Frank Sawyer 12 of 17 (71%) NFLx PRESEASON TOTALS TEAR -- and he furthers his RED HOT 13 of 19 (68%) NFLx Preseason Game of the Year/Month mark with his 25* NFLx Fox-TV Total of the Year tonight!
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|Patriots vs Titans||Titans PK -115||Free||22-17||Loss||-115||Show|
|Patriots vs Titans||UNDER 43 -115||Top Premium||22-17||Win||100||Show|
|Browns vs Colts||Colts -2 -125||Premium||21-18||Loss||-125||Show|
|Astros vs A's||UNDER 10½ -112||Free||4-8||Loss||-112||Show|
|Astros vs A's||A's +1½ -125||Top Premium||4-8||Win||100||Show|
|Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City||Manchester City -1¼ -109||Free||2-2||Loss||-109||Show|
|Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City||UNDER 3 +101||Top Premium||2-2||Loss||-100||Show|
At 8:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (429) and the Minnesota Vikings (430). THE SITUATION: Seattle (1-0) pulled off a 22-14 upset win at home against Denver back on August 8th as a 2-point underdog. Minnesota (1-0) pulled off an upset win the next night in New Orleans with their 34-25 win against the Saints as a 3-point underdog.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Pete Carroll’s teams have played 20 of their 28 preseason games Under the Total after a straight-up win in the preseason — and this includes his Seahawks teams playing ten of their sixteen preseason games Under the Total after a win in the preseason in the previous week. Carroll’s Seattle teams have also played 12 of their last 17 preseason games after a point spread win in the preseason. The Seahawks defense played well in that game as they held the Broncos (who already had a preseason game under their belts) to just 298 yards of offense. Seattle has played 7 of their last 10 preseason games in the Carroll regime Under the Total after not allowing more than 14 points in their last preseason game in the previous week. The offense was not much better as Seattle managed only 18 first downs which resulted in 301 yards. Geno Smith struggled at quarterback as he completed just 3 of 9 passes. Russell Wilson did not play in that opening game — he will likely play in this game but the veteran will not play long in this game. Carroll’s Seahawks teams have played 7 of their last 9 road preseason games Under the Total with the number set in the 38.5 to 42 point range. Seattle has also played 6 of their last 9 preseason games against fellow NFC opponents Under the Total — and they have played 6 of their last 8 preseason games Under the Total when listed in the +/- 3-point range. Minnesota has played 13 of their last 17 preseason games Under the Total after pulling off an upset victory in the preseason — and this includes them playing three of the four games Under the Total after an upset victory in the preseason under head coach Mike Zimmer. The Vikings have also played 5 of their last 6 preseason games in the Zimmer era Under the Total after a preseason victory on the road. The Minnesota offense was crisp — led by starter Kirk Cousins who completed all four of his passes for 65 yards and a touchdown — as they generated 460 yards in that game. But while the Vikings averaged 8.5 Yards-Per-Play against the Saints, they have then played 3 of their 4 preseason games Under the Total. This game may see more of Jake Browning who attempted only three passes last week. The rookie from Washington is battling Sean Mannion and Kyle Sloter for a backup spot on the depth chart. Only Mannion has NFL experience with his ten-game appearances out of that group after Cousins.
FINAL TAKE: The Vikings backup quarterbacks will have a challenge facing this Seahawks team that held Denver to just 5.3 Yards-Per-Passing-Attempt last week. Preseason games where the road team did not allow more than 5.5 Yards-Per-Passing-Attempt in their previous preseason game have then gone Under the Total in 48 of these last 70 situations (69%). 25* NFLx Fox-TV Total of the Year with Under the Total in the game between the Seattle Seahawks (429) and the Minnesota Vikings (430). Best of luck for us — Frank.
At 1:05 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing the money-line on the Philadelphia Phillies (952) versus the San Diego Padres (951) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Joey Lucchesi. THE SITUATION: San Diego (57-65) has won two of their last three games after winning the second game of this series yesterday by a 5-3 score. Philadelphia (64-59) saw their four-game winning streak snapped with the loss yesterday.
REASONS TO TAKE THE PHILLIES WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Philadelphia has responded to win 17 of their last 24 games after allowing at least five runs in their last game. The Phillies have still won 4 of their last 5 games at home — and they have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. They give the ball to Vargas who is 6-6 this season with a 4.03 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP in twenty-one starts (twenty-two games) this season. The lefty is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA in his three starts with Philly after being traded over from the New York Mets. Vargas has been more effective at home this year where he has a 2.93 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .214 in ten starts (eleven games). His teams have won 39 of their last 57 home games when he is making the start when priced as the favorite in the -100 to -150 range. Vargas also has a 1.23 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .214 in six starts in day games — and his teams have won 11 of their last 17 games when he is making an afternoon start. He faces a Padres team that has lost 45 of their last 60 games against left-handed starting pitchers — and this includes them losing twelve of these last fourteen situations. San Diego has lost 10 of their last 12 games after a win. The Padres have also lost 13 of their last 18 games against teams with a winning record — and they have lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. They counter with Lucchesi who is 7-7 with a 4.25 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP in twenty-three starts. The lefty has a 5.23 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP in his six starts since the All-Star break — and San Diego has lost all six games. Lucchesi does his best pitching at home in the spacious Petco Park where he enjoys a 2.91 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .192 — but those numbers skyrocket to a 6.15 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .278 in his ten starts on the road. The Padres have lost 5 of their last 6 games on the road with Lucchesi on the mound — and they have also lost 5 straight games with Lucchesi facing a team with a winning record. He faces a hot-hitting Phillies team that is scoring 5.9 Runs-Per-Game over their last seven games with a .269 batting average along with a .329 On-Base Percentage and an OPS of .804 during that span. Philadelphia has won 33 of their last 47 home games against left-handed starting pitchers.
FINAL TAKE: The Padres are playing out the string a bit demoralized with the likely season-ending injury to their rookie phenom, Fernando Tatis. San Diego has lost 14 of their last 20 games in Philadelphia. The Phillies have won 36 of their last 51 games when avenging an upset loss where they were home favorites (as they were yesterday). 10* MLB Super Under-Valued Favorite with the money-line on the money-line on the Philadelphia Phillies (952) versus the San Diego Padres (951) listing both starting pitchers Jason Vargas and Joey Lucchesi. Best of luck for us — Frank.