| Stars vs Flames |
Flames -174 |
Top Premium |
2-3 |
Win
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100 |
Show
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At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Dallas Stars. After these two teams split the first four games -- with each of them winning once in the others' arena -- they then each went on to win at home in Games 5 and 6, so here we are in Calgary for one final meeting. Calgary's defenseman Chris Tanev didn't miss a game all season, and he played in each of the first six games of this series, but had to leave Game 6 in the second period with a lower body injury and things went downhill from there as Dallas got the final two goals to force this one tonight. The Flames are hopeful that the big blue-liner will be back on the ice tonight for Game 7. The Stars have their own injury concerns as C Luke Glendening was felled by a questionable hit by Nikita Zadorov in Game 6 and probably won't be able to go for his team this evening. With the Stars win in Game 6 the home team is now 4-2 in this series. The Flames are 45-26 (+13 games on the moneyline) in their last 71 immediately following a game where they allowed four or more goals. Take Calgary. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.
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| Padres vs Braves |
Padres -100 |
Top Premium |
7-3 |
Win
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100 |
Show
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At 11:35 am, in a very early start, our selection is on the San Diego Padres over the Atlanta Braves. Almost anyone who closely follows the Majors would agree that there are more ace-type starters in the National than the American League. Scherzer, deGrom (when healthy), Burnes, Beuhler, Urias, and Wheeler just to name six of the NL's best. It's for this reason that a guy like Joe Musgrove tends to get completely overlooked. Despite 11 wins, a 3.18 ERA, a league-best two complete game shutouts and of course a no-hitter in one of those, the 29-year-old RH didn't even make the All Star roster last season. From the appearance of things so far in 2022, Musgrove is out to ensure that he doesn't get ignored again. Over his first four starts covering 39 innings, Musgrove is 4-0 with a 2.08 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and a league-best K:BB ratio of 13.7 (41 K's and only 3 BBs). Musgrove didn't factor in the 2021 Cy Young voting but if the season ended today, you'd probably have to award it to him. Although the ERA is a little high in seven starts vs. the Braves (4.50), Musgrove is 3-1 vs. Atlanta, with a 1.22 WHIP. Take San Diego. As always, good luck...Al McMordie. |
| Bucks vs Celtics |
UNDER 207½ -110 |
Top Premium |
81-109 |
Win
|
100 |
Show
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At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Boston/Milwaukee game. The Celtics and Bucks have gone under in four of the first six games in this series, including Game 6, which went under by 9.5 points. I look for another low-scoring game on Sunday, as Milwaukee has now gone under in eight of 10 Playoff games this season, while Boston has gone under in six of its last nine. Even better, Boston's 30-11 under when priced as a favorite of -3 to -7.5 points. Finally, in elimination games involving Milwaukee, the under has cashed 16 of 22, while it's cashed 23 of 36 in elimination games involving Boston. Take the under. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| Mavs vs Suns |
UNDER 205½ -115 |
Top Premium |
123-90 |
Loss |
-115 |
Show
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At 8 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix/Dallas game UNDER the total. We played on the under in Game 6, and were rewarded with a 113-86 result, which went under the total by 11.5 points. The last four games of this series have all gone UNDER the total, and have done so by an average of 15 ppg. We'll look for yet another low-scoring game on Sunday night, as the Mavericks are 52-21 UNDER when priced from -1 to +8 points, while Phoenix is 11-0-1 UNDER off a road loss this season (and 15-1-1 UNDER, dating back to last season). Take Game 7 UNDER the total. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
| Mavs vs Suns |
Suns -6 -110 |
Top Premium |
123-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
Show
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At 8 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Dallas. The Suns were destroyed by Dallas in Game 6, 113-86, even though the Suns were favored by 2 points. That's the bad news. The good news for this Game 7 is that Phoenix is a spectacular 16-0 ATS its last 16 off an upset road loss, if its opponent was off a double-digit cover. Meanwhile, Dallas is a dreadful 7-19 ATS off an upset playoff win, when matched up against .630 (or better) foes. Phoenix has won all six home meetings vs. the Mavericks the last two seasons (by an average of 12.6 ppg), and is 10-1 SU and 8-3 ATS vs. Dallas the past 11 games here, at home. Lay the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. |
