MLB Player Futures: Odds to Win the American League Cy Young

The American League Cy Young Award is given to the best pitcher in the AL for that year. The members of the Baseball Writer’s Association of America vote on the award with one representative from each team.  Each member places a vote for first, second, third, fourth and fifth among the pitchers in the American League.  The formula used to calculate the final scores is a weighted sum of the votes.  Obviously, the pitcher with the highest score wins the award.

Boston’s Chris Sale is currently the favorite to win the award, with last year’s winner, Cleveland’s Corey Kluber close behind, followed by teammate Carlos Carrasco.  We’ve included each player’s 2017 record, along with their 2017 WAR (Wins Above Replacement), which tracks how many estimated wins a player earns for their team versus an average MLB player at their position.

 

Updated Vegas Odds to Win the 2018 AL Cy Young Award

Player 2017 Record Current Team 2017 WAR Odds Change AL Cy Young
Chris Sale 17-8 Red Sox 7.7 +225 New 19.47%
Corey Kluber 18-4 Indians 7.3 +250 New 18.08%
Carlos Carrasco 18-6 Indians 5.5 +600 New 9.04%
Luis Severino 14-6 Yankees 5.7 +800 New 7.03%
Justin Verlander 15-8 Astros 4.1 +800 New 7.03%
James Paxton 12-5 Mariners 4.6 +1500 New 3.95%
Gerrit Cole 12-12 Astros 3.1 +1800 New 3.33%
Dallas Keuchel 14-5 Astros 2.5 +1800 New 3.33%
Masahiro Tanaka 13-12 Yankees 2.7 +2000 New 3.01%
David Price 6-3 Red Sox 1.5 +2150 New 2.81%
Jose Berrios 14-8 Twins 2.8 +2500 New 2.43%
Chris Archer 10-12 Rays 4.6 +2800 New 2.18%
Aaron Sanchez 1-3 Blue Jays 0 +4000 New 1.54%
Danny Duffy 9-10 Royals 3.4 +4000 New 1.54%
Garrett Richards 0-2 Angels 1 +4250 New 1.45%
Cole Hamels 11-6 Rangers 1.5 +5000 New 1.24%
Marcus Stroman 13-9 Blue Jays 3.4 +6000 New 1.04%
Felix Hernandez 6-5 Mariners 0.4 +7500 New 0.83%
Lance McCullers 7-4 Astros 3 +7500 New 0.83%
Michael Fulmer 10-12 Tigers 3.5 +8000 New 0.78%
Rick Porcello 11-17 Red Sox 2 +8000 New 0.78%
Shohei Ohtani Rookie Angels Rookie +8000 New 0.78%
Ervin Santana 16-8 Twins 2.9 +10000 New 0.63%
Sonny Gray 10-12 Yankees 2.8 +10000 New 0.63%
Drew Pomeranz 17-6 Red Sox 3.1 +10000 New 0.63%
Charlie Morton 14-7 Astros 3.3 +10000 New 0.63%
Craig Kimbrel 5-0 Red Sox 3.3 +10000 New 0.63%
J.A. Happ 10-11 Blue Jays 2.9 +12500 New 0.50%
Trevor Bauer 17-9 Indians 3.2 +15000 New 0.42%
Blake Snell 5-7 Rays 1.9 +17500 New 0.36%
Sean Manaea 12-10 Athletics 2.3 +20000 New 0.31%
Lucas Giolito 3-3 White Sox 0.3 +20000 New 0.31%
Dylan Bundy 13-9 Orioles 2.7 +30000 New 0.21%
Mike Leake 10-13 Mariners 3.1 +30000 New 0.21%
Kevin Gausman 11-12 Orioles 2.5 +30000 New 0.21%
Kendall Graveman 6-4 Athletics 1.2 +30000 New 0.21%
Andrew Heaney 1-2 Angels -0.7 +30000 New 0.21%
CC Sabathia 14-5 Yankees 1.9 +30000 New 0.21%
Marco Estrada 10-9 Blue Jays 2.6 +30000 New 0.21%
Jordan Zimmermann 8-13 Tigers 1.1 +30000 New 0.21%
Jake Odorizzi 10-8 Rays 0.1 +30000 New 0.21%
Jordan Montgomery 9-7 Yankees 2.7 +30000 New 0.21%
Kyle Gibson 12-10 Twins 1.1 +30000 New 0.21%
James Shields 5-7 White Sox -0.2 +50000 New 0.13%

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