Joseph D’Amico

James Madison Dukes.

One of the most pleasant surprises already this early in the regular season has to be the James Madison Dukes, which are 3-0 both straight up and against the spread this season. You may recall a season ago they lit up all but one of their regular season opponents, then took down Troy in their Conference championship, and held in tight with Oregon in a first round Bowl matchup. They posted 34 points on the Ducks in that matchup. They enter this game this week with confidence knowing they have dominated Old Dominion taking four in a row straight up and three of those four against the spread, which includes last season’s 63-27 beat down at home. Speaking of the Monarchs, they have lost their last two games and have failed to cover all three of their outings this season. Their offense has coughed the ball up a whopping seven times while their defense has snagged just one take away. On both sides of the line of scrimmage they are outclassed here. Take Dukes. Thank you.

Penn State Nittany Lions.

Laying nearly double-digits in a conference matchup could sometimes be shaky. But I’m here to tell you, there’s no need to worry. Penn State has dominated Wisconsin taking six consecutive meetings going back 14 seasons, not just winning all six but also covering all six matchups, as well. While Wisconsin has won their last two games against WIU and EMU, their season opening 41-13 defeat on the road at the hands of Notre Dame sticks out to me. Yes, I know how highly touted the Fighting Irish are. But this team through all three of their contests thus far this season does not have the usual rushing attack that we normally see. And without having a significant ground game, they’re going be in real trouble in this matchup. Penn State is 3-0 straight up and could’ve covered the only game that they did not against Temple on the road a few weeks back. They let their foot off the gas there. This is a team that not just wins, but they also cover. They currently rank 13th in the nation, and need some style points. A lot of people are saying that they don’t have the toughest schedule. So, every win and every margin of victory certainly count for them. Their offense has been outstanding posting over 42.3 PPG while not turning the ball over at all. They’re equally good in the air as they are on the ground. But the praise doesn’t stop there my friends. They are absolutely ferocious on defense and will completely shut down the Badgers offense. I have this team winning by nearly 2 TD’s. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you.

South Florida Bulls.

Yes, folks, I understand laying 17 1/2 points with a team whose offense hasn’t shown too much thus far could be scary. But one thing this offense does not do is make mistakes. They are well-balanced, and do know how to get in the end zone. They’ve only turned the ball over once so far this season. Very interesting story here is Brian Hartline. Bulls first year head coach was born in Canton, went to Glen Oak high school, played at Ohio State, and prior to leaving for Tampa, Ohio State was the only place he had coached before this year. He’s got a lot of fans in Ohio my friends. I believe he’ll get a lot of support in the stands in this game. Let’s talk about Bowling Green. They are 0-3 both straight up and against the number this season, which does include an ugly loss to FCS opponent, Tarleton State. Their defense has gotten smoked over the last two weeks, yielding a combined 111 points to Nebraska and Iowa State. Now don’t get me wrong, I’m not trying to put South Florida in the same class as the Cornhuskers or the Cyclones. But this team likes to beat up lesser opponents. This is an opportunity for them to do just that in their head coach’s home state where he is beloved. The Falcons are a trainwreck. They’re averaging a mere 9.0 PPG a game while yielding 43.7 PPG, and their offense which owns some of the ugliest numbers in the nation, has coughed up the ball six times already. This game is going to be one of the most lopsided this Saturday. Take South Florida. Thank you.

Georgia Bulldogs.

For a team like Oklahoma, who came out of the gate this season routing UTEP 51-0, you would think they would’ve looked impressive following that season opener. But the following week on the road at Michigan as a 5.5-point favorite, their offense stalled losing 17-10. Now by right you were supposed to come in with them last week at home against New Mexico, even though they were laying a little bit better than three touchdowns. Meanwhile, once again, they stalled offensively eking out a 14-6 victory. Are they due for a win here? I doubt it very much. This is a big game for Georgia, who by the way are 3-0 both straight up and against the spread this season. With the way, the Sooners offense is struggling and turning the ball over (six turnovers), I doubt very much they’re going to feel very good going up against the stout and nasty stop-unit of the Bulldogs. They are not going to be able to run the ball as they haven’t already. Now they’re going up against a top-five run defense. On the flipside, Oklahoma’s defense has looked good so far, yielding a combined 23 points. But they are facing a very well-balanced offense here that’s lighting up scoreboard for over 59.3 PPG. Oh, by the way, the Sooners have a bye week next week and then have to play Texas. Hmmm Meanwhile, I doubt very much. Georgia is going to be in a look ahead mode here as they have Vanderbilt on deck. This game will get ugly as the Bulldogs will want to flex their muscles, earn some style points, and stay the #2 team in the nation. Take Georgia. Thank you.

