Alex Smart

The Bulls are a mess and have lost 12 of their L/14 games. Meanwhile, Sacramento had a 3 game winning streak end last time out, losing to a very good Indiana side. Wha tIm betting on here tonight is for Chicago hoops team to continue to struggle in rebuilding mode, and for the Kings to be keen on taking care of business vs a lower tier team. In their last two road games vs sub par competition the Suns and the Cavaliers the Kings came out of those tilts with DD victories and more of the same kind of one sided action looks to be on their agenda tonight .SACRAMENTO is 11-2 ATS when the total is 220 to 229.5 this season.

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover 

LBSU returns a pair of All-Big West honorees from a season ago. Both Yussuf and Booker were Honorable Mention All-Big West selections and are key members on a team that must not be disrespected, despite of their losing record so far this season .  I know Pacific has played well of late, and 7-4 this season and boast a solid 5-1 home record, but I have to stick to my power ranking assessments that say this game should be closer to a 3 point line favouring Pacific thus giving us value backing Long Beach State. 

Play on Long Beach St to cover 

 Marshall is off a hard fought 75-74 loss to Toledo last time out at home and will now be in a letdown spot here in the followup tilt Note: MARSHALL is 7-18 ATS off a home loss by 3 points or less .

Play on Morehead State to cover 

Detroit has taken part in a vicious part of their schedule and are on tired legs. 

DETROIT is 7-18 ATS  in home games when playing their 4th game in 7 days over the last 2 seasons

Red Wings are 8-21 in their last 29 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.Red Wings are 2-7 in their last 9 vs. Pacific.Red Wings are 4-14 in their last 18 vs. Western Conference.Red Wings are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Red Wings are 1-5 in their last 6 home games.Red Wings are 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games.

NHL Home Teams when the money line is -100 to -150 (DETROIT) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team are 9-27 L/5 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Meanwhile, the Kings have momentum, and are off a 5-1 win vs Vegas last time out. 

Kings are 7-1 in their last 8 Monday games.Kings are 16-7 in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

 Considering both teams systems and player personnel Im betting this number is slightly bloated to the upside giving us value with an under wager. My number sits at 147.5 which is close to a 2 possession game in the difference making this viable wagering opportunity. 

PACIFIC is 15-5 UNDER L/20 in home games versus foul prone teams - called for 21 or more fouls/game with a combined average of 133 ppg scored.

LONG BEACH ST is 17-7 UNDER (+9.3 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 14 or less turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.6 ppg scored.

LONG BEACH ST is 11-3 UNDER in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 146.7 ppg scored. 

CBB teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (LONG BEACH ST) - a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season, in December games are 173-119 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 59% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Celtics enter this home contest  having won 5 straight games by an average of 28 ppg and covering by an average of 22 ppg. Meanwhile, New Orleans a team that is on tired legs after playing in Motown last night beating the Pistons, and are also expected to be playing   without their key star Anthony Davis this evening after he collided with Griffin in that game I mentioned.If he does play he will be limited and less than 100%. New Orleans swept the two-game series from the Celtics last year, and now face a red hot, fresh team with revenge on board playing in their own back yard. Note: The Pelicans are 4-10 SU on the road this season, 

NEW ORLEANS is 1-10 ATS  versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36%  or better of their attempts this season. 

Play on the Boston Celtics to cover 

Seattle has been taking part in some back and forth fairly high scoring affairs of late, but Pete Carrol has voiced concern about his D, and especially about the young secondary, and will be concentrating on making sure break downs are kept under control vs the visiting Vikings tonight. Meanwhile, Minnesota remains a defence first team, with a methodical hard nosed old school approach , and should once again be ready to bang and grind tonight in a game that I have pegged to stay under the total. The overall assessment comes from my own power rankings system that uses a system vs system projections. Those estimations points to a combined score that hits in the low 40s ,thus giving us value on the offered number.

Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games in December.Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games on fieldturf. Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 Monday games.Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games following a straight up loss.Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Under is 5-1 in Seahawks last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.

MINNESOTA is 15-6 UNDER vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 39.4 ppg scored.SEATTLE is 10-2 UNDER L/12 in home games after scoring 30 points or more in 2 straight games with a combined average score of 28.8 ppg going on the board.

NFL Road teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (MINNESOTA) - average team (+/- 0.4 YPP) against a poor team (outgained by 0.4 to 1 YPP) after 8+ games are 31-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (SEATTLE) - after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, winning between 51% and 60% of their games in the second half of the season are 48-18 UNDER L/35 seasons 73% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER