Frank Sawyer: Expert Sports Betting Picks for Sale

Take the Tennessee Titans minus the point(s) versus the New England Patriots. Tennessee (1-0) comes off a 27-10 upset win at Philadelphia last Thursday as a 1.5-point underdog. The Titans have then covered the point spread in 8 of their last 12 preseason games after a preseason win on the road. Tennessee has also covered the point spread in 4 of their last 6 preseason games when getting eight days of rest and preparation. New England (1-0) comes off a 31-3 upset win at Detroit as a 2.5-point underdog last Thursday. The Patriots rushed out to a 20-0 halftime lead against the hapless Lions — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 preseason games after enjoying at least a two-touchdown lead at halftime of their previous preseason game. New England has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 preseason games on the road with the Total set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. Take Tennessee minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports began Saturday on a 41 of 63 (65%) All-Sports run along with a 31 of 43 (72%) mark with their highest-rated 25* plays in All-Sports! Frank is on a SIZZLING 28 of 47 (60%) NFLx Preseason run over the last few Augusts — and this includes an 11 of 16 (69%) NFLx PRESEASON TOTALS TEAR! Now Frank furthers his RED HOT 12 of 18 (67%) NFLx Preseason Game of the Year/Month mark with his 25* NFLx AFC Preseason Total of the Year! DON’T MISS OUT!

At 7:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (419) and the Tennessee Titans (420). THE SITUATION: New England (1-0) opened up their exhibition season by going on the road to crush the Lions in Detroit by a 31-3 score as a 2.5-point underdog. Tennessee (1-0) comes off a 27-10 upset victory in their first preseason game at Philadelphia where they were 1.5-point underdogs.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Patriots flexed their muscles on defense against the Lions with the young talent they have assembled on that side of the field which has given them nice depth for deep playoff runs. New England held Detroit to just 93 yards of offense while limiting them to only 3.0 Yards-Per-Play. The Patriots have played 6 of their last 9 preseason games Under the Total after not allowing more than 3 points in the previous preseason game in the prior week. They went into halftime with a 20-0 shutout lead over the Lions as well — and they have then played 9 of their last 11 preseason games Under the Total after not allowing more than 3 points in the first half of their previous preseason game. These two teams have played two joint practices together with this exhibition game serving as the third encounter between these two teams this week. The last time the Patriots conducted joint practices before their second preseason game, Tom Brady only two series in that game. Don’t expect to see Brady out on the field very long tonight. I suspect that rookie Jarrett Stidham out of Auburn will get the majority of snaps to get him more opportunities against professional defenses. He was very effective last week in completing 14 of 24 passes for 179 yards with one touchdown against the Lions — but the Titans defense will benefit from both that game tape as well as two days of direct experience scrimmaging against him to now offer him come challenging looks. New England has played 22 of their last 37 preseason games Under the Total — and they have also played 13 of their last 21 road preseason games Under the Total with the number set in the 35.5 to 42 point range. Tennessee’s defense also played quite well last week in holding the Eagles to just 227 yards of offense. The Titans were also able to control the time of possession by being on offense for 37:51 minutes of that game. Tennessee limited Philadelphia to just 37 rushing yards in that preseason game. The Titans have then played 5 of their last 6 preseason games Under the Total after not allowing more than 50 rushing yards in their previous preseason game — and they have played both preseason games Under the Total in the Matt Vrabel era Under the Total after not allowing more than 75 rushing yards in their previous preseason contest. Quarterback Marcus Mariota threw only 8 passes last week for just 24 yards — I do not expect him to see the field too much tonight. Backup Ryan Tannehill looked very good as a backup (with whispers that he could challenge for Mariota’s job) by completing 12 of 16 passes for 130 yards and two TD passes. Don’t be surprised if third-stringer Logan Woodside gets plenty of action tonight. It is a big dropoff to the third-year pro from Toledo who has yet to play in an NFL regular season contest. Tennessee has played their last 3 games against fellow AFC opponents Under the Total.

