Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing CBB 152-93 ATS 62% overall conversion rate that has made my dime players more than $49000.00 in bankroll expanding profits.
NBA Picks (+6104) 1621-1439 L3060 53%
Basketball Totals (+6070) 879-748 L1627 54%
MLB Money Lines (+5768) 828-730 L1558 53%
NCAA-B Picks (+5000) 154-94 L248 62%
All Sports Totals (+4895) 1475-1309 L2784 53%
NCAA-F Picks (+4008) 968-845 L1813 53%
Football Picks (+2885) 193-149 L342 56%
NHL Totals (+2569) 210-173 L383 55%
NFL Picks (+1235) 126-103 L229 55%
WNBA Sides (+320) 128-115 L243 53%
NFLX Sides (+281) 7-4 L11 64%
CFL Totals (+246) 10-7 L17 59%
Fighting Picks (+245) 2-0 L2 100%
Soccer Totals (+100) 1-0 L1 100%
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| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clippers vs Bulls | OVER 225½ -110 | Premium | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Akron vs Buffalo | Akron -2 -110 | Premium | 81-64 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Fresno State vs Wyoming | Fresno State +4½ -110 | Premium | 62-85 | Loss | -110 | Show |
| Kansas State vs Kansas | Kansas -6½ -115 | Premium | 78-90 | Win | 100 | Show |
The Toronto Maple Leafs host the Boston Bruins in each team’s final tilt before the all-star break. The Bruins have lost three straight and have looked tired of late after playing non stop top tier hockey for 3 and half months. Look for the Leafs to take advantage of what looks to be a out of gas opponent.
TORONTO is 16-3 ATS in home games against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons. TORONTO is 7-0 ATS in home games against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
NHL Road Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (BOSTON) - good defensive team - allowing 2.55 or less goals/game on the season, after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 12-33 L/5 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate.
Play on Toronto to win on the ML
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Albany despite of a sub par record matches up well against Umass -Lowell beating tem January at home by a 89-63 count. I know revenge is now on board for the home side , but it must be noted UMASS-LOWELL is 0-7 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -6.7.
ALBANY is 34-16 ATS in road games against conference opponents.ALBANY is 19-6 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game.
CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (UMASS-LOWELL) - a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less are 8-34 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Albany to cover
The Sixers let a 21-point lead disappear as they lost 119-109 to the Magic on Monday. Now in the rematch game, Im betting the Sixers D, will be ready to rebound after the lazy effort they put forward in their last game . note: The Sixers ranks 23rd in pace and 4th in ppg defense.
ORLANDO is 17-7 UNDER in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts over the last 2 seasons. ORLANDO is 33-19 UNDER in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons
NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (PHILADELPHIA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, good team, winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 40-15 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
The Florida Gators, despite of a 64-50 loss at fifth-ranked Kansas State in SEC/Big12 competition , have won five of six in league play and deserve respect here at home vs Tennessee.Florida has held 11 of its previous 13 opponents to under 40-percent shooting, including seven of its eight SEC opponents and Im betting it will once again be their defense that keeps them competitive against this top tier Vols program.
FLORIDA is 7-0 ATS after scoring 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS in road games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
Play on Florida to cover
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
Army defeated the Lehigh Mountain Hawks 80-78 in their last meeting on Dec. 30. Lehigh has however claimed the last two meetings inside Stabler Arena, the recent one coming in the Patriot League Quarterfinal where the Mountain Hawks came out on top, 91-77. Im betting on Lehigh getting revenge here tonight and to notch their 10th straight win overall.
CBB underdog (ARMY) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games are 4-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 87% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Lehigh to cover
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies, revenge scenarios and play off seeding desperation are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned.
My totals projection comes in at 146 giving us a full two possession edge to the over on this totals offering.
AUBURN is 8-0 OVER versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 147.9 ppg scored.AUBURN is 20-8 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 148.9 ppg scored.Pearl is 17-7 OVER in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% or better of their attempts after 15+ games as the coach of AUBURN with a combined average of 151.4 ppg scored.
GEORGIA is 14-5 OVER in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of 42% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 154.6 ppg going on the board.GEORGIA is 8-1 OVER in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 156.5 ppg scored.GEORGIA is 12-4 OVER as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 148.5 ppg going on the scoreboard.
CBB Road teams against the total (GEORGIA) - excellent free throw shooting team (73% or better ) against a good free throw shooting team (69-73%), in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +6 reb/game) after 15+ games are 50-17 OVER L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 149.3 ppg going on the scoreboard.
Play over
Alex Smart is so confident in his sports betting prowess, he doesn’t consider it betting. He sees it as an investment, and a more stable, controlled investment than, say, the stock market.
Why is that? Well, unlike the stock market, you have complete control over your bankroll. You risk how much you want, when you want, how you want. If you want to take your money out, you just don’t bet. You can make incremental bets over time and grow your bankroll, without it all being at risk at once.
But in both cases, you’re putting money on the line. And when you bet with Alex, you’re making money over time. But Alex stresses the long game and responsible betting. In his own words, “your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.”
So, how does Alex treat his investments? Well, his investments in college football are up $2,200 over the past two seasons. He has been profitable in every sport you can imagine. He has made top 10 in NBA, MLB, NHL, college football, college basketball, and even WNBA and CFL capping. And that’s just since 2012.
That’s based on $100 bets per game. But Alex is a conservative capper with his eye on long-term profit. He recommends betting only 1-2% of your total bankroll on each pick. And the 2% bets are only special, particularly strong picks. With his money management technique, your profits would be even higher.