Top Handicapper Jack Jones Expert Sport Picks

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Portland Trail Blazers -8

The Portland Trail Blazers are motivated to improve their standing in the play-in battling it out with the Warriors and Clippers for the 8th spot here down the stretch.  They are as healthy as they have been in a long time with the only key player they are missing being Shaedon Sharpe.

While the Blazers are rested and ready to go Sunday playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, the Philadelphia 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a lackluster 104-97 win over the tanking Nets yesterday.  The 76ers will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days.

They just aren't equipped to handle this tough rest situation right now considering they are without four of their top five scorers in Maxey (29.0 PPG), Embiid (26.6 PPG), George (16.0 PPG) and Oubre (16.0 PPG).  I don't think they'll have anything left in the tank for Portland tonight.

The 76ers are 3-5 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall with their three wins coming against tanking teams in the Nets, Grizzlies and Jazz.  They were blown out by all five playoff contenders during this stretch with all five losses coming by 9 points or more, and four by 14 points or more.  Bet the Blazers Sunday.

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15* Warriors/Knicks NBC ANNIHILATOR on New York -13.5

The New York Knicks are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall with their three losses coming on the road to the Lakers and Clippers, and at home to the Thunder by 3.  They have crushed everyone else winning by 29 at Milwaukee, by 25 at home over San Antonio, by 16 at Toronto, by 39 at Denver, by 17 at Utah and by 9 at Indiana.  Now they will make easy work of the Warriors today.

Golden State has elected to rest 7 of their top 8 scorers with a much more winnable game on deck against the Wizards tomorrow.  They are basically punting this game.  They will be without Curry, Butler, Porzingis, Melton, Moody, Green and Horford today.

It's not like the Warriors have been playing well even when they've had some of these guys available.  The Warriors are 5-12 SU & 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall with two of those wins coming against Memphis.  They also lost outright to the tanking Jazz and Bulls in two of their last three games coming in.  They stand no chance of keeping this game competitive today.  Bet the Knicks Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Mavs/Cavs OVER 235.5

This will be a rematch from a 135-108 win by the Cavaliers over the Mavericks on Friday for 243 combined points.  The blowout let both teams rest their starters in a low scoring 4th quarter.  Both should come back fresh for this rematch Sunday.

The Mavericks are such an OVER team right now because their big men are hurt and they have to play small ball.  They rank 5th in pace this season and are playing a lot faster.  They have Cooper Flagg back healthy and they do have some nice pieces on offense and some good shooters.  They just aren't capable of playing good defense right now, allowing 120 or more points in 12 of their last 17 games overall.

The Cavaliers rank 5th in offensive rating this season and have built a chemistry with James Harden.  They lost 128-122 in Orlando for 250 combined points prior to their 138-105 win over the Mavericks last time out for 243 combined points.  They will hang a big number on the Mavs again, and Dallas should shoot better than the 27.3% from 3 they did in the first meeting as we get another OVER.  

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Cleveland and Dallas with 243, 245, 256 and 240 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

25* SEC Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Vanderbilt ML -130

Vanderbilt had the tougher path to the SEC Tournament Championship Game.  But they will be the fresher team because they made such easy work of their two opponents.  After beating Tennessee 75-68 on Friday, the Commodores came back with a 91-74 win over Florida on Saturday.

They also played in the early game Saturday so they have that extra 3 hours of rest over Arkansas.  And because they blew out Florida, only two players played more than 30 minutes for them yesterday.  They were able to rest their starters in the final minutes.

Meanwhile, Arkansas was life and death with Oklahoma on Friday in a 82-79 win.  They were life and death with Ole Miss in a 93-90 (OT) win on Saturday.  Those are two of the worst teams in the SEC that won't be going to the NCAA Tournament to boot.

Darius Acuff played all 40 minutes against Oklahoma and then another 40 minutes against Ole Miss yesterday.  Four starters played at least 40 minutes in that OT game against Ole Miss.  The Razorbacks only have a 7-man rotation so they aren't very equipped to handle this 3rd game in 3 days.  The Commodores are the better, more rested team and should be bigger favorites today as a result.  Bet Vanderbilt on the Money Line Sunday.