FINAL TAKE: In preseason games between conference rivals, when the Total is set in the 42.5 to 49 point range, these games finished Under the Total in 22 of these last 28 situations (79%). With these teams already facing off with two joint practices, expect these two AFC playoff teams from last year to engage in an exhibition game that is pure vanilla. 25* NFLx AFC Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the New England Patriots (419) and the Tennessee Titans (420). Best of luck for us — Frank.

At 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Indianapolis Colts (418) minus the point(s) versus the Cleveland Browns (417). THE SITUATION: Indianapolis (0-1) looks to bounce-back from a 24-16 upset loss last week at Buffalo as a 1.5-point favorite. Cleveland (1-0) was impressive in their 30-10 squashing at home against Washington as a 1.5-point favorite last Thursday.

REASONS TO TAKE THE COLTS MINUS THE POINT(S): The Browns are likely due for a letdown after their easy win last week against the Skins. Cleveland has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 preseason games after a double-digit win in the preseason in the previous week — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight preseason games when playing on the road after a preseason win by at least 10 points. The Browns have also failed to cover the point spread in 7 straight road games after scoring at least 30 points in their previous preseason game. Washington’s woeful offensive line issues contributed to them generating only 171 yards of offense. But while Cleveland outgained the Skins by 246 net yards, they have then failed to cover the point spread in 9 of their last 11 preseason games after outgaining their preseason opponent in the previous week by at least 100 yards. Head coach Freddy Kitchens has indicated his starters will play about one quarter. There is a big dropoff in the quality at quarterback after Baker Mayfield. Drew Stanton is a 13-year-veteran with 39 career starts — but he looks well past his prime. He was not sharp last week as he completed only 3 of 8 passes. David Blough was drafted in April from Purdue — the rookie completed 4 of 7 passes for 59 yards in his professional debut last week. Fifth-year pro Garrett Gilbert is fighting for a roster spot as well after starring in the now-defunct AAF — but he fell out of favor in the NFL for a reason. Indianapolis will also use the first quarter for their starting units before head coach Frank Reich will go to his bench. Jacoby Brissett will be the starting quarterback with Andrew Luck dealing with his mysterious leg injury. Brissett is one of the better backups in the league. The Colts also have an intriguing young QB in third-year pro Chad Kelly. The former Ole Miss star completed 13 of 19 passes for 121 yards last week — he should see plenty of action in this game with Reich hoping he wins the third-string job. He is fighting for a roster spot with Phillip Walker. The third-year pro out of Temple completed 8 of 18 passes last week for 85 yards. Indianapolis has covered the point spread in 3 of the 4 preseason games under Reich’s command when they are listed in the +/- 3-point range.

FINAL TAKE: Because the Colts went into halftime last week against the Bills trailing by a 14-3 score, that helps place the Browns into a preseason-specific “play-against” angle that has been 77% effective over the last ten seasons. Teams coming off a preseason victory by at least 10 points now facing an opponent who did not score more than 3 points in the first half in their previous preseason game have then failed to cover the point spread in 23 of these last 30 situations where these conditions applied. 10* NFLx Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal with the Indianapolis Colts (418) minus the point(s) versus the Cleveland Browns (417). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Under the Total in the game between the Houston Astros and the Oakland A’s listing both starting pitchers Rogelio Armenteros and Chris Bassitt. Oakland (70-52) won the second game of this series last night by a 3-2 score. The A’s have now played 5 of their last 7 games Under the Total at home. Oakland has also played 14 of their last 19 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. Houston (78-45) has played 11 of their last 15 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. The Astros have also played 17 of their last 25 road games Under the Total as a money-line favorite priced in the -100 to -150 range. Take the Under while listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Saturday on a 41 of 63 (65%) All-Sports run along with a 31 of 43 (72%) mark with their highest-rated 25* plays in All-Sports! Frank CA$HED his MLB play on Philadelphia last night to further his SIZZLING 25 of 42 (60%) MLB run! Now Frank furthers his 4 of 6 (67%) MLB Run-Line mark along with his RED HOT 21 of 28 (73%) MLB Game of the Year run with his 25* MLB FS1-TV Run-Line of the Year for Saturday! WATCH & WIN — and DON’T MISS OUT!

