Mr. East

This game fits a situation that is 55-27 ATS and the play is on LSU.

This game fits a situation that is 55-27 ATS and the play is on Oregon.

This game fits a situation that is 71-33 ATS and the play is on Texas Tech.

This game fits a situation that is 77-38 ATS and the play is on Iowa.

This game fits a situation that is 311-226 ATS and the play is on Gonzaga.

This game fits a situation that is 211-138 ATS and the play is on Kentucky.

This game fits a situation that is 48-13 ATS and the play is on S. Illinois.

This game fits a situation that is 111-68 ATS and the play is on Seton Hall.

This game fits a situation that is 111-68 ATS and the play is on Georgetown.

This game fits my highest rated total situation which is 121-47. Make the play on the over.

Utah St. has had a great season, and finished at 10-2. They went on a 10 game winning streak where they were quite dominant. The question mark for this team is they played on the weak side of the MWC, and their 10 wins came against a schedule of teams that combined to go 40-80. Seven of the teams they beat allowed 35.4 points a game or more. Eight of those teams also averaged 28.8 points per game or less. While they did play tough teams tough, they have a lot of nothing wins. North Texas is 9-3 and their losses are by a combined 13 points, and have wins vs SMU and Arkansas by an impressive combined points of 50. The Mean Green score 36.4ppg more than any team Utah St. has beaten all season, and they allow 21.8ppg, fewer than all but 2 teams the Aggies have beaten all season. QB mason Fine cut his INT`s from 15 a year ago to 5 this season, and the junior is just under 10,000 yards for his career. North Texas is the only team in the entire FBS that out-gained every team on its schedule. A lot will go against them as they have failed to cover 5 straight games, but teams in their Bowl game failing to cover in 5 straight or more have gone 19-10 ATS. When they are a dog of 6.5 or more, they are 7-1 ATS winning outright 6 times! Make the play on North Texas.

Georgia Southern finished just 2-10 a year ago and turned that into 9-3, the biggest turnaround of any team in a Bowl this year. The one big win came vs Appalachian St. a team that also runs the triple option, lost its quarterback early in the first quarter, and its top RB the week before. The 9-3 record is encrusted with variance as Georgia Southern benefited from 27 turnovers by opponents while setting an FBS record by committing only 5 of their own. Teams that benefit greatly from turnovers in the regular season often struggle in Bowls. despite the 22 extra possessions and a 9-3 record on the season, Georgia Southern was out-gained on the season by their opponents by 18 yards a game. Chris Creighton has done a remarkable job here, as he took over a program that had never won more than 6 games and led them to 7 wins in 2 of the last 3 years. E. Michigan has the added incentive to set the school record for wins at 8. his team is 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 in the role of a dog. Make the play on E. Michigan.

Appalachian St. has had a great run under Scott Satterfield. Unfortunately, he has been hired by Louisville and won't be on the sidelines for this one. Many want to believe that the team with the interim head coach is a reason to play against a team bit since 2003 the interim head coach is 32-34-1 ATS in a Bowl game, so it is not a factor. Appalachian St. won 10 games this season, but have had very little in the way of resistance as they were double-digit favorites in 11 straight games, making Middle Tennessee the strongest opponent they have faced in 3 months. The Blue Raiders are a not so lofty 8-5 but consider the fact they lost 3 games to SEC teams in Vanderbilt, Georgia, and Kentucky. They suffered another loss when QB Brett Stockstill went down in the 1st quarter with an injury. The only other loss was to UAB by 2 points, a team they beat the week before 27-3, holding them to negative rushing yards. Stockstill is a 6th-year senior, and has had an oft-injured career, but is healthy again. He spent a lot of the early season battling injuries and had 0 games vs FBS competition throwing for 8+ yards per attempt. Once healthy he threw for 8+ yards an attempt in 5 of his last 6 including scoring 23 vs Kentucky. he has thrown for over 12,000 yards and a 100 TDs in his career. App. St. has a strong pass defense but has not been tested by a QB like Stockstill with a boatload of experience and healthy again. Middle Tennessee outside the SEC has lost with Stockstill out, and by 2 to a UAB team, they beat by 24. UAB did not give up points to many teams and either has Kentucky. Stockstill's last 3 games were vs those two teams and he went 81-107 for 916 yards at 8.56 yards an attempt, and 7 TDs. A healthy Stockstill makes a huge difference and not reflected in the line here. Make the play on Middle Tennessee.