NFL Teasers account for only a small percentage of sportsbook handles each week. But they are becoming more and more popular even though they are a little more advanced than moneyline or spread bets. I’ll provide some info on how to bet teasers and offer my favorite NFL teasers each week of the 2020 season for free.
A teaser bet is a group of straight bets that combine two or more bets into one. Each line is shifted into your favor by the number of points of the teaser. The three main NFL teasers are 6, 6.5 and 7 points, but 10-point teasers and 13-point teasers are also very popular. The 6, 6.5 and 7 point teasers have a minimum of two teams, while the 10-point teaser is a minimum of 3 teams, and the 13-point teaser is a minimum of 4.
I’ll only be giving out 2-team 6-point teasers and 3-team 10-point teasers this season. A 2-team 6-point teaser (-105) where ties win costs $105 to win $100. A 3-team 10-point teaser (-115) where ties reduce costs $115 to win $100. I’ll be sticking to these two teasers all season.
An example of a 6-point teaser that makes sense to me is to buy favorites of -6 to -9 down to a PK or -3, somewhere between that range. It also makes sense to buy an an underdog of +1 to +3 up to +7 and +9, or somewhere in between. That’s because you are crossing key numbers of 3, 4 and 7.
So, let’s say there are are two teams I like in the Packers -7.5 and the Saints +1. I’ll buy the Packers to -1.5 and the Saints to +7. If the Packers win by 2 or more and the Saints lose by exactly 7, a 6-point teaser where ties win would actually yield a winning bet even though the Saints pushed on the teaser line.
The same rules apply for 10-point teasers. You want to cross as many key numbers as you can. Getting a favorite of -10 to -12.5 and taking them down to a PK to -2.5 would be a good bet. It’s also smart to take small dogs of +1 to +2.5 and take them up to +11 and +12.5. I won’t always only take teams in this range, but I will certainly look to cross as many key numbers as possible. Sometimes it will just be feel based on how strongly I feel about a team. If I like a 13-point underdog to cover the spread, I’m certainly going to like them at +23 even more.
Let’s just get right into it and give you my two favorite teasers for Week 17 of the 2020 season. I’ll be providing teasers every week for the rest of the year. Enjoy!
I won my 6-point teaser on the Steelers +7.5 and Cowboys +8.5. Both teams won their games outright as we didn’t need the teaser lines. The Steelers won 28-24 over the Colts, but it wasn’t without drama as they trailed 24-7 early before outscoring them 21-0 the rest the way. And the Cowboys crushed the Eagles 37-17 to pull the outright upset.
This week I’m using one favorite and one underdog. I’m teasing the Titans from -7 down to -1 at the Texans. The Titans need a win to clinch the AFC South title, while the Texans just gave up 37 points and over 500 yards to the Bengals and can’t stop anyone. I’m also teasing the Rams from +2.5 up to +8.5 at home against the Cardinals. Even without Goff they will probably win this game because Sean McVey owns the Cardinals, going 7-0 in his last seven meetings with them with an average margin of victory of 21.3 PPG.
I lost my 10-point teaser last week. The Bucs PK beat the Lions 47-7 and the Ravens PK beat the Giants 27-13. At the time I released my 10-pointer, the Browns PK were -10 against the Jets. Then COVID struck them and they went down to 6.5-point favorites. The Browns lost outright to the Jets 16-23 for a tough beat on that 10-pointer.
This week I considered using the Browns again against the Steelers, who are supposed to be resting starters. But I don’t trust them. Instead I’m going with the Panthers from +6 up to +16 against the Saints, the Cowboys from -1 to +9 against the Giants and the Dolphins from +1 to +11 against the Bills.