MLB Player Futures: Odds to Win the NL Cy Young Award

The National League Cy Young Award is given to the best pitcher in the NL for that year. The members of the Baseball Writer’s Association of America vote on the award with one representative from each team. Each member places a vote for first, second, third, fourth and fifth among the pitchers in the National League. The formula used to calculate the final scores is a weighted sum of the votes. Obviously, the pitcher with the highest score wins the award.

Clayton Kershaw is the odds-on favorite, with the Nationals’ Max Scherzer following close behind.  We’ve included each player’s 2017 record, along with their 2017 WAR (Wins Above Replacement).  WAR is the estimated number of wins each player is worth versus an average player at their position.

Updated Vegas Odds to Win the 2018 NL Cy Young

Player 2017 Record Current Team 2017 WAR Odds Change NL Cy Young
Clayton Kershaw 18-4 Dodgers 4.6 +175 New 23.33%
Max Scherzer 16-6 Nationals 6 +225 New 19.74%
Noah Syndergaard 1-2 Mets 1.4 +500 New 10.69%
Stephen Strasburg 15-4 Nationals 5.6 +1500 New 4.01%
Madison Bumgarner 4-9 Giants 1.7 +1500 New 4.01%
Carlos Martinez 12-11 Cardinals 3.3 +1800 New 3.38%
Jacob deGrom 15-10 Mets 4.4 +2000 New 3.06%
Robbie Ray 15-5 Diamondbacks 3.2 +2500 New 2.47%
Zack Greinke 17-7 Diamondbacks 5.1 +3000 New 2.07%
Yu Darvish 10-12 Cubs 3.5 +3000 New 2.07%
Jon Lester 13-8 Cubs 2.7 +3000 New 2.07%
Jose Quintana 11-11 Cubs 3.9 +3000 New 2.07%
Jon Gray 10-4 Rockies 3.2 +4000 New 1.56%
Aaron Nola 12-11 Phillies 4.3 +4000 New 1.56%
Johnny Cueto 8-8 Giants 1.2 +5000 New 1.26%
Alex Wood 16-3 Dodgers 3.4 +5000 New 1.26%
Gio Gonzalez 15-9 Nationals 3.3 +5000 New 1.26%
Rich Hill 12-8 Dodgers 2.6 +6000 New 1.05%
Michael Wacha 12-9 Cardinals 3.2 +6000 New 1.05%
Kyle Hendricks 7-5 Cubs 2.5 +6000 New 1.05%
Julio Teheran 11-13 Braves 1.1 +6000 New 1.05%
Chase Anderson 12-4 Brewers 3.3 +6000 New 1.05%
Jason Vargas 18-11 Royals 1.6 +8000 New 0.79%
Kenta Maeda 13-6 Dodgers 2 +10000 New 0.64%
Tanner Roark 13-11 Nationals 2.4 +10000 New 0.64%
Zach Davies 17-9 Brewers 2.8 +10000 New 0.64%
Adam Wainwright 12-5 Cardinals 1.5 +10000 New 0.64%
Matt Harvey 5-7 Mets -0.8 +10000 New 0.64%
Tyler Chatwood 8-15 Rockies 1.1 +10000 New 0.64%
Taijuan Walker 9-9 Diamondbacks 2.5 +10000 New 0.64%
Kenley Jansen 5-0 Dodgers 3.6 +10000 New 0.64%
Steven Matz 2-7 Mets 0.4 +20000 New 0.32%
Ivan Nova 11-14 Pirates 1.9 +20000 New 0.32%
Luis Castillo 3-7 Reds 1.7 +20000 New 0.32%
Luke Weaver 7-2 Cardinals 1.4 +20000 New 0.32%
Jeff Samardzija 9-15 Giants 3.8 +20000 New 0.32%
Homer Bailey 6-9 Reds 0.7 +20000 New 0.32%
Jose Urena 14-7 Marlins 0.2 +20000 New 0.32%
Jameson Taillon 8-7 Pirates 2.9 +30000 New 0.21%
Joe Musgrove 7-8 Astros 1.1 +30000 New 0.21%
Vince Velasquez 2-7 Phillies 0.1 +30000 New 0.21%
Clayton Richard 8-15 Padres 2.3 +50000 New 0.13%

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