Top Handicapper Jack Jones Expert Sport Picks

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Mets/Angels UNDER 9

The Mets have one of the worst offenses in baseball in their current state.  They are scoring just 3.4 runs per game this season, and injuries are a big reason for it.  They are without three key hitters in Lindor, Robert Jr. and Polanco.  They have scored 4 runs or fewer in 16 of their last 18 games.

The Angels have scored 4 runs or fewer in four straight and 10 of their last 13 games overall, including 3 runs or fewer nine times.  Both lineups will struggle again today against two solid starting pitchers.

Clay Holmes is 3-2 with a 1.75 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in six starts for the Mets this season.  He has allowed just 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 36 innings.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in all six starts.

Jack Kochanowicz has gone 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in six starts for the Angels this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and just one homer in 35 innings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

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15* Magic/Pistons Game 7 ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 202.5

The Orlando Magic were already one of the worst offensive teams in these playoffs.  But losing Franz Wagner 19.9 PPG has really hurt them.  They weren't the same in Game 6 falling 93-79 to the Pistons for just 172 combined points.  It was the 3rd time in this series these teams have combined for 182 or fewer points.  Now this total is 30 points higher than that at 202.5.

Game 7 UNDERS have notoriously been a good bet in the NBA playoffs.  Teams feel the extra pressure and it tends to really hurt them offensively, but the defensive intensity is at an all-time high.  That will be the case in Game 7 here in a matchup between two terrible shooting teams, and two elite defensive teams that are also big and physical.  Bet the UNDER in Game 7 Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -116

The Cleveland Guardians have a big advantage on the mound today and should be bigger favorites over the A’s as a result.

Parker Messick is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in six starts for the Guardians this season.  He has allowed just 7 earned runs in 36 1/3 innings with 38 K's.

Aaron Civale is 2-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in six starts for the A's this season.  He has really struggled at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, going 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in two starts while allowing 5 earned runs and 18 base runners in 9 2/3 innings.

Civale has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts against Cleveland.  The Guardians are 6-1 in their last seven meetings with the A's.  Bet the Guardians Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Yankees OVER 9

There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Yankee Stadium today that will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket. This total is too short given the forecast and given how potent both of these lineups are.  The Orioles are starting a rookie in Gibson, so the Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on DBacks/Cubs OVER 11.5

The books have set this total high for good reason. There will be 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.  Both Kelly and Boyd have been gas cans this season and both will get rocked by these two hot, potent lineups. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. 

20* Dodgers/Cardinals NL No-Brainer on OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Dodgers.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowout out to left-center.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own against former teammate Dustin May, who has been terrible this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8

Jesus Luzardo and Chris Paddack have both been gas cans this season, and this total of 8 is too low as a result. The Marlins have also been a dead nuts OVER team at home over the last three years.  Luzardo has posted a 5.56 ERA this season and Paddack has been even worse with a 7.43 ERA. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Pirates OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Reds and Pirates today.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  It was a similar forecast the last fI’ve days when the Pirates went 5-0 OVER in their last five home games going for 18, 9 and 15 combined runs with the Cardinals, and 10 combined runs with the Reds in Game 1 and 24 runs in Game 2.

The Pirates have one of the more underrated lineups in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Reds are heating up at the plate going 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of those 13 games, including 6 runs or more eight times.  They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in 11 of their last 13 games. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.