Frank Sawyer is on an 32 of 48 (67%) MLB HOT STREAK and he furthers his 11 of 15 (73%) MLB TOTALS TEAR with his 25* MLB Pre-All Star Break Interleague Total of the Year for Wednesday night!
Top All Sports Totals (+8370) 342-236 L578 59%
Basketball Totals (+4562) 262-200 L462 57%
Football Picks (+4548) 301-232 L533 56%
NCAA-B Totals (+4100) 119-72 L191 62%
Top MLB Picks (+2842) 166-123 L289 57%
NFL Sides (+2668) 98-64 L162 60%
NHL Money Lines (+2503) 72-40 L112 64%
Top NCAA-F Picks (+1629) 48-29 L77 62%
NBA Totals (+1032) 127-108 L235 54%
Top NFLX Picks (+780) 12-4 L16 75%
CFL Totals (+700) 7-0 L7 100%
Soccer Sides (+248) 25-18 L43 58%
WNBA Picks (+200) 2-0 L2 100%
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mystics vs Sparks | UNDER 166½ -110 | Premium | 81-52 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Mets vs Braves | Braves +116 | Top Premium | 10-2 | Loss | -100 | Show |
| Brazil (W) vs Italy (W) | OVER 2½ -136 | Premium | 1-0 | Loss | -136 | Show |
| Australia (W) vs Jamaica (W) | OVER 4½ -104 | Top Premium | 4-1 | Win | 100 | Show |
At 10:10 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Francisco Giants (961) listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Drew Pomeranz. THE SITUATION: Los Angeles (49-25) won the second game of this series last night by a 9-0 score. The Dodgers have won four of their last six games. San Francisco (31-40) has lost two of their last three games.
REASONS TO TAKE LOS ANGELES MINUS THE -1.5 RUN-LINE: The Dodgers have won 11 of their last 16 games after a win — and they have won 8 of their last 11 games after scoring at least five runs in their last game. While the fact that the Dodgers have now won 25 of their last 31 home games when priced at least at -150 might compel most bettors to take their chances investing in the higher price, that would be the less profitable path this season. Los Angeles has been a home favorite priced above my -150 threshold 32 times this season after last night — and they have won 22 of those games by more than one run to produce a much better yield overall. We had the Dodgers on Monday minus the -1.5 Run-Line — and while their 3-2 loss was disappointing, it would have been a much worse loss if we invested on LA as a -230 favorite. They give the ball to Hill who is 4-1 with a 2.60 ERA along with a 1.13 WHIP in nine starts. The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 1.03 WHIP along with a .226 opponent’s batting average in five starts. The Dodgers have won 9 of their last 13 home games with Hill on the mound — and they have won 5 of their last 7 home games with him facing a team with a winning record. Hill comes off a strong start where he allowed only three runs in 7 innings of work against the Cubs — and LA has won 19 of their last 26 home games with Hill following up a Quality Start. He should thrive against this Giants team that is scoring only 3.1 Runs-Per-Game against left-handed starting pitchers while hitting just .214 against lefties with a .271 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .602. San Francisco has lost 5 of their last 6 road games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have also lost 10 of their last 14 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.10 or lower. The Giants have lost 9 of their last 13 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. And while the San Fran bullpen surrendered six runs last night, they have then lost 16 of their last 24 games after their bullpen allowed at least five runs in their last contest. The Giants have lost 12 of their last 16 games on the road with the Total set in the 7 to 7.5 range — and they have also lost a decisive 19 of their last 23 games as a big money-line underdog priced in the +200 to +330 range. They counter with Pomeranz who is 2-8 with a 6.43 ERA and a 1.73 WHIP in twelve starts. The left-hander has really struggled on the road where his ERA rises to an 8.87 mark along with him carrying a 1.93 WHIP and an opponent’s ERA of .316 in those six starts. He faces a Dodgers lineup that scores 5.5 Runs-Per-Game at home with a .279 batting average along with a .354 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .852. LA has won 6 of their last 7 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 13 of their last 17 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.
