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Free picks
Game Details
Apr 19 '19, 8:40 PM in 6h
MLB |
Phillies vs Rockies
Play on:
Phillies +119 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis
The set-up: The Rockies had lost eight in a row and 12 of 13 before last night’s 6-2 win. However, I think the hard-hitting Phillies will bounce back here and take advantage of this “on again, off again” Rockies offense. I think the starters a wash today, with Vince Velasquez going for Philadelphia and German Marquez heading to the hill for the home side.
The pitchers: Marquez (2-1, 2.00 ERA) has been a bright spot for Colorado and for the most part he’s been decent vs. Philly throughout his career, going 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in three career starts, allowing seven runs over 19 innings opposed.
Velazquez (0-0, 2.25) is 2-1 with a 5.23 ERA in six career starts vs. the Rockies. Note that Philadelphia has won all three games in which he’s pitched so far this season.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is 10-5 (+3.7 units) vs. right-handed starters this year, while Colorado is just 3-7 (-5 units) in the same position. Consider the visitors in this one.
FREE PLAY
Pick Released on Apr 19 at 07:22 am
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up |
Pick |
Rating |
Score |
Result |
Profit |
Analysis |
| Golden Knights vs Sharks |
Sharks -118 |
Top Premium |
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
The set-up: A great price for a desperate home team. It’s “do or die” for the disappointing Sharks, who have squandered home ice advantage and likely this series. However, I do indeed believe that San Jose will dig deep here and find a way to send this one back to Las Vegas for another game. The pick: Also note that Vegas is just 1-5 in its last six on the road still. San Jose was knocked out of the playoffs by the Knights last year and I expect it to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight to get back into this series. No need to over think this one. Great value on the hungry Sharks. San Jose Sharks 10* play |
| 76ers vs Nets |
76ers -135 |
Premium |
131-115 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
|
The set-up: The Nets came out and shocked the 76ers in Game 1 103-92, but the 76ers bounced back and stormed to a 145-123 win in Game 2. These teams split four regular season meetings, but I think the 76ers will build off their Game 2 win and once again come in focused on the task at hand. Philadelphia likely took the Nets for granted in Game 1 and it was close at half in Game 2 as well. However the 76ers rolled in the second half and I believe that momentum is carried over. The pick: While this is indeed a money-line play, I think it’s still interesting to note that Philly is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, while Brooklyn is just 9-10 ATS as a home dog this season. I’m banking on the visitors winning this one outright. Philadelphia 76ers (Moneyline) 9* play |
| Nuggets vs Spurs |
Nuggets +4 -110 |
Top Premium |
108-118 |
Loss |
-110 |
Show
|
The set-up: San Antonio shocked the Nuggets in Game 1 with an outright win and Denver had its hands full in Game 2 as well. But Nikola Jokic and company finally got it figured out in the second half of Game 2 to overcome a 19 point deficit to beat San Antonio and I believe they’ll carry that momentum over here. Denver was one of the best on the defensive end of the floor all year and that showed by holding the Spurs to just 103 points average over the first two games. San Antonio also looked good by holding the Nuggets to an average 96 points, but they’d allow 114 last time out and I think they’ll once again have problems containing this now confident visiting side. The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Denver is 6-1 in its last seven after a home victory, while SA is just 9-13 ATS this season after playing two straight on the road. Grab the points and expect a war until the final horn. Denver Nuggets 10* play |
Will Rogers comes to sports handicapping through a different route than anyone else. Some come in as former athletes. Some are agents, or former oddsmakers, or sportswriters or analysts.
Will might be the only guy whose approach includes 25 years of running high-end kitchens. But don’t turn your nose up at his background – he has achieved success in everything he has done in life. And sports has always been his true passion.
In reality, Will’s professional experience has had the same elements as a successful handicapper. He worked for years as a professional troubleshooter. That’s a role in which he needed to analyze a system, identify the core problems, and fix them.
As a handicapper he uses those same skills. He analyzes each line, and identifies mistakes made by the books. But instead of helping the books fix their mistakes, he’s going to help you profit from them.
No sport has fallen outside his ability to profit. He has notched top 10 finishes in NFL, CBB, NHL, CFB, and even the CFL and NFL preseason. If there is a line he can exploit, he’s going to figure out how.
Recently, Will’s best sport has been baseball. He’s hitting 59% of his picks – a 311-215 record since July 2015. Subscribers have earned over $2,600 in that time. He is also hitting at a 57% clip in all sports since April 2016. So regardless of what you’re looking to put money on, Will can increase your bankroll. Don’t be scared off be his unorthodox background. The profit he earns is as by-the-book as it gets.
