Week 4’s Monday Night Football game pits the Washington Redskins on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs. Can Washington survive the hostile Kansas City environment or will the Chiefs use that home field advantage to dominate the Redskins? Kickoff inside Arrowhead Stadium is at 8:30 P.M. ET.
Washington (2-1) is coming off an impressive victory over the Oakland Raiders where they amassed 472 yards on offense and scored 27 points. Even more impressive, was their defensive effort as they held the Raiders to just 128 total yards and forced 3 turnovers. Can Washington duplicate this defensive effort against the Chiefs?
Kansas City (3-0) is one of only 2 undefeated teams in the league. The Chiefs are coming off a solid divisional victory over the Los Angeles Chargers where they held them to just 10 points. KC looks scary this season, especially at home. Will they remain undefeated on Monday Night Football or will they suffer their first loss of the season?
The spread opened with Kansas City favored by 8 points. It has since come down to -7 points. If you can find it lower than 7, I would jump all over it. The Over/Under has remained unchanged at 49.5 total points.
I can’t help feeling sorry for Washington as they have to play in a hostile environment like KC on a Monday Night. That crowd is going to be amazing as they will their team to victory. And, make no mistake about it, the Chiefs will get the victory.
KC is averaging 31 points per game, 420 total yards per game and 162 rushing yards per game. Rookie running back Kareem Hunt has been awesome through 3 weeks so far, as he has gained 401 yards rushing and 4 TDs. Additionally, he’s added 9 receptions for 137 yards and 2 touchdowns. He’s not only looking like the best rookie this season, but he’s also looking like an early season MVP candidate.
Washington is giving up 136 rushing yards per game and you can bet that KC will take advantage of this weakness. I expect Hunt to eclipse this number by the end of the game. Look for Washington to commit to stopping the run in the first half, but KC wearing them down in the second half which will open up running lanes and allow Hunt to rush all over the Washington defense. If Washington gives up big running lanes early in the game, then it will be a long night for them and KC will roll in this one. As of now, I expect it to be close until the 4th quarter when KC opens up a comfortable lead and covers the spread.
For Washington, they need a big game from quarterback Kick Cousins, who is starting to heat up. On the season, Cousins has 784 yards passing and 5 touchdowns compared to 1 interception. He will need to outplay KC’s Alex Smith for Washington to have a chance. Last week, Cousins put up 365 passing yards and 3 touchdowns on the Raiders. He will need similar stats this game for Washington to have a chance at pulling off the upset.
Unfortunately, I don’t see that happening. KC is +4 in the turnover differential department and I expect them to get a few more takeaways this game, while being careful not to turn the ball over themselves. KC is also one of the top teams in the league with 11 sacks already. I expect the Chiefs defense to get after Cousins as they shut down Washington’s run game and make the offense one-dimensional.
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against Washington. KC is 5-0 against Washington in their last 5 head-to-head meetings and are 3-0 ATS this season.
Look for KC to come out aggressive early on and get the crowd fired up. This will make it hard for Washington on offense, which gives the Chiefs defense even more of an advantage. Kansas City will establish the run in this game, even against one of the league’s best rush defenses in Washington who’s only allowing 62 yards per game on the ground. I expect KC to double this number on their way to victory in an enjoyable Monday Night Football game. Look for KC to win 31-20.