, as the 6-7 Rafferty led the team in scoring (17.5), rebounding (9.0) and assists (4.3). Senior guard Jordan Lyons leads the team in scoring (14.8), but is coming off his worst game of the season at USF, when he managed just four points on 2-of-12 shooting from the floor. Clay Mounce boasts back-to-back double-doubles after scoring 14 with 12 boards against the Bulls on Monday to earn Southern Conference Player of the Week honors, and the 6-7 junior forward averages 14.4 points along with a team-high 6.8 rebounds. He's joined up front by the 6-8 Gurley (13.4 & 3.9) and the 6-7 Slawson (6.8 & 5.3). Rounding out the backcourt contributors are Bothwell (9.8) and PG Hunter (9.3-3.6-3.3)
Auburn has yet to face a Power 5 conference team, but knocked Richmond from the unbeaten ranks on Nov 26 to win the Legend Classic at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. for its first in-season tournament title since 2004. "Our guys came to Auburn to make history,” Tigers coach Bruce Pearl told reporters after the 79-65 victory over the Spiders in which his team led by just one at halftime. “That was important to our team.” Methinks Pearl is "overstating" just a little. However, despite key losses, Pearl has a veteran team again this season. Senior guard Doughty (19.3 & 4.9) is joined in the backcourt by PG McCormick (8.3-4.4-6.7). The frontcourt's top scorer is 6-6 freshman Okoro (13.3 & 4.3) but the other three remaining major contributors are all seniors. The group includes the 6-7 Purifoy (11.0 & 5.0), the 6-11 Wiley (10.7 & 8.6) and the 6-7 McLemore (7.7 & 3.7).
Tough spot for Furman, which is coming off a Monday loss at USF (Tampa, Fl), while the Tigers haven't played since two days before Thanksgiving (Nov 26). Auburn is averaging 85.6 PPG on 48.4 percent shooting and I'll lay the points.
1 Dimer on Furman vs Auburn over 145 -110
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