NFLPoint Spread Preview: Giants vs Packers Odds & Free Pick

The Green Bay Packers will try to bounce back quickly from last week’s loss when they hit the road for a second straight week to take on the New York Giants. Game time is at 1:00 EST on Sunday, December 1 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Fans in local markets will be able to watch the game on Fox.

According to the Week 13 NFL odds, the Packers are 6.5-point favorites on the road. The over/under for the game is set at 45.5 points.

Giants vs Packers Game Betting Preview & Vegas Odds

Despite an 8-3 record, the Packers have slipped a little over the past month. Green Bay has lost two of their last three games, with both losses coming on the road. To be fair, a week ago they ran into the buzzsaw that is the San Francisco defense. Nevertheless, it was the second straight road game when the Green Bay offense failed to show up and the Packers were defeated by a wide margin.

As a result, the Packers are now tied atop the NFC North standings with the Vikings. The two teams will meet in Week 16 in a game that could decide the division. In the meantime, Green Bay has to take advantage of an advantageous schedule that has them facing three straight teams with losing records, starting with the Giants.

Speaking of the G-Men, they are still nursing a losing streak that is now at seven games after last week’s loss to the Bears. For what it’s worth, four of their last five losses have all come by a touchdown or less, so the Giants have been in most games. They just haven’t been able to get out of their own way.

At 2-9, the Giants are just hoping to win one or two more games this season to avoid finishing last in the NFC East. New York lucks out with games against the Dolphins and Redskins left on their schedule. However, this week’s showdown with the Packers is arguably the toughest game they have left to play this year.

Free NFL Pick Against the Spread: Green Bay -6.5

Oddsmakers must be hedging their bets a little after the Packers laid an egg on national TV last week. I know the Giants have had some close losses in recent weeks, but most of those have come against other losing teams. In New York’s five games against winning teams, they have lost by an average of 18 points. Quite frankly, I was surprised to see the spread for this game at less than a touchdown. I’ll gladly lay down the points and take Green Bay to cover.

The times this year when Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense have struggled, it’s been against good defensive teams that can get after the quarterback. Unfortunately for the Giants, they don’t exactly fit that description. At times, the G-Men have flexed a little muscle on that side of the ball. In fact, they’re oddly good in the red zone. However, the Giants are still giving up 28 points per game, which doesn’t fill me with confidence against Rodgers and company.

If Rodgers is able to get time in the pocket against the New York defense, Rodgers and the Green Bay offense should be able to fire on all cylinders. Wide receiver Davante Adams finally recorded his first touchdown of the season last week. His receiving totals have been up and down lately, but he does have seven catches in all three of his games since returning from injury. 

The key for the Packers will get getting Aaron Jones and the running game going. When he’s struggled to produce, the Green Bay offense as a whole has struggled. Against weaker opponents, the Giants have been decent at containing the run, but that’s not been the case against the stronger teams on their schedule. Given the threat that Rodgers and the passing game pose, the Giants may not be able to devote enough resources to stop the Green Bay rushing attack.

On the other side of the ball, the Giants are having a world of trouble getting their running game going. Saquon Barkley has been held under 60 yards in three straight games and hasn’t scored a touchdown in his last four games. As long as that continues to be the case, there isn’t much hope for Daniel Jones and the passing game. 

Jones has made some nice throws and actually has 11 touchdown passes to just one interception in his last four games. However, he’s also been sacked 15 times during that span. The offensive line continues to be New York’s biggest problem, and it’s one the tandem of Preston Smith and Za’Darius Smith are capable of exploiting.

To be honest, I’m not sure if the Packers will necessarily blow the Giants out by three touchdowns. The Green Bay defense has some issues and the running game isn’t always reliable. But between Rodgers and New York’s pass protection issues, the Giants will struggle to stay within striking distance for 60 minutes. In the end, I think the Packers can win by at least a touchdown and cover the spread.

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