NFL Betting Preview: Chiefs vs Giants Odds, Pick and Prediction

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The New York Giants will continue their miserable season this weekend as they host the AFC West leading Kansas City Chiefs. KC is coming off a much needed bye week after losing in Dallas and 3 out of their last 4 games. They head across country to take on a Giants team that is just counting down the days until the season is over. Kickoff inside MetLife Stadium is at 1 PM ET.

Las Vegas Betting Lines and NFL Game Preview: Chiefs vs Giants

Since 2001, the Giants hold a 3-1 record against the Chiefs. These two teams last played in 2013 and KC won that game 31-7.

Kansas City (6-3) is not overlooking the Giants this weekend as head coach Andy Reid is keeping the team focused. Reid is 16-13 against the Giants all time and his teams are 16-2 following a bye week. On paper and on the field, the Chiefs are clearly the better team and they will look to pounce all over a terrible Giants team.

The Giants (1-8) are 0-4 at home this season and this weekend will most likely make them 0-5. Nothing is going right for the Giants as they just lost to the winless 49ers team last weekend. They’ve been outscored 82-38 over their last two games and they will most likely lose in a blowout this weekend too.

The spread opened with the Chiefs favored by 13 points, but it has come down to 10.5 points. The Over/Under opened at 44 points and has gone up to 45.5 total points.

NFL Game Prediction and Free Vegas Spread Bet: KC Chiefs -10.5

Heading into the Bye Week, the Chiefs’ offense had taken a step back from their early season success. They’ve struggled with converting 3rd downs, going 17 of 49 over their last 4 games. Additionally, their offensive total yards has dropped off during that span as have their ppg. Over those 4 games, KC averaged 22 ppg, which was roughly a touchdown less than what they were averaging prior to that stretch.

This weekend, is a “get right” game as they play against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Giants allow 400 yards per game and 26.4 ppg. They have lost 3 straight games and have given up an average of 35 ppg, while only scoring 15 ppg.

KC will be able to impose their will on both sides of the ball. Offensively, Alex Smith will have a great game against the 30th ranked pass defense. Smith, 5th leading passer in the league, is averaging roughly 271 passing yards per game and has a spectacular ratio of 18 touchdown passes to 1 interception.

When Smith isn’t lighting up the Giants, running back Kareem Hunt will run all over the Giants who are near the bottom of the league in rush defense at over 132 rushing yards per game. Hunt is the 2nd leading rusher in the NFL with 800 rushing yards on the season. He also has 4 rushing touchdowns on the ground.

For the Giants on offense, they rely on Eli Manning to try and move the football. Unfortunately, with no real receiving threats, Manning is struggling through his worst season in a long time. Additionally, the Giants have one of the worst rushing attacks in the league at just 89 yards per game. With no run game, no real receiving threats, and a weak offensive line, Kansas City is going to maul the Giants this weekend.

Kansas City is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, and 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games during the month of November. The Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games, 1-5 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on turf. The Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 head-to-head meetings.

I expect KC to light up the scoreboard in this one. Don’t be surprised if they put up 40+ points against an outmatched opponent. Look for the Chiefs defense to make the Giants offense miserable all game. Smith will surpass 250 passing yards and 3 touchdown throws, while Hunt will go off on the Giants for 150+ total yards and 2 touchdowns. I like the Chiefs to win this game 41-13.

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