U.S. Open Odds: Favorites to Win Golf’s Toughest Test

Scottie Scheffler at +450 and Rory McIlroy at +800 sit close enough together that the top of the U.S. Open board reads more like a coin flip than most majors. That tightness says less about who’s playing best right now and more about how hard this course is to solve. 98 players carry a live number for the 2027 U.S. Open, priced across BetRivers, DraftKings, BetMGM at 3 sportsbooks and updated as recently as September 9, 2026.

A U.S. Open price rarely rewards the biggest name on the leaderboard the way other majors do. The course setup narrows the gap between stars and grinders, and the odds take time to catch up, which is exactly why shopping the board before locking in a number matters here.

2027 U.S. Open Odds by Sportsbook

FavoriteScottie Scheffler +45018.2% implied · BetRivers
Best price gap15%avg spread between books, top 20
Biggest move, 7 dayshistory builds daily
UpdatedSep 163 books · 98 players
Player BetRivers DraftKings BetMGM Implied 30 days
1Scottie Scheffler +450 +450 +450 18.2% flat
2Rory McIlroy +800 +800 +800 11.1% flat
3Jon Rahm +1200 +1200 +1400 6.7% flat
4Xander Schauffele +1600 +1600 +1600 5.9% flat
5Ludvig Aberg +1800 +2200 +2000 4.3% flat
6Tommy Fleetwood +1800 +2200 +2000 4.3% flat
7Matthew Fitzpatrick +2000 +2500 +2500 3.8% flat
8Cameron Young +2500 +2500 +2500 3.8% flat
9Bryson DeChambeau +2800 +2200 +2500 3.4% flat
10Sam Burns +2800 +3300 +3300 2.9% flat
11Wyndham Clark +2800 +3300 +2800 2.9% flat
12Collin Morikawa +3300 +3300 +3300 2.9% flat
All 98 playersFewer
13Justin Rose +3300 +4000 +4000 2.4% flat
14Tyrrell Hatton +3300 +4000 +3300 2.4% flat
15Brooks Koepka +4000 +4000 +4000 2.4% flat
16Justin Thomas +4000 +3500 +4000 2.4% flat
17Russell Henley +4000 +4500 +4000 2.2% flat
18Christopher Gotterup +4000 +5000 +4500 2.0% flat
19Patrick Reed +4000 +5000 +5000 2.0% flat
20Si Woo Kim +4000 +5000 +5000 2.0% flat
21Viktor Hovland +4000 +5000 +4000 2.0% flat
22Joaquin Niemann +5000 +5500 1.8% flat
23Jackson Koivun +4000 +6000 +4000 1.6% flat
24Hideki Matsuyama +5000 +6000 +5000 1.6% flat
25Patrick Cantlay +5000 +6000 +4500 1.6% flat
26Jordan Spieth +5000 +5500 +6600 1.5% flat
27Robert MacIntyre +5000 +6000 +6600 1.5% flat
28Shane Lowry +5000 +7000 +6600 1.4% flat
29Ben Griffin +6600 +7000 +6600 1.4% flat
30J.J. Spaun +6600 +7000 +5000 1.4% flat
31Maverick McNealy +6600 +7000 1.4% flat
32Min Woo Lee +6600 +7000 +6600 1.4% flat
33Gary Woodland +6600 +8000 1.2% flat
34Aaron Rai +8000 +8000 +8000 1.2% flat
35Kurt Kitayama +8000 +8400 +8000 1.2% flat
36Jake Knapp +8000 +9000 1.1% flat
37Adam Scott +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
38Akshay Bhatia +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
39Alex Fitzpatrick +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
40Bud Cauley +10000 1.0% flat
41Cameron Smith +10000 +9000 +10000 1.0% flat
42Corey Conners +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
43David Puig +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
44Dustin Johnson +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
45Harris English +10000 +10000 +9000 1.0% flat
46J.T. Poston +10000 1.0% flat
47Kristoffer Reitan +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
48Rickie Fowler +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
49Ryan Gerard +10000 +9000 1.0% flat
50Sepp Straka +10000 +10000 +10000 1.0% flat
51Nicolai Hojgaard +10000 +8000 +10000 1.0% flat
52Keith Mitchell +10000 +11000 0.9% flat
53Joohyung Kim +10000 +11000 0.9% flat
54Alexander Noren +10000 +12500 0.8% flat
55Alex Smalley +10000 +12500 +12500 0.8% flat
56Sahith Theegala +10000 +12500 0.8% flat
57Jason Day +12500 +12500 0.8% flat
58Keegan Bradley +10000 +14000 +12500 0.7% flat
59Brian Harman +10000 +15000 +15000 0.7% flat
60Jacob Bridgeman +10000 +15000 0.7% flat
61Sam Stevens +15000 +14000 0.7% flat
62Sungjae Im +15000 +15000 0.7% flat
63Will Zalatoris +15000 0.7% flat
64Rasmus Hojgaard +15000 0.7% flat
65Michael Brennan +10000 +17500 0.6% flat
66Ryan Fox +10000 +17500 0.6% flat
67Sudarshan Yellamaraju +17500 0.6% flat
68Nick Taylor +17500 0.6% flat
69Ben Kohles +20000 0.5% flat
70Pierceson Coody +20000 +20000 0.5% flat
71Nicolas Echavarria +20000 0.5% flat
72Harry Hall +20000 0.5% flat
73Davis Thompson +20000 0.5% flat
74Ryo Hisatsune +15000 +22500 0.4% flat
75Benjamin James +20000 +25000 0.4% flat
76Max Greyserman +20000 +25000 0.4% flat
77Emiliano Grillo +25000 0.4% flat
78Laurie Canter +25000 0.4% flat
79Niklas Norgaard Moller +25000 0.4% flat
80Matt McCarty +25000 0.4% flat
81Lucas Herbert +25000 0.4% flat
82Daniel Berger +25000 0.4% flat
83Chris Kirk +25000 0.4% flat
84Carlos Ortiz +27500 0.4% flat
85Adrien Dumont +25000 +30000 0.3% flat
86John Keefer +25000 +30000 0.3% flat
87Michael Kim +25000 +30000 0.3% flat
88Matthias Schwab +30000 0.3% flat
89Jackson Suber +30000 0.3% flat
90Andrew Putnam +30000 0.3% flat
91Andrew Novak +30000 0.3% flat
92Angel Hidalgo +35000 0.3% flat
93Harry Higgs +35000 0.3% flat
94Zac Blair +35000 0.3% flat
95John Parry +25000 +40000 0.2% flat
96Max McGreevy +25000 +40000 0.2% flat
97Patrick Rodgers +40000 0.2% flat
98Jayden Trey Schaper +40000 0.2% flat

