Alex Smart

Despite of both these teams shooting horribly of late, it still must be noted that Atlanta is allowing 81 ppg this season overall, and here at home despite of being banged up Im betting Dallas does some damage, and Atlanta reciprocates with some offensive fireworks of their own, which will result in a total that will be eclipsed. 

These teams have gone over in 11 of their L/14 meetings and 3-0 OVER here in Dallas. 

Play OVER 

Still without injured star Angel McCoughtry, Atlanta's averaging just 69.0 points -   shooting a league-worst 36.6 percent. The Dream also allowed at least 82 points in each of their first three losses before falling 65-59 to Connecticut on Sunday and are fade material in their current form.Dallas is struggling to the franchise's worst start since relocating to the Dallas 0-5  in 2016, the Wings have been hit hard by injuries , but still have enough guns to chase their first win and more importantly get us the cover. Dallas has won the L/3 meetings here and gets the nod again to cover.

Play on the Dallas Wings to cover 

After earning back his spot in the starting rotation, Wacha threw six scoreless innings against the Marlins on Monday in the Cardinals' 4-1 win. He gave up five hits while walking two and striking out four and is now getting his confidence back and has momentum entering this tilt vs the NY Mets. I know Mets starter Syndergaard  had a top tier start last time out, but in his his three previous starts, he produced a 6.00 ERA , with inconsistency being his key problem. 

Wacha is 5-2 with a 2.53 ERA in seven career starts against the Mets. Syndergaard is 1-3 with a 3.73 ERA in five starts against the Cardinals. 

NY METS are 4-11  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with poor control (more than 2.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons. 

ST LOUIS is 10-2  against the money line vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse this season. 

Mets are 2-5 in Syndergaards last 7 starts vs. National League Central.Mets are 2-7 in Syndergaards last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts on grass.Mets are 1-8 in Syndergaards last 9 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Cardinals are 20-6 in Wachas last 26 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.Cardinals are 11-4 in Wachas last 15 starts vs. National League East.Cardinals are 35-16 in Wachas last 51 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Cardinals are 4-1 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. Mets.Mets are 1-4 in Syndergaards last 5 starts vs. Cardinals.

Play on the St.Louis Cardinals to win on ML

New York pitching staff has  allowed at least five runs in each of the last seven games, going 2-5 in that span, and were blasted by a  10-2 count  on Friday . The White Sox have now on 5 of the L/6 meetings vs the NYY, and are my choice here tonight, with Lopez on the hill. My pitcher vs batting order power rankings also suggests the White Sox have the edge with Lopez. Note:Lopez  owned the Yankees batting order in two starts against New York last season, allowing a total of two runs and nine hits in 14 innings while striking out 12.

White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 home games.

Yankees are 3-8 in their last 11 overall.Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 games on grass.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Play on the Chicago White Sox to win on the ML

Astros will send  left-hander Framber Valdez (2-2, 2.73 ERA) to the hill. He hd a quality outing last time  in his previous start, allowing one run on five hits with seven strikeouts over seven innings Valdez, who made his big-league debut Aug. 21, 2018, went 4-1 as a rookie and is 6-1 with a 2.30 ERA over six career starts for Houston. Meanwhile,Left-hander Clayton Richard (0-2, 7.04 ERA) will start for the Blue Jays in the middle game of the series. 

HOUSTON is 20-6 SU vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season with the average margin of victory coming by 2.4 rpg. TORONTO is 7-20 against the money line after a 3 game span where the bullpen threw 13 total innings or more this season with the average run differential clicking in at 2.7 rpg. 

MLB Road teams (TORONTO) - ice cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 20 games, after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 6 or more earned runs are 12-37 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the RL

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Phillies RH Aaron Nola (6-1, 4.58 ERA) vs. Braves LH Sean Newcomb (1-0, 2.59)

Nola the Phillies starter is 4-0 with a 2.73 ERA in his last six starts while averaging 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings and giving up 31 hits in 33 innings  of top tier work.Nola is 8-3 with a 2.05 ERA in 13 career starts against Atlanta. He has more wins against the Braves than any other club and gets my support in this spot. 

Braves are 5-11 in their starters Newcombs last 16 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.Braves are 1-4 in Newcombs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.Braves are 1-5 in Newcombs last 6 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Braves are 0-4 in Newcombs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. 

PHILADELPHIA is 12-1  against the money line after scoring and allowing 8 runs or more in a game over the last 3 seasons which was the case yesterday in a 9-8 loss to the Braves. 

Play on Philadelphia to win on the ML

Both BC and Winnipeg should have viable offences this season, and some pundits expect a shootout. However, both should also be defensively staunch. The Bombers will have defensive stalwart Adam Bighill back and  he is joined by the best defensive free agent signing of any team this offseason in Willie Jefferson. Meanwhile, Claybrooks the former Grey Cup champion defensive coordinator in Calgary takes over here in BC, and Im betting will have this stopping group humming with energy. 

 Under is 5-1 in Blue Bombers last 6 vs. West.Under is 4-1 in Blue Bombers last 5 games overall.

Under is 4-0-1 in Lions last 5 Saturday games.Under is 4-0 in Lions last 4 games in Week 1.Under is 5-1 in Lions last 6 games in June.Under is 5-1-2 in Lions last 8 vs. West.Under is 6-2-1 in Lions last 9 home games.

Play UNDER 

The Ottawa Red Blacks offence  were decimated via free agency in the off season and have a QB in Dominique Davis, who is talented but raw and will be learning on the job. So scoring consistently at least early on this season will be a problem for the RedBlack, and here today in Calgary.  Meanwhile, the defending Grey Cup Champion have also had big turnovers on D, but brand new defensive coordinator Brent Monson has what it takes to keep this defence operating at a very high level. The Stamps offence should remain competent , but a Campbell coached team ( Ottawa) are tough as nails and wont be easily beaten up on from the line of scrimmage. With that said Im betting a total score that stays on the low side of the total. 

CALGARY is 16-4 UNDER in June games since 1996. 

Play UNDER