TCU Oklahoma State Odds

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The No. 8 TCU Horned Frogs hit the road on Saturday, November 7 to take on the No. 14 Oklahoma State Cowboys in a crucial battle of unbeatens. The Cowboys had won three straight meetings with the Horned Frogs before getting embarrassed 9-42 on the road last year.

TCU (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) is coming off a 40-10 home win over West Virginia last week behind a dominant defensive effort. It held the Mountaineers to just 327 total yards while racking up 616 of offense, including 472 and four touchdowns from Trevone Boykin.

Oklahoma State (8-0, 5-0 Big 12) was able to survive a scare at Texas Tech last week to remain unbeaten. The Cowboys outscored the Red Raiders 42-15 after halftime to pull away for a 70-53 road win.

Kickoff inside Boone Pickens Stadium is scheduled for 3:30 EST Saturday afternoon with FOX providing the television coverage. If you are looking to bet on this game, you’ll find TCU as a 4.5-point favorite at Oklahoma State with a total set of 77.5 points.

My Early Lean: TCU -4.5

The TCU Horned Frogs are getting the shaft once again from the playoff committee with the release of the first rankings on November 3. Despite going 12-1 last year with their only loss to Baylor by 3 points on the road, and opening 8-0 this year, they are only No. 8 in the playoff rankings. Look for them to take out their frustration on the Oklahoma State Cowboys this weekend to come away with a blowout victory.

Sure, the Horned Frogs have some close road wins this season over Minnesota, Texas Tech and Kansas State. But none of those three places are easy atmospheres. Plus, the Horned Frogs were banged up big-time defensively in all three of those games. But their defense is slowly getting healthy, and now it’s starting to play up to the level that it did last year.

TCU has only allowed 10 points in the last seven quarters to Iowa State and West Virginia.

In fact, TCU has only allowed 10 points in the last seven quarters to Iowa State and West Virginia. After falling behind 21-14 to Iowa State, it held the Cyclones scoreless for the final three quarters to pull away for a 45-21 road win. Last week, the Horned Frogs put together their most complete performance yet in a 40-10 home win over West Virginia. They outgained the Mountaineers 616-327 for the game.

Common opponents are a great way to compare teams. Both teams have faced Kansas State, Texas, Texas Tech and West Virginia this season. TCU is 4-0 against those four teams, outscoring them by 20.8 points per game and outgaining them by 220.3 yards per game. Oklahoma State is also 4-0 against those four teams, but it is only outscoring them by 7.3 points per game, and outgaining them by 45.8 yards per game. It’s clear by those numbers that the Horned Frogs are the superior team.

Oklahoma State will be a little gassed from the shootout it played at Texas Tech last week. It needed a 42-15 second half to beat the Red Raiders 70-53. The Cowboys won’t be able to match the energy of the Horned Frogs, who breezed to a 40-10 win at West Virginia last Thursday. That means they will have an extra two days of rest prior to this weekend’s game.

Last year, TCU crushed Oklahoma State 42-9 at home in a game that wasn’t even that close. The Horned Frogs outgained the Cowboys 676-258 for the game, or by 418 total yards. While I don’t expect that kind of blowout again, I do believe it’s fair to assume that the Horned Frogs will win this game by a touchdown or more.

TCU is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games off a Thursday game. The Horned Frogs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 conference games. TCU is 17-6 ATS in its last 23 games overall.

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