U.S. Open Odds: Favorites to Win Golf’s Toughest Test

Scottie Scheffler at +450 and Rory McIlroy at +800 sit close enough together that the top of the U.S. Open board reads more like a coin flip than most majors. That tightness says less about who’s playing best right now and more about how hard this course is to solve. 98 players carry a live number for the 2027 U.S. Open, priced across BetRivers, DraftKings, BetMGM at 3 sportsbooks and updated as recently as September 30, 2026.

A U.S. Open price rarely rewards the biggest name on the leaderboard the way other majors do. The course setup narrows the gap between stars and grinders, and the odds take time to catch up, which is exactly why shopping the board before locking in a number matters here.

2027 U.S. Open Odds by Sportsbook

FavoriteScottie Scheffler +45018.2% implied · BetRivers
Best price gap18%typical gap between books, top 20
Biggest move, 7 daysScottie Scheffler even+450 to +450
UpdatedSep 303 books · 98 players
Player BetRivers DraftKings BetMGM Implied 30 days
1Scottie Scheffler +450 +450 +450 18.2% even
2Rory McIlroy +800 +800 +800 11.1% even
3Jon Rahm +1200 +1200 +1400 6.7% even
4Xander Schauffele +1600 +1600 +1600 5.9% even
5Ludvig Aberg +1800 +2200 +2000 4.3% even
6Tommy Fleetwood +1800 +2200 +2000 4.3% even
7Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000 +2500 +2500 3.8% even
8Cameron Young +2500 +2500 +2500 3.8% even
9Bryson DeChambeau +2800 +2200 +2500 3.4% even
10Sam Burns +2800 +3300 +3300 2.9% even
11Wyndham Clark +2800 +3300 +2800 2.9% even
12Collin Morikawa +3300 +3300 +3300 2.9% even
All 98 playersFewer
13Justin Rose +3300 +4000 +4000 2.4% even
14Tyrrell Hatton +3300 +4000 +3300 2.4% even
15Brooks Koepka +4000 +4000 +4000 2.4% even
16Justin Thomas +4000 +3500 +4000 2.4% even
17Russell Henley +4000 +4500 +4000 2.2% even
18Christopher Gotterup +4000 +5000 +4500 2.0% even
19Patrick Reed +4000 +5000 +5000 2.0% even
20Si Woo Kim +4000 +5000 +5000 2.0% even
21Viktor Hovland +4000 +5000 +4000 2.0% even
22Joaquin Niemann +5000 +5500 – 1.8%
23Jackson Koivun +4000 +6000 +4000 1.6% even
24Hideki Matsuyama +5000 +6000 +5000 1.6% even
25Patrick Cantlay +5000 +6000 +4500 1.6% even
26Jordan Spieth +5000 +5500 +6600 1.5% even
27Robert MacIntyre +5000 +6000 +6600 1.5% even
28Shane Lowry +5000 +7000 +6600 1.4% even
29Ben Griffin +6600 +7000 +6600 1.4% even
30J.J. Spaun +6600 +7000 +5000 1.4% even
31Maverick McNealy +6600 +7000 – 1.4%
32Min Woo Lee +6600 +7000 +6600 1.4% even
33Gary Woodland +6600 +8000 – 1.2%
34Aaron Rai +8000 +8000 +8000 1.2% even
35Kurt Kitayama +8000 +8400 +8000 1.2% even
36Jake Knapp +8000 +9000 – 1.1%
37Adam Scott +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% even
38Akshay Bhatia +10000 +10000 – 1.0%
39Alex Fitzpatrick +10000 +10000 – 1.0%
40Cameron Smith +10000 +9000 +10000 1.0% even
41Corey Conners +10000 +10000 – 1.0%
42David Puig +10000 +10000 – 1.0%
43Dustin Johnson +10000 +10000 – 1.0%
44Harris English +10000 +10000 +9000 1.0% even
45Kristoffer Reitan +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% even
46Rickie Fowler +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% even
47Ryan Gerard +10000 +9000 – 1.0%
48Sepp Straka +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% even
49Nicolai Hojgaard +10000 +8000 +10000 1.0% even
50Keith Mitchell +10000 +11000 – 0.9%
51Joohyung Kim +10000 +11000 – 0.9%
52Alexander Noren +10000 +12500 – 0.8%
53Alex Smalley +10000 +12500 +12500 0.8% even
54Sahith Theegala +10000 +12500 – 0.8%
55Jason Day – +12500 +12500 0.8%
56Keegan Bradley +10000 +14000 +12500 0.7% even
57Brian Harman +10000 +15000 +15000 0.7% even
58Jacob Bridgeman +10000 +15000 – 0.7%
59Sam Stevens +15000 +14000 – 0.7%
60Sungjae Im +15000 +15000 – 0.7%
61Michael Brennan +10000 +17500 – 0.6%
62Ryan Fox +10000 +17500 – 0.6%
63Pierceson Coody +20000 +20000 – 0.5%
64Ryo Hisatsune +15000 +22500 – 0.4%
65Benjamin James +20000 +25000 – 0.4%
66Max Greyserman +20000 +25000 – 0.4%
67Adrien Dumont +25000 +30000 – 0.3%
68John Keefer +25000 +30000 – 0.3%
69Michael Kim +25000 +30000 – 0.3%
70John Parry +25000 +40000 – 0.2%
71Max McGreevy +25000 +40000 – 0.2%
Only one book still prices these
72Bud Cauley +10000 – – 1.0%
73J.T. Poston +10000 – – 1.0%
74Will Zalatoris – +15000 – 0.7%
75Rasmus Hojgaard – – +15000 0.7%
76Sudarshan Yellamaraju – +17500 – 0.6%
77Nick Taylor – +17500 – 0.6%
78Ben Kohles +20000 – – 0.5%
79Nicolas Echavarria – +20000 – 0.5%
80Harry Hall – +20000 – 0.5%
81Davis Thompson – +20000 – 0.5%
82Emiliano Grillo +25000 – – 0.4%
83Laurie Canter +25000 – – 0.4%
84Niklas Norgaard Moller +25000 – – 0.4%
85Matt McCarty – +25000 – 0.4%
86Lucas Herbert – +25000 – 0.4%
87Daniel Berger – +25000 – 0.4%
88Chris Kirk – +25000 – 0.4%
89Carlos Ortiz – +27500 – 0.4%
90Matthias Schwab – +30000 – 0.3%
91Jackson Suber – +30000 – 0.3%
92Andrew Putnam – +30000 – 0.3%
93Andrew Novak – +30000 – 0.3%
94Angel Hidalgo +35000 – – 0.3%
95Harry Higgs +35000 – – 0.3%
96Zac Blair +35000 – – 0.3%
97Patrick Rodgers – +40000 – 0.2%
98Jayden Trey Schaper – +40000 – 0.2%

