Mike Lundin

WEDNESDAY NIGHT NBA NO-BRAINER

The Houston Rockets own a 3-1 lead in this Western Conference playoffs series and had won and covered the spread in each of the first three games before taking a 107-91 loss at Salt Lake City Monday night. 

It's actually not all that the Rockets had a letdown game after three strong performances, and while the Jazz may have been allowed to extend the series for another game, I'm very confident this series ends tonight. 

Utah has been completely outmatched in both games at Houston, losing by 32 and 20 points. Rockets are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight home games and 4-1-1 in the last six meetings with the Jazz.

8* play on Houston Rockets. 

MIKE LUNDIN'S PHILLIES @ METS FREE PICK

The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-6 in their last 23 games after losing the first two games of a series and look primed to bounce back with a big performance here following a pair of losses to the NY Mets. 

Tonight right-hander Vince Velasquez (0-0, 2.55 ERA) will toe the slab for Philadelphia. Velasquez owns a poor 1-4 record with a less than spectacular 4.58 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets, but note that the 26-year-old struck out a season-high eight while holding the Rockies to two runs over 5 2/3 innings last time out. 

The Mets counter with Jason Vargas (1-0, 9.58 ERA) who had been tagged with eight runs over just 1 1/3 innings in his last two appearances before throwing four frames of one-run ball at St. Louis last time out. The veteran left-hander did, however, give up three free passes and owns a 2.32 WHIP on the season. 

Vargas has surrendered three homers over just 10 1/3 innings of work. I expect the Phillies bats to do plenty of damage here as they seek to deny the home team a sweep of the series. 

Free pick on Philadelphia Phillies.

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GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): WEDNESDAY NIGHT TOTAL MAJOR WAGER ALERT

The Atlanta Braves picked up a 7-6 triumph here at Great American Ball Park in the opener of a three-game set Tuesday night. It was a rare slugfest involving the Cincinnati Reds who are 17-5 to the under on the season, and I think runs will come at a premium here in Game 2 of the series. 

Reds' right-hander Tanner Roark (1-0, 3.60 ERA) has allowed just two runs with 10 Ks over 10 2/3 innings over his last two starts. He owns a respectable 3.09 ERA in 23 career matchups with the Braves who counter with Mike Soroka (0-1, 1.80 ERA). The 6-foot-4 Canadian has made just one start this season, but it was a solid one when he held the D'Backs to one run in five innings of a 4-1 loss on Thursday. Soroka started the season with Triple-A Gwinnett and will be eager for another solid outing in order to earn a spot in the rotation. 

Under is 8-3 in Reds last 11 home games. Under is 16-5 in Braves last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

10* play on UNDER. 

EARLY WEDNESDAY MONEYLINE MASSACRE

The Colorado Rockies took a 6-3 loss to the Washington Nationals on Tuesday. They have been hot lately though winning seven of their last nine, and I like the price we get on the home team to bounce back with a big win here at Coors Field Wednesday afternoon. 

The Rockies hand the ball to German Marquez (2-1, 2.25 ERA). The 24-year old right-hander allowed 10 hits and a pair of walks against the Phillies last time out but managed to limit the damage to two runs over five innings. He had been much sharper in previous turns here in 2019 with just 13 hits and six walks allowed over 27 frames and owns a 0.97 WHIP. Marquez has a total of 30 Ks over 32 innings on the season and I expect him to have a solid outing here. 

The Nats turn to Anibal Sanchez (0-2, 4.91 ERA) who has yet to earn a victory this season. Sanchez gave up four walks in five frames last time out and has struggled with his command all season. The 24-year old right-hander has a bloated 1.55 WHIP which could spell big trouble at a hitters park like Coors Field.

8* play on Colorado Rockies.