Expert Indy 500 Predictions: Top Picks & Latest Odds to Win

The 101st running of the Indianapolis 500 is scheduled for Sunday, May 28th.  Television coverage to be provided by ABC and starts around 10:00am ET, with the actual race scheduled to be underway by 11:20am ET.  Qualifying for this year’s race was held on Sunday, May 21st.  Those results are listed in the table below.

2017 Qualifying Results: Pole Positions & Full Line Up

Pole Driver
1 Scott Dixon
2 Ed Carpenter
3 Alexander Rossi
4 Takuma Sato
5 Fernando Alonso
6 JR Hildebrand
7 Tony Kanaan
8 Marco Andretti
9 Will Power
10 Ryan Hunter-Reay
11 Ed Jones
12 Oriol Servia
13 Mikhail Aleshin
14 Graham Rahal
15 Max Chilton
16 Charlie Kimball
17 James Hinchcliffe
18 Juan Pablo Montoya
19 Helio Castroneves
20 Jay Howard
21 Sage Karam
22 Josef Newgarden
23 Simon Pagenaud
24 Carlos Munoz
25 Gabby Chaves
26 Conor Daly
27 Jack Harvey
28 Pippa Mann
29 Spencer Pigot
30 Buddy Lazier
31 Sebastian Saavedra
32 Zach Veach
33 James Davison

Top Picks to Win the Indy 500

Scott Dixon (7/1)

Dixon won the pole position with the best qualifying time and earns a spot on our top picks to win this year.  Dixon was robbed at a Taco Bell by gunpoint shortly after qualifying (yes, really), but is unharmed and still expected to race.  He won the 2008 Indy 500 from the pole and finished 4th from the pole in 2015, so you can easily see he likes running from this position.

Juan Pablo Montoya (9/1)

Only Hello Castroneves has won more Indy 500 championships, but Montoya has won two out of four Indy attempts, while Catroneves has three wins over 16 races and has not won since 2009.  Montoya won in both 2000 and 2015 (did not finish last year).  His 2015 victory was from the middle of the pack, where he starts again this year.  As long as his equipment holds up, he will contend for the title.

Josef Newgarden (10/1)

Newgarden might be flying a bit under the radar compared to some of the names on this list, but at 10-to-1 odds or better there is great value here.  He has three Indy Car wins over the last two years and had a solid showing in last year’s Indy 500, finishing third.

Current Vegas Odds to Win the 2017 Indy 500

The latest odds show a wide-open field with the top four contenders coming in with nearly identical odds and the next three best odds not far behind.  Will a long-shot win this year?  I’m banking on one of the drivers near the top of this list to come in first, but there’s plenty of value down the list.

Driver Odds
Fernando Alonso 7/1
Scott Dixon 7/1
Simon Pagenaud 7/1
Will Power 7/1
Helio Castroneves 9/1
Juan Pablo Montoya 9/1
Josef Newgarden 10/1
James Hinchcliffe 12/1
Tony Kanaan 13/1
Ryan Hunter Reay 15/1
Marco Andretti 17/1
Sebastian Bourdais 25/1
R. Hidebrand 26/1
Alexander Rossi 29/1
Graham Rahal 34/1
Carlos Munoz 40/1
Charlie Kimball 42/1
Ed Carpenter 49/1
Takuma Sato 51/1
Jack Harvey 52/1
Mikhail Aleshin 52/1
Oriol Servia 83/1
Max Chilton 104/1
Field 16/1

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