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Alex Smart Sports- NHL Stanley Cup Finals Moneyline Power Play
I have isolated a key NHL ML investment opportunity from Saturday nights NHL Finals rotational schedule featuring the Vegas Knights @ Florida Panthers . Join me from now until the Stanley Cup Champs are crowned and watch your ROI go through the roof! Puck drops after 8:20 pm et
Alex Smart Sports- NHL Stanley Cup Finals Moneyline Power Play
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up |
Pick |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Analysis |
| Cubs vs Giants |
Cubs +105 |
Premium |
3-2 |
Win
|
105 |
Show
|
Cubs starter Stroman is on a tear right now winning his L/3 games while posting a minuscule 0.78 ERA. In his current form he gives the Cubbies a strong chance of victory tonight in SF. SAN FRANCISCO is 15-35 against the money line vs. an NL starting pitcher like Stroman whose ERA is 3.20 or better over the last 2 seasons. Giants are 17-45 in their last 62 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 home games. Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 during game 1 of a series. Play on the Chicago Cubs to win |
| Twins vs Blue Jays |
Blue Jays -120 |
Premium |
3-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
Show
|
The Twins have lost 5 straight and are fade material in their current form.
MINNESOTA is 4-16 against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season.
Jays lefty starter KIKUCHI is 17-9 against the money line vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Minnesota has struggled against LHP this season averaging just 3.5 rpg via a nasty looking .224 BA and are a disadvantage tonight that has won 7 of their L/8 games overall while allowing 2 runs or less in 6 of those tilts. MLB underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG .260 or less) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70) -AL, starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing are 8-39 L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Toronto to win |
| Astros vs Guardians |
Astros -118 |
Premium |
9-10 |
Loss |
-118 |
Show
|
Houstons offense has done their best work vs lLHP this season as is evident by averaging 5.5 rpg on a .276 BA and and should one again fair well vs Cleveland's southpaw hurler Allen. Also my pitcher vs power rankings suggest Christian Javier the Astros starter has the edge here, as is evident by a solid 2.84 overall ERA and a recent 1.59 ERA in his L/3 starts all victories. Both sides, have solid bullpens, but the difference maker comes on offense, where Cleveland owns a ugly .233 BA at home where they average just 3.1 rpg. Guardians are 3-7 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series. HOUSTON is 30-15 against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons like Allen. Astros are 40-11 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter like Allen. Astros are 36-17 in their last 53 road games.Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Astros are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.Astros are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Cleveland.Play on Houston to win |
| Mystics vs Storm |
Storm +12½ -110 |
Premium |
73-66 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
|
|
| Nuggets vs Heat |
Nuggets -3½ -105 |
Premium |
108-95 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
The Nuggets after a long lay off had a rust vs rest situation manifest positively for them in game 1 against a tired group of the Heat. However, in game 2 you could see the Nuggets looked less than cohesive despite of entering the 4th quarter of that tilt up by 8 points before completely falling apart in the 4th quarter for their first loss at home in these play offs. Then came game 3 where the rust was completely off as the Nuggets dominated a Heat side that is now suffering regression after a strong play off run. Still the fresher of both sides and according to my power rankings the superior side , the Nuggets get the nod again as road favs in game 4. From a overall SRS perspective Denver is the superior side. Note: Denver ranks 6th in the league with a +3.04 mark while Miami ranks 19th with a -0.13 mark. So according to this SIMPLE RATING SYSTEM -a rating that takes into account average point differential and strength of schedule. The rating is denominated in points above/below average, where zero is average the Nuggets are the true favs even with home court advantage taken into consideration. the lines-makers have it right, and with that said, Im also on the Nuggets to pull a game 4 victory out and grab the cover in the process.
MIAMI is 10-22 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) - 2nd half of the season this season. DENVER is 29-12 ATS after having won 2 of their last 3 games this season. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - averaging 45 or less rebounds/game on the season, after a game being out-rebounded by opponent by 20 or more are 14-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 70% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Underdogs (MIAMI) - when trailing in a playoff series, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season are 14-38 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate. Play on the Denver Nuggets to cover |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Jun 10 '23, 3:10 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
MLB |
Padres vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies +119 at circa
Game Analysis
San Diego beat Colorado 9-6 on Friday in the opener of a three-game series at Denver, but that has not been a good omen in the past for the Fathers as they have lost 5 of 6 after a victory.
Padres starter WEATHERS is 0-7 against the money line when playing against a struggling team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)COLORADO is 9-3 against the money line in home games vs. a starting pitcher who gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season like Weathers. Weathers is 0-1 with a 9.69 ERA in his four career appearances (three starts) against the Rockies, all of which came in his rookie year of 2021. More pain to come here today is my bet.
The Rockies stater FREELAND is 34-16 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .390 or worse on the season (NL) since 1997. (Team's Record) FREELAND is 41-23 against the money line in day games in his career. (Team's Record) note: Freeland, who will face the Padres for the second time this season threw six scoreless innings in the second game of the season to get the victory.
Play on Colorado to win
SAN DIEGO is 3-11 against the money line on the road when the total is 11 or higher over the last 3 seasons.Padres are 17-35 in their last 52 road games with the total set at 11 or higher.Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Padres are 2-9 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Pick Released on Jun 10 at 08:50 am
Alex Smart is so confident in his sports betting prowess, he doesn’t consider it betting. He sees it as an investment, and a more stable, controlled investment than, say, the stock market.
Why is that? Well, unlike the stock market, you have complete control over your bankroll. You risk how much you want, when you want, how you want. If you want to take your money out, you just don’t bet. You can make incremental bets over time and grow your bankroll, without it all being at risk at once.
But in both cases, you’re putting money on the line. And when you bet with Alex, you’re making money over time. But Alex stresses the long game and responsible betting. In his own words, “your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.”
So, how does Alex treat his investments? Well, his investments in college football are up $2,200 over the past two seasons. He has been profitable in every sport you can imagine. He has made top 10 in NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, college basketball, and even WNBA and CFL capping. And that’s just since 2012.
That’s based on $100 bets per game. But Alex is a conservative capper with his eye on long-term profit. He recommends betting only 1-2% of your total bankroll on each pick. And the 2% bets are only special, particularly strong picks. With his money management technique, your profits would be even higher.
