Alex Smart

The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in the last eight games versus Boston including 4-0 SU and ATS at home and get the nod tonight on a inflated line. I know the often injured Curry is not 100% for this game, but whether he plays or not I like getting points in this spot.

The Warriors have won five of their last seven games as underdogs against the Celtics.The Celtics have lost four of their last five games against Warriors teams that held a winning record. The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games.

The Celtics are 16-25-1 ATS on the season thankis to the linemkaers offering bloated lines, Im betting we get another chance to cash here on a line that screams irrational exuberence.

Play on Warriors to cover

Chicago allowed a struggling Portland team to take them out last night, and now on tired legs are in even bigger trouble vs a Clippers side, that have won 21 of their last 22 games against Central Division opponents that held a losing record and off a win vs the Lakers last time out . Note:LA Clippers off a home win are 12-2 ATS L/14 overall.  The Bulls have lost each of their last five games and  have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as home favorites. The  Bulls have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents following a loss and are fade material here vs a up trending Clippers team, that has won the L/4 meetings in this series SU/ATS.

Play on Clippers to cover

The Islanders were shut out 2-0 by the Blue Jackets on Oct. 30 in their only meeting this season.  Yes, so the Isles will have revenge on board and are motivated by the fact they need victories to stay in contention for a post season appearance. ( the odds of NYI making the playoffs currently resides at 23%. However, the Islanders have been sub par at home in the UBS Arena during the current campaign ,as is evident by recording  their worst home win percentage (.381) in decade plus. The Isles are also a highly inconsistent group so their 4-1 win vs San Jose last time  against another sub par squad should not be looked as an up-trending situation as they have not won 2 straight at home yet this season. Meanwhile, the  Blue Jackets lost their last game 1-0 in a shootout but have won 10 of their last 14 games since just before Christmas , and have smashed and grabbed their way to getting points in 12 of those tilts and are playing well enough to upend the Islanders in this spot play.

Play on the Columbus Blue Jackets on the moneyline 

The public really seems to like the over here as the overall  market according to the amount of bets made  shows a majority of betters on this being a higher scoring affair, but in contrarian fashion I will go against the public as I project a lower scoring affair that stays on the low side of the offering. In the L/12 national championship games the public has yet to cash with their assumptions going 0-11-1. Also despite of the public being on the over, the total has gone down from the opener of 46.5 to 45.5 which means smart money and not the public is moving this line.

Play under

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

 When these teams went head to head this season is result in a 17-14 final score favoring the Buckeyes  in Columbus . Notre Dame looked every bit as good as the home side with the totals yards coming in at 356-351 for Ohio State. Im not sold on the Buckeyes being this much better than the Irish, and after watching them escape their play off games with home run type plays that turned the tides of their tilts , it left me looking a their overall work as average at best. What Im saying here is that Im betting this is just to many points to lay with the Buckeyes and for the hard working and positive team chemistry of Freemans side to be the difference maker today. Note: Ohios States QB Will Howard looked vulnerable  three physically dominating  defenses he faced this year in Michigan, Texas  and Penn State. s key trend: Notre Dame is 14-0-1 ATS in its last 15 games revenging a loss. 

Play on Notre Dame to cover