 TCU Horned Frogs on the Moneyline.

No matter how you look at this game, you can’t but see TCU is a much stronger team. They stumbled out of the gate in a tough game against North Carolina at home. Over the last two outings, both wins and covers, they have outscored opponents by a combined 94-14. Granted those opponents were Gambling and Arkansas state, but they still played very well on both sides of the line of scrimmage. Central Florida destroyed Bethune-Cookman in their opener, then lost in an ugly way at Pitt. Weather could’ve played a part in that. Last week they were in a shootout with the Panthers of Georgia State in which they yielded 30 points to that offense. That’s just throws up a big red flag to me my friends. We all know UCF depends on their ground game. They don’t have too much of a passing attack at all ranking 120th in the air. They solely live and die with their ground game. They’re going up against a TCU run defense that is one of the stingiest and most ferocious in the nation allowing just 79.3 yards per game on the ground. The Horned Frogs are also more well-balanced on the offensive side of the ball which makes them tougher to defend. I have this game closer to a touchdown. Take TCU. Thank you.

Mississippi Rebels.

Yes, most sharp bettors will be fading Mississippi this week after last week’s big underdog 10-point victory over LSU at home. I understand it, my friends. But this is the matchup that will define the Rebels this season. They face a Florida opponent they took down last year at home 34-24 as a 10.5-point favorite. Now this year with an even more stacked roster, they are getting more than a field goal in the Swamp? That just doesn’t make sense to me. Florida is a good team. They are definitely on the rise. They started the season off with three straight victories going 2-1 ATS. Last week they did win on the road in a shootout at Auburn, 44-39. Maybe they’re in for a letdown situation. This is the first true road game for ‘Ole Miss, but they are up to the task. Late in last year’s regular season they won and covered big games on the road at Oklahoma at the end of October and then at Mississippi State at the end of November. The Florida Gators secondary is in for a long night here going up against Trinidad Chambliss and the high-flying passing attack of the Mississippi Rebels. Take the points with ‘Ole Miss. Thank you.

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Iowa Hawkeyes.

Remember, one thing my friends, sports betting is not about who wins. Sports betting is about who covers. A season ago, Iowa was a perfect 5-0 ATS on the road. They enter this matchup with a perfect 3-0 record. Their defense has yielded just 13 total points, and their offense has looked well-balanced thus far. Speaking of their offense, they’ve only committed one turnover through their first three outings. Michigan has a good defense as well. But I think we can all agree. They got a little lucky in their first two outings. We don’t even want to rehash the Western Michigan one-point victory as more than a four-touchdown favorite that they should’ve lost outright. Then the following week they beat out a lackluster Oklahoma team at home. I feel when this offense goes up against an aggressive defense, they’re going to be in a world of hurt. And that’s just what they’re going to encounter here against a very gnarly, ferocious, angry stop-unit. Oh, and BTW, they have turned the ball over five times already. One thing more, my friends, Iowa has a wonderfully talented backfield that can and will control the clock here and keep the Michigan defense on the field and their offense off of it. I think this is way too many points. Take the Hawkeyes. Thank you.

UCLA Bruins on the Moneyline.

Yes, folks, I am aware UCLA played its Big Ten opener at home late Saturday night, and now has to make the trip cross-country for a daytime start this week. But this is a team possessing an offense that’s looking extremely strong winning and covering all three of their outings thus far this season. Their offense is so well-balanced currently ranking first in total yards, first in rushing, second in points scored, and 25th in passing. They’ve only coughed the ball up twice so far this season. The downside is their defense is mediocre at best. They have snagged four takeaways already. These two teams met a season ago in California with the Bruins prevailing 20-17. Now Maryland has a very stout defense. However, they just got picked apart at home against Virginia Tech back on the 19th, 35-26, a game in which wasn’t as close as the final score. UCLA has the ground game to control the clock and the tempo and keep the Maryland defense on the field. Take the Bruins. Thank you.

