Ray Monohan

UNDER 52.5

On Sunday in the 2019 AFC Championship we get the 11-7 (11-7 ATS) Tennessee Titans vs. the 13-4 (12-5 ATS) Kansas City Chiefs. This one kicks off at 3:05pm ET from Kansas City's Arrowhead Stadium. The line currently favors the Chiefs at -7.5 and the O/U is set at 52.5.

Chris Jones and Shady McCoy are questionable for this one for the Chiefs, and Adam Humphries, Jack Conklin, Adoree Jackson, and Jayon Brown are all questionable for Tennessee.

The Chiefs are looking to get back to the Super Bowl for the second straight year as they play in consecutive AFC championships. They've won 7 straight since losing to the Titans in Week 10 (26-23). The Chiefs can get it done on Sunday but they'll need another Mahomes 3+ TD game and 300+ passing yards something I think the Titans can stamp out. 

For the Titans Derrick Henry rushed for 188 yards and 2 TD's while Tannehill threw for 2TD's in the first meeting versus Kansas City, and I'm expecting a ton of ball control from the Titans on Sunday which will help keep this score down. The Titans defense is top notch, holding the Patriots to 13pts and then Baltimore to 12.

Some trends to consider. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tennessee's last 9 games against an opponent in the AFC West division, and Under is 5-1 in Titans last 6 playoff games as an underdog. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 7 games, 4-1 in last 5 games following a ATS win, and 40-19-1 in Chiefs last 60 games as a home favorite. This should be a great game.

I'm on the UNDER 52.5. (Actually think it goes under 49)

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Green Bay vs. San Francisco Under 46.5

The NFC Championship pins Green Bay and San Francisco against each other. 

This Under is a nice situational play. Green Bay's offense didn't have much of anything going when these two teams met back in November. They got out of their comfort zone early and it led to a lot of plays that were unorthodox for them. 

This time around, expect a very different game called. Both teams will work the run in and try to use the clock. With that in mind, we should see a lot of long drives, certainly benefiting the under.

Some trends to note. Under is 4-1 in Packers last 5 road games. Under is 4-0 in 49ers last 4 playoff games.

Back the Under.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 9* NFL O/U Play

Kansas City -7

The Chiefs (13 - 4) took over last week affect going down 24-0 to the Texans. 

Now they face a Titans team that is in off back to back upsets. However, this is not a great matchup for them with how well the Chiefs have been playing on both sides of the ball. 

Granted the Chiefs went down big early, but the defense wasn't responsible for the blocked punt TD and they held the Texans down for a majority of the final 3 quarters. Combine that with how well this offense is rolling and Patrick Mahomes is going to make too big of an impact here. Except him to roll over this defense on Sunday. 

Some trends to note. Chiefs are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Chiefs are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

Back Kansas City.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 10* NFL ATS TOP PLAY