Handicapper Big Al McMordie Free Sports Picks

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Dodgers over the Atlanta Braves.  Down to their last gasp, the Dodgers will certainly pull out all the stops in what could be the last game at Dodgers Stadium this year.  The task may seem even more difficult because the Los Angeles lineup will be facing LH Max Fried tonight.  Fried pitched six quality innings in Game 1 to get things started for the Braves.  However, that start was at home.  L.A. will be happy to know that for his career, Fried is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA in two starts covering seven innings here at Dodger Stadium.  And notwithstanding last night's win, Atlanta is still a miserable 1-10 its last 11 here at Chavez Ravine.  Dave Roberts has announced that his veteran RH, Joe Kelly, will get the start for the Dodgers tonight.  At home this season, Kelly has 2.33 ERA, and opponents are batting .133 against him.  After Kelly, it will no doubt be a myriad of relievers on the mound for the Dodgers.  The Dodgers are 28-11 after allowing more than 7 runs in their previous game, while Atlanta is a poor 22-29 (minus 20.6 net games on the moneyline) after scoring more than 7 runs in its previous game.  With their backs against the wall, we'll take the Dodgers tonight.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in tonight's game between Denver and Cleveland.  These two teams were both upset last Sunday.  Denver had its worst defensive effort of the season, as it gave up 34 to Las Vegas in a 10-point loss.  And Cleveland's defense was even worse, as it was wrecked by Arizona, 37-14, in a 23-point upset home loss.  But off those upset losses, I expect both teams to play much better defense tonight.  Indeed, Denver is 14-3 UNDER its last 17 off an upset loss, while Cleveland is 23-13 UNDER its last 36 off an upset loss.  And matchups between two teams off upset losses, in which they each gave up 28+ points, have gone UNDER the total 77.4% over the past 33 seasons, including a perfect 5-0 UNDER since last season.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors upended the Los Angeles Lakers, 121-114, on Tuesday night.  But off that upset win, we will fade the Warriors here against the Clippers.  Golden State is an ugly 0-10-1 its last 11 off an upset win, if priced in its current game from -2 to -6 points.  Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 11-0 ATS its last 11 on the road vs. a foe off an upset win.  And LA is also 5-1 ATS in its last six season openers.  Take the Clippers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks.  Milwaukee got its title defense off to a winning start with a blowout of Brooklyn on Tuesday night.  But off that win, we will fade Milwaukee tonight, as NBA defending champs have covered just 36.8% in their first road game of the season following a win at home in their previous game.  Moreover, the Heat are 9-4 ATS their last 13 home openers, and they're 11-4 their last 15 regular season games when installed as a home underdog vs. a foe off a win.  Grab the points with Erik Spoelstra's men tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.