Red is the best price on that row. The 30-day line is the best available price over time; green shortened, amber drifted. Implied probability comes from the best price and includes the books’ margin.

A Test Built for Patience, Not Power

The U.S. Open sets itself apart by punishing power before it rewards it. Narrow fairways and thick rough turn a wayward tee shot into a lost stroke, and the players who keep the ball in play tend to close ground on a leaderboard that raw distance alone can’t reach. That setup favors precision over reputation, and the market is often slow to catch up to it.

A bettor working this board should weigh a player’s history of finding fairways as heavily as a big name sitting near the top. Jayden Trey Schaper at +40000 is a reminder that a course built this way can let a lesser known name climb further than the price suggests, since accuracy off the tee matters more here than it does at almost any other major.

Rough, Wind, and the Reports That Shift a Price

Odds shift here for reasons that have little to do with recent form. Rough length, green speed, and how narrow the fairways run in practice rounds all move the number before the tournament starts. A player known for control off the tee can shorten quickly once reports point to a tighter setup, and a longer hitter can drift just as fast if the course plays wider than expected.

Watching moves like that across BetRivers, DraftKings, BetMGM says more about the setup than about the player.

A Ticket That Has to Hold Through Four Hard Rounds

A U.S. Open futures ticket locks in long before the course plays a single competitive shot, and it sits untouched through all four rounds. That stretch gives a bettor time to compare prices, but it also means the money is tied up with no way to react once the tournament actually starts.

Some bettors put a full stake on one price and let it ride. Others split a smaller amount across a few players, pairing a name near the top with a longer shot like Jayden Trey Schaper at +40000, betting that accuracy shows up somewhere on the ticket even if it isn’t the favorite. Checking 3 sportsbooks before either approach is the simplest way to make sure the price paid is the best one on offer.

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