Frank was 1-1 in All-Sports on Friday — CA$HING on Philadelphia in MLB but losing their NFLx play on Chicago — to keep up a their RED HOT 41 of 63 (65%) All-Sports run! Frank remains on a SIZZLING 28 of 46 (61%) NFLx Preseason run over the last few Augusts — and he KICKS OFF his Saturday card with the Cleveland-Indianapolis ATS winner on the NFL Network at 4:00 PM ET! CA$H-IN Frank’s Saturday Afternoon Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!

At 4:05 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing the Oakland A’s (920) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (919) listing both starting pitchers Chris Bassitt and Rogelio Armenteros. THE SITUATION: Oakland (70-52) has won three straight games after winning the second game of this series last night by a 3-2 score. Houston (78-45) has lost four straight games.

REASONS TO TAKE THE A’S PLUS THE +1.5 RUN-LINE: Oakland pulled off the upset last night as a +170 priced underdog since they were battling Justin Verlander — and they have won 11 of their last 16 games after an upset victory as a home underdog against a fellow AL West rival. The A’s have also won 10 of their last 12 third games of a series. Oakland has been dominant when playing at home in the Coliseum — they have won 71 of their last 105 games at home going back to last season. The A’s have also won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a winning record — and they have won 9 of their last 10 home games with the Total set at 10 or higher. They give the ball to Bassitt who is 8-5 with a 3.56 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP in twenty starts. The right-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.06 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .207 in eight starts. Oakland has won 5 of their last 7 home games with Bassitt pitching with the Total set in the 8.5 to 10 range. Bassitt also thrives in day games where he has a 2.81 ERA with a 0.94 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .198. He faces an Astros team that has lost 4 of their last 5 road games against right-handed starting pitchers. Houston has lost 8 of their last 11 games after scoring two runs or less in their last game. The Astros have also lost 4 straight games on the road. And while this is Houston’s ninth game on their ten-game road trip — they have lost 11 of their last 17 road games when it is at least their sixth game in a row. Given a hamstring injury that has caused Gerrit Cole to miss a start, the Astros recalled Armenteros from Round Rock in Triple-A to make this start. The 25-year old right-hander has struggled in the minors where he has a 5-6 record along with a 5.06 ERA. He has pitched 14 innings in the majors this season where he sports a 1-0 record with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP — but regression is highly likely in this start on the road. The sabermetrics for those 14 innings of work project that Armenteros will likely see the runs he allows double moving forward given his SIERA and xFIP that project an ERA of 3.80 and 4.07. Oakland has won 20 of their last 27 home games against right-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.15 or higher.

