Jimmy Boyd

Free Pick on Nationals -

Washington is showing some solid value here in Friday's series opener against the Rockies. The Nationals exploded for 23 runs on 29 hits in the final 2 games of their most recent series at home against the Brewers, which included an 8 home runs in yesterday's 15-2 victory. I look for Washington's offense to keep rolling against Colorado's German Marquez, who has a less than impressive 4.08 ERA and 1.487 WHIP in 8 road starts. Marquez also gave up 8 runs on 9 hits in just 4 innings in his only previous start againt Washington (this year).

Nationals will counter with the red-hot Tanner Roark, who after a miserable stretch has allowed just 2 earned runs on 7 hits with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. The most impressive thing about that is those two starts came on the road in two of the top hitter parks in Cincinnati and Arizona. Take Washington!

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4* MLB Over/Under Total 'ANNIHILATOR' on Cubs/Brewers UNDER

This is a big time series for July as you have two teams fighting for the NL Central title going at in Milwaukee this weekend. I expect all 3 games to have a playoff like feel, as each one is so important. That has me leaning heavily towards the UNDER with tonight's high total, as we have two strong starters facing off.

Chicago will send out newly acquired starter Jose Quintana, who has been excellent in his first two starts with the Cubs, allowing just 3 runs on 8 hits with 19 strkeouts in 13 innings of work. Milwaukee counters with Brent Suter, who has made just 5 starts, but pitched very well in those starts, posting a 2.60 ERA and 1.120 WHIP. Take the UNDER!

5* National League East 'GAME OF THE MONTH' on Braves -

I really like the value here with Atlanta as a short road favorite against the Phillies. The Braves are still in this thing just 4-games under .500, while Philadelphia threw in the towel long ago and are 19-games under .500.

This all comes down to the pitching matchup. Atlanta's Julio Teheran is dealing of late with a 2.79 ERA in his last 3 starts. Teheran has also thrived away from home, where he's 6-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.216 WHIP in 10 starts. The Phillies are countering here with Jeremy Hellickson, who has been struggling. Hellickson has a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts and also owns a 5.14 ERA in 10 home starts. Take Atlanta!

4* MLB Situational Run Line 'MASSACRE' on Red Sox -1.5 

A lot will look to back the Royals and ride their 8-game winning streak, but I'm going the other direction and not only calling for a Boston win, but for them to win by 2+ runs. Let's not get carried away with KC winning a bunch of games against the White Sox and Tigers. I also think the day off yesterday was a bad thing for the Royals, as it kills that momentum.

This one is all about the starting pitching matchup, as the Red Sox send out David Price, who is going to be extremely motived to pitch well after a bad outing at LA and he's been throwing it much better of late and owns a strong 2.67 ERA in 4 home starts. KC counters with Jason Vargas, who is simply not as good as his 12-4 record and 3.08 ERA and it's showing of late, as he has a 9.94 ERA and 2.210 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Boston -1.5!