Kansas City Chiefs vs Dallas Cowboys Preview and Vegas Betting Lines

On Sunday, the Kansas City Chiefs head down to Texas for a battle with the Dallas Cowboys. This game has been overshadowed by the 6 game suspension of Cowboys top running back Ezekiel Elliott. Without Elliott, the Cowboys will have to rely on their passing game and backup running backs. Can the Cowboys win at home or will KC steamroll them? Kickoff inside AT&T Stadium is at 4:25 PM ET.

Vegas Betting Lines and NFL Game Preview: Chiefs vs Cowboys

Since 2005, Dallas is 2-1 against Kansas City. However, these two teams have not played against each other since 2013 and KC won that game 17-16.

Kansas City (6-2) is coming off a tough divisional victory over the Denver Broncos at home. They hit the road this week where they are 3-1 on the season. KC lost 2 straight games prior to their victory over the Broncos. The Chiefs needs to win this game to remain 2 games ahead of everyone in their division and to keep pace with other AFC contenders: Steelers and Patriots.

Dallas (4-3) is in desperation mode. They have won two straight games, but have to play the next 6 without their top running back and main offensive weapon. Although they have capable backups, they are not on the same level as Zeke. With a loss, Dallas will fall further behind in the NFC East division and the NFC wild card race.

The spread opened with Dallas favored by a point. The books are split with some still holding to this spread and some calling the game Even. The Over/Under opened at 48.5 points and has gone up to 51.5 total points.

Free Vegas Spread Pick and Game Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs +1

I am actually surprised at how little the spread is without Zeke playing. KC was the best team in the NFL as of 3 weeks ago and are still one of the best in the AFC. Not to mention, they are better than Dallas.

KC comes into this game averaging 29.5 points per game, which is #3 in the NFL. Running back Kareem Hunt leads the league in rushing and only Tom Brady has better numbers than Alex Smith on the season. And, let’s not forget that Smith and KC went into Foxboro and destroyed the Patriots in Week 1 of the season.

Dallas is giving up 106 rushing yards per game and they will have a very difficult time stopping Hunt. Even if they can contain KC’s top back, Dallas gives up 250 passing yards per game, which bodes well for Alex Smith who already has 2,181 passing yards and 16 passing touchdowns on the season. In fact, Smith has no interceptions and is being whispered as a candidate for NFL MVP.

For the Cowboys, they will have to make do with McFadden and Morris as their running backs. Both players have been starting running backs before and are capable of playing solid football. Unfortunately, they are not as good as Zeke and they’re no real threat to KC.

The Chiefs defense has been rather bad at times as they allow over 400 total yards per game, which is #30 in the league. They also give up 22.5 points per game. These numbers look good to Dallas fans, but their offensive success has been predicated on Elliott being in the lineup. Without Zeke, we don’t know how well Dallas can play with this cast of characters. For that fact alone, KC is a juicy pick as we do know what they can do.

Chiefs will get back a few injured players on defense and that will definitely improve this bottom ranked squad. Will it be enough to shut down the Cowboys? Probably not, but it will definitely be enough for KC to win the game.

At this point in the season, KC has the better RB, QB, and TE. And that will make a huge difference on the road. Dallas is 1-2 at home on the season and I just don’t think they have any advantage in this game. They have played against two injury plagued, dysfunctional teams in the 49ers and Washington. Prior to that, they lost to the Rams and Green Bay. KC has just as good of an offense as those two teams, and I expect a similar outcome this week. Look for Smith to have a big game as he throws for over 300 yards and 2 touchdowns. Hunt will get his yards too, and the Chiefs will be too much for Dallas to handle. Cowboys fans need to brace for a rough patch without Elliott.

KC is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. Dallas is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.

Look for KC to win this one 34-23.

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