Handicapper Brandon Lee

10* FREE NBA PICK (Bulls +8) 

I'll take my chances here with Chicago getting 8-points on the road against the Magic. I could be completely wrong here, but I'm just not buying the Magic being as good as they looked in their 5-game winning streak going into the All-Star break. A stretch in which they outscored their opponents by 22.8 ppg. They only legit win during that run was a road victory at Milwaukee and the Bucks were without Antetokounmpo (rest).

It's now been a full 7 days since Orlando last played and a long break like that is the last thing you want when you are on a roll. Well-rested has certainly not been a good thing for the Magic at home, as they are a mere 3-12 ATS at home over the last 2 seasons when playing 4 or less games in 10 days. 

No denying the Bulls are a bottom tier team, but I think this team has some really nice pieces with Markkanen, LaVine and now Otto Porter Jr. It's really not asking a lot for them to keep this competitive and it's not out of the question they win the game. Orlando is just 14-15 at home this season and the Bulls have won 3 of their last 4 trips to the Amway Center. Chicago is also 4-1 ATS last 5 on the road and 11-5 ATS last 16 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. Give me the Bulls +8! 

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50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Denver coming out of the All-Star break and making a statement against the Mavs. I just think this is a complete mismatch. The Nuggets are as healthy as they have been since the start of the season and I just don't think people are fully aware of just how good this team is going to be if they can keep everyone healthy.

I believe the only thing keeping this line where it is, is the fact that the Mavs are 20-9 at home. The thing is, this team went from trying to win to really focusing on the future when they traded for Porzingis. Luka Donic is an incredible young player, but he's playing with a bunch of scrubs right now and I just don't see them keeping up with a team like Denver in this spot.  Give me the Nuggets -3.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 213.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Clippers and Grizzlies going OVER the total of 213.5. I just think there's some value here on both sides. I think the perception is that LAC is not going to be as potent offensively after trading away one of their top scorers in Tobias Harris, but they made some sneaky good additions in other trades and put up 120+ in each of their final 3 before the break. 

As for the Grizzlies, it's the opposite. This team has the perception of being this defensive juggernaut. However, that was before they traded away the anchor in the middle in Marc Gasol. Memphis is in full on rebuilding mode and just aren't going to bring that energy and effort on the defensive side of the ball down the stretch. Give me the OVER 213.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -5.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Pacers covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Pelicans. I just don't like the mindset with New Orleans right now. They decided not to trade Anthony Davis at the deadline and now have come out and said that Davis and Jrue Holiday's minutes will be greatly reduced. I just think that a big negative for the chemistry of this team. 

As for the Pacers, they might have lost their star in Oladipo, but they are going to scratch and claw their way to the finish line. Indiana won 6 of 7 going into the All_Star break with the only loss coming to Milwaukee. Pacers are 22-8 at home, while the Pelicans are 9-22 on the road. Give me Indiana -5.5!