In a rematch of a playoff game from last season, the New England Patriots will put their six-game winning streak on the line when they visit the Tennessee Titans. Kickoff is set for 1:00 EST on Sunday, November 11, at Nissan Stadium in Nashville. Fans in certain markets can watch the game on CBS.
The Patriots are currently listed as 6.5-point favorites on the road. The over/under for the game is set at 46.5 points. Click here to see a full list of the Week 10 NFL betting odds.
As mentioned, the Patriots are heading to Tennessee while riding a six-game winning streak. During that winning streak, they’ve knocked off teams like the Chiefs, Bears, and Packers, so New England has overcome plenty of challenging opponents.
With that winning streak, the Patriots have taken a two-game lead over the Dolphins atop the AFC East, a lead that almost seems insurmountable at this point. However, they still have work to do in order to catch the Chiefs for home-field advantage in the AFC playoffs. The Patriots will also be on the road for four of their next five games, so there are plenty of potential stumbling blocks on New England’s schedule down the stretch.
On the other hand, the Titans are breathing a sigh of relief after snapping their three-game losing streak with Monday’s win over the Cowboys. Prior to that, Tennessee was spiraling out of control with an offense that was going nowhere. The Titans can only hope that last week’s season-high of 28 points is a sign that they’re turning things around heading into the second half of their schedule.
As it stands, the Titans are 4-4 and just one game behind the Texans in the loss column for first place in the AFC North. They will also benefit from playing five of their last seven games against teams that currently have a losing record. If Tennessee can pull off an upset over the Patriots this weekend, they’ll be in great shape.
Of course, one subplot in this game that can’t be overlooked is that Titans coach Mike Vrabel is a Bill Belichick disciple. While he never coached under Belichick, Vrabel played for New England’s head coach while with the Patriots from 2001 to 2008, so he should have some familiarity with Belichick and New England’s approach.
To be honest, I don’t love swallowing the points in this game. But there’s no way I’m betting against the Patriots at this point. During their six-game winning streak, New England has won four games by double digits, with only the Chiefs and Bears keeping things within one score. With that in mind, covering a touchdown doesn’t seem that difficult given how the Patriots are playing. I’ll swallow the points and lean toward New England.
To be fair, the Titans currently have the best defense in the NFL. They surrender just 17.6 points per game. The Titans have also held teams to 20 points or less in six of their eight games. But I’m not sure if that’s necessarily going to translate to stopping the Patriots.
New England has faced some tough defensive teams over the past six weeks, and none of them have come close to stopping them. They are averaging over 35 points per game during that stretch. Even with Sony Michel missing the last two games, the Patriots have kept on rolling. With Michel and Rob Gronkowski potentially returning from injury this week, the New England offense could be even more explosive than we’ve seen the past few weeks.
The only real vulnerability the Patriots seem to have offensively is turning the ball over. Tom Brady has thrown seven interceptions this season, which has hampered the New England offense at times. But the Titans haven’t exactly been turnover happy this year. Plus, Brady has gone back-to-back games without throwing a pick, so Tennessee creating takeaways isn’t a given.
Meanwhile, the Tennessee offense remains a serious concern. Despite scoring a season-high 28 points last week, questions linger on that side of the ball. The Titans haven’t been productive running the ball this year, which is a problem considering Marcus Mariota hasn’t been a threat throwing the ball down the field. To his credit, Mariota has been accurate and efficient at times this season. But with no downfield passing attack and a limited running game, the Titans are easier to defend than most teams.
It’s also worth noting that the New England defense is better than people realize. The Patriots have been solid against the run this year, and there’s no reason to expect that to change when facing Tennessee. That should ensure that it’s on Mariota to carry the Titans offensively, a scenario that doesn’t exactly favor the home team.
Even if the Tennessee defense can put up a good fight against Brady and company, shutting down the Patriots for four quarters seems like an impossible task nowadays. No matter the opponent, New England usually finds a way to win by a comfortable margin. With the Titans so unreliable offensively, I’m confident in the Patriots winning this game by at least a touchdown.