FINAL TAKE: While the team trends referenced above do not take into account the -1.5 Run-Line we are laying for this play, because the Dodgers’ bullpen has a WHIP of 1.21 for the season, LA is supported by an empirical angle specific to the Run-Line that has been 71% effective over the last five seasons. Pomeranz is averaging only 4 1/3 innings per start — and teams with a bullpen ERA of 1.25 or lower facing a team with a starting pitcher who does not average at least 5 innings per start have then covered the -1.5 Run-Line (when priced in the -190 to +100 range) in 64 of the last 90 situations where these conditions applied. 10* MLB Wednesday Late Show Bailout with the Los Angeles Dodgers (962) minus the -1.5 Run-Line versus the San Francisco Giants (961) listing both starting pitchers Rich Hill and Drew Pomeranz. Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 7:20 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Atlanta Braves (956) versus the New York Mets (955) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Steven Matz. THE SITUATION: New York (35-38) won the second game of this series yesterday with their 10-2 victory behind Jacob DeGrom. The Mets had lost four of their last five games before that victory. Atlanta (43-31) has still won ten of their last twelve games.
REASONS TO TAKE THE BRAVES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: New York has lost 4 of the last 5 games after a win. The Mets have also lost 21 of their last 28 games on the road — and they have lost 12 of their last 16 road games against teams with a winning record. New York has also 22 of their last 32 games after playing their last two games on the road. They give the ball to Matz who is 5-4 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in thirteen starts. The left-hander has done his best pitching at home where he has a 2.25 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .228 — but he sees those numbers rise to a 5.79 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .286 in seven starts on the road. The Mets have lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road with Matz on the mound. He faces a hot-hitting Braves team that is scoring 8.1 Runs-Per-Game in their last seven games with a .332 batting average along with a .392 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .969 over that span. Atlanta has won 6 straight games after not scoring more than two runs in their last game — and they have won 7 of their last 8 games after allowing at least five runs in their last contest. The Braves have still won 9 of their last 11 games at home — and they have won 7 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record. They counter with Fried who is 7-3 with a 4.11 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP in fourteen starts (sixteen appearances). The left-hander has been more effective at home where he owns a 3.54 ERA in seven starts along with a 1.11 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .240. Atlanta has won 6 straight games with Fried pitching with four days of rest. He faces a Mets team that lost 6 of their last 8 road games against left-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: The Braves should find their bats again after being stymied by the reigning NL Cy Young Award winner. Atlanta has won 6 of their last 7 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and they have won 4 of their last 5 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. 10* MLB Wednesday Daily Discounted Deal with money-line on the Atlanta Braves (956) versus the New York Mets (955) listing both starting pitchers Max Fried and Steven Matz. Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Chicago White Sox (979) and the Chicago Cubs (980) listing both starting pitchers Lucas Giolito and Jon Lester. THE SITUATION: The White Sox (35-36) won the opening game of this series last night with their 3-1 victory. The White Sox have won four of their last six games while the Cubs (39-33) has lost four of their last five contests.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The White Sox have played 21 of their last 31 games Under the Total after not allowing more than one run in their last game. And while the White Sox have not committed an error in three straight games, they have then played 7 straight games Under the Total on the road after not committing an error in two straight contests. This team has also played 4 of their last 5 games Under the Total on the road — and the Under is a decisive 46-21-3 in their last 70 games on the road against teams with a winning record. They give the ball to Giolito who is 10-1 with a 2.22 ERA and a WHIP of 0.95 in thirteen starts. The young phenom has allowed only one earned run over his last three starts for a minuscule 0.43 ERA along with a 0.76 WHIP over 21 innings. The right-hander has been particularly effective on the road where he owns a 1.48 ERA with a 0.82 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .156 in six starts. The White Sox have played 16 of their last 22 road games Under the Total with Giolito on the hill — and this includes them playing their last 4 road games Under the Total with him on the hill. The White Sox have also played 5 of their last 6 games Under the Total with Giolito looking to follow up a Quality Start. He faces a Cubs team that is scoring only 3.4 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a low .223 batting average along with a .270 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .635.
