Michael Alexander

Rating:2 Units

The Bruins, who average 3.32 goals per game, should find the back of the net at will against the Blue Jackets, who allow 3.36 goals per game, with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with great puck movement. The Bruins, who allow only 2.50 goals per game, should limit the Blue Jackets offense with Hampus Lindholm, Charlie McAvoy, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves

Rating: 2 Units

QB Gardner Minshew has stepped in and has the Colts in playoff contention, riding a 3-0 SUATS heater entering this contest. He’ll need to overcome a watered-down dog log today, though, as the Stache is only 4-13 SU and 6-11 ATS against .333 or greater opponents in his NFL career starts, including 1-9 SU and 3-7 ATS against those coming off a win. Complicating matters, star RB Jonathan Taylor is out after surgery on an injured thumb. The Titans enter the game at 12-1 ATS in games when both teams arrive off an ATS win and 5-1 ATS in the last six games in this series. Meanwhile, the unlucky horseshoes are 1-5 ATS in their last six division road outings and 0-5 ATS in division games when both teams are coming off ATS wins

Rating: 2 Units

Miami is 12-3 SU and 10-4-1 ATS against losing teams, including 7-0 SUATS in the last seven matchups. McDaniel is also 7-0-1 ATS against foes coming off a pair of losses. After opening the season 2-0, Washington has hit the skids, entering today’s fray as losers in 8 of its 10 games since. They are also 0-4 against better than .600 opposition this season. With that, look for Miami to improve on its 4-0 ATS record against foes coming off a Thursday contest, while the Commanders dip to 1-6 ATS in their last seven games hosting AFC foes, and 0-6 ATS in games when coming off a road loss.

SNF Game of the Month

Rating: 5 Units

Kansas City totes an unacceptably weak rush defense into Lambeau that surrenders 4.6 Yards Per Rush. The Chiefs are also 2-9 ATS when coming off one win, including 1-5 ATS away. In addition, the Packers are 13-4 ATS as a dog of 3-plus points under head coach Matt LaFleur, including 9-2 SU and 10-1 ATS versus .800 or fewer foes. Toss in QB Jordan Love’s 3-0 SUATS career mark at home against non-conference opposition, and finally Kansas City is 0-9 ATS as a favorite when both teams are coming off an ATS win.

Rating: 3 Units

Last week, Philadelphia erased a double-digit fourth quarter deficit when they rallied back to beat Buffalo in overtime, thanks largely to a flagrant no-penalty tackle on Bills’ QB Josh Allen. The no-call was accentuated when Allen was flagged for intentional grounding on a play that could have just as easily been ruled a horse-collar tackle against Hassan Reddick during what ended up being a 37-34 Eagles overtime victory. And speaking of quarterbacks, Purdy also shines with an 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS record in his NFL career against foes with a winning record, including 6-0 SUATS in games in which San Francisco sports a .777 or fewer win percentage. Interestingly, the Niners lead the league in YAC (Yards After Catch), while the Eagles lead the league in allowing the fewest Yards After a Catch. With Philadelphia likely eyeing up next week’s pivotal clash with Dallas (0-6-1 ATS before the Cowboys), we put the final wrap on this call with the fact that playing on any NFL team coming off 3 wins if they came off a Bye week prior to the wins is a perfect 8-0.