Alabama Ole Miss Odds

The No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide will be seeking revenge against the No. 19 Ole Miss Rebels on Saturday, September 17th in Week 3 college football. The Rebels have beaten the Crimson Tide each of the last two meetings, including a 43-37 win as 9-point road dogs last year.

Alabama (2-0) has looked impressive in winning each of its first two games in its national title defense. The Crimson Tide beat USC 52-6 on a neutral field as 13.5-point favorites and 38-10 at home over Western Kentucky as 27-point favorites.

Ole Miss (1-1) blew a 22-point lead against Florida State in the opener and lost 34-45 as 4-point underdogs. The Rebels would bounce back last week with a 38-13 home victory over Wofford as 43-point favorites.

Kickoff inside Vaught-Hemingway Stadium is scheduled for 3:30 EST Saturday afternoon with CBS providing the television coverage. Taking a look at the lines in Las Vegas, I find Alabama as a 10-point favorite over Ole Miss with a total set of 54.5 points.

My Early Lean: Alabama -10

There’s a reason Nick Saban got after his team and coaching staff during and after a 38-10 win over Western Kentucky last week. It wasn’t because they played poorly, it was to simply get their attention heading into their biggest game of the season this week against Ole Miss.

Indeed, Saban has been fuming over the past two seasons at the fact that they have lost to the Rebels. He wants revenge on Ole Miss, and he’s going to make his players want it just as badly. Look for a big performance from the Crimson Tide this week as they try and embarrass the Rebels in the process and easily cover this 10-point spread.

While Ole Miss has won the last two meetings, the Crimson Tide basically gave them away. They outgained the Rebels 396-323 on the road in 2014 and lost 17-23. Then, they outgained the Rebels 503-433 last year in a 37-43 home loss. They lost the turnover battle 5-0 last year and only lost by six points, which shows how much superior they really were than the Rebels.

After a 46-point win over USC as 13.5-point favorites and a 28-point win over Western Kentucky as 27-point favorites, it’s clear that Alabama is dominant again this season. It outgained a very talented USC team by 271 total yards and held them to 6 points and 194 total yards. It then outgained an underrated Western Kentucky team by 236 yards and held its high-powered offense to only 239 yards.

While Alabama is just as good as last year, Ole Miss clearly is not. The Rebels lost three first-round picks to the NFL and only brought back 10 starters this season. They blew a 22-point lead against Florida State and lost 34-45, and Alabama is better than Florida State.

More concerning may have been Ole Miss’ 38-13 win over Wofford last week. The Rebels were 44-point favorites in that game, so they failed to cover the spread by 19 points. They also only outgained Wofford by 111 total yards in the game. They gave up 233 rushing yards to the Terriers, so you can just imagine what this Alabama rushing attack is going to do to the Rebels Saturday.

Saban is 11-3 ATS in road games in the first month of the season as the coach of the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.

Alabama is 46-26 ATS in its last 72 road games off a home win. Saban is 35-20 ATS off a home win as the coach of Alabama. Saban is 11-3 ATS in road games in the first month of the season as the coach of the Crimson Tide. Alabama is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games. The Rebels are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.

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