At 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing Scotland (225926) minus the goal-line versus Argentina (225925). THE SITUATION: Scotland (0-0-2) remained winless in this World Cup after losing to Japan last Friday by a 2-1 score. Argentina (0-1-1) also looks to comeback from a 1-0 loss to England on Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE SCOTLAND MINUS THE GOAL-LINE: The SWNT was too passive in their match against Japan despite only allowing the 7th ranked team in the world according to FIFA control possession for 51% of the time. This is Scotland’s first World Cup appearance — but they have a loaded roster of players that play in the strong English Premier League. The SWNT is led by superstar Kim Little along with Erin Cuthbert who both did not play very well on Friday. They should bounce-back with big matches. This is a team that defeated a very good Brazil team by a 1-0 score back on April 8th. Argentina has played surprisingly well so far in this tournament after earning a draw with Japan in their opening match. But earning 1 point against that team may speak more about the decline of the Japanese program than it does about the quality of Los Albicelestes. Because of the incompetence of the Argentina Soccer Federation, their women’s team has only been back together for a year after funding was cut off for two years. Argentina was clobbered in the FFA Cup of Nations earlier this year where they lost all three matches while being outscored by ten goals. Los Albicelestes did not score in that event — and they have yet to score in their two World Cup matches.
FINAL TAKE: Scotland needs to win this match while generating goals to help in a potential tie-breaker to qualify for the Knockout Stage. Let's trust the oddsmakers here who have the SWNT laying one goal. The Scots need a 2-0 or 3-0 win. 10* Women’s World Cup Wednesday Afternoon Discounted Deal with Scotland (225926) minus the goal-line versus Argentina (225925). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 3:00 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing England (225921) minus the Goal-Line versus Japan (225922). THE SITUATION: England (2-0-0) has clinched winning Group D with their second straight win last Friday with their 1-0 victory over Argentina. Japan (1-1-0) comes off a 2-1 win over Scotland last Thursday.
REASONS TO TAKE ENGLAND MINUS THE GOAL-LINE: The biggest question for the Three Lionesses is how manager Phil Neville will treat this match since they have already qualified for the Knockout Stage. While substituting key players is tempting to give them a rest while avoiding injury, a consideration for Neville is to have his best players take the pitch with the goal of using this high profile match to produce a statement win over a Japanese team that won the 2011 Women’s World Cup before losing in the championship in 2015. Inner confidence might be the biggest vulnerability for these Lionesses who finished in the Semifinals of the 2015 Women’s World Cup before losing in the Semifinals to host nation the Netherlands in the 2017 Euro Championship. Sure enough, Neville, the former Manchester United defender, has made it clear that he wants to use this match as a measuring stick. Said Neville: "And we want to continue and build the momentum that we've built in the first two games. So I'll be picking my best side to win the game … I want us to have played three, won three, and affect the mindset of other people in the tournament, but more importantly give my players more confidence … Forget the group permutations - I think playing three, winning three in a group everyone said was the 'group of death' would send a strong statement … We're watching the USA play, we're watching Germany, France. They're winning their groups and we need to keep up with them.” Neville has a loaded roster at his disposal who won the She Believes Up played earlier this year in a prestigious tournament that includes USA, Japan, and Brazil. Japan snapped a five-game winless streak on Friday with their victory over Scotland. The Nadeshiko Japan is a team in transition that went much younger after their flameout in 2016 where they failed to qualify for the Olympics. The average age of this team is around 24-years old which is three years younger than the 2015 group. With youth comes inexperience. Size is also a concern for this group. While Japan remains a rich soccer nation, this roster is not as proven nor talented as past teams. Their nil-nil draw with an Argentina team ranked 37th in the world by FIFA and 36th in the world by ELO is telling.
FINAL TAKE: When these two teams played on March 5th in the She Believes Cup, England dominated with a 3-0 victory. The Three Lionesses still remember their heartbreaking loss to Japan in the Semifinals of the 2015 Women’s World Cup where their Laura Bassett scored an own goal in the 92nd minute to produce a heartbreaking 2-1 defeat. The opportunity for revenge along with making a big statement moving into the Knockout Stage will likely be irresistible for this team. 25* Women’s World Cup Group D Match of the Year with England (225921) minus the Goal-Line versus Japan (225922). Best of luck for us — Frank.