FINAL TAKE: The A’s won the opening game of this series on Thursday by a 7-6 score. Houston has lost 7 of their last 9 opportunities to avenge two straight losses by just one run to their opponent. While the A’s as a money-line underdog is intriguing, with the price of them getting the valuable +1.5 Run-Line being under my -150 threshold, I prefer investing in the Run-Line for this situation. 25* MLB FS1-TV Run-Line of the Year with the Oakland A’s (920) plus the +1.5 Run-Line versus the Houston Astros (919) listing both starting pitchers Chris Bassitt and Rogelio Armenteros. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Take Manchester City minus the goal-line versus the Tottenham Hotspurs. Man City (W1-D0-L0) was dominant in their opening week 5-0 victory on the road at West Ham. The Citizens return home where they were W18-D0-L1 in nineteen matches while scoring 57 times and conceding just 12 goals. Man City dominated their opponents in these high profile matches last season as they were W8-D1-L1 in those ten matches while scoring 20 goals and conceding a mere five times. The Citizens were even more dominant at home in the Etihad last year as they were a perfect W5-D0-L0 at home against Big Six sides while scoring 15 goals and allowing just three goals. Tottenham (W1-D0-L0) rallied from a 1-0 deficit last week to defeat the promoted Norwich City by a 3-1 score. This Hotspurs team is missing some key pieces with Dele Alli out with an injury and a suspended Son Heung-min headlining the absences. Tottenham feasted on the weaker teams in the league last year — but they were just W2-D1-L7 in their ten matches against Big Six sides. And in their five matches on the road against one of the Power Six EPL programs, the Spurs lost four of those matches. Man City will still have revenge on their minds after losing to Tottenham in the semifinals of the Championship League last April. Take Man City minus the goal-line. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports begins Saturday on a 41 of 63 (65%) All-Sports run along with a 31 of 43 (72%) mark with their highest-rated 25* plays in All-Sports! Frank KICKED OFF his 2019-20 English Premier League campaign last Friday by DELIVERING his 25* EPL Friday NBC Sports Network Match of the Month with Liverpool covering the goal-line versus Norwich City to further his RED HOT 7 of 9 (78%) Soccer run! Now Frank furthers his NEAR PERFECT 4 of 5 (80%) Soccer Game of the Month/Year run with his 25* EPL NBC-TV Total of the Month for this afternoon’s Tottenham-Man City O/U winner at 12:30 PM ET! WATCH & WIN — and DON’T MISS OUT!

At 12:30 PM ET on Saturday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between the Tottenham Hotspurs (200049) and Manchester City (200050). THE SITUATION: Tottenham (W1-D0-L0) won their opening match last Saturday with their 3-1 victory over Aston Villa. Manchester City (W1-D0-L0) began the defense of their 2018-19 English Premier League championship with a 5-0 victory at West Ham.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Tottenham is undermanned for this match with Dele Alli, Ryan Sessegnon, and Ben Davies all dealing with injuries while Juan Foyth and Son Heung-min ineligible to play as they finish out respective suspensions. The Spurs still have a healthy Harry Kane who scored twice in the final five minutes of their match with the promoted Aston Villa side to escape with that 3-1 victory. The Tottenham offensive attack was sluggish for most of that match until Christian Eriksen took the pitch to offer Kane a passing combination from the midfield. The Spurs scored only 10 goals in their ten EPL matches last season against one of the Big Six opponents. However, Tottenham’s defense was solid in those matches as they surrendered only 15 goals in those ten matches against the Big Six. Only two of those ten matches saw more than three combined goals scored with five of those matches seeing no more than two combined goals scored by both teams. Manager Mauricio Pochettino typically has his team embrace defensive tactics in these high-profile matches — and that will even more likely be the case given that his starting XI is not his best possible group. Manchester City produced another clean sheet last Saturday by blanking West Ham. The Citizens were second in the EPL last season by allowing only 29 goals in their thirty-eight matches all season. Man City’s defense plays consistently well even against the best competition in the league. Manchester City allowed only five goals in their ten matches against Power Six sides — and they surrendered a mere three goals in their five home matches against these Big Six teams. Pep Guardiola is also dealing with some injuries with Leroy Sane out as he prepares for knee surgery and Benjamin Mendy still working on his game fitness.

FINAL TAKE: These teams and managers are very familiar with each other. They faced off against each other three times in a twelve-day stretch last April with one EPL match and the two-legs of their Championship League Semifinals clash. Two of those matches ended in 1-0 results with Tottenham winning the opening match at home in that Champions League clash on April 9th before Man City avenged losing that semifinals showdown with a 1-0 victory in EPL play on April 20th. The Spurs advanced to the Champions League Finals by the road team goals scored tie-breaker after a 4-3 result at Man City on April 17th in a wild game where the Citizens needed to win by at least two goals. That result was a bit of an aberration given the urgency Manchester City had to win by two goals (after the Spurs registered a goal on the road). Expect the defensive tactics of those other two April matches serve as the template for this encounter. 25* English Premier League NBC-TV Total of the Month with Under the Total in the match between the Tottenham Hotspurs (200049) and Manchester City (200050). Best of luck for us — Frank.