Red is the best price on that row. The 30-day line is the consensus price over time, and the figure beside it is the change in what a winning dollar pays over the last week, read across the books quoting both then and now; green shortened, amber drifted, a dash means too few books to tell. Implied probability comes from the best price and includes the books’ margin.

A Test Built for Patience, Not Power

The U.S. Open sets itself apart by punishing power before it rewards it. Narrow fairways and thick rough turn a wayward tee shot into a lost stroke, and the players who keep the ball in play tend to close ground on a leaderboard that raw distance alone can’t reach. That setup favors precision over reputation, and the market is often slow to catch up to it.

A bettor working this board should weigh a player’s history of finding fairways as heavily as a big name sitting near the top. Jayden Trey Schaper at +40000 is a reminder that a course built this way can let a lesser known name climb further than the price suggests, since accuracy off the tee matters more here than it does at almost any other major.

Rough, Wind, and the Reports That Shift a Price

Odds shift here for reasons that have little to do with recent form. Rough length, green speed, and how narrow the fairways run in practice rounds all move the number before the tournament starts. A player known for control off the tee can shorten quickly once reports point to a tighter setup, and a longer hitter can drift just as fast if the course plays wider than expected.

Watching moves like that across BetRivers, DraftKings, BetMGM says more about the setup than about the player.

A Ticket That Has to Hold Through Four Hard Rounds

A U.S. Open futures ticket locks in long before the course plays a single competitive shot, and it sits untouched through all four rounds. That stretch gives a bettor time to compare prices, but it also means the money is tied up with no way to react once the tournament actually starts.

Some bettors put a full stake on one price and let it ride. Others split a smaller amount across a few players, pairing a name near the top with a longer shot like Jayden Trey Schaper at +40000, betting that accuracy shows up somewhere on the ticket even if it isn’t the favorite. Checking 3 sportsbooks before either approach is the simplest way to make sure the price paid is the best one on offer.

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