Week 15 NFL Odds: Point Spreads & Game Predictions

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Looking back at Week 14 of the season it looks like the books did pretty well.  Favorites went 11-4 overall, but just 5-7 against the spread. Three games were pushes based on the closing line, so those could have gone either way depending on what odds were available when they were bet.

Home teams got murdered this week by the point spread. They went 9-7 straight up, but just 3-10 against the number (with those 3 pushes). This seems to be a trend in 2019. Traditionally home teams cover just as often as they don’t, right around 50% of the time. ¬†This year, however, they are just 84-114-8, hitting at a mere 41.5% clip. If the season were to end today, it would be by far the worst winning percentage home teams have had against the spread since 1989, which is as far as our records go back.

What’s even crazier is that these teams are losing by an average margin of over 2 points to the spread. That means oddsmakers are either off of their game, or that home field advantage has started to deteriorate. Home favorites have a worse winning percentage than dogs (39.2% vs 42.9%), but home underdogs are getting blown out by nearly 3.5 points per game more than the closing line. Let’s take a look at this week’s lines and see if there are any potential places to exploit this.

Week 15 NFL Betting Lines & Free Picks Against the Spread

If you were looking for home dogs to fade this week, you’d probably start with the Bengals. They are 9.5 point underdogs to the Patriots. Sure, New England has looked awful these past two weeks, but they just recently had another taping scandal exposed and if history is any indication this will do nothing but motivate the Pats on Sunday. Their defense is still great and the Bengals are really just awful all around.

It might also be worth taking a look at the Seahawks at Carolina. The Panthers are a hard team to pin down, but they are just 2-4 at home and are on a five game losing streak. They might just be mailing it in.

Below you’ll find the odds for all of this week’s games. You’ll also find a link to a betting preview for each matchup as they are posted.

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Week 15 NFL Odds (From Bookmaker)

Date/Time Matchup Spread Total Preview
Thu Dec 12th
9:20 PM
New York Jets
Baltimore Ravens
14.5
-14.5
45 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Redskins
-4.5
4.5
40 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers
4
-4
40.5 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
New England Patriots
Cincinnati Bengals
-9
9
41 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans
3
-3
50 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Seattle Seahawks
Carolina Panthers
-6
6
47.5 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs
9.5
-9.5
46 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
2:00 PM
Miami Dolphins
New York Giants
3.5
-3.5
46.5 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
5:05 PM
Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland Raiders
6.5
-6.5
45.5 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
5:05 PM
Cleveland Browns
Arizona Cardinals
-3
3
48 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
5:05 PM
Minnesota Vikings
Los Angeles Chargers
-2.5
2.5
44.5 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
5:25 PM
Atlanta Falcons
San Francisco 49ers
10.5
-10.5
47 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
5:25 PM
Los Angeles Rams
Dallas Cowboys
-1
1
48.5 Preview
Sun Dec 15th
9:20 PM
Buffalo Bills
Pittsburgh Steelers
2
-2
36.5 Preview
Mon Dec 16th
9:15 PM
Indianapolis Colts
New Orleans Saints
9
-9
46 Preview

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