MLB Player Futures: Vegas Odds to Win the AL MVP

The American League MVP Award is given out each year to the most outstanding player in that league.  Jose Altuve took home the award last year and finds himself with the second-best odds this season.  Two-time winner Mike Trout (2016, 2014) is the heavy favorite for 2018.  Trout is the best player in baseball and, barring injury, it’s hard to imagine someone else dethroning him.

Below you will find the latest odds to win the AL MVP along with each player’s OPS (on-base % + slugging %) and WAR (wins above replacement) from last season.  WAR represents an estimate on how many wins a player adds to their team above an average MLB player.  The final column shows the implied probability that the player will win the award based on the current market odds.

Updated Odds to Win the 2018 American League MVP Award

Player 2017 OPS Team 2017 WAR Odds Change AL MVP
Mike Trout 1.071 Angels 6.9 +110 New 31.15%
Jose Altuve 0.957 Astros 7.5 +600 New 9.35%
Francisco Lindor 0.842 Indians 5.9 +1050 New 5.69%
Giancarlo Stanton 1.007 Yankees 6.9 +1200 New 5.03%
Carlos Correa 0.941 Astros 5.2 +1200 New 5.03%
Aaron Judge 1.049 Yankees 8.2 +1800 New 3.44%
Manny Machado 0.781 Orioles 2.8 +2000 New 3.12%
Josh Donaldson 0.944 Blue Jays 5 +2000 New 3.12%
J.D. Martinez 1.066 Red Sox 3.8 +2000 New 3.12%
Mookie Betts 0.803 Red Sox 5.3 +2500 New 2.52%
Gary Sanchez 0.876 Yankees 4.4 +3000 New 2.11%
Jose Ramirez 0.957 Indians 6.6 +3000 New 2.11%
George Springer 0.889 Astros 4.5 +3000 New 2.11%
Gregory Bird 0.710 Yankees -0.4 +4000 New 1.60%
Chris Sale Pitcher Red Sox 7.7 +4500 New 1.42%
Jonathan Schoop 0.841 Orioles 4.1 +5000 New 1.28%
Brian Dozier 0.857 Twins 5 +5000 New 1.28%
Robinson Cano 0.791 Mariners 3.2 +5000 New 1.28%
Edwin Encarnacion 0.881 Indians 2.5 +5500 New 1.17%
Miguel Sano 0.859 Twins 2.3 +6000 New 1.07%
Andrew Benintendi 0.776 Red Sox 2.2 +7500 New 0.86%
Jose Abreu 0.906 White Sox 4.1 +8000 New 0.81%
Matt Olson 1.003 Athletics 2 +8000 New 0.81%
Miguel Cabrera 0.728 Tigers -0.2 +8000 New 0.81%
Justin Upton 0.901 Angles 5 +8000 New 0.81%
Khris Davis 0.864 Athletics 2.3 +8000 New 0.81%
Nelson Cruz 0.924 Mariners 3.8 +8000 New 0.81%
Adam Jones 0.788 Orioles 1.7 +10000 New 0.65%
Kyle Seager 0.773 Mariners 3.5 +10000 New 0.65%
Joey Gallo 0.870 Rangers 2.9 +10000 New 0.65%
Alex Bregman 0.827 Astros 3.8 +10000 New 0.65%
Avisail Garcia 0.886 White Sox 4.2 +10000 New 0.65%
Xander Bogaerts 0.746 Red Sox 3.2 +10000 New 0.65%
Justin Smoak 0.884 Blue Jays 3.4 +10000 New 0.65%
Elvis Andrus 0.808 Rangers 4.1 +20000 New 0.33%
Adrian Beltre 0.915 Rangers 3.1 +20000 New 0.33%
Byron Buxton 0.727 Twins 3.5 +20000 New 0.33%
Rougned Odor 0.649 Rangers -1 +22500 New 0.29%
Shohei Ohtani Rookie Angels Rookie +22500 New 0.29%
Salvador Perez 0.792 Royals 2.1 +30000 New 0.22%
Whit Merrifield 0.784 Royals 3.1 +30000 New 0.22%
Yoan Moncada 0.750 White Sox 0.9 +30000 New 0.22%
Mike Moustakas 0.835 Royals 2.2 +30000 New 0.22%
Nick Castellanos 0.810 Tigers 1.7 +30000 New 0.22%
Kevin Kiermaier 0.788 Rays 3 +50000 New 0.13%

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