The #14 ranked Oklahoma State Cowboys return home to take on the Big-12 bottom feeder – Baylor Bears. The Cowboys are trying to get back into the AP Top 10, while the Bears are looking to get their first win of the season. One thing is for sure, there will be a lot of points scored in this one. Kickoff inside Boone Pickens Stadium is at 3:30 PM ET.
The Baylor Bears (0-5, 0-2 Big-12) are coming off a bye week and hope that the time off helped them fix some of their glaring issues – most notably on defense. In their only game so far against a ranked opponent, Baylor played Oklahoma tough for 4 quarters and lost 49-41. Will they be able to duplicate that same effort against Oklahoma State?
The Oklahoma State Cowboys (4-1, 1-1 Big-12) are coming off a bye week too, but prior to the bye, they had a shootout victory over the feisty Texas Tech Red Raiders. It was a solid win on the road and they look to come back home to Stillwater, OK, and make quick work of the Bears.
The spread opened with the Bears getting 23.5 points, they’re now getting 25.5 points. The Over/Under opened at 72 points and remains the same for most books. However, there are a few that put the Over/Under at 71.5 total points, and that’s what we are taking here.
The Over has hit in 6 of the last 8 games between these two teams and 2 out of the last 3 head-to-head meetings. The Over is 13-2 in the last 15 home games for Oklahoma State. These two teams combine for an average of 73 total points per game and I expect these two teams to hit that mark this week as well.
Against inferior competition (Pitt, South Alabama and Tulsa), OK State averaged 54 points per game. Against tougher competition (TCU and TTU), OK State averaged 36 points per game. So, even against tough teams, the Cowboys still put up plenty of points. This week, they face a Baylor team that gives up 36 points per game and 471 total yards per game. You can bet that the Cowboys will get close to the 50 point mark in this one as the Bears won’t be able to stop OK State’s passing game led by Heisman Trophy candidate Mason Rudolph.
Rudolph is averaging 382 passing yards per game and 3.2 touchdowns passes per game. Additionally, he has a stellar TD-to-INT ratio of 16-to-4. Rudolph will definitely hit his season average this weekend as he torches the hapless Bears defense.
Both teams are coming off a bye week, but it has to favor Oklahoma State in this one as they got more time to rest some of their banged up players and prepare for the Bears. Although, I think even on one day’s rest, the Cowboys could beat the Bears 10 times out of 10.
The Cowboys will do the heavy lifting in this one’s combined point total, but the Bears will definitely add some scores even if it’s during garbage time. Baylor hasn’t lost by more than 14 points this season, which makes the 25.5 point spread a tough one to take. So, go with the Over/Under and watch these two teams light up the scoreboard. OK State wins 49-28.