Alex Smart

 Mariners starter ANDERSON is 8-0 OVER  on the road when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) ANDERSON is 20-7 OVER in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record) Seattle starter HEARN is 0-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 109.09 and a WHIP of 21.212.

SEATTLE is 15-5 OVER in road games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 2 seasons.

MLB teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (TEXAS) - terrible offensive team (3.6 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, after a loss by 4 runs or more are 30-6 OVER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate.

Play on the OVER 

Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, running up a 14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting he gets continues those previous efforts and finds a way to take down the Giants at home today. Astros are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Astros are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco. 

Giants are 4-15 in their last 19 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.Giants are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.

MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (HOUSTON) - with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), hot hitting team - batting .325 or better over their last 3 games are 28-8 L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the AStros to win 

Greinke (10-3, 3.48 ERA) has dominated the Giants over the years, as is evident by a  14-3 record with a 2.18 ERA over 21 starts. He has never lost at Oracle Park in San Francisco, going 6-0 with a 1.19 ERA in eight starts and Im betting on more top tier pitching action today as Im betting he greatly limits the Giants offence here today. GREINKE is 8-0 UNDER in road games with a team slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season (NL) in his career. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, the Giants counter with left-hander Alex Wood (9-3, 3.65), who has gone 4-0 with a 3.86 ERA in his last eight starts.Like Greinke, he has been brilliant vs the the Astros  allowing just one run and eight hits in 14 career innings over three games, including two starts. He's gone 1-1 with a 0.64 ERA in those games. Im betting on a pitching duel in this spot play. 

MLB  - Any team (SAN FRANCISCO/HOUSTON) - in an inter-league game, in July games are 284-190 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Saturday, Philadelphia right-hander Aaron Nola (7-6, 4.37 ERA) is slated to start opposite Pittsburgh right-hander JT Brubaker (4-10, 4.67).

Phillies starter NOLA is 19-7 OVER  after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

SHELTON is 11-2 OVER  in home games when playing on Saturday as the manager of PITTSBURGH.

The Phillies are 9-0 OVER L/9  on the road after their starter pitched less than 3 innings.Over is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Over is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 vs. National League Central.Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a road favorite.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games.

Over is 7-1 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 4-1-1 in Pirates last 6 games a home underdog.

Play OVER 

The Rockies upset the Padres 9-4 in the first game of this series, but now Im expecting a wide awake Padres team to come back swinging for the proverbial fences and get a win here tonight. The Rockies are 0-11 L/11 on the road off a game as a dog in which they scored 6+ runs.

COLORADO is 2-17 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season like Padres hurler Darvish. 

MLB Road teams (COLORADO) - after a game they hit 4 or more home runs, with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 14-33 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on San Diego to win 

Triston McKenzie (1-4, 5.61 ERA) is set to start for the Indians . The righty   is 0-1 with a 3.71 ERA in three starts this month.McKenzie is also 0-1 with an 8.78 ERA in four career appearances against the White Sox, including three starts, with 25 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings and according to my projections does not matchup well against the White sox batting lineup. CHI WHITE SOX are 28-9  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start over the last 2 seasons. 

The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 when Dallas Keuchel starts as a home favorite.KEUCHEL is 10-2  against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL) are 57-15 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

MLBt eam (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL) are 15-35 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate.

Play on the White Sox to win