Ray Monohan

Colts +3

I’ll take Indianapolis +3 at home in what looks more like a coin flip than Houston -3. Both teams are 0-2, so desperation won’t be in short supply. Indianapolis has at least moved the scoreboard, scoring 53 points through 2 games compared with Houston’s 37. The Texans have also surrendered 7 sacks, and shaky protection isn’t something I’m eager to lay road chalk behind. Indy has protected better and is running for 110.5 yards per game, giving them a way to control tempo. Yes, the Colts defense can be had. Unfortunately for Houston backers, the Texans offense hasn’t exactly been cashing those invitations. Through 2 games, 37 points doesn’t have me rushing to lay road chalk. I see a 4th-quarter AFC South fistfight, and I want the home dog holding +3.

Sunday 4* NFL ATS Play

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

WEEK 4 CFB / WEEK 3 NFL! 437-374 54% +2503 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s plays up soon. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for NFL Week 3, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Browns +3

Young has 6 TD passes and a 113.3 rating through 2 weeks, so naturally we’re about 5 minutes away from declaring Carolina fixed. Easy. He’s been excellent, but he’s also faced 2 forgiving defenses, and his road history remains ugly: 5-20 away from home with a passer rating below 80. Now Carolina plays its 2nd straight road game while Cleveland finally gets its home opener after knocking off Tampa Bay. The Browns defense impressed me in that win, and Watson gave them enough competent QB play to make this offense dangerous. Cleveland doesn’t need fireworks here. Play defense, establish the run, make Young uncomfortable and let the Dawg Pound turn this into an ugly football game. That suits the Browns just fine. I expect this tight into the 4th quarter, and getting +3 at home is exactly where I want to be.

Sunday 2* NFL ATS Play

Jets +6.5

I’m taking the points with New York here, and getting +6.5 at even money makes it even easier. Detroit can score — they’ve hung 30-plus in each of their last two — but laying nearly a touchdown with a defense allowing 35.5 points and 457.5 yards per game requires a little more faith than I’m willing to donate. The Jets have cashed ATS in consecutive weeks, and their defense has been much better than advertised, especially against the run. Jahmyr Gibbs is a different animal, absolutely, but New York doesn’t need to put him in witness protection. They just need enough stops to keep this inside one possession. Detroit was laying 9.5 before this number came crashing down, and I’m not arguing with the move. Geno Smith should get chances against this secondary, and +6.5 gives us plenty of runway. Lions probably win. Covering is another story.

Sunday 1* NFL ATS Play

Patriots +3

This has rock fight written all over it, and in games like that I’ll gladly put the full FG in my pocket. New England has allowed only 16 points through 2 weeks while holding opponents to 166 passing yards per game. That defense is legit and exactly the kind of unit that makes Jacksonville work for every yard. The Patriots offense hasn’t exactly been confused with the Greatest Show on Turf, but I don’t need it to be. Run it, shorten the game and make Trevor Lawrence string together long drives instead of living on explosive plays. Jacksonville is laying 3 because it’s home, but I don’t see 3 points of separation here. With a modest total and 2 capable defenses, possessions become precious. I expect this hanging around into the 4th quarter. Give me New England +3.

Sunday 2* NFL ATS Play

Bucs +1.5

Minnesota is 2-0. Tampa Bay is 0-2. If betting were as simple as reading the standings, sportsbooks would have gone broke decades ago. I’m buying Tampa here. The Bucs were brutal offensively against Cleveland, but Baker has the weapons to make Minnesota pay for its aggressive pressure packages if he beats the blitz. More importantly, I’m not convinced the Vikings offense deserves to be laying points on the road. Their defense has carried them while the QB situation has been held together with duct tape, and that’s a thin margin away from home. The market move gets my attention too, Tampa opened -1.5 and is now catching +1.5. Fine by me. I’ll take the discounted Bucs rather than pay the premium on Minnesota’s 2-0 record. Tampa is better than 0-2.

Sunday 3* NFL ATS Play