***BIG WARNING*** I must tell you, if you follow me this week in NCAAF, you WILL WIN! But you will also be wanted by the law for murder and arson as we KILL THE BOOKS, and BURN THEM TO THE GROUND: Thursday I have my TD winner, Friday I have my 66.6% FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS, and Saturday we have my: EARLY WINNER, BIG TEN BOOKIE BUSTER, SEC SMASH, BIG GAME BIG 12 BLOCKBUSTER, OKLAHOMA/GEORGIA WINNER, 2-0 CONSENSUS, 1-0 NO LIMT, and my BIG GAME 1st MVP release of 2026. Join me and together we KILL THE BOOKS, and BURN THEM TO THE GROUND.

Saturday’s Free Winner: Minnesota Golden Gophers.

Game 369.

8:00 PM PST/11:00 PM EST.

I’m going to keep this breakdown just like me… very short and extremely sweet (lol). Very simply, I feel Washington shouldn’t be laying better than a touchdown in this matchup. Sure, they have won all three of their games this season thus far. But they have failed to cover all three as well. It seems the odds makers are overvaluing the Huskies big-time. Minnesota, who are 2-1 both straight up and against the spread this season, and going back a bit, they have covered five of their last six outings. The Big Ten is a very tough conference. And let me be even more sincere, no one gives the Golden Gophers a chance in hell of winning the Conference. But one thing they can do is hang in with tough teams. So far this season they are posting over 37.7 PPG with a strong passing attack and a solid defense yielding just 17.3 PPG. Yes, once again Washington looks like they’re going to have an aerial assault. But they have very little ground game to speak of which makes their offense very one-dimensional. I will give their defense some credit yielding just 13.3 PPG, and snagging five takeaways. The one thing that gives Minnesota an advantage here is they have no pressure on them. Nobody expects them to do too much this season. However, the Huskies have enormous pressure, and have a couple of tough opponents on deck as they face the Trojans on the road next week then the Hawkeyes at home. Who knows if they may be in a little bit of a look a look ahead spot or even take their foot off the gas a bit here. I just think this is way too many points to give a team that that can cover the spread. Take the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Thank you.

***BIG WARNING*** I must tell you, if you follow me this week in NCAAF, you WILL WIN! But you will also be wanted by the law for murder and arson as we KILL THE BOOKS, and BURN THEM TO THE GROUND: Thursday I have my TD winner, Friday I have my 66.6% FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS, and Saturday we have my: EARLY WINNER, BIG TEN BOOKIE BUSTER, SEC SMASH, BIG GAME BIG 12 BLOCKBUSTER, OKLAHOMA/GEORGIA WINNER, 2-0 CONSENSUS, 1-0 NO LIMT, and my BIG GAME 1st MVP release of 2026. Join me and together we KILL THE BOOKS, and BURN THEM TO THE GROUND.

Saturday’s Free Winner: Michigan State Spartans.

Game 318.

2:00 PM PST/5:00 PM EST.

Nebraska snapped a two-game slide in this series with last season’s home victory, 38-27. Now they must travel to East Lansing to face a Michigan State opponent that happens to be a covering machine. That’s right, my friends the Spartans have covered all three games this season, and going back a bit further five in a row and eight of their last nine overall contests. They face the same tough opponents the Cornhuskers do being in the Big Ten. Meanwhile, what can we say about Nebraska? They had three very easy opponents thus far being favored by as little as 23.5 points and as high as 30.5 points. They failed to cover their last outing against North Dakota, and going back a bit, they have failed to cover four of their last six and seven of their last 10 overall outings. Michigan State had a lot of trouble in their last outing on the road at Notre Dame, failing to get their ground game in gear along with a lackluster passing attack. But I feel they’re in for a big bounce back in this matchup here. Yes, Nebraska is 3-0. But those victories came against two MAC teams and one FCS opponent. If you recall a season ago, they failed to win any of their final three games against Penn State, Iowa, and Utah. They were smoked in all three of those games. They’re also not the greatest covering on the road either. While the MSU offense leaves a lot to be desired, their defense is good enough to put some pressure on Nebraska’s quarterback and keep this game a lot closer than the point spread. Playing in East Lansing in front of their very loud and loyal fans gives the Spartans a big edge in this matchup. Making them an underdog in their first Big Ten outing at home will further motivate them to come out here and make a good appearance. The Cornhuskers have big matchups upcoming against the Terrapins, the Hoosiers, the Ducks and the Huskies all in a row. Maybe they’ll overlook this week’s opponent just a bit. Take MSU. Thank you.