Alex Smart

The Royals will send Daniel Lynch (2-2, 4.01 ERA) against Colorado's Austin Gomber (2-3, 4.36) in a matchup of left-handers.

Colorado has averaged 6.2 rpg at home this season and are starting to heat up offensively and have scored 20 runs in the first two game of this series vs KC . Meanwhile, the Royals have averaged 4.4 rpg on the road this season  and have scored 18 runs in 2 games here in Coors Field in the first two games in this series.Kansas City has allowed 10 runs in each of the first two games of the series. Im expecting a continuation of the current scoring  trends. 

Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 interleague games.Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games.Over is 10-2 in Rockies last 12 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.

Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Colorado.

Play on the OVER 

JOE MUSGROVE (R) vs. KYLE WRIGHT (R)

I know the Padres Musgrove have pitched well this season so far, but my matchup stats suggest the Braves bats matchup well against him and they will do enough damage for us to see this combined score eclipsed. Note: 

SAN DIEGO is 7-0 OVER  in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game this season with a combined average of 12.5 rpg scored.SAN DIEGO is 10-1 OVER  in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored. Over is 8-1 in Padres last 9 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Over is 11-3 in Padres last 14 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

ATLANTA is 20-9 OVER  in home games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less errors/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 10.6 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 10-2 OVER  after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 10.2 rpg scored. 

Play OVER 

Adam Wainwright and Yadier Molina will try to become the winningest pitcher-catcher combo of all time when the St. Louis Cardinals host the San Francisco Giants on Sunday night. Im betting they and their teammates will be primed and extremely motivated to do this on tonight at home and on a  national tv broadcast. 

Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter like the Giants Rodon. 

Cardinals are 16-5 in their last 21 games vs. a left-handed starter.

WAINWRIGHT is 92-46  against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)

SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 against the money line after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games this season.

MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (SAN FRANCISCO) - with an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a slugging percentage of .390 or worse over their last 20 games are 9-25 L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Giants are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in St. Louis.

Play on St.Cards to win 

In the series finale, Cincinnati right-hander Hunter Greene (1-5, 7.62 ERA) is scheduled to oppose Pittsburgh left-hander Jose Quintana (1-1, 2.70 ERA). My projections estimate that both batting orders matchup well vs their pitching adversaries , giving us an edge on a over wager. 

In 33 games this season the Reds and their opponents have combined to average 10.1 rpg. 

CINCINNATI is 10-2 OVER vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season with a combined average of 12.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 10-1 in Reds last 11 games following a loss.Over is 11-2-1 in Reds last 14 vs. a team with a losing record.Over is 11-2 in Reds last 13 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.Over is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games as a road underdog.Over is 5-1-2 in Reds last 8 Sunday games.Over is 14-3-1 in Reds last 18 overall.Over is 14-3-1 in Reds last 18 on grass.Over is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 vs. National League Central. Over is 11-5 in Reds last 16 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

 Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.

Over is 6-2 in Pirates last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games following a win.Over is 5-2 in Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

MLB teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (CINCINNATI) - poor hitting team (AVG .250 or less ) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA 2.70 or less) -NL, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA  7.00 or worse over his last 3 starts are 42-12 OVER L/25 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the OVER 

Dallas is coming off its most impressive  performance of the series. Even though they blew a 2-0 lead before pulling away, the Stars controlled the action  especially when the game was on the line in the third period. This team has alot of grit and fortitude, and must be respected to ride the momentum of the last victory here in game 7 on the road. 

Key to the projected win by Dallas will be Dallas  goaltender Jake Oettinger who has been lights out the star of this series.

The Calgary Flames have a best-of-7 NHL playoff series home-ice Game 7 record of 2-4, with an active four-Game 7 losing streak.

Play on Dallas to win 

 The Penguins, lost 5-3 in game 6 but Im betting they bounce back here . Im expecting the experienced Pens behind super stars Malkin and Crosby to be the difference makers and for key big game players like Guentzel and Knutz  to help  find a way for the visitor to advance. It must be noted the Pittsburgh Penguins brandish a road-ice Game 7 record of 6-0 and Im betting they cash for us again in this spot.Penguins are 8-2 in their last 10 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.Rangers are 1-4 in their last 5 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game.

Play on Pittsburgh to win 

Kris Middleton remains out for the Bucks. Dating back to last season, the Bucks are 14-15 SU and 12-17 ATS in games without Middleton. This situation has put alot of pressure on on. Antetokounmpo and he has had to carry this team on his shoulders for much of this series, and watching him in game 6 it became obvious to me that he was exhausted and banged up. Considering this Im betting the Celtics have the edge here in game 7. 

BOSTON is 12-2 ATS  versus good rebounding teams - out-rebounding opponents by 3+ per game this season. BOSTON is 27-10 ATS  versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more  assists/game - 2nd half of the season this season. BOSTON is 21-7 ATS  after a combined score of 205 points or less this season.

MILWAUKEE is 9-22 ATS  in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.MILWAUKEE is 13-30 ATS  after 3 straight games out-rebounding opponent by 5 or more over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Boston to win 

The dominance of home teams continued in this series as the Mavericks cruised to a 113-86 win over the Suns and Im betting nothing changes in game 7. 

PHOENIX is 11-1 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season.

PHOENIX is 19-8 ATS  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicks in at +10.7. 

NBA Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (PHOENIX) - revenging a same season loss vs opponent, off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more are 29-1 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate fro bettors with the average ppg  diff clicking in at +13.7 which qualifies on the ATS line offering. 

Play on Phoenix Suns to cover