Alex Smart Sports - Where winning means everything. Get the bankroll expanding info the books do not want you to have.
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| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giants vs Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks -116 | Premium | 11-6 | Loss | -116 | Show |
| Cardinals vs Reds | Reds +108 | Premium | 1-6 | Win | 108 | Show |
| Mariners vs Blue Jays | Mariners +150 | Premium | 4-3 | Win | 150 | Show |
| Brewers vs Nationals | Nationals -125 | Premium | 15-14 | Loss | -125 | Show |
| Twins vs Rangers | Rangers +145 | Premium | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | Show |
| Montreal vs Calgary | Montreal +6 -110 | Premium | 40-34 | Win | 100 | Show |
Rookie star Arike Ogunbowale leads a up trending Dallas Wings side that is on a 3 game win streak into Connecticut to play the Suns . Ogunbowale leads all rookies in scoring at 16.3 points per game, which is also good for seventh in the league and is getting more confident an over powering with each game out and is a game changer.
Meanwhile, Connecticut rallied from seven down in the final 1:47 to extend its home winning streak to six games Friday night , and exerted alot of energy in that contest , after a gruelling 4 game road trip prior to that. Now against a team they maybe over looking a natural letdown spot looks to be on the agenda making them fade material vs this type of number. I know the Sun have won 19 of their last 20 home games dating back to last year, and I doubt they lose today ,but Im betting covering will be more difficult than some might think.
CONNECTICUT is 1-9 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more this season. CONNECTICUT is 37-57 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making 80% or better of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Play on the Dallas Wings to cover
Lynn the Rangers starting hurler today vs the Twins has allowed only one earned run and four hits in each of his last four starts while recording 32 strikeouts in 25 innings of top tier work. Lynn, has been his best at home this season recording a 9-1 record along with a 3.94 ERA in 12 starts and gets my support here today to salvage a win in this series vs the hot hitting Twins.
TEXAS is 12-5 against the money line in home games in day games this season.
The Rangers are 8-0 on the ML in the last game of a series as a home favorite after they hit at least one home run.
MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 8-41 L/5 seasosn for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Texas Rangers to win on the ML
There is a divergence in the way both these starting pitchers have done of late as Bumgarner is 5-0 during a 10 game run where the Giants have won 9 of those games, and on the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, that shows Kelly's team has lost 8 of his 10 starts. However, despite of the recency bias, the line on this tilt has been moving overnight, towards the Dbacks. My power ranking pitcher vs batting order is flashing value here with the home team despite of the recent divergent path both hurlers have forged for themselves. Kelly is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA in three starts against San Francisco and gets my support to his team in this tilt and to help us get the ML win.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.BUMGARNER is 1-9 against the money line as a opening line road favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) Giants are 10-21 in Bumgarners last 31 road starts.
SAN FRANCISCO is 14-24 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons.
MLB opening line Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ARIZONA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (NL), with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games are 33-13 L/5 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Arizona on the ML
Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin will be recalled to make the start against the Braves and Max Fried. Although Gonsolin will start, fellow rookie Dustin May is scheduled to make his relief debut, but could also start. Both are trying out for a postseason role and will be primed to compete here for a future roster job. Meanwhile, Atlanta's starter Fried has struggled against the Dodgers. In an earlier start in Los Angeles this season, he was knocked out after one inning, giving up four runs on four hits and one walk. In two career starts against the Dodgers, Fried is 0-2 with a 7.50 ERA.
Dodgers are 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 Sunday games.Dodgers are 39-15 in their last 54 vs. a team with a winning record.Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 road games.Dodgers are 51-21 in their last 72 during game 3 of a series.Dodgers are 40-17 in their last 57 vs. National League East.Dodgers are 42-18 in their last 60 games following a loss.Dodgers are 15-7 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.Dodgers are 73-34 in their last 107 games on grass.Dodgers are 74-35 in their last 109 overall.Dodgers are 29-14 in their last 43 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Braves are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Dodgers are 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.Dodgers are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings.
Play on the LA Dodgers to win on the ML
This will be the 3rd straight season, these teams Minnesota and Seattle have faced each other.The Vikings barely edged out a 21-20 victory in their last pre-season encounter; and Im betting on another closely contested affair here in this NFLX tilt. Looking at the Seahawks, I like the way they have stacked this team with top tier athletes, with tremendous size especially on offence focusing a strong looking WR core , where I believe they will be improved. This will buoy QB Wilsons ability in the run heavy option and continue to make him a dangerous weapon. Im expecting big things from the Seahawks in the regular season, and a few flashes of brilliance here today in preseason action, making them my choice to cover this number and stay competitive on the road .
SEATTLE is 33-17 ATS in road lined games since 1993 and is 32-16 ATS as an underdog since 1993.
NFLX Favorites (MINNESOTA) - after scoring 30 points or more last game against opponent after scoring 3 points or less in the first half last game are 4-21 ATS L/27 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Seattle Seahawks to cover
Cleveland Indians starter Mike Clevinger, has been in top form since July 1 as is evident by a perfect 6-0 record along with a stingy 2.39 ERA in 8 quality starts. He goes against a banged up Yankees team, that despite of some clutch hitting looks to be in a regression phase.
Indians are 4-0 in Clevingers last 4 road starts.
Meanwhile, the Yankees will go with veteran CC Sabathia who was 0-2 in July along with a bloated 7.17 ERA in four starts and is now coming of the IL and could easily show some rust. With the added pop in the Tribes batting lineup ie Yasiel Puig and Franmil Reyes and a packed righty batting order, Sabathia looks like cannon fodder.
Indians are 37-17 in their last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML
Alex Smart is so confident in his sports betting prowess, he doesn’t consider it betting. He sees it as an investment, and a more stable, controlled investment than, say, the stock market.
Why is that? Well, unlike the stock market, you have complete control over your bankroll. You risk how much you want, when you want, how you want. If you want to take your money out, you just don’t bet. You can make incremental bets over time and grow your bankroll, without it all being at risk at once.
But in both cases, you’re putting money on the line. And when you bet with Alex, you’re making money over time. But Alex stresses the long game and responsible betting. In his own words, “your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.”
So, how does Alex treat his investments? Well, his investments in college football are up $2,200 over the past two seasons. He has been profitable in every sport you can imagine. He has made top 10 in NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, college basketball, and even WNBA and CFL capping. And that’s just since 2012.
That’s based on $100 bets per game. But Alex is a conservative capper with his eye on long-term profit. He recommends betting only 1-2% of your total bankroll on each pick. And the 2% bets are only special, particularly strong picks. With his money management technique, your profits would be even higher.