Handicapper Brandon Lee

10* FREE NBA PICK (Rockets -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Houston covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Thunder. This is a great time to buy low on the Rockets after losing 3 straight, including each of their last two at home. Every team has a run like this in the NBA. Houston is still one of the most talented teams and my money is on them righting the ship with a big time performance here. 

Thunder were in this exact spot in their last game, as they had lost two straight at home before defeating the Blazers 119-106 as a 6.5-point favorite. OKC definitely got some help with Portland playing on no rest and their 3rd game in 4 nights. Now it's the Rockets who will be catching the Thunder playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and 6th game in the last 10 days overall. 

Not to mention the revenge factor here, as Houston has not forgot about the ugly 92-113 loss they were handed at OKC earlier this month (1/9). 

Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revenging a same season loss and off two straight home losses are 86-46 (65%) ATS going back to 1996 and 18-4 (82%) over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Rockets -6.5! 

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50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. Grizzlies are the hottest team in the league right now, as they are working on a league best 7-game winning streak. They are 6-1 ATS in this run with the only non-cover coming in a crushing ATS loss last time out against the Cavs at home. A game they won 113-109 after being up by 21 in the 4th quarter. 

I just don't think people realize how good this team is playing right now and this feels like a great spot to fade the Pelicans. New Orleans is coming off a crushing 133-130 loss at home to the Clippers, as they were outscored by 11 in the 4th quarter (only managed 20 points). Not only are they off a tough loss, but they could have a hard time not looking ahead to Wednesday's home game against the Spurs, which is expected to mark the debut of No. 1 overall pick Zion Williamson. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

40* NBA OVER/UNDER TOTAL SLAUGHTER (Under 221) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 221 in Monday's matchup between the 76ers and Nets. Since losing Embiid to injury Philadelphia has really slowed things down. In the 6 games without him they have a pace rating of just  95.42 which is 29th slowest in the league and well below their season average of 101.1. 

The offense without Embiid has been especially bad on the road, scoring just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. It's why I'm not concerned at all about the fact that these two teams just combined for 223 points in their meeting last week at Philly. If anything the fact these two teams just played each other adds more value to the UNDER. Give me the UNDER 221! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Old Dominion -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Monarchs cashing in a cover as a small home favorite against the 49ers. I think we are getting a great price on Old Dominion due to them having lost 3 straight, but note that those 3 losses all came on the road and it's not like they weren't competitive as they came by a combined 9 points. 

Prior to the three straight losses they had won and covered both of their conference home games against Middle Tennessee and UAB. Monarchs also out for revenge as they opened up that 3-game skid with a 47-53 loss at Charlotte. Note they only lost by 6 despite going 1-22 (4.5%) from behind the 3-point line and 4 of 10 (40%) at the free throw line. 

49ers also in a tough spot here playing their 3rd road game since playing at Marshall on Thursday. They were able to beat the Herd in that game, but then lost on Saturday 80-63 at WKU. Give me the Monarchs -4.5!